Wander Suero
P
Las Vegas Aviators
Age 34
RHP
6'4" / 216 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 53 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10596vR 87
ERA3.73
FIP3.77
K%26.3%
BB%8.0%
K-BB%18.3%
ROS IP53
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 86 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
CU (1%)
CT-1.3 (76%)
CH-2.9 (23%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 5 | 90 | 388 | 68 | 31 | 5 | 15% | 2.7 | 13.8% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 3.90 | 4.00 | — |
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 5 | 90 | 388 | 68 | 31 | 5 | 15% | 2.7 | 17.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 1.3% | 3.90 | 3.34 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 39 | 0 | 55 | 236 | 48 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 16.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 0.8% | 2.44 | 3.27 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 39 | 0 | 55 | 236 | 48 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.3% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 1.3% | 2.44 | 3.10 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 65 | 267 | 65 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.8% | 6.8% | 14.0% | 1.4% | 1.79 | 2.96 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 65 | 267 | 65 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.3% | 6.4% | 18.0% | 1.1% | 1.79 | 2.49 | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 65 | 271 | 63 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.5% | 6.0% | 16.6% | 1.8% | 3.62 | 2.92 | +1.3 |
| 2018 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 65 | 271 | 63 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.2% | 5.9% | 17.3% | 1.8% | 3.62 | 2.90 | +1.3 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 78 | 0 | 71 | 296 | 81 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 27.4% | 7.8% | 19.6% | 1.7% | 4.54 | 2.70 | +1.7 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 78 | 0 | 71 | 296 | 81 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 27.4% | 7.8% | 19.6% | 1.7% | 4.54 | 2.71 | +1.7 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 22 | 0 | 24 | 102 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.5% | 7.8% | 19.6% | 1.0% | 3.80 | 2.31 | +0.6 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 22 | 0 | 24 | 102 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.5% | 7.8% | 19.6% | 1.0% | 3.80 | 2.30 | +0.6 |
| 2021 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 57 | 1 | 55 | 242 | 60 | 16 | 11 | 2% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 6.7% | 17.3% | 4.5% | 6.34 | 4.41 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 57 | 1 | 55 | 242 | 60 | 16 | 11 | 2% | 1.0 | 24.8% | 6.6% | 18.2% | 4.5% | 6.34 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 20 | 0 | 24 | 112 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 11.8% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 6.08 | 4.30 | — |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 20 | 0 | 24 | 112 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 13.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 6.08 | 4.07 | — |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 0 | 58 | 240 | 62 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 3.2% | 3.90 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 0 | 58 | 240 | 62 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.8% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 3.3% | 3.90 | 4.16 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 68 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 71 | 32 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.8% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 3.8% | 2.66 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 68 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 71 | 32 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 2.8% | 2.66 | 3.96 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 55 | 229 | 71 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.6% | 6.9% | 21.7% | 0.8% | 2.45 | 2.02 | +1.6 |
| 2025 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 55 | 229 | 71 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 31.0% | 7.4% | 23.6% | 2.2% | 2.45 | 2.63 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 33 | 0 | 33 | 161 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 7.56 | 4.95 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 34 | MLB | OAK | 50 | 0 | 53 | 223 | 58 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.3% | 8.0% | 18.3% | 2.7% | 3.73 | 3.77 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 34 | MLB | OAK | 5 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.3% | 8.0% | 18.3% | 2.7% | 3.73 | 3.77 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 34 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 86 | 384 | 89 | 35 | 11 | — | — | 23.3% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 5.21 | 4.23 | +0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 34 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 5 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 26.3% | 8.0% | 18.3% | 2.7% | 3.73 | 3.39 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | OAK | 45 | 0 | 47 | 200 | 51 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.7% | 8.5% | 17.1% | 3.1% | 3.94 | 4.08 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | OAK | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 44 | 16 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 9.1% | 15.9% | 3.4% | 4.22 | 4.41 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | OAK | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.7% | 8.5% | 17.1% | 3.1% | 3.94 | 4.08 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 25.0% | 9.1% | 15.9% | 3.4% | 4.22 | 4.41 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 203 | 0 | 208 | 889 | 225 | 70 | 27 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.3% | 7.8% | 17.4% | 3.0% | 4.91 | 3.62 | +4.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 196 | 0 | 200 | 857 | 217 | 67 | 26 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.3% | 7.8% | 17.4% | 3.0% | 4.91 | 3.62 | +4.2 | ||
| Career | — | 560 | 6 | 663 | 2831 | 599 | 241 | 62 | 1% | 1.2 | 21.2% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 2.2% | 3.83 | 3.60 | +14.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 169 | 2 | 200 | 854 | 181 | 73 | 19 | 1% | 1.2 | 21.2% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 2.2% | 3.83 | 3.60 | +4.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Wander Suero (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.77 | 26.3% | 8.0% | 2.7% | — | 4.24 | 25.3% | 16.5% | 89 | +0.47 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Bard R 2027 · 2.70 FIP | 35 | SU | 2.70 | 25.5% | 7.5% | 1.5% | .290 | 3.50 | 25.3% | 12.0% | 175 | +0.80 | 2.48 | 200 | 80 |
| Will Harris R 2026 · 2.94 FIP | 34 | SU | 2.94 | 27.1% | 6.1% | 2.5% | .245 | 4.31 | 25.0% | 14.3% | 18 | +1.37 | 2.12 | 315 | 76 |
| Jay Jackson R 2026 · 3.01 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.01 | 27.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | .327 | 4.99 | 26.4% | 20.2% | 85 | +1.98 | 2.41 | 261 | 75 |
| David Robertson R 2025 · 2.77 FIP | 33 | SU | 2.77 | 32.2% | 8.8% | 2.3% | .244 | 3.73 | 32.0% | 24.0% | 12 | +0.96 | 1.99 | 494 | 72 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 70 |
| Bud Norris R 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.52 | 27.3% | 7.3% | 3.3% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 316 | 69 |
| Tommy Hunter R 2026 · 2.82 FIP | 34 | SU | 2.82 | 24.5% | 5.9% | 1.9% | .290 | 4.46 | 20.8% | 16.3% | 60 | +1.64 | 2.82 | 316 | 68 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.89 | 23.8% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .309 | 4.58 | 16.8% | 9.0% | 63 | +0.69 | 2.51 | 251 | 68 |
| Brad Peacock R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.03 | 23.9% | 10.6% | 2.9% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 533 | 67 |
| Zack Segovia R 2025 · 3.41 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.41 | 20.2% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.36 | 17.6% | 4.0% | 57 | +0.95 | 3.41 | 144 | 67 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.77 | 26.8% | 8.6% | 3.4% | .380 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 268 | 66 |
| Matt Albers R 2026 · 3.15 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.15 | 27.0% | 7.3% | 2.6% | .197 | 4.85 | 21.5% | 12.7% | 94 | +1.70 | 3.15 | 244 | 65 |
| Ryan Madson R 2026 · 2.97 FIP | 34 | SU | 2.97 | 23.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% | .244 | 2.98 | 23.9% | 18.7% | 176 | +0.01 | 1.42 | 240 | 64 |
| Jason Motte R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.37 | 22.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .306 | 5.16 | 16.3% | 4.9% | 41 | +0.79 | 3.11 | 113 | 64 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.83 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .230 | 4.59 | 19.4% | 12.7% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.83 | 208 | 64 |
| Adam Ottavino R 2026 · 3.16 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.16 | 29.4% | 10.6% | 2.2% | .367 | 3.23 | 26.8% | 17.7% | 189 | +0.07 | 1.99 | 488 | 63 |
| Tyler Clippard R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.48 | 26.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | .195 | 2.92 | 25.0% | 16.3% | 92 | -0.56 | 2.49 | 417 | 63 |
| Joe Smith R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.80 | 25.6% | 6.7% | 3.7% | .235 | 3.30 | 20.9% | 16.8% | 65 | -0.50 | 1.86 | 309 | 63 |
| Ian Kennedy R 2026 · 2.87 FIP | 34 | SU | 2.87 | 27.4% | 6.0% | 2.4% | .339 | 5.06 | 23.1% | 16.2% | 121 | +2.19 | 2.87 | 864 | 63 |
| Josh Lueke R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 63 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 47 | 25.7% | 8.5% | 1.18 | 3.94 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Colin Poche ('24) | 4 | 52 | 27.0% | 9.2% | 1.34 | 3.63 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Blake Parker ('21) | 4 | 60 | 26.6% | 7.3% | 1.40 | 3.36 |