Deyni Olivero
P
Amarillo Sod Poodles
Age 28
RHP
6'1" / 165 lbs
AA
peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 47 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 103
ERA4.53
FIP4.53
K%21.3%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%11.6%
ROS IP47
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 47 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | DSL D-backs | 9 | 6 | 40 | 171 | 25 | 16 | 3 | 67% | 4.4 | 9.9% | 11.7% | -1.8% | 2.5% | 4.99 | 5.09 | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | DSL D-backs | 9 | 6 | 40 | 171 | 25 | 16 | 3 | 67% | 4.4 | 14.6% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 4.99 | 4.03 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 16 | 13 | 76 | 323 | 48 | 21 | 4 | 81% | 4.8 | 10.1% | 8.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.96 | 4.23 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 16 | 13 | 76 | 323 | 48 | 21 | 4 | 81% | 4.8 | 14.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 1.2% | 2.96 | 3.35 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | Missoula Osprey | 14 | 14 | 64 | 279 | 55 | 25 | 5 | 100% | 4.6 | 13.4% | 11.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.94 | 4.76 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | Missoula Osprey | 14 | 14 | 64 | 279 | 55 | 25 | 5 | 100% | 4.6 | 19.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 1.8% | 3.94 | 3.57 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 100% | 2.0 | 30.0% | 0.0% | 30.0% | 10.0% | 9.00 | 6.06 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 100% | 2.0 | 30.0% | 0.0% | 30.0% | 10.0% | 9.00 | 6.60 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 28 | 142 | 609 | 105 | 48 | 21 | 100% | 5.1 | 14.0% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.27 | 5.00 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 28 | 142 | 609 | 105 | 48 | 21 | 100% | 5.1 | 17.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 3.4% | 5.27 | 4.56 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 17 | 17 | 68 | 338 | 38 | 38 | 15 | 100% | 4.0 | 9.1% | 12.4% | -3.3% | 2.3% | 9.53 | 5.18 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 17 | 17 | 68 | 338 | 38 | 38 | 15 | 100% | 4.0 | 11.2% | 11.2% | 0.0% | 4.4% | 9.53 | 6.53 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | ARI | 8 | 8 | 47 | 199 | 42 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.3% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 3.0% | 4.53 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | ARI | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 40 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 5.6 | 21.3% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | ARI | 2 | 2 | 14 | 59 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 7.0 | 21.3% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 14 | 59 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 7.0 | 21.3% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.26 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 185 | 85 | 28 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.3% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.26 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 85 | 79 | 391 | 1730 | 206 | 172 | 48 | 93% | 4.6 | 11.9% | 9.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 5.34 | 4.87 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 40 | 200 | 884 | 105 | 88 | 24 | 93% | 4.6 | 11.9% | 9.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 5.34 | 4.87 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Deyni Olivero (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.53 | 21.3% | 9.7% | 3.0% | — | 4.64 | 21.3% | 11.4% | 45 | +0.11 | — | — | — |
| Ariel Peña R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.93 | 22.5% | 12.0% | 2.2% | .304 | 5.94 | 19.9% | -5.7% | 21 | +2.01 | 3.91 | 223 | 80 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 76 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2024 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.15 | 18.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | 247 | 76 |
| Hector Noesí R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 75 |
| Sawyer Gipson-Long R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.14 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 470 | 75 |
| Omar Bencomo R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.38 | 18.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | .333 | 4.43 | 14.9% | 10.1% | 186 | +0.05 | 3.67 | 381 | 74 |
| Dylan Cumming R 2025 · 4.71 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.71 | 16.4% | 7.6% | 3.7% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 366 | 74 |
| Bryan Evans R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.94 | 17.8% | 6.2% | 2.8% | .250 | 4.75 | 19.7% | 14.9% | 132 | +0.81 | 3.72 | 231 | 73 |
| Markus Solbach R 2025 · 3.61 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.61 | 16.9% | 6.1% | 2.1% | .311 | 4.76 | 17.1% | 9.1% | 111 | +1.15 | 3.25 | 391 | 72 |
| Rolando Valdez R 2027 · 3.99 FIP | 29 | SP | 3.99 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .301 | 3.60 | 13.2% | 7.9% | 176 | -0.39 | 2.98 | 258 | 72 |
| Andrew Triggs R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.29 | 17.7% | 6.7% | 3.3% | .288 | 4.57 | 23.6% | 13.7% | 41 | +0.28 | 1.66 | 242 | 72 |
| Chuck King R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.70 | 17.8% | 9.3% | 1.7% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 237 | 71 |
| David Phelps R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.94 | 16.0% | 6.8% | 2.4% | .299 | 2.83 | 29.9% | 20.6% | 142 | -1.11 | 2.51 | 373 | 71 |
| Matt Cain R 2028 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.90 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 4.88 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | -0.02 | 4.83 | 294 | 71 |
| Connor Schultz R 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.85 | 21.5% | 10.9% | 4.0% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 171 | 71 |
| Vanny Valenzuela R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.66 | 16.3% | 11.3% | 2.8% | .380 | 7.26 | 10.9% | 1.2% | 25 | +2.60 | 3.26 | 118 | 70 |
| Preston Johnson R 2024 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 70 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.94 | 21.3% | 8.7% | 2.8% | .292 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 7.8% | 118 | +0.05 | 3.22 | 254 | 70 |
| Tim Atherton R 2023 · 3.73 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.73 | 16.2% | 8.6% | 1.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 101 | 70 |
| Jesse Hahn R 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.67 | 16.6% | 9.7% | 1.3% | .327 | 2.19 | 29.2% | 16.9% | 17 | -1.48 | 2.19 | 426 | 70 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 46 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 1.17 | 4.56 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |