Player 836618 — OGILVIE

Player 8366181B DSL Arizona Black

Age — —/— ROK HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 145 proj PA

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .284 / .244

PA145

HR1

K%30

BB%11

ISO57

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 28

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT41

scouting grade only

POWER28

scouting grade only

EYE76

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	209	154	31	0	1	0	48	46	5	21	4	201	406	214	620	13	287	22	23	315	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	209	168	23	0	1	0	34	56	5	21	4	137	300	149	448	12	200	27	16	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	209	168	23	0	1	0	34	56	5	21	4	137	300	149	448	12	205	27	16	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	—	209	154	31	0	1	0	48	46	5	21	4	201	406	214	620	13	287	22	23	315	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	209	168	23	0	1	0	34	56	5	21	4	137	300	149	448	12	200	27	16	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	209	168	23	0	1	0	34	56	5	21	4	137	300	149	448	12	200	27	16	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	259	227	44	5	2	2	27	78	3	6	1	190	286	247	533	57	278	30	10	252	56	-13	+1	+0	-5	+6	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	202	177	34	4	1	2	21	60	2	5	1	193	288	258	546	65	279	30	10	256	60	-10	+1	+0	-4	+4	-0.8
2028	25	MLB CTX	ARI	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	198	292	268	560	70	287	—	—	262	60	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	556	472	81	7	3	3	70	160	9	30	6	172	290	218	509	47	251	29	13	243	50	-17	+1	+0	-6	+8	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	552	95	8	4	4	82	187	11	35	7	172	292	223	515	51	251	29	13	243	50	-32	+2	+0	-12	+14	-2.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#2Travis Jankowskilast yr '25 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,718 PA	2.6	1,718	11	100	238	321	309	-9	+11	2.1	2.5
/162	664	4	39	-3.6	+4.2	0.8	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.5	347	2	9	193	285	254	-5	+0	-1.1	-0.6
/162	664	5	16	-9.1	+0.0	-2.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 836618 (OGILVIE)	25	41	28	60	76	188/284/244	56	278	1	4	30%	11%	56	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rob Henry 2019 · A	24	42	37→40	54→55	49	196/289/273	77	284	4	18	30%	10%	64	-1.3	185/270/264	79	327	6	12	41%	8%	55	-1.9	149/243/213	64	290	6	12	46%	8%	31	-2.4
✕Mike Martin 2017 · A	24	44	36→30	51→55	44	209/274/269	60	285	4	14	27%	7%	57	-1.8	226/276/298	72	285	4	18	21%	5%	63	-1.3	236/281/294	58	290	2	27	18%	5%	61	-0.8
✕Tanner Kirwer 2021 · A	25	45	38→40	56→60	40	209/275/285	76	314	5	19	33%	7%	61	-1.5	207/286/305	98	294	11	33	31%	8%	70	-0.8	193/276/279	86	273	10	41	31%	8%	58	-0.9
✕Ian Parmley 2015 · A	25	45	35→30	55→50	52	212/281/272	60	260	3	18	19%	9%	59	-1.6	222/271/282	60	310	3	15	27%	6%	57	-1.8	244/278/304	60	346	2	17	29%	4%	61	-0.6
✕Grant Little 2021 · A	24	44	36→30	51→55	46	208/267/277	69	268	3	8	23%	7%	55	-1.9	216/296/292	76	302	5	18	28%	8%	71	-0.8	204/300/252	48	293	2	28	28%	9%	61	-0.6
✕J.T. Arruda 2023 · A	25	42	40	56→55	47	200/275/295	95	290	7	17	31%	9%	63	-1.4	204/275/290	86	289	6	20	29%	8%	62	-1.4	207/270/292	85	284	7	22	28%	7%	58	-1.0
✕Torii Hunter Jr. 2021 · A	26	45→47	36→40	56→55	42	205/274/273	68	315	3	17	34%	8%	57	-1.8	207/262/309	102	331	9	21	38%	6%	61	-1.5	200/253/304	104	321	10	26	38%	6%	53	-1.1
✕Nick Natoli 2013 · AA	25	42	37→30	52→50	51	197/281/273	76	266	4	10	26%	10%	61	-1.5	182/255/252	70	265	4	11	30%	8%	47	-2.6	145/223/193	48	218	1	11	31%	8%	19	-2.9
✕Angel Zarate 2024 · A	25	45	37→40	53→50	44	214/279/292	78	292	4	14	27%	7%	63	-1.3	207/276/289	82	269	6	14	23%	8%	62	-1.4	159/247/204	45	192	3	19	18%	9%	34	-0.8
✕Cobie Fletcher-Vance 2022 · A	24	45→46	37→40	53→45	49	213/292/286	73	277	4	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	214/269/294	80	275	5	5	23%	6%	60	-1.6	208/256/283	74	264	5	1	22%	5%	50	-1.3
✕Kobe Kato 2024 · A	25	46	37→40	52→55	51	214/292/293	79	277	4	20	23%	9%	69	-0.9	207/285/301	94	302	7	23	31%	9%	69	-0.9	182/271/278	96	281	8	32	35%	10%	56	-0.5
✕Logan Warmoth 2021 · AA	25	44→40	37→40	53→55	41	200/269/277	76	312	4	13	34%	7%	57	-1.8	197/277/296	99	311	9	20	36%	8%	65	-1.2	187/271/285	97	288	9	24	35%	8%	58	-1.1
✕Andy Simunic 2011 · A	25	50→56	36→30	52→50	48	230/299/295	65	312	3	14	26%	8%	72	-0.7	231/285/296	65	310	4	14	25%	7%	66	-1.1	252/294/288	36	321	2	17	21%	5%	65	-0.5
✕Tyler Stubblefield 2013 · A	25	42	38→45	51→50	46	199/275/280	82	259	6	12	24%	7%	60	-1.6	213/267/316	103	260	8	9	21%	6%	65	-1.2	211/249/324	113	245	8	5	17%	4%	55	-0.8
✕Matt Whatley 2021 · A	25	39→37	38→40	52→50	46	189/263/263	75	259	5	15	28%	8%	52	-2.2	193/256/274	81	275	8	10	31%	7%	51	-2.2	172/233/253	81	229	10	8	29%	6%	36	-1.2
✕Chad Christensen 2016 · A	25	43→44	38→40	53→55	38	205/255/282	77	304	5	16	33%	6%	52	-2.2	204/256/286	82	314	6	15	35%	6%	53	-2.1	152/203/215	63	237	8	18	38%	5%	14	-1.1
✕Chris Rotondo 2024 · A	25	44→40	41→45	57→50	45	204/294/311	108	309	7	12	33%	9%	75	-0.5	207/276/301	94	329	8	13	37%	7%	65	-1.2	194/256/265	71	324	7	16	40%	6%	46	-1.6
✕Nick Sinay 2017 · A	23	44	35→30	56→60	48	201/311/261	60	278	3	23	26%	9%	71	-0.8	204/317/262	58	288	3	20	28%	7%	74	-0.5	179/318/210	31	266	2	26	28%	7%	62	-0.7
✕Rand Smith 2012 · A	25	43→39	38→30	49→50	45	206/267/280	74	279	5	13	27%	7%	56	-1.9	211/273/286	75	302	5	8	29%	8%	60	-1.6	193/262/233	41	282	1	4	30%	8%	41	-1.1
✕Aaron Knapp 2019 · A	24	43→36	36→30	54→55	48	198/282/262	63	297	3	20	32%	10%	59	-1.7	200/272/276	76	307	6	17	33%	9%	57	-1.8	174/245/237	63	275	5	19	36%	8%	37	-1.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps