Jeferson Villabona

P Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 26 RHP 5'11" / 176 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	24	ROKDSL Padres Go…	19	18	1.96	1.57	31.9%	8.3%	—	K 21.7% · BB 10.4% · FIP 2.59
2026	25	MIX3 levels	32	47	5.70	5.06	19.6%	11.4%	—	K 15.1% · BB 13.4% · FIP 5.78
2027PROJ	26	MLBSD	21	22	5.29	5.29	17.7%	12.4%	-0.2
2028PROJ37% MLB	27	MLBSD	14	15	5.21	5.23	18.2%	12.2%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsCasey Fien (age 25) · David Holman (age 27) · Scott Proctor (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 117

ERA5.29

FIP5.29

K%17.7%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%5.3%

Proj IP22

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	24	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	19	0	18	72	23	6	0	0%	1.0	21.7%	10.4%	11.3%	0.0%	1.96	2.59	—
2025	24	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	19	0	18	72	23	6	0	0%	1.0	21.7%	10.4%	11.3%	0.0%	1.96	2.59	—
2025	24	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	19	0	18	72	23	6	0	0%	1.0	31.9%	8.3%	23.6%	0.0%	1.96	1.57	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	32	0	47	219	43	25	8	0%	1.5	15.1%	13.4%	1.7%	4.1%	5.70	5.78	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	32	0	47	219	43	25	8	0%	1.5	15.1%	13.4%	1.7%	4.1%	5.70	5.78	—
2026	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	32	0	47	219	43	25	8	0%	1.5	19.6%	11.4%	8.2%	3.7%	5.70	5.06	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	SD	21	0	22	93	16	12	3	0%	1.0	17.7%	12.4%	5.3%	3.1%	5.29	5.29	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	SD	40	0	42	177	32	22	6	0%	1.1	18.2%	12.2%	6.1%	3.2%	5.21	5.23	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	SD	14	0	15	63	12	8	2	0%	1.1	18.2%	12.2%	6.1%	3.2%	5.21	5.23	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	15	65	12	8	2	0%	1.0	18.2%	12.2%	6.1%	3.2%	5.21	4.85	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	156	104	26	0%	1.1	18.2%	12.2%	6.1%	3.2%	5.21	4.85	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		51	0	66	291	49	37	9	0%	1.3	16.8%	12.7%	4.1%	3.1%	4.66	4.99	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		155	0	200	886	148	112	27	0%	1.3	16.8%	12.7%	4.1%	3.1%	4.66	4.99	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jeferson Villabona (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.29	17.7%	12.4%	3.1%	—	5.23	18.2%	6.1%	42	-0.06	—	—	—
Casey Fien R 2009 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	17.0%	11.3%	3.8%	.306	2.79	22.7%	19.2%	35	-2.38	2.79	308	91
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	90
Scott Proctor R 2004 · 5.43 FIP	27	SU	5.43	17.8%	11.9%	4.2%	.308	4.36	18.8%	11.0%	233	-1.07	3.68	337	89
Justin Courtney R 2022 · 5.11 FIP	26	SU	5.11	16.8%	12.8%	3.3%	.331	8.63	18.4%	7.1%	21	+3.52	4.58	108	88
Francisco Rodriguez R 2010 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	17.2%	11.0%	2.4%	.283	5.00	11.9%	3.4%	14	+0.67	3.16	334	88
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	87
Jake Johansen R 2017 · 4.65 FIP	26	SU	4.65	15.9%	12.1%	2.5%	.273	3.65	12.8%	4.9%	48	-1.00	3.65	162	86
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	86
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	85
Roman Phansalkar R 2024 · 5.39 FIP	26	SU	5.39	15.8%	13.2%	3.6%	.294	4.33	18.2%	3.7%	31	-1.06	4.33	164	84
Jeff Fulchino R 2008 · 4.62 FIP	28	SU	4.62	16.7%	11.1%	2.8%	.380	3.86	21.0%	12.4%	164	-0.76	3.36	178	84
Guido Knudson R 2016 · 4.69 FIP	26	SU	4.69	17.5%	10.8%	3.1%	.235	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	106	84
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	83
Adrian Garza R 2015 · 5.47 FIP	27	SU	5.47	14.9%	10.5%	4.2%	.360	4.17	13.1%	6.5%	84	-1.30	3.94	229	83
Tyler Burch R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.0%	12.6%	2.7%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	119	83
Miguel Socolovich R 2012 · 5.65 FIP	26	SU	5.65	16.7%	12.5%	4.3%	.250	2.65	23.4%	14.8%	62	-3.00	2.65	299	83
Morgan McSweeney R 2023 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.1%	12.6%	3.7%	.256	3.56	16.9%	9.7%	85	-1.57	3.20	213	83
Davison Palermo R 2024 · 5.31 FIP	24	SU	5.31	16.3%	11.2%	4.0%	.261	4.90	19.8%	7.4%	136	-0.41	4.32	220	83
Confesor Lara R 2016 · 4.26 FIP	25	SU	4.26	16.4%	11.0%	2.1%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.74	111	83
Josh Hejka R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	16.7%	10.8%	2.9%	.363	3.93	15.8%	8.7%	77	-0.72	2.91	202	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	32	18.0%	12.2%	1.23	5.24
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12