Yasmani Grandal

C Worcester Red Sox
Age 38 S/R 6'2" / 225 lbs AAA HR -5%K -4% Svc 15.000 · Ctrl thru 2027
Overview
AAAExt / FA-dealFA 2028
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202334MLBCWS405.234/.310/.33980841.1
202435AAAPIT38.257/.316/.4001045—.194/.237/.306
202435MLBPIT243.228/.305/.40091991.8
202536AAABOS94.256/.376/.3972066—.193/.280/.277
202637No MLB games played
2027PROJ30% MLB38MLBBOS30.251/.329/.431101090.2
2028PROJ39MLBBOS80.238/.315/.4022098-0.6
Last 3 seasons WAR 2.9  ·  Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2027Service15.000First FA2028
2027Ext / FA-deal$3M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2022-2024
Avg EV54
Bat Spd41
xwOBA38
Barrel%33
Speed10
CompsGregg Zaun (age 37) · Jason Varitek (age 37) · Greg Norton (age 36)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 109109vR 109
AVG/OBP/SLG.251 / .329 / .431
PA30
HR1
K%20
BB%10
BABIP287
ISO185
MLB%30%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +1.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+1BATRUN: -0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +2.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.50+0.5WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.5-0.62728
Tools · Splits · Contract
ToolsStatcast %ile · 2022-2024
CONTACT
xAVG
150.222
POWER
Barrel%
335.9
Avg EV
5489.4
Bat Spd
4170.3
SPEED
Sprint
1023.2
Platoon Splits2024 · 243 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
60
183
—
wRC+
64
108
▶▶R
wOBA
262
328
▶▶R
ISO
054
212
▶▶R
BABIP
317
225
◀◀L
K%
23.3%
17.5%
▶▶R
BB%
6.7%
10.9%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2012
Service   15.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Ext / FA-deal$3M+0.2$0.6M-$2M
Totals $3M $0.6M -$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201021 ROKAZL Reds — 3328 8100 441 01 286394321715 36333 1212 338 51 — — — — — —
201122 AAALouisville Bats — 1812 6200 511 00 5006676671.333 167545 628 578 236 — — — — — —
201122 AACarolina Mudcats — 172156 471504 13392 01 301363474837 173377 238 369 97 — — — — — —
201122 A+Bakersfield Blaze — 251206 6114010 41571 00 296415510925 214359 2316 405 100 — — — — — —
201223 MLBSan Diego Padres — 226192 57718 31391 00 297397469866 172333 1714 384 145 +12 +0 +18 +8 +5 4.4
201223 AAATucson Padres — 235194 651806 37352 00 335446521967 186381 1516 425 126 — — — — — —
201324 MLBSan Diego Padres — 10888 19801 18181 00 216355341696 125257 1717 321 99 -0 +0 +8 +3 +2 1.3
201324 AAATucson Padres — 3836 11300 280 00 306342389731 83393 215 329 60 — — — — — —
201425 MLBSan Diego Padres — 443377 8519115 581152 30 225332401732 175277 2613 326 108 +4 +1 +10 +9 +10 3.4
201425 INTLToros del Este — 8161 20702 18150 20 3284815411.022 213391 1922 440 184 — — — — — —
201526 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers — 426355 8312016 65922 01 234355403758 169268 2215 341 119 +10 -0 +33 +8 +9 6.0
201526 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers — 1510 3100 530 00 300533400933 100429 2033 439 118 — — — — — —
201627 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers — 457390 8914127 641162 13 228340477817 249250 2514 360 131 +17 -1 +37 +8 +10 7.2
201728 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers — 482438 10827022 401300 01 247310459769 212298 278 336 116 +9 -0 +27 +9 +10 5.5
201829 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers — 518440 10623224 721243 21 241351466817 225278 2414 360 133 +20 +0 +23 +9 +11 6.5
201930 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 632513 12626228 1091395 51 246383468851 222279 2217 377 139 +30 +1 +25 +11 +14 8.1
202031 MLBChicago White Sox — 194161 37708 30581 00 230354422777 193299 3015 346 119 +4 +0 +7 +3 +4 2.0
202132 MLBChicago White Sox — 375279 679023 87823 00 240425520945 280246 2223 411 162 +28 +0 +2 +7 +8 4.6
202132 AAACharlotte Knights — 2522 6101 281 00 273360455815 182385 328 365 59 — — — — — —
202233 MLBChicago White Sox — 376327 66705 45792 10 202302269571 67249 2112 269 66 -15 +0 +4 +7 +8 0.4
202233 AAACharlotte Knights — 3829 11102 920 00 3795266211.147 241360 524 499 132 — — — — — —
202334 MLBChicago White Sox — 405363 851408 36864 00 234310339649 105284 219 296 84 -8 +0 +2 +7 +9 1.1
202435 MLBPittsburgh Pirates — 243215 491009 24460 10 228305400705 172248 1910 311 99 -0 +0 +7 +5 +5 1.8
202435 AAAIndianapolis Indians — 3835 9201 380 00 257316400716 143308 218 320 45 — — — — — —
202536 AAAWorcester Red Sox — 9478 20502 13152 00 256376397774 141290 1614 350 66 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 48854138 9771837194 679112426 137 236347424772 188274 2314 344 119 +109 -0 +202 +96 +106 52.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201021 ROK MLEAZL Reds — 3330 7100 261 01 233303267570 33262 186 243 51 — — — — — —
201122 AAA MLELouisville Bats — 1814 6200 311 00 4295565711.127 143507 617 517 236 — — — — — —
201122 AA MLECarolina Mudcats — 172160 411303 9492 01 256304394698 138352 285 311 97 — — — — — —
201122 A+ MLEBakersfield Blaze — 251218 511108 29771 00 234327394721 161310 3112 316 100 — — — — — —
201223 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 226193 57718 30391 00 295393466859 171333 1713 383 145 +12 +0 +18 +8 +5 4.4
201223 AAA MLETucson Padres — 235208 591505 23462 00 284361428788 144342 2010 355 126 — — — — — —
201324 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 10890 20901 16181 00 222346356701 133257 1715 315 99 -0 +0 +8 +3 +2 1.3
201324 AAA MLETucson Padres — 3837 9200 1110 00 243263297560 54353 293 257 60 — — — — — —
201425 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 443378 8620115 571152 30 228332405737 177277 2613 327 108 +4 +1 +10 +9 +10 3.4
201526 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 426356 8413015 64922 01 236355399754 163268 2215 344 119 +10 -0 +33 +8 +9 6.0
201526 AAA MLEOklahoma City Dodgers — 1512 3100 340 00 250400333733 83371 2720 343 118 — — — — — —
201627 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 457391 8915126 631162 13 228338471808 243250 2514 361 131 +17 -1 +37 +8 +10 7.2
201728 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 482438 11029021 401300 01 251314461775 210298 278 339 116 +9 -0 +27 +9 +10 5.5
201829 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 518441 10724223 711243 21 243351463814 220278 2414 365 133 +20 +0 +23 +9 +11 6.5
201930 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 632515 12728227 1071395 51 247381466847 219279 2217 374 139 +30 +1 +25 +11 +14 8.1
202031 MLB MLEChicago White Sox — 194161 37708 30581 00 230354422777 193299 3015 345 119 +4 +0 +7 +3 +4 2.0
202132 MLB MLEChicago White Sox — 375279 679023 87823 00 240425520945 280246 2223 408 162 +28 +0 +2 +7 +8 4.6
202132 AAA MLECharlotte Knights — 2523 5101 1101 00 217280391671 174316 404 255 59 — — — — — —
202233 MLB MLEChicago White Sox — 376328 66705 44792 10 201299268568 67249 2112 266 66 -15 +0 +4 +7 +8 0.4
202233 AAA MLECharlotte Knights — 3832 10101 620 00 312421438859 125297 516 363 132 — — — — — —
202334 MLB MLEChicago White Sox — 405364 851408 35864 00 234308338646 104284 219 293 84 -8 +0 +2 +7 +9 1.1
202435 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 243215 5010010 24460 10 233310419728 186248 1910 315 99 -0 +0 +7 +5 +5 1.8
202435 AAA MLEIndianapolis Indians — 3836 7101 2100 00 194237306542 111254 265 235 45 — — — — — —
202536 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox — 9483 16401 8182 00 193280277557 84234 199 266 66 — — — — — —
201021 ROK MLEAZL Reds — 3330 7100 261 01 233303267570 33292 186 243 51 — — — — — —
201021 ROK RAWAZL Reds — 3328 8100 441 01 286394321715 36333 1212 338 51 — — — — — —
201122 A+ MLE3 teams — 441392 9926011 411274 01 253330403733 151341 299 322 104 — — — — — —
201122 A+ RAW3 teams — 441374 11431014 59974 01 305405500905 195375 2213 398 104 — — — — — —
201223 AAA MLE2 teams — 461401 11823113 53853 00 294381454835 160342 1811 369 136 — — — — — —
201223 AAA RAW2 teams — 461386 12225114 68743 00 316422495917 179358 1615 405 136 — — — — — —
201324 MLB MLE2 teams — 146127 291101 17291 00 228324339663 110286 2012 300 89 -2 +0 +8 +3 +3 1.2
201324 MLB RAW2 teams — 146124 301101 20261 00 242352355707 113296 1814 323 89 -2 +0 +8 +3 +3 1.2
201425 MLB MLE2 teams — 524447 10224117 671362 50 228331400732 172281 2613 327 108 +5 +1 +10 +9 +11 3.7
201425 MLB RAW2 teams — 524438 10526117 761302 50 240355420775 180294 2515 344 108 +5 +1 +10 +9 +11 3.7
201526 MLB MLE2 teams — 441368 8714015 67962 01 236357397754 160277 2215 344 119 +10 -0 +33 +8 +10 6.1
201526 MLB RAW2 teams — 441365 8613016 70952 01 236362403764 167272 2216 344 119 +10 -0 +33 +8 +10 6.1
201627 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 457391 8915126 631162 13 228338471808 243252 2514 361 131 +17 -1 +37 +8 +10 7.2
201627 MLB RAWLos Angeles Dodgers — 457390 8914127 641162 13 228340477817 249250 2514 360 131 +17 -1 +37 +8 +10 7.2
201728 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 482438 11029021 401300 01 251314461775 210307 278 339 116 +9 -0 +27 +9 +10 5.5
201728 MLB RAWLos Angeles Dodgers — 482438 10827022 401300 01 247310459769 212298 278 336 116 +9 -0 +27 +9 +10 5.5
201829 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 518441 10724223 711243 21 243351463814 220283 2414 365 133 +20 +0 +23 +9 +11 6.5
201829 MLB RAWLos Angeles Dodgers — 518440 10623224 721243 21 241351466817 225278 2414 360 133 +20 +0 +23 +9 +11 6.5
201930 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 632515 12728227 1071395 51 247381466847 219282 2217 374 139 +30 +1 +25 +11 +14 8.1
201930 MLB RAWMilwaukee Brewers — 632513 12626228 1091395 51 246383468851 222279 2217 377 139 +30 +1 +25 +11 +14 8.1
202031 MLB MLEChicago White Sox — 194161 37708 30581 00 230354422777 193299 3015 345 119 +4 +0 +7 +3 +4 2.0
202031 MLB RAWChicago White Sox — 194161 37708 30581 00 230354422777 193299 3015 346 119 +4 +0 +7 +3 +4 2.0
202132 MLB MLE2 teams — 400302 7110023 88924 00 235414497910 262250 2322 399 156 +27 +0 +2 +7 +9 4.5
202132 MLB RAW2 teams — 400301 7310024 89904 00 243421515936 272255 2222 408 156 +27 +0 +2 +7 +9 4.5
202233 MLB MLE2 teams — 414360 76806 50812 10 211311283594 72255 2012 275 72 -14 +0 +4 +7 +9 0.7
202233 MLB RAW2 teams — 414356 77807 54812 10 216323298621 81259 2013 290 72 -14 +0 +4 +7 +9 0.7
202334 MLB MLEChicago White Sox — 405364 851408 35864 00 234308338646 104283 219 293 84 -8 +0 +2 +7 +9 1.1
202334 MLB RAWChicago White Sox — 405363 851408 36864 00 234310339649 105284 219 296 84 -8 +0 +2 +7 +9 1.1
202435 MLB MLE2 teams — 281251 5611010 26560 10 223296386682 163247 209 304 92 -3 +0 +7 +5 +6 1.6
202435 MLB RAW2 teams — 281250 5812010 27540 10 232307400707 168257 1910 312 92 -3 +0 +7 +5 +6 1.6
202536 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox — 9483 16401 8182 00 193280277557 84231 199 266 66 — — — — — —
202536 AAA RAWWorcester Red Sox — 9478 20502 13152 00 256376397774 141290 1614 350 66 — — — — — —
201021 ROK MLEAZL Reds — 3330 7100 261 01 233303267570 33262 186 243 51 — — — — — —
201122 A+ MLE3 teams — 441393 9926011 411274 01 252330402732 150334 299 322 104 — — — — — —
201223 AAA MLE2 teams — 461402 11823113 53853 00 294381453833 159338 1811 369 136 — — — — — —
201324 MLB MLE2 teams — 146127 291101 17291 00 228324339663 110282 2012 300 89 — — — — — —
201425 MLB MLE2 teams — 524450 10224117 671362 50 227331398729 171277 2613 327 108 — — — — — —
201526 MLB MLE2 teams — 441369 8714015 67962 01 236357396753 160272 2215 344 119 — — — — — —
201627 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 457389 8915126 631162 13 229338473811 244250 2514 361 131 — — — — — —
201728 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 482439 11029021 401300 01 251314460774 210298 278 339 116 — — — — — —
201829 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 518439 10724223 711243 21 244351465816 221278 2414 365 133 — — — — — —
201930 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 632515 12728227 1071395 51 247381466847 219279 2217 374 139 — — — — — —
202031 MLB MLEChicago White Sox — 194161 37708 30581 00 230354422777 193299 3015 345 119 — — — — — —
202132 MLB MLE2 teams — 400305 7110023 88924 00 233414492906 259250 2322 399 156 — — — — — —
202233 MLB MLE2 teams — 414359 76806 50812 10 212311284595 72253 2012 275 72 — — — — — —
202334 MLB MLEChicago White Sox — 405363 851408 35864 00 234308339647 105284 219 293 84 — — — — — —
202435 MLB MLE2 teams — 281253 5611010 26560 10 221296383679 162249 209 304 92 — — — — — —
202536 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox — 9484 16401 8182 00 190280274553 83234 199 266 66 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202435 MLB MLE2 teams — 281253 5611010 26560 10 221296383679 162249 209 304 92 — — — — — —
202536 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox — 9484 16401 8182 00 190280274553 83234 199 266 66 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202738 MLB MLEBOS 30% 159142 34715 15321 21 243322421744 178276 209 329 109 +2 +0 +0 +3 +3 0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202738 MLB CTXBOS 30% 3027 7201 360 00 251329431760 181287 2010 336 109 +0 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202839 MLB MLEBOS 100% 8072 15302 7171 00 231309392701 161265 219 312 98 -0 +0 -8 +1 +2 -0.6
202839 MLB CTXBOS 100% 8072 16402 7171 00 238315402717 163275 219 319 98 -0 +0 -8 +1 +2 -0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 49654210 9931877196 686114127 137 236347423770 187274 2314 343 115 +109 -0 +194 +97 +108 51.8
/ 162G— A+C — 650551 13024126 901494 21 236348425773 189273 2314 343 115 +14 -0 +25 +13 +14 6.8
Career— MLE — 61025232 12522577215 781141638 169 239342414757 175284 2313 339 115 +110 +0 +194 +99 +110 52.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650557 13327123 831514 21 239342415756 176284 2313 339 115 +14 +0 +25 +13 +14 6.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AAAWorcester Red Sox · 94 PAwOBA .345 → .266 (−79)K% 16.0% → 18.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.96%÷1.013×1.200——18.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.83%÷1.042×0.690—×0.9408.61%
HBP% /PA2.13%—×0.940—×0.9401.88%
Singles /BIP20.63%÷1.060×0.930×0.999×0.94017.00%
Doubles /BIP7.94%÷0.991×0.830×0.999×0.9406.25%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970×0.999×0.9400.00%
Home runs /BIP3.17%÷0.984×0.700—×0.9402.12%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 112, 2B 98, 3B 100, K 103, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .345 → .266; ISO .141 → .107; BABIP .290 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 38 PAwOBA .312 → .235 (−77)K% 21.1% → 26.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.05%÷0.948×1.200——26.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.89%÷0.977×0.690—×0.9405.24%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×0.9400.00%
Singles /BIP22.22%÷1.009×0.930—×0.94019.26%
Doubles /BIP7.41%÷1.050×0.830—×0.9405.50%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.970—×0.9400.00%
Home runs /BIP3.70%÷0.909×0.700—×0.9402.68%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 102, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 90, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .312 → .235; ISO .143 → .100; BABIP .308 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAACharlotte Knights · 38 PAwOBA .487 → .363 (−124)K% 5.3% → 6.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA5.26%÷0.975×1.200——6.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA23.68%÷1.028×0.690—×0.94014.94%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×0.9400.00%
Singles /BIP29.63%÷1.003×0.930—×0.94025.83%
Doubles /BIP3.70%÷1.028×0.830—×0.9402.81%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.970—×0.9400.00%
Home runs /BIP7.41%÷1.421×0.700—×0.9403.43%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 184, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 95, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .487 → .363; ISO .241 → .135; BABIP .360 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAACharlotte Knights · 25 PAwOBA .355 → .255 (−100)K% 32.0% → 38.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.00%÷1.011×1.200——37.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.00%÷1.053×0.690—×0.9424.94%
HBP% /PA4.00%—×0.940—×0.9423.54%
Singles /BIP28.57%÷0.986×0.930—×0.94225.38%
Doubles /BIP7.14%÷1.128×0.830—×0.9424.95%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.020×0.920—×0.9420.00%
Home runs /BIP7.14%÷1.190×0.700—×0.9423.96%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 97, 2B 126, 3B 104, K 102, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .355 → .255; ISO .182 → .102; BABIP .385 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 15 PAwOBA .430 → .343 (−88)K% 20.0% → 26.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.00%÷0.984×1.290——26.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA33.33%÷1.095×0.710—×1.00321.68%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.980—×1.0030.00%
Singles /BIP28.57%÷1.028×0.900—×1.00325.09%
Doubles /BIP14.29%÷0.965×0.810—×1.00312.03%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.941×0.810—×1.0030.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.866×0.780—×1.0030.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 106, 2B 93, 3B 88, K 97, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .430 → .343; ISO .100 → .094; BABIP .429 → .371. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAATucson Padres · 38 PAwOBA .320 → .257 (−63)K% 21.1% → 29.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.05%÷0.933×1.290——29.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.26%÷1.045×0.710—×1.0333.69%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.980—×1.0330.00%
Singles /BIP28.57%÷1.023×0.900—×1.03325.95%
Doubles /BIP10.71%÷0.963×0.810—×1.0339.31%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.810—×1.0330.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.901×0.780—×1.0330.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 105, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 87, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .320 → .257; ISO .083 → .066; BABIP .393 → .353. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAATucson Padres · 235 PAwOBA .414 → .355 (−59)K% 14.9% → 19.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.89%÷0.979×1.290——19.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.04%÷1.052×0.710—×1.0489.93%
HBP% /PA0.85%—×0.980—×1.0480.87%
Singles /BIP25.79%÷1.007×0.900×0.999×1.04824.12%
Doubles /BIP11.32%÷1.013×0.810×0.999×1.0489.48%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.810×0.999×1.0480.00%
Home runs /BIP3.77%÷1.050×0.780—×1.0482.94%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 101, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .414 → .355; ISO .186 → .154; BABIP .381 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 A+Bakersfield Blaze · 251 PAwOBA .399 → .316 (−83)K% 22.7% → 30.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.71%÷0.993×1.340——30.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.33%÷1.003×0.710—×0.99811.54%
HBP% /PA0.40%—×0.790—×0.9980.31%
Singles /BIP24.83%÷0.981×0.910×0.977×0.99822.46%
Doubles /BIP9.40%÷1.009×0.820×0.977×0.9987.45%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.760×0.977×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP6.71%÷1.122×0.920—×0.9985.49%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 96, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.

Result: wOBA .399 → .316; ISO .214 → .168; BABIP .359 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .