Carlos Galindo — OGILVIE

Carlos Galindo P DSL Brewers Blue

Age 18 RHP 6'1" / 184 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 1.5 · 2033

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 27 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 121

ERA5.49

FIP5.49

K%10.0%

BB%9.9%

K-BB%0.1%

ROS IP28

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$15M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2020

CTRL5050

CMD3030

K†3045

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.3M
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$5M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	11	5	46	193	28	12	2	45%	4.2	9.9%	7.8%	2.1%	1.4%	4.08	4.02	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	11	5	46	193	28	12	2	45%	4.2	9.9%	7.8%	2.1%	1.4%	4.08	4.02	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Blue	11	5	46	193	28	12	2	45%	4.2	14.5%	6.2%	8.3%	1.0%	4.08	3.23	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	12	7	56	258	40	27	3	58%	4.7	10.5%	13.1%	-2.5%	1.6%	4.63	4.76	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	12	7	56	258	40	27	3	58%	4.7	10.5%	13.1%	-2.5%	1.6%	4.63	4.76	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	18	ROK RAW	MIL	12	7	56	258	40	27	3	58%	4.7	15.5%	10.5%	5.0%	1.2%	4.63	3.75	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	MIL	11	11	58	245	32	24	7	100%	5.3	13.0%	9.6%	3.3%	2.9%	5.26	5.18	-0.2
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIL	11	11	61	257	38	24	7	100%	5.5	14.9%	9.4%	5.5%	2.8%	5.05	4.96	-0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	MIL	12	12	64	270	44	25	7	100%	5.3	16.2%	9.2%	7.0%	2.8%	4.88	4.79	+0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	MIL	12	12	67	283	50	25	8	100%	5.6	17.6%	8.8%	8.8%	2.7%	4.71	4.60	+0.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	MIL	13	13	70	294	54	25	8	100%	5.4	18.4%	8.5%	9.9%	2.7%	4.56	4.46	+0.4
2032	24	MLB MLE	MIL	13	13	71	301	57	25	8	100%	5.5	18.9%	8.3%	10.7%	2.6%	4.45	4.37	+0.4
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIL	12	12	72	305	59	25	8	100%	6.0	19.3%	8.1%	11.2%	2.6%	4.37	4.32	+0.5
2034	26	MLB MLE	MIL	12	12	72	305	59	25	8	100%	6.0	19.5%	8.1%	11.4%	2.6%	4.33	4.30	+0.5
2035	27	MLB MLE	MIL	12	12	71	300	59	25	8	100%	5.9	19.5%	8.2%	11.3%	2.7%	4.33	4.33	+0.5
2036	28	MLB MLE	MIL	12	12	69	291	56	24	8	100%	5.8	19.4%	8.3%	11.0%	2.8%	4.38	4.42	+0.4
2037	29	MLB MLE	MIL	11	11	66	278	53	24	8	100%	6.0	19.1%	8.5%	10.6%	2.9%	4.48	4.55	+0.3
2038	30	MLB MLE	MIL	10	10	62	261	49	23	8	100%	6.2	18.8%	8.8%	9.9%	3.1%	4.63	4.73	+0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	MIL	5	5	29	122	16	12	4	100%	5.8	13.0%	9.6%	3.3%	3.0%	5.34	5.26	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIL	8	8	44	186	28	17	5	100%	5.5	14.9%	9.4%	5.5%	3.0%	5.13	5.04	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	MIL	10	10	54	228	37	21	7	100%	5.4	16.2%	9.2%	7.0%	2.9%	4.96	4.87	+0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	MIL	11	11	60	253	45	22	7	100%	5.5	17.6%	8.8%	8.8%	2.8%	4.78	4.67	+0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	MIL	12	12	64	270	50	23	8	100%	5.3	18.4%	8.5%	9.9%	2.8%	4.63	4.53	+0.3
2032	24	MLB CTX	MIL	12	12	67	283	54	23	8	100%	5.6	18.9%	8.3%	10.7%	2.8%	4.52	4.44	+0.4
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIL	12	12	69	291	56	24	8	100%	5.8	19.3%	8.1%	11.2%	2.7%	4.44	4.39	+0.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	MIL	12	12	69	291	57	24	8	100%	5.8	19.5%	8.1%	11.4%	2.7%	4.40	4.37	+0.5
2035	27	MLB CTX	MIL	11	11	68	287	56	23	8	100%	6.2	19.5%	8.2%	11.3%	2.8%	4.40	4.40	+0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	MIL	11	11	66	279	54	23	8	100%	6.0	19.4%	8.3%	11.0%	2.9%	4.46	4.50	+0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	MIL	10	10	63	266	51	23	8	100%	6.3	19.1%	8.5%	10.6%	3.1%	4.56	4.63	+0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	MIL	10	10	59	249	47	22	8	100%	5.9	18.8%	8.8%	9.9%	3.3%	4.72	4.82	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		84	84	710	2997	547	257	87	100%	8.5	18.3%	8.6%	9.7%	2.9%	4.64	4.23	+5.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		24	24	200	844	154	72	25	100%	8.5	18.3%	8.6%	9.7%	2.9%	4.64	4.23	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		23	12	103	451	46	49	7	52%	4.5	10.3%	10.8%	-0.6%	1.5%	4.38	4.44	+3.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		45	23	200	879	90	95	13	52%	4.5	10.3%	10.8%	-0.6%	1.5%	4.38	4.44	+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Carlos Galindo (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.49	10.0%	9.9%	2.9%	—	4.97	14.7%	5.3%	183	-0.52	—	—	—
Deyni Olivero R 2016 · 5.09 FIP	18	SP-	5.09	9.9%	11.7%	2.5%	.291	4.47	11.6%	2.1%	140	-0.62	4.23	389	88
Steven Fuentes R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	18	SP-	4.60	12.1%	10.1%	2.3%	.319	3.85	16.7%	10.2%	131	-0.75	2.38	359	85
Anderson Vera R 2016 · 4.41 FIP	18	SW	4.41	11.9%	8.6%	2.2%	.314	3.35	13.2%	2.4%	32	-1.06	3.35	112	84
Michele Vassalotti R 2018 · 5.59 FIP	17	SP-	5.59	9.8%	9.3%	3.9%	.315	5.31	17.8%	-3.0%	68	-0.28	2.60	238	83
Yeudry Manzanillo R 2017 · 4.52 FIP	18	SP-	4.52	9.3%	8.8%	2.0%	.337	3.94	13.4%	6.0%	81	-0.58	2.86	186	83
Gerardo Bojorquez R 2016 · 5.12 FIP	18	SW	5.12	12.1%	10.2%	3.2%	.310	5.76	12.1%	1.0%	53	+0.64	5.12	102	82
Yohander Quintana R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	18	SP-	4.90	10.0%	9.7%	2.6%	.248	5.18	11.4%	2.5%	58	+0.28	4.90	109	81
Alex Mejias R 2016 · 4.52 FIP	19	SP-	4.52	10.7%	12.6%	1.3%	.301	4.18	13.2%	3.8%	57	-0.34	3.90	107	81
Jeremiah Burke R 2019 · 4.88 FIP	21	SP-	4.88	11.9%	9.3%	2.9%	.330	3.78	15.7%	8.1%	34	-1.10	3.78	137	80
Luis Ojeda R 2016 · 4.45 FIP	19	SW	4.45	12.4%	8.6%	2.4%	.344	5.39	12.1%	3.7%	92	+0.94	4.45	131	80
Jean Garcia R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	18	SP-	4.57	8.3%	11.1%	1.4%	.359	3.50	12.1%	0.9%	64	-1.07	3.26	124	80
Argenis Romano R 2015 · 4.32 FIP	20	SP-	4.32	11.5%	7.5%	2.2%	.287	4.85	14.9%	7.8%	86	+0.53	3.54	144	79
Erik Manoah Jr. R 2015 · 5.67 FIP	19	SP-	5.67	12.9%	13.1%	3.7%	.269	5.64	14.5%	-0.3%	220	-0.03	3.47	322	79
Abel Duarte R 2015 · 4.84 FIP	21	SP-	4.84	12.5%	10.3%	2.7%	.306	3.93	13.9%	6.7%	79	-0.91	3.19	127	79
Blas Castaño R 2018 · 4.68 FIP	19	SP-	4.68	10.8%	13.2%	1.5%	.307	4.22	13.1%	7.2%	105	-0.46	3.06	633	78
Aneudy Duarte R 2016 · 5.19 FIP	18	SP-	5.19	9.3%	11.9%	2.5%	.294	4.55	18.6%	6.1%	63	-0.64	4.26	102	78
Jean Ruiz R 2015 · 5.17 FIP	18	SW	5.17	11.2%	11.6%	2.8%	.246	4.58	12.2%	3.6%	178	-0.59	2.81	235	78
Jorge Cespedes R 2016 · 4.88 FIP	20	SW	4.88	11.2%	12.2%	2.1%	.284	4.14	12.9%	5.6%	107	-0.74	3.47	153	78
Alexander Vizcaíno R 2016 · 5.40 FIP	19	SP-	5.40	11.8%	10.4%	3.6%	.321	4.82	17.3%	7.0%	220	-0.58	3.85	273	78
Jordan Balazovic R 2017 · 5.85 FIP	18	SW	5.85	10.8%	12.3%	3.8%	.321	2.85	24.6%	16.7%	155	-3.00	2.46	554	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.2	64	17.7%	8.7%	1.07	4.63
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Luis Cessa ('23)	2.1	53	18.3%	7.8%	1.40	4.43
Matt Wisler ('22)	2.5	63	20.1%	7.6%	1.40	4.59
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Daniel Norris ('22)	2.8	70	21.7%	8.5%	1.37	4.70