Player 837763 — OGILVIE

Player 837763— DSL Red Sox Blue

Age — —/— ROK H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION72 act + 86 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†41

AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .244 / .203

PA86

HR0

K%29

BB%7

BABIP259

ISO25

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	BOS	—	72	65	9	1	0	0	6	19	1	5	3	138	222	154	376	15	196	26	8	191	4	-8	-0	+0	-1	+2	-0.7
YTD	—	ROK	BOS	—	72	61	12	2	0	0	10	13	1	5	3	197	319	230	549	33	250	18	14	268	64	-3	-0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
ROS	—	ROK	BOS	0%	86	79	14	2	0	0	6	25	1	2	1	177	244	203	447	25	275	29	7	239	41	-6	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.5
ROS	—	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		281	—	—	235	38	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	BOS	—	72	66	9	1	0	0	6	19	1	5	3	136	222	152	374	15	191	26	8	191	4	-8	-0	+0	-1	+2	-0.7
TOT	—	ROK	BOS	—	158	144	23	3	0	0	12	44	2	7	4	160	234	181	415	21	230	28	8	217	24	-14	-0	+0	-3	+4	-1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	BOS	0%	160	145	29	5	1	1	12	46	2	3	1	200	270	269	539	69	279	29	8	249	49	-9	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.7
2027	25	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		285	—	—	246	46	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	246	224	43	7	1	1	18	71	3	5	2	192	261	246	507	54	275	29	7	246	46	-15	+0	+0	-4	+7	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	114	18	3	3	48	188	8	13	5	193	263	248	511	56	275	29	7	246	46	-40	+1	+0	-12	+18	-3.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	318	2	7	203	267	272	-5	+0	-1.2	-0.6
	/162	664	5	14	203	267	272	-9.5	+0.0	-2.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837763 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	160/234/181	21	230	0	7	28%	8%	24	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/255/258	80	271	7	11	34%	9%	40	-2.4	199/285/312	113	313	12	8	37%	9%	68	-0.5	163/272/277	114	257	15	5	39%	11%	52	-0.5
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→30	37→45	48→50	42	195/261/270	74	275	4	7	29%	7%	46	-2.0	201/266/321	120	293	13	15	34%	7%	62	-0.9	177/245/298	121	254	15	15	35%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	35	36→40	52→50	40	172/231/233	61	252	4	15	32%	6%	24	-3.6	212/280/299	87	278	9	14	25%	8%	62	-0.9	207/281/290	83	267	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Robbie Shields 2013 · A	25	42→36	39→40	47→45	44	205/260/294	89	264	6	8	24%	6%	51	-1.7	196/249/271	75	276	4	7	28%	6%	40	-2.4	175/225/238	62	250	2	5	29%	6%	17	-2.4
✕Travis Becktel 2008 · A	25	43→37	41→45	49→50	42	208/269/307	99	296	7	15	31%	7%	59	-1.1	207/260/315	108	303	8	15	32%	6%	56	-1.3	194/236/310	116	288	7	19	34%	4%	40	-0.9
✕Matt Whatley 2021 · A	25	39→36	37→40	52→50	47	185/262/257	71	256	5	15	28%	8%	43	-2.2	191/254/274	83	276	8	10	32%	7%	44	-2.1	167/230/254	87	226	12	8	31%	6%	27	-1.2
✕Chris Roller 2022 · AA	25	38	39→50	53→55	39	187/246/274	87	273	6	16	32%	6%	40	-2.4	190/267/311	121	291	12	16	36%	8%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Matt Pita 2021 · A	24	38	37→50	49→55	35	182/233/261	78	267	3	10	32%	4%	31	-3.0	201/260/342	141	280	15	16	33%	5%	65	-0.7	186/247/334	148	262	15	27	34%	4%	54	-0.5
✕George Soto 2011 · A	25	34	36→40	44→45	40	169/238/230	61	247	5	8	32%	6%	27	-3.3	190/261/281	91	262	7	8	28%	8%	49	-1.8	163/239/259	97	213	9	7	27%	8%	37	-1.0
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2023 · A	25	41→43	39→45	47→50	45	200/275/283	83	276	7	13	29%	8%	56	-1.3	207/278/312	105	288	10	11	30%	8%	64	-0.8	165/242/293	128	222	16	8	33%	8%	42	-0.6
✕Ashford Fulmer 2017 · A	24	39	36→40	51→50	37	180/249/244	64	296	3	13	37%	6%	34	-2.8	203/266/281	78	292	4	12	30%	7%	50	-1.7	197/262/269	71	278	3	15	28%	6%	42	-1.1
✕Michael Suiter 2016 · A	24	40→38	38→40	49→50	37	196/245/270	75	262	6	12	27%	4%	39	-2.5	211/265/302	91	297	8	10	30%	5%	56	-1.3	210/270/301	91	300	10	8	32%	6%	55	-0.5
✕Chad Christensen 2016 · A	25	43	37→40	53→55	37	203/252/279	76	304	4	16	33%	5%	43	-2.2	204/257/290	86	316	7	15	35%	6%	49	-1.8	160/213/232	72	250	9	18	38%	5%	12	-0.9
✕Casio Grider 2013 · A	25	41→40	38→40	56→55	37	195/251/284	89	291	4	18	33%	5%	45	-2.1	201/258/286	85	307	6	23	34%	6%	49	-1.8	192/251/270	78	296	5	30	35%	5%	38	-1.3
✕Justin Twine 2021 · AA	25	45→31	39→45	48→50	36	217/258/304	87	302	6	10	29%	4%	52	-1.6	212/254/327	115	367	11	17	43%	4%	57	-1.2	196/228/315	119	371	12	25	49%	2%	41	-1.0
✕Max George 2021 · A	25	39→36	40→45	54→55	41	187/268/274	87	283	7	20	34%	7%	51	-1.7	193/279/325	132	326	15	15	42%	8%	69	-0.4	148/255/300	152	246	20	20	45%	10%	51	-0.7
✕Tyler Stubblefield 2013 · A	25	42	38→45	51→50	47	200/279/278	78	260	5	12	24%	8%	56	-1.3	214/270/318	104	261	9	9	21%	6%	62	-0.9	211/252/327	117	243	9	5	17%	5%	52	-0.7
✕Chris Paul 2017 · A	24	41→38	38→40	52→40	36	196/245/277	80	288	5	5	32%	5%	40	-2.4	216/257/313	97	299	8	4	29%	4%	55	-1.4	221/257/325	104	297	9	2	28%	3%	55	-0.7
✕Logan Warmoth 2021 · AA	25	42→40	37→45	53→55	40	194/263/268	74	309	3	13	36%	7%	46	-2.0	197/275/304	107	312	10	20	37%	8%	61	-1.0	195/273/297	102	277	11	24	31%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	34	41→45	45	46	172/252/271	98	253	7	6	33%	9%	43	-2.2	186/255/287	101	275	10	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8