Wander Suero
P
Las Vegas Aviators
+0.0
WAR
Age 34
RHP
6'4" / 216 lbs
AAA
ERA4.00
FIP4.00
xFIP5.98
SIERA4.73
K%24.7%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%15.5%
IP41
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF6565
CTRL6060
CMD7070
K†3030
Whiff%
p5125.5%
K%
p5523.2%
xwOBA vs
p150.353
CU (1%)
CT-1.3 (76%)
CH-2.9 (23%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 33 | 5 | 90 | 388 | 68 | 31 | 5 | 13.8% | 9.0% | 1.6% | 3.90 | 3.96 | +1.3 |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 39 | 0 | 55 | 236 | 48 | 19 | 3 | 16.5% | 8.9% | 1.1% | 2.44 | 3.45 | +0.9 |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA | Syracuse Chiefs | 54 | 0 | 65 | 267 | 65 | 17 | 3 | 20.8% | 6.8% | 1.3% | 1.79 | 2.94 | +1.5 |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 54 | 0 | 65 | 271 | 63 | 16 | 5 | 22.5% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 3.62 | 2.97 | +1.5 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 78 | 0 | 71 | 296 | 81 | 23 | 5 | 27.4% | 7.8% | 1.5% | 4.54 | 2.58 | +2.0 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 22 | 0 | 24 | 102 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 27.5% | 7.8% | 1.0% | 3.80 | 2.35 | +0.7 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 57 | 1 | 55 | 242 | 60 | 16 | 11 | 24.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.34 | 4.58 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 20 | 0 | 24 | 112 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 11.8% | 8.4% | 2.0% | 6.08 | 4.27 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 52 | 0 | 58 | 240 | 62 | 27 | 8 | 22.8% | 11.3% | 3.2% | 3.90 | 4.37 | +0.4 |
| 2024 | 32 | MLB | Houston Astros | 68 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 71 | 32 | 8 | 21.8% | 11.7% | 3.5% | 2.66 | 4.64 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 33 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 50 | 0 | 55 | 229 | 71 | 17 | 5 | 28.6% | 6.9% | 1.0% | 2.45 | 2.10 | +1.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 6 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 34 | MLB | OAK | 41 | — | 41 | 173 | 17 | 14 | 5 | 10.0% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 3.88 | 5.16 | -0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 34 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 47 | 197 | 23 | 17 | 5 | 11.8% | 8.7% | 2.4% | 3.41 | 4.53 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | OAK | 39 | — | 39 | 163 | 16 | 14 | 5 | 10.0% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 4.70 | 5.25 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | OAK | 36 | — | 36 | 152 | 15 | 13 | 5 | 10.0% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 5.09 | 5.35 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 533 | 6 | 635 | 2694 | 578 | 226 | 57 | 21.5% | 8.4% | 2.1% | 3.60 | 3.51 | +12.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 168 | 2 | 200 | 848 | 182 | 71 | 18 | 21.5% | 8.4% | 2.1% | 3.60 | 3.51 | +4.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Wander Suero (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.16 | 10.0% | 8.1% | 2.7% | — | 5.30 | 10.0% | 1.5% | 75 | +0.14 | — | — | — |
| J.D. Martin R 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.85 | 9.4% | 11.0% | 2.1% | .302 | 5.41 | 12.2% | -0.2% | 249 | +0.56 | 4.85 | 289 | 71 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.50 | 13.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .347 | 3.82 | 14.0% | 6.5% | 79 | -0.68 | 3.32 | 119 | 70 |
| Alfredo Aceves R 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.04 | 8.9% | 8.9% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.78 | 160 | 69 |
| Fernando Villalobos R 2024 · 4.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.70 | 10.6% | 8.0% | 2.7% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.03 | 152 | 68 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.09 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 2.6% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 132 | 68 |
| Tom Wilhelmsen R 2025 · 5.39 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.39 | 14.3% | 10.4% | 4.0% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 148 | 68 |
| Juan Omar Espinoza R 2024 · 4.86 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.86 | 8.4% | 9.2% | 2.4% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.80 | 104 | 68 |
| Raul Barron R 2025 · 5.95 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.95 | 11.4% | 8.9% | 4.9% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 201 | 67 |
| Luis Angel Daniel R 2024 · 4.13 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.13 | 9.8% | 9.5% | 1.2% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 156 | 66 |
| Marco Antonio Duarte R 2024 · 4.96 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.96 | 12.2% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .420 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 203 | 66 |
| Sergio Mitre R 2028 · 4.85 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.85 | 9.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | .282 | 4.54 | 11.8% | 5.3% | 103 | -0.31 | 4.54 | 156 | 66 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.01 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.7% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 153 | 65 |
| Ivan Maldonado R 2027 · 4.63 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.63 | 12.8% | 8.7% | 2.8% | .269 | 5.47 | 6.4% | -3.3% | 104 | +0.84 | 4.63 | 172 | 65 |
| Juan Delgadillo R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.46 | 10.9% | 6.2% | 2.7% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 143 | 64 |
| Hector Navarro R 2027 · 4.37 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.37 | 15.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | .281 | 2.96 | 15.2% | 9.0% | 81 | -1.41 | 2.30 | 126 | 64 |
| Felipe Paulino R 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.86 | 15.0% | 10.2% | 3.1% | .302 | 5.83 | 19.2% | 9.8% | 21 | +0.97 | 4.52 | 150 | 63 |
| George Kontos R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.02 | 15.4% | 9.0% | 3.8% | .356 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 290 | 63 |
| Cesar Carrillo R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.96 | 12.0% | 11.9% | 2.5% | .320 | 6.34 | 11.0% | 1.8% | 66 | +1.38 | 4.16 | 325 | 63 |
| Rolando Valdez R 2025 · 5.36 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.36 | 11.7% | 7.6% | 4.2% | .360 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.02 | 258 | 62 |
| Brian Schlitter R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.33 | 14.8% | 6.3% | 3.1% | .331 | 4.71 | 14.9% | 5.8% | 48 | +0.38 | 3.31 | 244 | 62 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.