Player 837744 — OGILVIE

Player 837744— DSL Astros Orange

Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION85 act + 73 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+81

AVG/OBP/SLG.234 / .329 / .281

PA73

HR0

K%19

BB%11

BABIP300

ISO47

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	85	70	18	3	0	0	13	9	1	2	4	257	381	300	681	43	290	11	15	325	107	+1	-1	+0	-2	+2	0.0
YTD	—	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	85	62	20	4	0	0	21	6	1	2	4	323	500	387	887	65	351	7	25	412	173	+7	-1	+0	-2	+2	0.7
ROS	—	ROK	—	0%	73	64	15	3	0	0	8	14	1	1	1	234	329	281	610	47	291	19	11	291	81	-2	-0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
ROS	—	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		291	—	—	291	81	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	—	—	85	71	18	3	0	0	13	9	1	2	4	254	381	296	677	42	286	11	15	325	107	+1	-1	+0	-2	+2	0.0
TOT	—	ROK	—	—	158	134	33	6	0	0	21	23	2	3	5	246	357	291	648	45	295	15	13	309	95	-1	-1	+0	-3	+4	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	—	0%	160	141	33	6	1	1	17	32	1	1	1	234	321	312	633	78	292	20	11	296	85	-3	-0	+0	-3	+5	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	—	0%	306	267	63	11	1	3	33	61	3	2	1	236	327	318	645	82	292	20	11	299	87	-4	+0	+0	-5	+9	-0.1
2029	25	MLB	—	0%	404	354	85	15	2	5	43	81	4	3	2	240	329	336	665	96	292	20	11	301	89	-5	-0	+0	-7	+11	-0.1
2030	25	MLB	—	0%	469	412	97	17	2	6	50	95	4	3	2	235	324	330	654	95	292	20	11	303	90	-5	-0	+0	-8	+13	-0.1
2031	25	MLB	—	0%	514	449	107	19	2	7	55	104	5	4	2	238	328	336	664	98	292	20	11	304	90	-6	+0	+0	-9	+15	-0.0
2032	25	MLB	—	0%	545	477	114	20	2	8	58	110	5	4	2	239	328	340	667	101	292	20	11	304	91	-6	+0	+0	-10	+15	0.0
2027	25	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		292	—	—	296	85	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		292	—	—	299	87	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		292	—	—	301	89	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		292	—	—	303	90	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		292	—	—	304	90	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		292	—	—	304	91	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2471	2164	514	91	10	30	264	497	23	18	11	238	327	330	657	93	293	20	11	302	89	-30	-1	+0	-44	+70	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	136	24	3	8	69	131	6	5	3	239	327	334	661	95	296	20	11	302	89	-8	-0	+0	-12	+18	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	10	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
	/162	664	9	26	241	331	351	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Gabe Grosslast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA	7	1,682	40	22	239	330	385	-14	+11	5.1	5.1
#2Gabe Grosslast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA	/162	664	16	9	239	330	385	-5.7	+4.4	2.0	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Daric Bartonlast yr '14 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,085 PA	8	2,085	30	13	247	356	365	-37	-10	3.0	3.4
	/162	664	10	4	247	356	365	-11.9	-3.1	0.9	pk7: 4
#5Jose Offermanlast yr '05 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,767 PA	5	1,767	27	15	253	342	362	-14	-2	3.2	3.2
	/162	664	10	6	253	342	362	-5.4	-0.7	1.2	pk7: 3
#6Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	8	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
	/162	664	18	7	244	311	399	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,556	32	19	238	324	333	-29	+0	1.1	1.2
	/162	664	8	5	238	324	333	-7.4	+0.0	0.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837744 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	246/357/291	45	295	0	3	15%	13%	95	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕David MacKinnon 2021 · A	26	47→50	39→45	47→30	55	218/318/303	85	302	6	5	27%	12%	79	+0.3	233/307/368	135	300	12	4	25%	9%	91	+1.1	233/310/376	143	294	13	2	24%	9%	92	+0.8
✕Devlin Granberg 2021 · A	25	45→44	40→45	46→45	42	215/280/307	92	291	7	6	27%	6%	64	-0.8	239/298/388	149	291	16	8	23%	5%	92	+1.2	243/303/402	159	290	18	8	22%	5%	94	+0.8
✕Maxwell Costes 2023 · A	24	47	38→50	50→45	55	216/320/294	78	299	5	8	26%	12%	79	+0.3	206/285/319	113	263	12	7	25%	7%	70	-0.3	188/269/298	110	231	14	6	25%	7%	56	-0.5
✕Jake Smith 2008 · A	25	49	39→45	44→40	47	231/293/321	90	292	6	5	22%	7%	72	-0.2	232/287/336	104	288	8	6	21%	6%	74	-0.1	235/290/337	102	286	8	3	20%	5%	73	-0.1
✕P.J. Higgins 2018 · A	25	48→55	37→45	46→40	51	224/296/292	68	275	4	4	19%	8%	66	-0.6	222/281/311	89	281	7	5	22%	7%	65	-0.7	239/302/362	123	304	13	3	24%	8%	85	+0.5
✕Reid Fronk 2011 · A	25	45→48	40→45	47→50	48	211/299/306	95	287	6	9	26%	9%	72	-0.2	204/284/292	88	294	5	8	29%	9%	62	-0.9	178/264/262	84	264	5	4	31%	9%	44	-1.3
✕Sean Nicol 2012 · A	25	47	37→40	45	46	222/277/300	78	281	4	7	22%	7%	59	-1.1	228/278/310	82	294	5	8	23%	6%	63	-0.9	231/280/306	75	295	4	8	22%	6%	59	-0.5
●Jantzen Witte 2014 · A	24	44→54	37→50	51→45	43	208/269/288	80	296	4	7	29%	7%	53	-1.5	245/296/361	116	310	8	5	22%	6%	84	+0.6	253/305/370	117	314	7	4	21%	6%	89	+0.7
✕Justin Maffei 2017 · AA	25	49→50	37→40	49→50	45	229/291/304	75	300	4	11	24%	7%	66	-0.6	229/304/305	76	303	4	12	24%	8%	73	-0.1	241/341/273	32	318	0	16	21%	10%	79	+0.1
✕Austin Murr 2023 · A	24	46→42	37→50	49→50	52	214/286/294	80	264	4	9	20%	9%	63	-0.9	213/279/341	128	266	11	11	23%	7%	72	-0.2	223/289/397	174	280	18	15	26%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Brian Conley 2010 · A	24	41→50	39→45	47→50	51	200/277/288	88	254	7	7	23%	9%	58	-1.2	226/302/332	106	290	8	13	23%	9%	79	+0.3	237/315/350	113	297	9	15	22%	10%	86	+0.6
●David Hensley 2021 · A	25	42→52	40→45	44→55	39	202/251/290	88	295	7	8	33%	6%	46	-2.0	237/311/359	122	350	10	14	32%	10%	90	+1.0	233/319/359	126	346	10	15	32%	11%	90	+0.8
✕Daniel Pinero 2019 · A	25	46	40→45	48→40	47	220/285/315	95	278	7	5	23%	7%	68	-0.5	206/271/322	116	275	11	6	28%	7%	64	-0.8	183/250/306	123	241	14	5	29%	7%	48	-1.5
●Neil Sellers 2007 · A	25	49→57	38→50	45→40	46	229/284/318	88	275	3	8	17%	6%	67	-0.5	247/292/373	126	290	12	4	19%	5%	85	+0.7	259/304/402	142	297	16	2	18%	5%	96	+1.2
✕Adam Heether 2007 · AA	25	47→56	39→50	44→45	46	222/287/308	86	282	6	4	22%	7%	66	-0.6	233/302/353	120	299	10	6	24%	8%	85	+0.7	236/311/373	137	299	13	6	24%	8%	91	+0.9
✕Cameron Flynn 2015 · A	25	50	39→45	50	41	239/279/330	91	304	5	5	23%	5%	68	-0.5	200/244/266	66	269	5	10	26%	4%	37	-2.7	165/207/194	29	225	2	12	27%	3%	-1	-2.8
✕Damek Tomscha 2015 · A	23	41→51	39→45	48→40	46	197/280/288	91	251	5	5	22%	7%	59	-1.1	237/300/352	115	286	9	3	20%	6%	84	+0.6	251/312/369	118	297	10	3	18%	5%	90	+0.8
✕Paul Gran 2010 · A	24	47	38→45	49→50	44	221/281/299	78	289	5	8	24%	6%	61	-1.0	219/284/332	113	311	9	9	31%	6%	72	-0.2	212/283/331	120	309	10	9	32%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Eric Nielsen 2007 · A	25	51→60	39→40	43→40	48	242/312/328	86	302	7	4	21%	8%	82	+0.5	254/310/349	95	303	7	4	18%	6%	86	+0.8	264/316/362	98	308	7	3	16%	6%	89	+0.7
✕Brendt Citta 2021 · A	25	45	39→45	45→30	44	211/284/301	90	288	6	6	27%	7%	64	-0.8	213/267/315	102	311	8	3	32%	6%	59	-1.1	201/258/306	105	297	9	1	34%	5%	51	-0.8