Grayson Fitzwater

Grayson Fitzwater1B Kannapolis Cannon Ballers

Age 23 L/L A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 123 proj PA

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .268 / .325

PA123

HR3

K%33

BB%8

ISO124

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	126	107	29	7	2	4	16	39	1	0	0	271	371	486	857	215	379	31	13	372	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	126	112	23	5	2	3	11	53	1	0	0	205	282	366	648	161	317	42	9	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	126	112	23	5	2	3	11	53	1	0	0	205	282	366	648	161	345	42	9	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	126	107	29	7	2	4	16	39	1	0	0	271	371	486	857	215	379	31	13	372	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	126	113	23	5	2	3	11	53	1	0	0	204	282	363	645	159	317	42	9	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	126	113	23	5	2	3	11	53	1	0	0	204	282	363	645	159	317	42	9	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CWS	0%	236	214	44	8	2	5	18	78	2	3	1	203	270	328	598	124	291	33	8	269	68	-9	+0	+0	-4	+5	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CWS	30%	201	182	38	7	2	4	15	65	2	2	1	207	274	335	609	128	292	32	7	273	71	-7	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.6
2028	24	MLB CTX	CWS	30%	60	55	11	2	1	1	5	19	0	1	0	207	275	337	612	130	292	32	8	275	71	-2	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	60	55	11	2	1	1	5	19	0	1	0	200	267	327	594	127	286	32	8	275	70	-2	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	120	22	11	11	54	206	0	11	0	201	268	331	598	129	288	32	8	275	70	-22	+2	+0	-12	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	450	406	84	16	5	10	35	159	4	3	1	207	276	345	621	138	307	35	8	271	70	-12	+0	+0	-6	+7	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	121	23	7	14	51	230	6	4	1	206	277	341	618	135	307	35	8	271	70	-23	+0	+0	-12	+14	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Grayson Fitzwater (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	202/268/325	123	291	3	1	33%	8%	68	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Trae Santos 2016 · A	23	41→38	46→50	46→40	43	204/272/336	132	275	12	4	30%	7%	72	-0.7	187/251/309	122	277	11	4	35%	6%	58	-1.7	146/214/264	118	221	11	0	38%	6%	31	-2.6
✕David Washington 2014 · A	23	44→38	44→55	50→45	42	209/276/328	118	316	10	7	35%	8%	71	-0.8	198/260/350	152	320	18	4	41%	7%	70	-0.8	198/259/360	162	317	21	5	42%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Vince Fernandez 2018 · A	23	42→39	45→55	46→45	37	205/259/327	122	315	12	9	37%	6%	64	-1.3	189/256/330	141	325	15	7	43%	7%	65	-1.2	185/258/357	172	283	20	4	40%	6%	70	-0.4
✕Dillon Paulson 2021 · A	24	40→36	47→50	48→30	48	201/284/341	140	287	14	4	33%	10%	78	-0.3	221/287/339	118	294	12	5	27%	8%	78	-0.3	211/273/307	96	276	7	0	25%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Lance Ray 2013 · A	23	38→37	45	45	45	196/264/320	124	261	13	6	29%	8%	65	-1.2	201/265/317	116	278	10	6	30%	7%	65	-1.2	151/221/203	52	215	4	5	30%	8%	20	-1.0
✕Peyton Williams 2024 · A	23	43	45→50	45→30	42	213/283/332	118	297	13	5	32%	7%	75	-0.5	217/276/343	126	311	14	3	33%	7%	75	-0.5	212/272/343	131	299	14	0	33%	7%	71	-0.5
✕Kevin Rivers 2012 · A	23	40→43	46→50	48→45	40	204/263/326	122	290	14	8	34%	7%	65	-1.2	207/272/334	127	292	12	6	31%	8%	72	-0.7	201/268/329	128	278	11	4	30%	8%	67	-0.8
✕Rixon Wingrove 2022 · A	22	35→34	44→50	47→40	37	182/244/298	117	281	13	4	38%	6%	53	-2.1	191/255/335	144	295	18	4	40%	6%	65	-1.2	182/250/335	153	264	21	3	38%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Nick Yarnall 2018 · A	23	41	44→50	46→45	43	201/269/316	115	296	12	5	34%	8%	66	-1.1	195/264/331	136	302	16	6	38%	8%	68	-1.0	169/244/314	145	253	19	5	39%	9%	54	-0.8
✕Chris Epps 2013 · A	24	41→36	48→50	48→45	42	208/271/349	142	295	16	9	34%	8%	74	-0.5	198/271/337	139	291	14	9	35%	9%	72	-0.7	187/267/334	148	273	15	7	35%	9%	69	-0.7
✕Brian Pointer 2015 · A	23	41	44→45	49→50	41	198/276/315	117	302	11	13	36%	8%	69	-0.9	220/292/351	131	322	13	11	33%	8%	82	+0.0	222/297/367	145	315	15	10	32%	9%	84	+0.1
✕Jonny Butler 2022 · A	23	43→33	40→50	51→55	43	207/268/296	89	302	7	9	32%	8%	61	-1.5	199/264/310	111	281	9	16	31%	7%	62	-1.4	179/252/293	114	245	10	19	30%	8%	52	-1.2
✕Seamus Curran 2021 · A	23	36→30	47→50	45→30	38	192/246/321	128	277	17	3	36%	6%	59	-1.7	202/277/316	114	331	11	7	39%	9%	69	-0.9	144/252/241	98	259	9	3	43%	12%	41	-0.7
✕Leandro Emiliani 2023 · A	23	35	45	48→30	38	182/244/301	119	271	13	3	36%	7%	53	-2.1	192/252/293	101	301	9	4	37%	7%	54	-2.0	162/224/237	75	264	6	0	38%	7%	32	-1.6
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A	23	39→34	43→45	50	47	194/280/301	107	268	12	10	30%	9%	68	-1.0	192/268/302	110	281	9	13	32%	9%	63	-1.4	180/256/297	117	269	7	16	33%	9%	55	-1.0
✕Alex Glenn 2014 · A	23	41→42	48→55	55→50	42	209/275/352	143	286	15	11	31%	7%	76	-0.4	216/263/365	149	280	15	11	28%	5%	74	-0.5	214/256/366	152	271	15	10	27%	5%	69	-0.6
✕Agustin Ruiz 2023 · AA	23	37	48→50	46→40	41	194/265/333	138	266	17	5	33%	7%	69	-0.9	185/257/315	130	260	15	4	34%	7%	61	-1.5	162/236/289	126	226	15	1	35%	6%	48	-1.5
✕Francisco Del Valle 2022 · A	23	35→29	44→45	44→40	43	181/258/300	119	262	12	5	34%	8%	59	-1.7	201/257/304	103	282	10	7	31%	6%	58	-1.7	171/193/224	53	226	6	4	27%	3%	11	-0.9
✕Tristan Gray 2019 · A	23	39→36	47→50	42→40	39	199/250/342	143	275	14	6	33%	6%	65	-1.2	205/271/347	142	266	15	4	28%	7%	74	-0.6	197/252/324	127	261	14	3	29%	6%	61	-1.0
✕Saxon Butler 2013 · A	23	43	44→45	49→30	40	216/270/332	115	286	12	6	28%	5%	70	-0.9	219/280/331	112	296	9	5	28%	6%	74	-0.6	214/279/325	111	288	8	1	27%	6%	69	-0.5