Eston Stull — OGILVIE

Eston Stull P Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 27 RHP 6'2" / 195 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 15 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 104

ERA4.60

FIP4.60

K%19.2%

BB%9.3%

K-BB%9.9%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	0	28	117	25	10	1	0%	1.5	16.1%	9.4%	6.7%	1.2%	2.89	3.58	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	0	28	117	25	10	1	0%	1.5	16.1%	9.4%	6.7%	1.2%	2.89	3.58	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	0	28	117	25	10	1	0%	1.5	21.4%	8.5%	12.8%	0.9%	2.89	2.85	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	19	1	27	127	40	21	4	5%	1.4	24.3%	19.0%	5.2%	3.9%	6.07	5.62	—
YTD	27	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	19	1	27	127	40	21	4	5%	1.4	24.3%	19.0%	5.2%	3.9%	6.07	5.62	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	A+ RAW	MIN	19	1	27	127	40	21	4	5%	1.4	31.5%	16.5%	15.0%	3.1%	6.07	4.26	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	MIN	19	0	20	84	17	8	2	0%	1.1	19.5%	9.5%	10.0%	3.0%	4.62	4.66	-0.0
2027	28	MLB CTX	MIN	7	0	7	30	6	3	1	0%	1.0	19.5%	9.5%	10.0%	3.0%	4.62	4.66	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	6	3	1	0%	1.0	19.5%	9.5%	10.0%	3.0%	4.62	4.28	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	164	82	27	0%	1.1	19.5%	9.5%	10.0%	3.0%	4.62	4.28	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		38	1	55	244	50	35	6	3%	1.4	20.3%	14.4%	5.9%	2.6%	4.45	4.64	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		139	4	200	893	182	129	23	3%	1.4	20.3%	14.4%	5.9%	2.6%	4.45	4.64	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eston Stull (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.60	19.2%	9.3%	2.8%	—	4.66	19.5%	10.0%	20	+0.06	—	—	—
Rob Scahill R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	28	SU	3.91	16.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.288	3.34	17.9%	10.1%	171	-0.57	3.06	201	88
Michael Dimock R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	27	SU	4.12	18.9%	7.8%	2.9%	.339	3.37	23.5%	12.8%	29	-0.75	3.08	166	86
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	84
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	84
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	84
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	82
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	82
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	81
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	81
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	81
Ryan Doolittle R 2015 · 4.03 FIP	27	SU	4.03	15.1%	6.7%	2.5%	.315	4.38	13.9%	6.8%	44	+0.35	4.03	101	81
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	81
Adrian Ramirez R 2015 · 3.59 FIP	27	SU	3.59	17.4%	10.0%	1.3%	.317	3.04	17.5%	13.1%	49	-0.55	3.04	137	81
Jonathan Hughes R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	17.1%	9.2%	2.7%	.283	3.54	17.1%	4.9%	50	-0.77	3.44	219	80
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	80
Guido Knudson R 2016 · 4.69 FIP	26	SU	4.69	17.5%	10.8%	3.1%	.235	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	106	80
Kyle Winkler R 2017 · 3.53 FIP	27	SU	3.53	18.4%	10.1%	1.3%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.97	114	80
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	80
Jonathan Aro R 2018 · 3.97 FIP	27	SU	3.97	17.3%	10.9%	1.7%	.280	3.28	12.7%	9.3%	64	-0.69	2.57	323	80
Kaleb Fleck R 2016 · 3.61 FIP	27	SU	3.61	21.6%	9.7%	2.0%	.340	3.97	21.8%	13.6%	94	+0.36	2.68	177	80