Player 843979 — OGILVIE

Player 8439791B DSL Astros Blue

Age — —/— ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 71 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .290 / .265

PA71

HR0

K%27

BB%9

ISO57

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	56	43	7	0	0	0	11	8	1	0	0	163	345	163	508		194	14	20	263	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	56	46	5	0	0	0	8	10	1	0	0	109	255	109	363		132	18	14	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	56	46	5	0	0	0	8	10	1	0	0	109	255	109	363		135	18	14	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	56	43	7	0	0	0	11	8	1	0	0	163	345	163	508		194	14	20	263	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	56	47	5	0	0	0	8	10	1	0	0	106	255	106	361		132	18	14	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	56	47	5	0	0	0	8	10	1	0	0	106	255	106	361		132	18	14	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	200	177	37	4	1	1	19	53	2	2	1	210	293	268	560	57	290	26	10	261	63	-9	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	122	109	24	3	1	1	11	32	1	1	0	212	294	276	570	64	290	26	9	264	65	-5	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.4
2028	25	MLB CTX	HOU	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	214	296	279	575	65	293	—	—	267	65	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	249	218	42	5	1	1	26	61	3	2	0	193	287	239	526	46	259	24	10	246	53	-8	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	110	13	3	3	68	159	8	5	0	193	288	243	531	49	260	24	10	246	53	-28	+1	+0	-12	+14	-2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 843979 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	208/290/265	57	290	0	1	27%	9%	63	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→32	37→45	48→50	42	194/258/268	74	273	4	7	29%	6%	51	-2.3	203/269/323	120	290	13	15	33%	8%	68	-1.0	184/253/304	120	257	14	15	33%	8%	56	-1.0
✕Logan Wyatt 2023 · A	25	43→38	35→45	42→40	52	198/285/257	58	273	3	4	26%	10%	59	-1.7	206/274/326	120	277	14	4	29%	8%	70	-0.8	201/275/332	131	257	17	1	28%	9%	70	-0.7
✕Brian Ward 2011 · A	25	40	36→40	43→45	47	191/268/254	63	265	4	6	28%	8%	52	-2.2	215/279/298	83	267	6	8	20%	7%	65	-1.2	220/283/302	82	265	6	8	18%	7%	65	-0.5
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→45	48→30	43	189/253/279	90	264	9	6	31%	7%	51	-2.2	212/279/326	114	294	12	3	30%	8%	72	-0.7	205/275/317	113	280	13	1	30%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Chase Pinder 2021 · AA	25	40	39→45	40→45	44	193/270/272	79	283	7	5	32%	8%	57	-1.8	215/305/341	126	282	13	8	26%	10%	86	+0.3	219/322/357	138	284	14	11	26%	12%	93	+0.4
✕Brendt Citta 2021 · A	25	44	39→45	45→30	44	210/282/299	89	286	6	6	27%	7%	67	-1.1	218/272/315	97	311	7	3	31%	6%	66	-1.1	210/268/310	100	303	8	1	32%	6%	61	-0.7
✕John Ziznewski 2015 · A	24	42	35→40	48→50	43	197/257/253	56	293	2	7	32%	7%	46	-2.6	216/278/294	78	339	4	10	34%	7%	63	-1.3	223/290/307	84	357	4	13	36%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Cam Balego 2019 · A	24	43→40	37→45	42→30	41	206/261/282	76	275	3	5	25%	5%	55	-2.0	210/287/319	109	274	11	4	26%	7%	74	-0.6	201/287/314	113	257	14	1	26%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Robbie Shields 2013 · A	25	43→38	39→40	47→45	45	207/262/298	91	262	6	8	23%	6%	58	-1.7	196/248/273	77	272	4	7	28%	6%	47	-2.5	176/222/238	61	248	2	5	28%	5%	26	-2.5
✕Duke Sardinha 2006 · A	25	42→33	40→50	46→45	45	206/264/301	94	266	8	8	25%	7%	60	-1.6	199/246/325	126	276	14	6	32%	5%	59	-1.6	191/239/324	133	257	16	5	32%	5%	54	-1.1
✕Stephen McGee 2015 · A	24	41	36→40	44→30	48	193/277/258	65	267	4	4	27%	9%	56	-1.9	201/280/286	85	286	7	4	29%	9%	63	-1.3	194/281/287	93	275	8	1	30%	10%	62	-0.5
✕Jorge Saez 2016 · A	25	38	39→45	46→30	45	183/253/268	85	261	6	3	31%	8%	49	-2.4	205/267/329	124	289	15	4	32%	7%	68	-1.0	206/268/336	130	281	18	3	33%	7%	68	-0.3
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A	25	39	41→40	44→45	42	195/257/291	96	267	8	6	29%	7%	55	-1.9	193/247/290	97	279	9	6	32%	6%	51	-2.2	149/199/236	88	209	10	0	34%	5%	17	-1.5
✕Huascar Fuentes 2017 · A	25	39	39→45	49→45	40	188/257/278	90	253	6	7	27%	5%	53	-2.1	195/250/270	75	280	3	6	30%	5%	48	-2.5	165/211/221	56	238	0	2	29%	3%	19	-1.1
✕Cody Roberts 2021 · A	25	44	37→45	49→40	42	208/265/277	69	296	4	6	30%	7%	55	-2.0	211/274/316	105	315	10	4	34%	7%	68	-1.0	208/265/306	98	299	9	3	32%	6%	59	-0.6
✕Ryan McCarthy 2008 · A	25	43	39→45	48→45	43	204/266/287	83	283	6	6	29%	7%	57	-1.8	217/271/324	107	287	10	7	26%	6%	68	-1.0	207/256/325	118	260	11	4	25%	5%	58	-0.6
✕Joel Weeks 2010 · A	25	40	36→40	47→45	43	192/249/254	62	262	3	8	27%	7%	43	-2.8	215/263/292	77	277	6	5	23%	6%	57	-1.8	215/263/282	66	275	5	2	23%	6%	54	-0.7
✕Donny Sands 2021 · A	25	41	38→45	45→40	40	197/249/279	82	279	5	5	30%	6%	49	-2.4	230/288/350	120	280	13	4	22%	7%	80	-0.1	226/288/339	113	276	12	2	22%	8%	76	-0.2
✕Austin Deming 2024 · A	24	40→36	37→50	44→50	38	182/249/252	71	316	4	7	41%	8%	44	-2.8	194/255/322	128	298	15	11	38%	6%	62	-1.4	178/239/314	136	264	18	12	38%	6%	52	-1.1
✕Camden Duzenack 2019 · A	24	39→36	39→50	46→50	41	191/253/277	87	252	5	11	26%	5%	51	-2.3	186/241/309	123	254	15	9	32%	5%	54	-2.0	211/258/338	126	272	14	10	27%	5%	64	-0.6