Player 837844 — OGILVIE

Player 837844— DSL CLE Mendoza

Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION126 act + 190 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .303 / .371

PA190

HR3

SB9

K%23

BB%8

BABIP288

ISO141

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	PIT	—	126	111	25	4	4	2	12	22	1	12	5	225	306	387	694	162	264	17	10	301	89	-2	+0	+0	-2	+4	0.0
YTD	—	ROK	PIT	—	126	104	32	6	5	3	19	15	1	12	5	308	419	548	967	240	337	12	15	415	176	+11	+0	+0	-2	+4	1.3
ROS	—	ROK	PIT	0%	190	170	39	7	4	3	16	43	2	9	2	229	303	371	674	141	282	23	8	292	82	-4	+1	+0	-3	+5	-0.1
ROS	—	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		281	—	—	285	77	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	PIT	—	126	112	25	4	4	2	12	22	1	12	5	223	306	384	690	161	261	17	10	301	89	-2	+0	+0	-2	+4	0.0
TOT	—	ROK	PIT	—	316	281	64	11	8	5	28	65	3	21	7	228	304	377	682	149	278	21	9	296	85	-6	+1	+0	-6	+9	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	PIT	0%	319	286	65	11	6	5	27	71	3	12	3	227	301	360	661	133	282	22	8	296	85	-5	+1	+0	-6	+9	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	PIT	0%	411	370	85	15	7	8	35	92	3	15	3	230	301	373	674	143	283	22	9	299	87	-6	+2	+0	-7	+12	0.0
2029	25	MLB	PIT	0%	472	425	98	17	8	9	40	106	4	18	4	231	303	372	675	141	283	22	8	301	89	-6	+2	+0	-8	+13	0.1
2030	25	MLB	PIT	0%	514	461	106	19	8	10	44	115	4	19	4	230	303	371	673	141	283	22	9	303	90	-6	+2	+0	-9	+15	0.2
2031	25	MLB	PIT	0%	544	488	113	20	9	11	46	122	5	20	5	232	304	377	681	145	283	22	8	303	90	-6	+2	+0	-10	+15	0.2
2032	25	MLB	PIT	0%	565	507	118	21	9	12	48	127	5	21	5	233	305	381	686	148	283	22	8	304	91	-6	+2	+0	-10	+16	0.2
2033	25	MLB	PIT	0%	580	521	121	21	9	13	49	130	5	22	5	232	304	382	686	150	282	22	8	305	91	-6	+2	+0	-10	+16	0.3
2034	25	MLB	PIT	0%	592	531	123	22	9	13	51	133	5	22	5	232	305	380	685	149	282	22	9	305	92	-5	+2	+0	-11	+17	0.3
2027	25	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		281	—	—	290	80	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		281	—	—	292	82	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		282	—	—	294	83	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		282	—	—	295	84	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		282	—	—	296	85	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		281	—	—	297	85	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		281	—	—	297	86	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		281	—	—	298	86	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4187	3759	868	153	69	84	356	939	36	158	36	231	304	375	679	144	284	22	9	302	89	-50	+17	+0	-75	+119	1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	135	24	11	13	55	146	6	25	6	231	304	377	681	146	285	22	8	302	89	-8	+3	+0	-12	+18	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,313	86	159	232	300	375	-48	+0	4.2	4.1
	/162	664	13	25	232	300	375	-7.5	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837844 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	228/304/377	149	278	5	21	21%	9%	85	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Adalberto Santos 2012 · A	24	49→53	42→45	60→55	48	238/296/355	118	285	8	21	19%	7%	82	+0.5	249/310/347	98	316	7	20	22%	7%	85	+0.7	253/316/343	90	328	6	21	23%	8%	84	+0.3
✕Dylan Moore 2017 · A	24	44→47	43→50	55→65	47	214/294/334	120	273	10	23	24%	8%	77	+0.1	206/272/327	121	267	11	18	26%	7%	66	-0.6	210/332/386	176	289	16	41	30%	12%	104	+1.0
✕Anthony Norman 2010 · A	25	45→42	47→50	60→55	50	223/302/368	145	266	13	19	22%	8%	89	+0.9	213/282/332	119	290	10	11	28%	7%	71	-0.3	210/282/335	125	290	10	9	29%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Justin Dean 2021 · A	24	47→49	43→45	58→65	44	222/293/335	113	314	10	23	31%	8%	76	+0.1	203/280/315	112	322	11	27	37%	8%	66	-0.6	232/303/321	89	344	6	48	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Jonathan Davis 2017 · A	25	40→50	46→45	54→55	44	199/284/331	132	279	13	21	32%	8%	72	-0.2	219/298/335	116	289	10	19	26%	8%	79	+0.3	221/302/335	114	287	10	20	25%	8%	78	+0.2
✕Taylor Motter 2014 · A	24	48→50	41→55	53→55	50	230/297/334	104	287	7	24	22%	8%	77	+0.1	233/281/356	123	273	13	18	19%	6%	76	+0.1	214/291/395	181	261	23	5	27%	9%	90	+0.6
✕Mario Lisson 2008 · A	24	47→49	42→55	52→55	43	226/287/335	108	297	9	19	26%	6%	73	-0.1	206/252/321	115	268	12	17	27%	5%	55	-1.4	231/301/377	146	300	19	8	28%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Shawn Payne 2014 · A	25	48→58	41→45	57→55	49	227/299/329	102	287	7	24	22%	8%	77	+0.1	216/285/323	107	294	8	16	27%	8%	69	-0.4	207/282/317	110	287	8	17	28%	8%	64	-0.5
✕Vince Faison 2006 · A	25	51→43	43→55	57→50	44	246/294/375	129	317	8	16	24%	6%	86	+0.8	217/267/357	140	281	12	8	26%	6%	70	-0.3	207/256/352	145	265	12	6	26%	6%	62	-0.7
✕Allen Córdoba 2021 · A	25	48→53	41→45	53→55	40	231/281/330	100	302	7	20	26%	5%	69	-0.4	233/301/351	118	292	10	16	23%	6%	84	+0.6	231/305/357	125	285	11	18	22%	6%	86	+0.3
✕José Caballero 2021 · A	24	45	43→45	52→70	46	221/293/334	113	279	10	25	24%	7%	76	+0.1	224/326/350	126	288	13	35	25%	11%	95	+1.4	225/318/339	114	299	10	63	26%	9%	86	+0.5
✕Jared Oliva 2019 · A	23	46→45	42→50	56→65	43	219/288/328	109	304	8	24	29%	7%	72	-0.2	218/277/322	104	307	8	25	30%	6%	66	-0.6	227/296/370	142	284	15	55	24%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Nate Eaton 2022 · A	25	40→49	40→50	55→60	44	195/262/286	91	267	7	19	29%	7%	50	-1.7	218/272/351	133	286	15	28	28%	6%	72	-0.2	219/272/357	138	284	14	27	27%	5%	70	-0.2
●Daniel Carbonell 2015 · A	24	51→54	46→55	56→55	42	250/295/384	134	308	13	18	23%	5%	89	+1.0	212/250/308	96	284	9	15	28%	4%	50	-1.7	247/291/402	155	310	17	21	25%	5%	90	+0.6
✕Phillip Ervin 2017 · AA	25	42→50	46→50	55	48	211/289/341	130	257	13	25	23%	8%	77	+0.1	227/293/361	134	285	14	22	24%	7%	83	+0.6	232/296/372	140	294	14	21	25%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Nate Tenbrink 2012 · AA	25	46→51	46→50	57→50	45	225/291/359	134	291	12	17	26%	8%	82	+0.5	227/296/377	150	329	16	13	33%	8%	89	+0.9	226/297/380	155	340	17	11	36%	8%	87	+0.4
✕Aaron Mathews 2006 · A	24	48→52	43→45	55→45	44	232/282/350	118	296	9	13	24%	6%	75	-0.0	247/285/361	114	296	9	7	19%	5%	79	+0.3	254/290/367	113	301	9	5	18%	4%	79	+0.2
●Archie Gilbert 2008 · A	25	51→57	43→50	57→55	48	246/303/360	114	276	9	26	15%	6%	87	+0.8	243/306/350	107	278	9	24	15%	7%	85	+0.7	257/320/385	128	286	14	28	15%	7%	96	+1.2
✕Chase d'Arnaud 2011 · AA	24	47→50	42→45	57→60	47	228/297/347	118	282	8	22	21%	7%	81	+0.4	219/270/323	104	279	7	30	23%	6%	63	-0.9	234/297/356	122	296	11	26	24%	7%	80	+0.2
●Alonzo Harris 2013 · A	24	47→52	40→55	55→60	42	226/270/318	92	286	7	21	23%	5%	61	-1.0	214/263/302	88	286	6	22	26%	6%	54	-1.4	241/297/431	190	279	25	36	24%	7%	101	+1.4