Deyni Olivero — OGILVIE

Deyni Olivero P Amarillo Sod Poodles

Age 28 RHP 6'1" / 165 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.15

FIP5.15

K%16.2%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%5.3%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	18	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs	9	6	40	171	25	16	3	67%	4.4	9.9%	11.7%	-1.8%	2.5%	4.99	5.09	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs	9	6	40	171	25	16	3	67%	4.4	14.6%	9.4%	5.3%	1.8%	4.99	4.03	—
2017	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	16	13	76	323	48	21	4	81%	4.8	10.1%	8.1%	2.0%	1.7%	2.96	4.23	—
2017	19	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	16	13	76	323	48	21	4	81%	4.8	14.9%	6.5%	8.4%	1.2%	2.96	3.35	—
2018	20	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	14	14	64	279	55	25	5	100%	4.6	13.4%	11.2%	2.2%	2.5%	3.94	4.76	—
2018	20	ROK RAW	Missoula Osprey	14	14	64	279	55	25	5	100%	4.6	19.7%	9.0%	10.8%	1.8%	3.94	3.57	—
2021	23	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	1	1	2	10	3	0	1	100%	2.0	30.0%	0.0%	30.0%	10.0%	9.00	6.06	—
2021	23	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	1	1	2	10	3	0	1	100%	2.0	30.0%	0.0%	30.0%	10.0%	9.00	6.60	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	28	142	609	105	48	21	100%	5.1	14.0%	8.6%	5.4%	3.8%	5.27	5.10	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	28	142	609	105	48	21	100%	5.1	17.2%	7.9%	9.4%	3.4%	5.27	4.56	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	17	17	68	338	38	38	15	100%	4.0	9.1%	12.4%	-3.3%	3.3%	9.53	5.68	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	17	17	68	338	38	38	15	100%	4.0	9.1%	12.4%	-3.3%	3.3%	9.53	5.68	—
2023	25	AA RAW	Amarillo Sod Poodles	17	17	68	338	38	38	15	100%	4.0	11.2%	11.2%	0.0%	4.4%	9.53	6.53	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	ARI	1	1	4	17	3	2	1	100%	4.0	16.2%	10.9%	5.3%	3.0%	5.15	5.15	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	ARI	8	8	45	190	32	21	6	100%	5.6	16.7%	11.0%	5.7%	3.2%	5.15	5.20	-0.2
2027	29	MLB CTX	ARI	2	2	14	59	10	6	2	100%	7.0	16.7%	11.0%	5.7%	3.2%	5.15	5.20	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	14	59	10	7	2	100%	7.0	16.7%	11.0%	5.7%	3.2%	5.15	4.82	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	142	99	28	100%	6.0	16.7%	11.0%	5.7%	3.2%	5.15	4.82	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		85	79	391	1730	206	172	52	93%	4.6	11.9%	9.9%	2.0%	3.0%	5.34	5.00	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		43	40	200	884	105	88	27	93%	4.6	11.9%	9.9%	2.0%	3.0%	5.34	5.00	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Deyni Olivero (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.15	16.2%	10.9%	3.0%	—	5.20	16.7%	5.7%	45	+0.05	—	—	—
Rolando Valdez R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	29	SP	4.07	13.3%	5.9%	2.4%	.301	3.78	13.2%	7.9%	176	-0.29	3.06	258	77
Daniel Guerrero R 2016 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP	4.81	12.4%	11.6%	2.3%	.328	4.93	11.7%	2.0%	175	+0.12	4.61	269	77
Brady Rodgers R 2019 · 5.44 FIP	28	SP-	5.44	14.7%	9.0%	4.4%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	1.98	354	76
Felipe Paulino R 2015 · 4.55 FIP	31	SP	4.55	15.8%	11.8%	2.3%	.312	4.93	15.0%	4.8%	26	+0.38	4.55	150	76
Vanny Valenzuela R 2016 · 4.54 FIP	28	SP	4.54	16.3%	11.3%	2.5%	.380	6.25	10.9%	1.2%	25	+1.71	3.26	118	76
Luke Irvine R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	13.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	76
Tyler Herron R 2016 · 4.40 FIP	29	SP	4.40	13.4%	6.9%	2.9%	.389	4.02	16.4%	7.7%	60	-0.38	4.02	117	75
Jair Jurrjens R 2015 · 4.59 FIP	29	SP-	4.59	10.3%	6.9%	2.7%	.365	4.27	16.3%	8.4%	54	-0.32	4.27	125	75
Ariel Peña R 2017 · 3.99 FIP	28	SP	3.99	22.5%	12.0%	2.3%	.304	6.07	19.9%	-5.7%	21	+2.08	3.74	223	74
Hector Noesí R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	17.6%	8.1%	3.2%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	250	74
Marco Antonio Duarte R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	28	SP	4.07	15.5%	9.1%	2.0%	.306	4.73	9.0%	-1.2%	38	+0.66	4.07	203	72
Iván Nova R 2015 · 4.44 FIP	28	SP	4.44	15.3%	8.0%	2.9%	.283	4.33	17.3%	13.1%	510	-0.11	4.03	810	72
Miguel Ruiz R 2015 · 5.77 FIP	29	SP-	5.77	8.8%	8.0%	4.4%	.346	5.60	10.6%	-0.4%	53	-0.17	5.60	117	72
Alex Cobb R 2016 · 5.26 FIP	28	SP	5.26	14.0%	6.9%	4.5%	.366	4.37	16.3%	10.7%	344	-0.89	2.74	844	72
Clayton Mortensen R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	30	SP-	4.41	15.0%	12.6%	1.8%	.289	4.43	22.0%	10.3%	115	+0.02	4.31	221	71
Andres Ivan Meza R 2015 · 4.45 FIP	28	SP	4.45	10.9%	5.6%	2.9%	.322	4.14	12.5%	4.0%	85	-0.31	4.14	275	71
Jordan Cooper R 2015 · 5.01 FIP	26	SP	5.01	9.2%	10.2%	2.5%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	5.01	106	71
Lucas Harrell R 2016 · 4.07 FIP	31	SP	4.07	15.7%	12.9%	1.2%	.310	3.57	16.2%	5.7%	30	-0.50	3.57	139	71
Angel Araiza R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	27	SP	4.32	14.9%	8.4%	2.6%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	289	70
Andrew Quezada R 2023 · 5.33 FIP	26	SP-	5.33	14.4%	9.5%	4.1%	.344	4.92	12.5%	5.0%	173	-0.41	4.40	412	70

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.5	46	16.4%	10.9%	1.20	5.15
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Jharel Cotton ('22)	1.2	58	19.8%	9.2%	1.59	4.50