Player 837687 — OGILVIE

Player 8376871B DSL Pirates Black

Age — —/— ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 75 proj PA

wRC+†41

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .246 / .249

PA75

HR0

K%33

BB%6

ISO58

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	72	65	10	1	0	0	5	20	1	1	0	154	225	169	395	15	222	28	7	190	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	72	66	7	1	0	0	4	24	1	1	0	106	169	121	290	15	152	33	6	124	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	72	66	7	1	0	0	4	24	1	1	0	106	169	121	290	15	167	33	6	124	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	—	72	65	10	1	0	0	5	20	1	1	0	154	225	169	395	15	222	28	7	190	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	72	67	7	1	0	0	4	24	1	1	0	104	169	119	288	15	152	33	6	124	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	72	67	7	1	0	0	4	24	1	1	0	104	169	119	288	15	152	33	6	124	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	200	184	35	5	1	1	12	66	2	2	1	193	248	251	499	58	289	33	6	229	41	-14	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	129	119	23	3	1	1	8	42	1	1	0	195	252	260	512	65	289	33	6	235	45	-8	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.8
2028	25	MLB CTX	PIT	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	195	252	259	511	64	289	—	—	234	45	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	276	255	43	6	1	1	16	91	3	3	0	169	226	212	438	43	256	33	6	204	24	-14	+0	+0	-4	+4	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	601	100	14	2	2	38	214	7	7	0	166	224	206	431	40	253	33	6	204	24	-44	+1	+0	-12	+14	-4.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.3	204	1	2	195	248	258	-3	+0	-1.0	-0.5
/162	664	4	7	-8.9	+0.0	-3.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837687 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	191/246/249	58	289	0	1	33%	6%	41	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Lucas Tancas 2019 · A	25	39→43	39→40	47→45	36	187/244/272	84	294	6	8	36%	5%	46	-2.6	199/254/295	96	355	8	6	43%	5%	55	-2.0	188/241/284	96	358	8	3	47%	5%	45	-1.9
✕Jordan Betts 2016 · A	24	35→28	38→45	48→40	33	170/217/244	75	286	6	6	41%	5%	29	-3.8	183/229/287	104	281	10	4	37%	5%	44	-2.8	179/225/289	110	263	12	2	36%	5%	41	-1.8
✕Ben Verlander 2017 · A	25	39→34	38→40	47→40	39	191/235/271	80	262	6	5	29%	5%	42	-2.9	205/256/286	81	285	5	6	28%	6%	53	-2.1	188/237/235	47	264	2	0	28%	6%	33	-1.1
✕Jake Oester 2011 · A	25	36	38→40	46→30	34	179/225/263	84	273	5	4	35%	4%	36	-3.3	191/245/265	74	301	4	4	35%	5%	45	-2.7	182/241/244	61	292	2	3	36%	6%	36	-1.7
✕Jackson Glenn 2023 · A	25	41	38→40	52→45	40	197/254/282	85	291	5	11	32%	6%	52	-2.2	203/250/304	101	279	10	8	30%	5%	55	-1.9	197/242/299	102	261	11	6	28%	5%	48	-1.3
✕Chris Paul 2017 · A	24	40→37	38→40	52→40	36	194/241/271	78	282	5	5	32%	4%	44	-2.8	218/260/314	96	295	7	4	27%	4%	61	-1.5	228/265/331	103	298	8	2	26%	3%	65	-0.7
✕Zach Cone 2015 · A	25	35→37	40→45	46→45	35	176/233/265	89	282	8	7	39%	6%	40	-3.0	196/240/323	127	291	15	7	37%	4%	57	-1.8	189/227/330	141	266	18	5	36%	4%	50	-1.1
✕Liam Spence 2023 · A	25	36	40	48→45	44	180/253/265	85	263	8	6	33%	8%	49	-2.4	198/272/287	89	298	7	8	33%	8%	60	-1.6	159/252/213	54	251	3	7	34%	10%	34	-0.6
✕Ashford Fulmer 2017 · A	24	38	36→40	51→50	37	179/247/242	63	296	3	13	38%	6%	41	-3.0	203/264/279	76	288	4	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	197/261/265	68	273	2	15	26%	6%	47	-1.2
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	43	187/248/261	74	257	6	6	29%	7%	45	-2.7	202/264/278	76	269	6	7	25%	7%	55	-1.9	194/260/252	58	250	4	5	23%	7%	45	-1.3
✕Wyatt Hendrie 2024 · A	25	38	40	51→50	39	184/253/275	91	288	8	9	37%	7%	51	-2.3	193/268/288	95	284	9	12	33%	8%	59	-1.6	167/254/245	78	237	10	16	32%	8%	44	-0.6
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→32	37→45	48→50	42	194/258/268	74	273	4	7	29%	6%	51	-2.3	203/269/323	120	290	13	15	33%	8%	68	-1.0	184/253/304	120	257	14	15	33%	8%	56	-1.0
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/254/257	79	269	6	11	34%	9%	47	-2.5	194/282/305	111	306	12	8	37%	10%	69	-0.9	148/263/256	108	232	14	5	39%	12%	50	-0.8
✕Chandler Seagle 2021 · A	25	41	38→40	49→45	37	191/248/274	83	307	5	6	37%	6%	48	-2.5	191/244/267	76	287	5	5	33%	5%	45	-2.7	169/217/235	66	268	5	4	37%	5%	24	-1.5
✕Huascar Fuentes 2017 · A	25	39	39→45	49→45	40	188/257/278	90	253	6	7	27%	5%	53	-2.1	195/250/270	75	280	3	6	30%	5%	48	-2.5	165/211/221	56	238	0	2	29%	3%	19	-1.1
✕Matt Pita 2021 · A	24	38	37→50	49→55	36	183/235/261	77	267	3	10	31%	4%	40	-3.1	200/260/334	134	278	14	16	32%	5%	68	-1.0	183/246/324	141	255	15	27	33%	5%	57	-0.6
✕Cristopher Navarro 2024 · AA	25	38	35→30	47→45	38	181/228/241	59	266	3	5	32%	6%	32	-3.6	208/268/297	89	286	7	8	28%	7%	61	-1.5	203/272/274	71	272	7	4	26%	7%	55	-0.4
✕Tra Holmes 2021 · A	25	39→36	37→30	49→50	36	186/249/254	69	291	4	13	36%	6%	45	-2.7	197/254/282	85	409	7	17	49%	6%	52	-2.2	126/185/161	34	415	3	38	66%	6%	-4	-1.1
✕Kevin Mager 2014 · A	25	40	38→40	46→30	42	194/253/272	78	271	5	5	29%	6%	49	-2.4	185/247/274	89	261	8	3	30%	7%	48	-2.5	153/219/234	81	210	8	0	30%	7%	26	-2.7
✕William Vazquez 2010 · A	25	39	38→40	47→40	37	186/242/270	83	280	4	5	33%	5%	45	-2.7	186/252/260	74	280	5	6	33%	6%	47	-2.6	157/234/186	29	234	2	2	31%	6%	22	-1.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps