Player 837625 — OGILVIE

Player 8376251B DSL Arizona Black

Age — —/— ROK HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 67 proj PA

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .310 / .275

PA67

HR0

K%28

BB%12

ISO73

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	43	26	3	1	0	0	13	7	1	1	2	115	425	154	579	38	143	16	30	300	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	43	30	3	1	0	0	9	9	1	1	2	100	325	133	458	33	95	21	21	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	43	30	3	1	0	0	9	9	1	1	2	100	325	133	458	33	130	21	21	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	—	43	26	3	1	0	0	13	7	1	1	2	115	425	154	579	38	143	16	30	300	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	43	33	3	1	0	0	9	9	1	1	2	91	325	121	446	30	95	21	21	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	43	33	3	1	0	0	9	9	1	1	2	91	325	121	446	30	95	21	21	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	200	171	35	7	1	1	25	55	2	2	1	204	312	278	590	73	290	28	12	277	73	-6	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	116	100	21	4	1	1	14	32	1	1	0	206	313	285	598	79	290	28	12	279	75	-3	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	ARI	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	213	319	299	618	86	301	—	—	287	75	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	226	188	35	7	1	1	31	59	3	3	2	186	311	250	561	64	260	26	14	268	68	-6	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	541	101	20	3	3	89	170	9	9	6	187	312	251	563	65	260	26	14	268	68	-20	+1	+0	-12	+14	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837625 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	202/310/275	73	290	0	1	28%	12%	73	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Maxwell Costes 2023 · A	24	46	38→50	50→45	55	213/319/291	78	295	5	8	26%	12%	80	-0.2	204/280/316	112	256	12	7	25%	7%	71	-0.8	185/261/293	108	223	14	6	24%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Devlin Granberg 2021 · A	25	45→44	40→45	46→45	42	216/281/312	96	287	7	6	26%	6%	69	-0.9	238/297/375	137	293	13	8	23%	5%	90	+0.6	243/303/387	143	295	14	8	22%	5%	91	+0.4
✕Will Piwnica-Worms 2014 · A	24	44	38→40	49→50	50	207/287/286	78	267	5	9	23%	9%	65	-1.2	209/275/301	92	287	8	8	28%	7%	65	-1.2	182/244/266	84	253	9	5	30%	6%	45	-1.0
✕Chris Rotondo 2024 · A	25	44→40	41→45	57→50	45	204/294/311	108	309	7	12	33%	9%	75	-0.5	207/276/301	94	329	8	13	37%	7%	65	-1.2	194/256/265	71	324	7	16	40%	6%	46	-1.6
✕Brendt Citta 2021 · A	25	44	39→45	45→30	44	210/282/299	89	286	6	6	27%	7%	67	-1.1	218/272/315	97	311	7	3	31%	6%	66	-1.1	210/268/310	100	303	8	1	32%	6%	61	-0.7
✕Jackson Brennan 2008 · A	25	43→41	42→40	47→50	47	208/298/311	103	280	9	10	27%	8%	77	-0.3	209/295/297	88	297	7	10	29%	9%	72	-0.7	165/280/182	17	263	0	6	32%	12%	40	-0.6
✕Cody Roberts 2021 · A	25	44	37→45	49→40	42	208/265/277	69	296	4	6	30%	7%	55	-2.0	211/274/316	105	315	10	4	34%	7%	68	-1.0	208/265/306	98	299	9	3	32%	6%	59	-0.6
✕Marty Gantt 2015 · A	25	46	40	51→50	43	219/283/319	100	307	7	11	29%	7%	72	-0.7	215/284/319	104	288	8	11	26%	8%	72	-0.7	197/272/296	98	255	8	12	24%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Justin Maffei 2017 · AA	25	49→50	37→40	48→50	46	227/291/302	75	299	4	11	24%	7%	70	-0.8	231/305/307	76	302	4	12	23%	8%	77	-0.3	249/347/279	29	324	0	16	20%	10%	84	+0.0
✕Matt Thayer 2007 · A	25	49→45	38→40	50	46	230/290/312	82	295	5	14	23%	7%	72	-0.7	226/293/298	72	303	4	12	25%	8%	70	-0.8	231/308/275	44	315	2	12	24%	8%	68	-0.5
✕Reid Fronk 2011 · A	25	44→47	40→45	47→50	48	210/298/310	100	284	6	9	26%	9%	76	-0.4	200/280/287	87	290	5	8	30%	9%	63	-1.3	169/254/245	76	255	4	4	32%	9%	43	-1.8
✕Logan Wyatt 2023 · A	25	43→38	35→45	42→40	52	198/285/257	58	273	3	4	26%	10%	59	-1.7	206/274/326	120	277	14	4	29%	8%	70	-0.8	201/275/332	131	257	17	1	28%	9%	70	-0.7
✕Anthony Prato 2022 · A	24	47→49	36→45	49→55	49	215/306/280	65	310	3	11	29%	10%	72	-0.7	219/310/330	111	306	8	15	28%	10%	85	+0.2	213/311/328	115	295	8	16	28%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Chris Emanuele 2009 · A	25	44	40→45	49→50	43	212/278/311	99	286	7	9	27%	7%	68	-1.0	213/273/316	103	296	9	13	30%	6%	67	-1.1	206/261/305	100	289	10	17	31%	5%	57	-1.3
✕Gordon Gronkowski 2007 · A	24	46	37→45	49→45	44	214/280/288	75	314	4	6	31%	8%	63	-1.4	210/262/307	97	318	8	4	34%	6%	61	-1.5	199/250/300	101	300	8	2	35%	6%	51	-0.9
✕D' Vontrey Richardson 2013 · A	25	47→39	39→40	44→50	39	223/271/316	93	319	5	10	30%	5%	65	-1.2	237/278/325	88	310	5	17	24%	5%	70	-0.8	243/281/327	84	312	5	21	23%	4%	68	-0.5
✕Sean Nicol 2012 · A	25	47	37→40	45	46	221/275/299	78	279	4	7	22%	7%	63	-1.4	228/276/306	78	292	5	8	22%	6%	65	-1.2	230/279/300	70	292	4	8	21%	6%	62	-0.6
✕Joseph Bonadonna 2011 · A	25	47	40	51→50	45	224/287/320	96	303	6	13	27%	7%	73	-0.6	200/259/285	85	283	6	15	30%	6%	55	-2.0	143/202/191	48	204	4	22	31%	5%	11	-1.6
✕Stephen Wickens 2014 · A	25	48→45	37→40	51→55	50	222/299/303	80	269	4	14	18%	8%	74	-0.5	219/280/293	74	275	4	16	20%	7%	64	-1.3	222/278/280	58	278	2	20	19%	6%	58	-0.8
✕Tim Smalling 2013 · A	25	47→43	39→40	51→45	45	223/277/312	88	292	5	8	24%	7%	67	-1.1	210/261/290	80	274	5	8	24%	6%	56	-1.9	203/253/276	73	260	5	8	23%	5%	47	-1.4