Paul Schoenfeld — OGILVIE

Paul SchoenfeldOF Visalia Rawhide

Age 24 L/L A HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 92 proj PA

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .278 / .348

PA92

HR2

K%27

BB%6

ISO128

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	23	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	71	64	19	5	1	2	5	11	2	6	0	297	366	500	866	203	333	15	7	382	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	23	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	71	66	17	4	1	2	3	15	2	6	0	258	310	439	749	182	294	21	4	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	71	66	17	4	1	2	3	15	2	6	0	258	310	439	749	182	306	21	4	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	—	71	64	19	5	1	2	5	11	2	6	0	297	366	500	866	203	333	15	7	382	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	71	66	17	4	1	2	3	15	2	6	0	258	310	439	749	182	294	21	4	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	23	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	71	66	17	4	1	2	3	15	2	6	0	258	310	439	749	182	294	21	4	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	200	183	41	8	2	4	12	54	3	5	1	223	281	351	631	128	290	27	6	282	77	-5	+1	+0	-1	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	ARI	30%	158	145	31	6	1	3	10	42	2	4	1	224	283	355	638	131	291	27	6	285	79	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	ARI	44%	255	234	51	10	2	5	16	68	3	7	1	225	285	358	643	133	290	27	6	287	80	-6	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	ARI	49%	312	285	65	13	3	7	20	82	4	8	1	225	286	358	643	133	290	26	6	287	80	-7	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	ARI	51%	349	319	71	14	3	7	23	92	4	8	1	224	285	356	641	131	289	26	7	286	80	-8	+1	-1	-2	+8	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	ARI	30%	48	44	11	2	1	1	3	13	1	1	0	231	290	369	659	137	302	27	6	293	79	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	ARI	44%	113	104	23	5	1	2	7	30	1	3	0	232	292	372	663	139	302	27	6	295	80	-3	+1	+0	-1	+2	-0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	ARI	49%	153	140	33	7	2	3	10	40	2	4	1	232	292	371	663	139	302	26	7	295	80	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	ARI	51%	180	164	38	8	2	4	12	48	2	4	1	231	292	369	661	137	300	27	7	294	80	-4	+0	-0	-1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	494	452	105	22	6	10	32	131	6	12	2	232	292	374	666	142	303	27	6	295	80	-12	+2	-0	-3	+11	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	138	29	8	13	42	172	8	16	3	232	291	373	665	141	302	26	6	295	80	-15	+2	-0	-4	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	1237	1134	254	51	11	26	78	324	16	35	4	224	283	357	641	133	289	26	6	287	80	-28	+4	-1	-7	+25	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	134	27	6	14	41	170	8	18	2	225	284	361	644	136	289	26	6	287	80	-16	+2	-0	-4	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	0.9	584	12	14	225	282	357	-4	+0	0.1	0.1
/162	664	14	16	-4.0	+0.0	0.1	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Paul Schoenfeld (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	221/278/348	127	290	2	2	27%	6%	77	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Trey Amburgey 2018 · A	23	40→45	42→50	51→50	37	200/246/305	105	276	10	12	31%	4%	54	-2.0	220/261/355	135	283	15	9	27%	4%	72	-0.7	224/264/367	142	289	15	7	28%	4%	73	-0.5
✕Connor Scott 2024 · AA	24	41→46	41→45	50	41	202/248/309	107	269	7	13	28%	6%	55	-1.9	195/241/298	103	272	8	9	30%	5%	51	-2.3	177/220/285	107	251	11	7	33%	5%	37	-1.6
✕Steele Walker 2019 · A	23	38→47	43→45	49→50	38	193/243/298	105	256	12	10	29%	5%	52	-2.2	217/270/334	117	270	11	10	23%	6%	70	-0.8	217/271/337	120	262	12	10	21%	6%	68	-0.7
✕J.P. Martínez 2021 · A	25	41→48	44→50	52→65	34	193/248/306	113	326	11	20	42%	6%	55	-1.9	213/289/340	127	328	11	30	35%	9%	79	-0.2	214/299/354	140	315	13	38	33%	9%	82	+0.0
✕Brandon Bayardi 2015 · A	24	43	44→50	51→45	39	216/265/330	115	275	12	10	26%	4%	68	-1.0	222/279/353	131	300	14	6	30%	6%	78	-0.3	218/282/373	155	293	18	3	31%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Chris Grayson 2014 · A	24	37	41→45	52→50	45	184/249/283	99	240	8	18	26%	7%	51	-2.3	207/271/303	96	292	7	14	29%	7%	63	-1.3	213/280/307	94	315	6	13	32%	7%	66	-0.7
✕Je'Von Ward 2024 · A	24	40→37	42→45	47→50	35	193/242/296	103	316	10	11	40%	6%	51	-2.3	204/283/324	120	311	13	9	35%	10%	73	-0.6	195/284/320	125	290	14	8	35%	11%	73	-0.3
✕Rafael Valenzuela 2012 · A	24	44	42→45	50	41	216/259/330	114	275	8	7	24%	5%	64	-1.3	220/267/326	106	278	9	10	23%	5%	66	-1.1	230/275/337	107	282	10	14	22%	5%	68	-0.5
✕Joe Mahoney 2010 · A	23	44→54	41→50	56→50	36	214/250/317	103	299	8	13	31%	4%	58	-1.7	246/284/379	133	320	13	10	26%	4%	85	+0.2	255/293/393	138	321	13	8	24%	4%	91	+0.5
✕Jerad Head 2007 · A	24	37→42	47→55	51→50	39	193/235/326	133	228	14	7	23%	4%	55	-1.9	208/269/331	123	263	11	10	25%	5%	70	-0.9	223/274/383	160	269	20	7	25%	4%	81	-0.0
✕Anthony Seratelli 2009 · A	26	39→47	43→45	54→55	41	196/252/312	116	274	11	17	32%	7%	59	-1.7	208/268/290	82	292	6	19	29%	7%	59	-1.7	224/295/340	116	289	12	20	25%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Chad Christensen 2015 · A	24	43→44	40	55	38	206/256/300	94	290	7	15	30%	5%	57	-1.8	202/252/278	76	310	5	16	34%	6%	50	-2.3	189/240/246	57	297	3	19	35%	6%	36	-1.6
✕Zander Wiel 2017 · A	24	39→49	45→50	52→45	41	197/253/322	125	269	12	5	31%	7%	61	-1.5	211/265/350	139	284	14	6	30%	6%	72	-0.7	211/265/364	153	282	16	5	30%	6%	74	-0.5
✕John Norwood 2016 · A	23	38→48	42→45	50	39	194/246/296	102	269	10	19	32%	6%	52	-2.2	220/277/328	108	315	10	11	31%	7%	71	-0.8	223/281/330	107	319	10	9	31%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Peter Lavin 2012 · A	24	44→51	39→45	53→50	40	212/246/305	93	265	6	11	22%	4%	53	-2.1	219/262/308	89	275	5	11	21%	5%	60	-1.6	217/263/326	109	262	7	8	19%	5%	62	-1.0
✕Hunter Morris 2011 · A	22	40→47	47→55	51→40	39	205/244/342	137	257	14	8	26%	4%	62	-1.4	226/261/388	162	278	17	5	25%	4%	79	-0.2	222/260/391	169	273	19	3	26%	4%	77	-0.3
●Matt Mervis 2022 · AAA	24	36→46	45→55	52→45	43	188/257/309	120	261	13	8	32%	8%	60	-1.6	227/295/407	180	284	22	4	27%	8%	97	+1.1	222/295/404	182	277	23	3	28%	8%	94	+0.8
✕Yusuf Carter 2009 · A	24	36→33	48→50	50	34	192/233/334	142	279	16	13	37%	5%	56	-1.9	219/259/358	139	309	17	9	33%	5%	72	-0.7	229/269/371	142	313	18	5	32%	5%	76	-0.3
✕Drew Vettleson 2016 · AA	25	42→51	41→45	49→50	38	205/247/308	103	290	9	10	32%	5%	55	-2.0	189/226/296	107	300	12	12	39%	4%	45	-2.7	161/191/264	103	259	13	11	42%	3%	23	-1.5
✕Louie Lechich 2016 · A	24	43→45	39→40	52→50	37	211/245/295	83	282	7	10	27%	4%	51	-2.3	198/236/275	77	298	6	8	34%	5%	42	-2.9	120/146/150	30	217	0	0	44%	3%	-23	-1.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps