Carlos Galindo — OGILVIE

Carlos Galindo P DSL Brewers Blue

Age 18 RHP 6'1" / 184 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 1.5 · 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION42 act + 9 ip · rates below = ROS only

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142133vR 124

ERA5.49

FIP5.49

K%10.0%

BB%9.9%

K-BB%0.1%

ROS IP9

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 51 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$15M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2020

CTRL5050

CMD3030

K†3045

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.3M
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$5M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Blue	11	5	46	193	28	12	2	45%	4.2	9.9%	7.8%	2.1%	1.3%	4.08	3.99	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Blue	11	5	46	193	28	12	2	45%	4.2	14.5%	6.2%	8.3%	1.0%	4.08	3.23	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	ROK	DSL Brewers Blue	9	6	42	199	33	21	3	67%	4.7	11.3%	13.2%	-1.9%	2.1%	5.10	4.98	—
2026	18	ROK	MIL	9	6	42	199	33	21	3	67%	4.7	16.6%	10.6%	6.0%	1.5%	5.10	3.86	—
ROS	18	MLB	MIL	1	1	9	38	4	4	1	100%	8.9	10.0%	9.9%	0.1%	2.9%	5.49	5.49	-0.1
2026 TOT	18	MLB	MIL	—	—	51	237	37	25	4	—	—	15.5%	10.4%	5.1%	1.7%	5.17	5.07	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	MIL	11	11	59	248	32	24	7	100%	5.3	13.0%	9.6%	3.3%	2.9%	5.25	5.18	-0.2
2028	20	MLB	MIL	11	11	62	260	39	24	7	100%	5.6	14.9%	9.4%	5.5%	2.8%	5.05	4.96	-0.0
2029	21	MLB	MIL	12	12	65	273	44	25	8	100%	5.4	16.2%	9.2%	7.0%	2.8%	4.88	4.79	+0.1
2030	22	MLB	MIL	12	12	68	287	50	25	8	100%	5.7	17.6%	8.8%	8.8%	2.7%	4.70	4.59	+0.2
2031	23	MLB	MIL	13	13	70	297	55	25	8	100%	5.4	18.4%	8.5%	9.9%	2.7%	4.56	4.46	+0.4
2032	24	MLB	MIL	13	13	72	305	58	25	8	100%	5.6	18.9%	8.3%	10.7%	2.6%	4.45	4.37	+0.4
2033	25	MLB	MIL	12	12	73	309	60	25	8	100%	6.1	19.3%	8.1%	11.2%	2.6%	4.37	4.32	+0.5
2034	26	MLB	MIL	12	12	73	309	60	25	8	100%	6.1	19.5%	8.1%	11.4%	2.6%	4.32	4.29	+0.5
2035	27	MLB	MIL	12	12	72	304	59	25	8	100%	6.0	19.5%	8.2%	11.3%	2.7%	4.33	4.33	+0.5
2036	28	MLB	MIL	12	12	70	295	57	25	8	100%	5.8	19.4%	8.3%	11.0%	2.8%	4.38	4.42	+0.4
2037	29	MLB	MIL	11	11	67	282	54	24	8	100%	6.1	19.1%	8.5%	10.6%	2.9%	4.48	4.55	+0.3
2038	30	MLB	MIL	10	10	63	265	50	23	8	100%	6.3	18.8%	8.8%	9.9%	3.1%	4.63	4.73	+0.1
2027	19	MLB	MIL	5	5	29	122	16	12	3	100%	5.8	13.0%	9.6%	3.3%	2.8%	5.22	5.15	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	MIL	8	8	45	190	28	18	5	100%	5.6	14.9%	9.4%	5.5%	2.8%	5.02	4.93	-0.0
2029	21	MLB	MIL	10	10	55	232	38	21	6	100%	5.5	16.2%	9.2%	7.0%	2.7%	4.85	4.76	+0.1
2030	22	MLB	MIL	11	11	61	258	45	23	7	100%	5.5	17.6%	8.8%	8.8%	2.7%	4.67	4.56	+0.2
2031	23	MLB	MIL	12	12	65	274	50	23	7	100%	5.4	18.4%	8.5%	9.9%	2.6%	4.53	4.43	+0.3
2032	24	MLB	MIL	12	12	68	287	54	24	7	100%	5.7	18.9%	8.3%	10.7%	2.6%	4.42	4.34	+0.4
2033	25	MLB	MIL	12	12	69	291	56	24	7	100%	5.8	19.3%	8.1%	11.2%	2.6%	4.34	4.29	+0.5
2034	26	MLB	MIL	12	12	69	291	57	24	7	100%	5.8	19.5%	8.1%	11.4%	2.6%	4.29	4.26	+0.5
2035	27	MLB	MIL	11	11	68	287	56	23	8	100%	6.2	19.5%	8.2%	11.3%	2.6%	4.30	4.30	+0.5
2036	28	MLB	MIL	11	11	66	279	54	23	8	100%	6.0	19.4%	8.3%	11.0%	2.7%	4.35	4.39	+0.4
2037	29	MLB	MIL	10	10	63	266	51	23	8	100%	6.3	19.1%	8.5%	10.6%	2.9%	4.45	4.52	+0.3
2038	30	MLB	MIL	10	10	60	253	48	22	8	100%	6.0	18.8%	8.8%	9.9%	3.1%	4.60	4.70	+0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career	—			91	91	719	3034	554	260	82	100%	7.9	18.3%	8.6%	9.7%	2.7%	4.53	4.12	+6.6
/ 200 IP	—			25	25	200	844	154	72	23	100%	7.9	18.3%	8.6%	9.7%	2.7%	4.53	4.12	+1.8
Career	—			20	11	89	392	41	41	7	55%	4.4	10.6%	10.5%	0.1%	1.7%	4.57	4.49	+3.1
/ 200 IP	—			45	25	200	884	94	93	15	55%	4.4	10.6%	10.5%	0.1%	1.7%	4.57	4.49	+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Carlos Galindo (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.49	10.0%	9.9%	2.9%	—	4.97	14.7%	5.3%	185	-0.52	—	—	—
Deyni Olivero R 2016 · 5.09 FIP	18	SP-	5.09	9.9%	11.7%	2.5%	.291	4.47	11.6%	2.1%	140	-0.62	4.23	389	89
Steven Fuentes R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	18	SP-	4.60	12.1%	10.1%	2.3%	.319	3.98	16.7%	10.2%	131	-0.62	2.36	359	85
Anderson Vera R 2016 · 4.41 FIP	18	SW	4.41	11.9%	8.6%	2.2%	.314	3.35	13.2%	2.4%	32	-1.06	3.35	112	83
Michele Vassalotti R 2018 · 5.59 FIP	17	SP-	5.59	9.8%	9.3%	3.9%	.315	5.34	17.8%	-3.0%	68	-0.25	2.60	238	83
Yeudry Manzanillo R 2017 · 4.52 FIP	18	SP-	4.52	9.3%	8.8%	2.0%	.337	3.94	13.4%	6.0%	81	-0.58	2.86	186	83
Yohander Quintana R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	18	SP-	4.90	10.0%	9.7%	2.6%	.248	5.18	11.4%	2.5%	58	+0.28	4.90	109	82
Jeremiah Burke R 2019 · 4.88 FIP	21	SP-	4.88	11.9%	9.3%	2.9%	.330	3.83	15.7%	8.1%	34	-1.05	3.83	137	81
Alex Mejias R 2016 · 4.52 FIP	19	SP-	4.52	10.7%	12.6%	1.3%	.301	4.18	13.2%	3.8%	57	-0.34	3.90	107	81
Gerardo Bojorquez R 2016 · 5.12 FIP	18	SW	5.12	12.1%	10.2%	3.2%	.310	5.76	12.1%	1.0%	53	+0.64	5.12	102	81
Erik Manoah Jr. R 2015 · 5.67 FIP	19	SP-	5.67	12.9%	13.1%	3.7%	.269	5.62	14.5%	-0.3%	220	-0.05	3.44	322	81
Jean Garcia R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	18	SP-	4.57	8.3%	11.1%	1.4%	.359	3.50	12.1%	0.9%	64	-1.07	3.26	124	80
Abel Duarte R 2015 · 4.84 FIP	21	SP-	4.84	12.5%	10.3%	2.7%	.306	3.93	13.9%	6.7%	79	-0.91	3.19	127	80
Argenis Romano R 2015 · 4.32 FIP	20	SP-	4.32	11.5%	7.5%	2.2%	.287	4.85	14.9%	7.8%	86	+0.53	3.54	144	79
Blas Castaño R 2018 · 4.68 FIP	19	SP-	4.68	10.8%	13.2%	1.5%	.307	4.22	13.1%	7.2%	105	-0.46	3.06	614	79
Luis Ojeda R 2016 · 4.45 FIP	19	SW	4.45	12.4%	8.6%	2.4%	.344	5.39	12.1%	3.7%	92	+0.94	4.45	131	79
Lianmy Galan R 2015 · 4.48 FIP	18	SP-	4.48	7.7%	11.1%	1.1%	.287	3.98	9.6%	-1.1%	52	-0.50	3.98	111	79
Easton McGee R 2016 · 4.36 FIP	18	SP-	4.36	9.7%	10.2%	1.4%	.240	4.13	12.1%	7.1%	177	-0.23	2.99	551	78
Darwin Ramos R 2015 · 4.61 FIP	19	SP-	4.61	13.5%	12.1%	2.0%	.308	3.81	15.1%	4.5%	152	-0.80	3.35	262	78
Aneudy Duarte R 2016 · 5.19 FIP	18	SP-	5.19	9.3%	11.9%	2.5%	.294	4.55	18.6%	6.1%	63	-0.64	4.26	102	78
Alexander Vizcaíno R 2016 · 5.40 FIP	19	SP-	5.40	11.8%	10.4%	3.6%	.321	4.88	17.3%	7.0%	220	-0.52	3.96	273	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 136 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.2	65	17.7%	8.7%	1.07	4.63
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Luis Cessa ('23)	2.1	53	18.3%	7.8%	1.40	4.43
Matt Wisler ('22)	2.5	63	20.1%	7.6%	1.40	4.59
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04
Daniel Norris ('22)	2.8	70	21.7%	8.5%	1.37	4.70
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58