Player 831534 — OGILVIE

Player 8315341B DSL Royals Ventura

Age — —/— ROK HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 68 proj PA

wRC+†36

AVG/OBP/SLG.169 / .247 / .220

PA68

HR0

K%39

BB%8

ISO51

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	44	36	5	0	0	0	7	18	1	0	0	139	295	139	434		278	41	16	231	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	44	38	3	0	0	0	5	22	1	0	0	79	205	79	283		189	50	11	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	44	38	3	0	0	0	5	22	1	0	0	79	205	79	283		188	50	11	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	—	44	36	5	0	0	0	7	18	1	0	0	139	295	139	434		278	41	16	231	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	44	38	3	0	0	0	5	22	1	0	0	79	205	79	283		189	50	11	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	44	38	3	0	0	0	5	22	1	0	0	79	205	79	283		189	50	11	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	KC	0%	200	179	31	4	1	1	17	79	2	2	1	170	249	222	471	51	290	40	8	222	36	-15	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	KC	0%	117	105	18	2	1	1	10	45	1	1	0	174	253	232	484	58	290	38	9	227	40	-8	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.8
2028	25	MLB CTX	KC	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	172	252	229	481	57	288	—	—	226	40	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	229	204	30	3	1	1	21	94	3	2	0	147	237	186	423	39	264	41	9	211	29	-13	+0	+0	-3	+4	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	86	9	3	3	60	267	9	6	0	149	240	190	430	41	266	41	9	211	29	-47	+1	+0	-12	+14	-4.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 831534 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	169/247/220	51	290	0	1	39%	8%	36	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andy Leer 2013 · A	25	34	37→30	39→45	39	166/235/230	64	269	5	5	38%	7%	34	-3.5	177/237/262	85	293	7	8	39%	7%	41	-3.0	136/185/219	82	223	8	7	41%	5%	10	-2.0
✕Jason Matthews 2023 · A	26	37→31	36→30	49→45	34	172/235/237	65	304	4	8	42%	6%	34	-3.5	169/241/238	69	278	6	10	38%	7%	38	-3.2	166/245/231	65	251	6	9	34%	8%	35	-1.7
✕Beau Seabury 2010 · A	25	40	36→30	42→45	36	191/243/254	63	297	4	6	35%	5%	41	-3.0	204/252/280	76	301	5	5	32%	5%	51	-2.3	194/236/260	67	285	4	1	32%	4%	36	-0.9
✕Stuart Levy 2019 · A	26	35	38→30	44→40	38	173/241/247	74	265	6	5	35%	6%	40	-3.0	190/250/278	88	303	8	7	37%	6%	50	-2.3	142/198/221	78	234	8	3	41%	6%	14	-1.0
✕Jordan Betts 2016 · A	24	35→28	38→45	48→40	33	170/217/244	75	286	6	6	41%	5%	29	-3.8	183/229/287	104	281	10	4	37%	5%	44	-2.8	179/225/289	110	263	12	2	36%	5%	41	-1.8
✕Jake Oester 2011 · A	25	36	38→40	46→30	34	179/225/263	84	273	5	4	35%	4%	36	-3.3	191/245/265	74	301	4	4	35%	5%	45	-2.7	182/241/244	61	292	2	3	36%	6%	36	-1.7
✕Liam Spence 2023 · A	25	36	40	48→45	44	180/253/265	85	263	8	6	33%	8%	49	-2.4	198/272/287	89	298	7	8	33%	8%	60	-1.6	159/252/213	54	251	3	7	34%	10%	34	-0.6
✕Tra Holmes 2021 · A	25	39→36	37→30	49→50	36	186/249/254	69	291	4	13	36%	6%	45	-2.7	197/254/282	85	409	7	17	49%	6%	52	-2.2	126/185/161	34	415	3	38	66%	6%	-4	-1.1
✕Lucas Tancas 2019 · A	25	39→43	39→40	47→45	36	187/244/272	84	294	6	8	36%	5%	46	-2.6	199/254/295	96	355	8	6	43%	5%	55	-2.0	188/241/284	96	358	8	3	47%	5%	45	-1.9
✕Cristopher Navarro 2024 · AA	25	38	35→30	47→45	38	181/228/241	59	266	3	5	32%	6%	32	-3.6	208/268/297	89	286	7	8	28%	7%	61	-1.5	203/272/274	71	272	7	4	26%	7%	55	-0.4
✕Spencer Griffin 2021 · A	24	40→37	39→40	51→50	38	183/252/267	84	319	6	10	42%	8%	48	-2.5	186/240/280	94	386	8	13	50%	6%	47	-2.6	114/161/183	68	292	7	20	60%	4%	-9	-1.8
✕Devin Hairston 2021 · A	25	35	34→30	41→40	34	166/218/217	51	288	2	5	41%	6%	23	-4.3	183/234/267	84	302	7	7	39%	6%	41	-3.0	160/211/239	79	262	7	6	40%	6%	24	-1.6
✕Chandler Seagle 2021 · A	25	41	38→40	49→45	37	191/248/274	83	307	5	6	37%	6%	48	-2.5	191/244/267	76	287	5	5	33%	5%	45	-2.7	169/217/235	66	268	5	4	37%	5%	24	-1.5
✕Zach Cone 2015 · A	25	35→37	40→45	46→45	35	176/233/265	89	282	8	7	39%	6%	40	-3.0	196/240/323	127	291	15	7	37%	4%	57	-1.8	189/227/330	141	266	18	5	36%	4%	50	-1.1
✕Tim Susnara 2021 · A	25	36	39→40	47→40	40	175/240/253	77	276	7	5	37%	8%	40	-3.0	200/266/305	105	332	10	6	40%	7%	62	-1.4	164/241/273	109	265	13	0	40%	7%	45	-0.7
✕John Nester 2014 · A	25	38	39→40	44→40	42	186/252/269	83	284	7	6	35%	8%	49	-2.4	204/262/292	88	306	6	6	33%	7%	57	-1.8	181/241/247	67	275	3	0	33%	7%	36	-1.2
✕Randy Gress 2010 · A	25	35	37→30	42→40	35	174/213/244	71	260	5	5	34%	4%	27	-4.0	204/257/293	89	291	7	6	31%	6%	55	-1.9	198/259/281	84	271	9	0	29%	6%	51	-0.4
✕Jackson Glenn 2023 · A	25	41	38→40	52→45	40	197/254/282	85	291	5	11	32%	6%	52	-2.2	203/250/304	101	279	10	8	30%	5%	55	-1.9	197/242/299	102	261	11	6	28%	5%	48	-1.3
✕Kyle Davis 2011 · A	24	36	34→30	48→45	40	174/237/223	49	268	2	5	34%	7%	32	-3.6	180/235/246	66	302	4	8	39%	6%	36	-3.3	93/124/129	36	185	3	11	50%	3%	-35	-1.4
✕Matt O'Neill 2023 · AA	25	37	39→45	46→45	43	165/261/247	83	316	6	4	45%	11%	49	-2.4	177/251/270	93	302	9	4	41%	9%	49	-2.4	188/262/285	97	277	9	2	33%	9%	54	-0.6