Rey Pacheco

P DSL Twins

Age 20 RHP 5'9" / 189 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKMIN	16	3	33	3.00	1.77	22.6%	4.4%	—	K 15.4% · BB 5.5% · FIP 2.49
2027PROJ	20	MLBMIN	19	0	20	4.15	4.15	21.7%	7.0%	0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBMIN	14	0	15	4.11	4.08	22.2%	7.0%	0.1

Next 2 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsDavid Davalillo (age 20) · Austin Hutchison (age 22) · Jake Elliott (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112104vR 96

ERA4.15

FIP4.15

K%21.7%

BB%7.0%

K-BB%14.7%

Proj IP20

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	16	3	33	137	31	6	0	19%	2.1	15.4%	5.5%	9.9%	0.0%	3.00	2.49	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	16	3	33	137	31	6	0	19%	2.1	15.4%	5.5%	9.9%	0.0%	3.00	2.49	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	16	3	33	137	31	6	0	19%	2.1	22.6%	4.4%	18.2%	0.0%	3.00	1.77	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	MIN	19	0	20	84	18	6	2	0%	1.1	21.7%	7.0%	14.7%	2.9%	4.15	4.15	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	MIN	30	0	31	132	29	9	4	0%	1.0	22.2%	7.0%	15.2%	2.9%	4.11	4.08	+0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	MIN	14	0	15	63	14	4	2	0%	1.1	22.2%	7.0%	15.2%	2.9%	4.11	4.08	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	15	65	14	5	2	0%	1.0	22.2%	7.0%	15.2%	2.9%	4.11	3.70	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	65	26	0%	1.1	22.2%	7.0%	15.2%	2.9%	4.11	3.70	+2.0
Career	—	MLE		16	3	33	137	21	8	0	19%	2.1	15.4%	5.5%	9.9%	0.0%	3.00	2.49	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		97	18	200	830	128	45	0	19%	2.1	15.4%	5.5%	9.9%	0.0%	3.00	2.49	+1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Rey Pacheco (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.15	21.7%	7.0%	2.9%	—	4.08	22.2%	15.2%	31	-0.07	—	—	—
David Davalillo R 2023 · 3.33 FIP	20	SW	3.33	18.6%	6.8%	1.7%	.292	3.31	20.9%	12.4%	308	-0.02	2.96	325	87
Austin Hutchison R 2017 · 4.05 FIP	22	SW	4.05	19.7%	6.0%	3.4%	.340	4.55	18.7%	9.2%	213	+0.50	3.51	235	86
Jake Elliott R 2016 · 3.82 FIP	21	SU	3.82	19.2%	7.1%	2.6%	.353	3.81	18.1%	10.0%	202	-0.01	2.91	354	86
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	84
Daniel Bies R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	22	SW	3.96	24.5%	6.8%	3.8%	.339	3.17	20.3%	11.0%	89	-0.79	3.17	115	83
Addison Russ R 2017 · 3.62 FIP	22	SU	3.62	22.2%	7.9%	2.5%	.324	3.09	25.6%	17.5%	121	-0.53	3.08	194	83
Clayton McGinness R 2019 · 3.85 FIP	22	SW	3.85	19.4%	4.5%	3.3%	.291	4.63	18.7%	7.8%	84	+0.78	3.85	106	83
Jeff Bain R 2017 · 3.94 FIP	21	SU	3.94	19.7%	6.7%	3.0%	.339	4.22	19.1%	10.7%	274	+0.28	3.35	475	83
Cody Palmquist R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	21.9%	9.0%	3.5%	.278	6.02	14.7%	7.1%	62	+1.71	4.31	104	83
J.T. Hintzen R 2018 · 3.22 FIP	22	SU	3.22	20.1%	7.0%	1.7%	.303	4.37	24.1%	15.1%	123	+1.15	3.22	205	83
Osiris German R 2018 · 4.26 FIP	19	SU	4.26	20.6%	8.7%	3.3%	.346	3.15	26.3%	15.5%	59	-1.11	3.11	187	83
Ismael Cabrera R 2015 · 3.56 FIP	21	SU	3.56	19.0%	7.4%	2.1%	.250	5.19	17.4%	6.6%	117	+1.63	3.56	133	82
Cole Stapler R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	22	SW	3.83	19.2%	6.0%	2.9%	.266	3.31	18.1%	13.2%	220	-0.52	3.26	255	82
Kevin Coulter R 2019 · 3.27 FIP	22	SU	3.27	21.0%	7.4%	1.8%	.287	4.51	16.1%	7.6%	92	+1.24	3.27	128	82
Huei-Sheng Lin R 2019 · 4.59 FIP	20	SW	4.59	17.4%	7.4%	3.7%	.360	5.64	16.1%	3.7%	88	+1.05	4.59	120	81
Chris Gau R 2018 · 4.76 FIP	21	SU	4.76	20.0%	8.6%	4.1%	.290	3.19	29.5%	23.5%	37	-1.57	2.96	211	81
Devon Roedahl R 2019 · 3.94 FIP	22	SU	3.94	19.7%	6.7%	3.0%	.305	4.64	16.5%	9.2%	100	+0.70	3.94	122	81
Enmanuel Marcano R 2019 · 4.32 FIP	20	SU	4.32	21.1%	8.4%	3.5%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.84	138	81
Denny Brady R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	20	SU	4.01	18.8%	5.7%	3.2%	.368	3.29	18.7%	10.1%	124	-0.72	3.14	160	80
Roberto Perez R 2024 · 3.01 FIP	20	SW	3.01	20.1%	8.8%	0.9%	.286	2.56	18.8%	10.5%	71	-0.45	2.42	109	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	25	22.0%	7.0%	1.13	4.13
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04
Junichi Tazawa ('18)	2.0	49	22.2%	6.5%	1.12	4.12
Charlie Furbush ('15)	1.3	52	24.5%	8.1%	1.04	3.97
Dave Baldwin ('66-'73, 2 WAR*)	1.1	56	22.2%*	9.2%*	0.96*	3.97*
Mike Schooler ('88-'93, 5 WAR*)	1.5	49	26.9%*	8.0%*	0.96*	3.68*
Jay Ritchie ('64-'68, 2 WAR*)	1.5	58	21.1%*	8.0%*	1.01*	4.21*