Wander Suero — OGILVIE

Wander Suero P Las Vegas Aviators

Age 34 RHP 6'4" / 216 lbs AAA peak 0.3 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10495vR 87

ERA3.67

FIP3.70

K%25.1%

BB%6.8%

K-BB%18.3%

ROS IP53

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6565

CTRL6060

CMD7070

K†6060

CU (1%)

CT-1.3 (76%)

CH-2.9 (23%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	5	90	388	68	31	5	15%	2.7	13.8%	9.0%	4.8%	1.6%	3.90	3.96	—
2015	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	5	90	388	68	31	5	15%	2.7	17.5%	8.0%	9.5%	1.3%	3.90	3.34	—
2016	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	39	0	55	236	48	19	3	0%	1.4	16.5%	8.9%	7.6%	1.1%	2.44	3.41	—
2016	24	AA RAW	Harrisburg Senators	39	0	55	236	48	19	3	0%	1.4	20.3%	8.1%	12.3%	1.3%	2.44	3.10	—
2017	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	65	267	65	17	3	0%	1.2	20.8%	6.8%	14.0%	1.3%	1.79	2.94	—
2017	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	54	0	65	267	65	17	3	0%	1.2	24.3%	6.4%	18.0%	1.1%	1.79	2.49	—
2018	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	65	271	63	16	5	0%	1.2	22.5%	6.0%	16.6%	1.8%	3.62	2.95	+1.2
2018	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	54	0	65	271	63	16	5	0%	1.2	23.2%	5.9%	17.3%	1.8%	3.62	2.90	+1.3
2019	27	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	78	0	71	296	81	23	5	0%	0.9	27.4%	7.8%	19.6%	1.7%	4.54	2.70	+1.6
2019	27	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	78	0	71	296	81	23	5	0%	0.9	27.4%	7.8%	19.6%	1.7%	4.54	2.71	+1.6
2020	28	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	22	0	24	102	28	8	1	0%	1.1	27.5%	7.8%	19.6%	1.0%	3.80	2.31	+0.6
2020	28	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	22	0	24	102	28	8	1	0%	1.1	27.5%	7.8%	19.6%	1.0%	3.80	2.30	+0.6
2021	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	57	1	55	242	60	16	11	2%	1.0	24.0%	6.7%	17.3%	4.5%	6.34	4.41	+0.1
2021	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	57	1	55	242	60	16	11	2%	1.0	24.8%	6.6%	18.2%	4.5%	6.34	4.38	+0.1
2022	30	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	20	0	24	112	15	9	2	0%	1.2	11.8%	8.4%	3.3%	2.0%	6.08	4.28	—
2022	30	AAA RAW	Salt Lake Bees	20	0	24	112	15	9	2	0%	1.2	13.4%	8.0%	5.4%	1.8%	6.08	4.07	—
2023	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	0	58	240	62	27	8	0%	1.1	21.5%	9.7%	11.8%	3.2%	3.90	4.27	+0.2
2023	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	0	58	240	62	27	8	0%	1.1	21.5%	9.7%	11.8%	3.2%	3.90	4.27	+0.2
2023	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	52	0	58	240	62	27	8	0%	1.1	25.8%	11.2%	14.6%	3.3%	3.90	4.16	+0.3
2024	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	68	0	68	287	71	32	8	0%	1.0	20.6%	10.1%	10.5%	3.4%	2.66	4.51	+0.0
2024	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	68	0	68	287	71	32	8	0%	1.0	20.6%	10.1%	10.5%	3.4%	2.66	4.51	+0.0
2024	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	68	0	68	287	71	32	8	0%	1.0	24.7%	11.1%	13.6%	2.8%	2.66	3.96	+0.5
2025	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	55	229	71	17	5	0%	1.1	27.0%	5.9%	21.0%	1.0%	2.45	2.10	+1.6
2025	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	55	229	71	17	5	0%	1.1	27.0%	5.9%	21.0%	1.0%	2.45	2.10	+1.6
2025	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	0	55	229	71	17	5	0%	1.1	31.0%	7.4%	23.6%	2.2%	2.45	2.63	+1.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			196	0	200	856	216	67	26	0%	1.0	25.2%	7.8%	17.4%	3.0%	4.96	3.64	+2.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	34	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	49	0	51	252	46	29	9	0%	1.0	15.2%	10.4%	4.8%	3.9%	7.36	5.29	—
YTD	34	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	49	0	51	252	46	29	9	0%	1.0	15.2%	10.4%	4.8%	3.9%	7.36	5.29	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	34	AAA RAW	OAK	49	0	51	252	46	29	9	0%	1.0	18.3%	11.5%	6.7%	3.6%	7.36	4.98	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	35	MLB MLE	OAK	45	0	47	200	49	15	6	0%	1.1	24.4%	7.3%	17.1%	3.0%	3.87	4.01	+0.3
2028	36	MLB MLE	OAK	40	0	42	177	42	14	6	0%	1.0	23.8%	7.9%	15.8%	3.4%	4.16	4.35	+0.1
2027	35	MLB CTX	OAK	3	0	3	13	3	1	0	0%	1.0	24.4%	7.3%	17.1%	3.0%	3.87	4.01	+0.0
2028	36	MLB CTX	OAK	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.8%	7.9%	15.8%	3.4%	4.16	4.35	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		198	0	202	867	219	68	26	0%	1.0	25.2%	7.8%	17.4%	3.0%	4.94	3.63	+2.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		196	0	200	857	217	67	26	0%	1.0	25.2%	7.8%	17.4%	3.0%	4.94	3.63	+2.2
Career	—	MLE		576	6	681	2922	600	238	66	1%	1.2	20.5%	8.2%	12.4%	2.3%	3.91	3.64	+2.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		169	2	200	858	176	70	19	1%	1.2	20.5%	8.2%	12.4%	2.3%	3.91	3.64	+1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wander Suero (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.70	25.1%	6.8%	2.7%	—	4.17	24.1%	16.5%	89	+0.47	—	—	—
Daniel Bard R 2020 · 2.82 FIP	35	SU	2.82	25.5%	7.5%	1.7%	.290	3.63	25.3%	12.0%	175	+0.81	2.56	200	81
Jay Jackson R 2022 · 2.98 FIP	34	SU	2.98	27.5%	5.3%	2.8%	.327	4.85	25.8%	19.8%	85	+1.87	2.36	261	77
Will Harris R 2019 · 3.07 FIP	34	SU	3.07	27.1%	6.1%	2.7%	.245	4.31	25.0%	14.3%	18	+1.24	2.17	315	72
Santiago Casilla R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	35	SU	3.50	25.4%	8.6%	2.7%	.290	3.97	22.4%	12.7%	161	+0.47	3.50	219	69
Zack Segovia R 2016 · 3.33 FIP	33	SU	3.33	20.2%	5.9%	2.2%	.312	4.55	17.6%	4.0%	57	+1.22	3.33	144	69
Tommy Hunter R 2020 · 2.78 FIP	34	SU	2.78	24.5%	5.9%	1.8%	.290	4.47	20.8%	16.3%	60	+1.69	2.78	316	68
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	67
Ryan Madson R 2015 · 2.99 FIP	34	SU	2.99	23.4%	5.2%	2.2%	.244	2.96	23.9%	18.7%	176	-0.03	1.42	240	66
Jim Johnson R 2017 · 3.89 FIP	34	SU	3.89	23.8%	8.6%	3.1%	.309	4.48	16.8%	9.0%	63	+0.59	2.56	251	65
Ramon E Ramirez R 2016 · 3.60 FIP	34	SU	3.60	18.4%	6.0%	2.4%	.262	3.49	14.0%	8.2%	40	-0.11	2.37	140	65
Brad Peacock R 2022 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	23.9%	10.6%	2.5%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	2.97	533	65
Luis Ayala R 2015 · 3.03 FIP	37	SU	3.03	19.7%	5.0%	1.7%	.270	3.27	12.1%	5.9%	57	+0.24	3.03	119	65
Matt Albers R 2017 · 3.15 FIP	34	SU	3.15	27.0%	7.3%	2.6%	.197	4.64	21.5%	12.7%	94	+1.49	3.15	244	64
David Robertson R 2018 · 2.78 FIP	33	SU	2.78	32.2%	8.8%	2.3%	.244	3.67	32.0%	24.0%	12	+0.89	2.00	494	64
Nate Jones R 2020 · 4.53 FIP	34	SU	4.53	26.7%	5.8%	5.4%	.377	7.14	16.1%	6.9%	19	+2.61	2.57	157	64
Dustin McGowan R 2016 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	22.6%	9.3%	2.6%	.230	4.58	19.4%	12.7%	78	+0.76	3.82	208	64
Mark Melancon R 2019 · 2.56 FIP	34	SU	2.56	23.9%	5.6%	1.4%	.342	3.42	17.9%	10.7%	143	+0.86	2.24	428	63
Jason Motte R 2016 · 4.73 FIP	34	SU	4.73	22.0%	6.4%	4.9%	.306	5.16	16.3%	4.9%	41	+0.43	3.18	113	63
Pat Neshek R 2015 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	22.9%	4.9%	3.7%	.268	2.48	24.6%	21.9%	134	-1.34	1.57	206	63
Logan Kensing R 2016 · 2.73 FIP	34	SU	2.73	20.1%	8.0%	0.6%	.310	3.28	16.5%	8.6%	74	+0.55	2.73	172	62

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	47	24.5%	7.3%	1.17	3.88
Blake Parker ('21)	1.2	60	26.6%	7.3%	1.40	3.36
Eli Morgan ('24)	1.3	66	23.8%	6.4%	1.46	3.97
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Adbert Alzolay ('23)	1.1	70	26.1%	7.0%	1.32	3.84
Richard Rodríguez ('21)	1.1	56	25.0%	6.3%	1.21	3.00