Kadil Rubio — OGILVIE

Kadil RubioOF DSL Tampa Bay

Age 19 R/R 6'2" / 165 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 99 proj PA

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .260 / .259

PA99

HR1

K%25

BB%6

ISO66

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	155	125	23	2	0	0	13	26	14	6	1	184	329	200	529	16	230	17	8	264	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	117	100	20	5	1	1	9	22	3	1	0	200	286	300	586	100	237	19	8	260	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	155	129	17	1	0	0	9	32	14	6	1	132	263	140	403	8	164	21	6	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	117	103	14	3	1	0	6	27	3	1	0	136	205	184	390	49	162	23	5	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	155	129	17	1	0	0	9	32	14	6	1	132	263	140	403	8	173	21	6	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	—	155	125	23	2	0	0	13	26	14	6	1	184	329	200	529	16	230	17	8	264	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	117	103	14	3	1	0	6	27	3	1	0	136	205	184	390	49	177	23	5	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	—	117	100	20	5	1	1	9	22	3	1	0	200	286	300	586	100	237	19	8	260	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	155	131	17	1	0	0	9	32	14	6	1	130	263	137	401	8	164	21	6	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	117	107	14	3	1	0	6	27	3	1	0	131	205	178	383	47	162	23	5	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	155	131	17	1	0	0	9	32	14	6	1	130	263	137	401	8	164	21	6	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	117	107	14	3	1	0	6	27	3	1	0	131	205	178	383	47	162	23	5	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	TB	0%	227	206	41	7	2	1	14	57	5	4	1	195	262	261	523	66	260	25	6	242	50	-14	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	TB	34%	188	170	35	6	1	2	12	47	4	3	1	201	269	277	545	76	263	25	6	251	56	-10	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
2028	20	MLB CTX	TB	34%	65	60	12	2	0	1	4	16	1	1	0	203	271	278	549	75	267	25	6	252	56	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	65	60	12	2	0	1	4	16	1	1	0	200	262	283	545	83	256	25	6	252	33	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	600	120	20	0	10	40	160	10	10	0	200	262	283	545	83	256	25	6	252	33	-34	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.2
Career	—	MLE		—	559	493	85	13	3	3	33	131	23	12	2	172	257	229	486	57	225	23	6	217	33	-16	+1	+0	-2	+6	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	98	15	3	3	38	152	27	14	2	171	255	223	479	52	224	23	6	217	33	-36	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kadil Rubio (OGILVIE)	19	25	20	50	30	194/260/259	65	260	1	2	25%	6%	50	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dennys Riera 2024 · A	19	31	36→40	48→50	42	157/222/222	65	212	4	6	27%	6%	27	-4.0	171/249/237	66	229	3	7	25%	6%	41	-3.0	156/245/214	58	204	3	7	23%	6%	36	-0.9
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2010 · A	19	36	36→40	50	40	174/222/238	64	225	4	13	24%	5%	30	-3.8	191/255/286	95	231	8	12	20%	6%	54	-2.0	196/255/291	94	243	9	9	22%	6%	53	-1.0
✕Adonis Paula 2013 · A	19	36	36→40	48→40	38	174/232/240	66	253	3	8	31%	5%	34	-3.5	184/249/254	70	260	3	5	28%	6%	44	-2.8	164/227/230	66	246	3	2	33%	6%	29	-1.3
✕Luis Andujar 2019 · A	19	40	36→30	53→50	41	189/245/254	65	270	3	9	30%	6%	42	-2.9	201/270/270	69	272	3	10	25%	8%	55	-1.9	192/273/252	60	253	1	12	22%	9%	53	-0.9
✕Kenny Hart 2009 · A	19	38	35→40	45→50	38	180/233/235	54	250	2	6	28%	5%	33	-3.6	189/274/262	73	251	4	9	25%	8%	57	-1.8	170/275/246	76	218	5	12	22%	9%	53	-0.7
✕Jose Cordoba 2022 · A	19	38	38→40	45→55	40	184/244/257	73	246	5	8	27%	5%	43	-2.8	198/254/290	92	276	7	10	29%	6%	54	-2.0	203/257/294	91	267	4	15	24%	5%	53	-0.9
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	37	37→40	52→55	39	182/236/252	70	264	4	14	31%	6%	38	-3.2	194/241/254	60	283	3	7	31%	5%	40	-3.1	183/218/203	20	254	0	3	27%	4%	17	-1.3
✕Miguel Alfonzo 2007 · A	19	35	35→40	46→50	44	169/241/227	58	243	3	9	30%	8%	35	-3.4	198/272/274	76	309	6	10	35%	7%	58	-1.7	196/275/270	74	322	7	9	38%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Mishael Deson 2021 · A	19	39	35→30	49→55	46	186/244/248	62	238	2	15	22%	7%	40	-3.1	220/275/285	65	332	5	13	33%	7%	60	-1.6	226/285/273	48	355	5	15	35%	7%	59	-0.6
✕Joshua Magee 2011 · A	19	40	36→30	47→55	40	192/237/254	62	259	3	9	27%	5%	38	-3.2	208/255/277	69	277	4	14	25%	5%	51	-2.3	214/263/271	57	281	4	20	24%	5%	51	-0.8
✕Felix G. Santana 2014 · A	19	34	35→30	41→50	41	167/230/223	56	230	3	6	27%	6%	30	-3.8	205/263/280	75	265	4	8	23%	5%	55	-1.9	220/279/292	72	278	4	10	21%	5%	61	-0.5
✕Enger Jimenez 2014 · A	19	33	38→40	47→50	38	166/215/247	82	232	6	9	30%	5%	29	-3.8	187/243/266	79	241	4	10	23%	6%	44	-2.8	184/243/261	77	228	3	12	20%	6%	40	-1.2
✕Rafael Mejia 2017 · A	19	36	38→30	47→50	40	176/233/252	76	246	6	6	30%	6%	37	-3.3	196/235/315	119	275	14	7	33%	4%	53	-2.1	203/230/369	166	271	24	10	35%	2%	59	-0.4
✕Eduardo Urbina 2007 · A	19	35	34→30	42→50	41	170/227/221	50	227	3	7	25%	5%	28	-3.9	185/258/245	60	245	3	8	24%	7%	46	-2.6	172/256/223	51	223	3	9	22%	8%	41	-1.1
✕Robinson Medrano 2015 · A	19	38	35→40	47→45	43	183/246/244	60	251	3	7	27%	7%	40	-3.0	192/251/269	77	251	4	7	24%	7%	48	-2.5	179/238/256	77	224	5	6	22%	7%	37	-1.0
✕Esteban Mejia 2024 · A	19	39	36→40	55→50	41	188/242/257	68	263	3	15	28%	6%	41	-3.0	199/263/280	81	297	6	14	32%	7%	55	-1.9	196/265/273	77	287	7	15	32%	7%	52	-1.1
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	38	35→30	48→50	47	182/254/242	60	245	3	12	26%	8%	43	-2.8	189/250/229	40	228	1	14	16%	7%	38	-3.2	191/256/205	14	227	0	12	15%	8%	33	-1.1
✕Jonatan Santana 2007 · A	19	35	35→40	49→55	44	166/221/219	53	205	3	8	20%	5%	25	-4.1	179/246/234	55	215	2	12	16%	7%	38	-3.2	169/240/219	50	194	2	16	13%	8%	30	-1.2
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	36	37→40	45→40	39	173/235/244	71	229	4	7	25%	4%	36	-3.3	195/255/265	70	253	5	5	24%	5%	49	-2.4	187/247/244	57	242	6	3	24%	4%	40	-0.8
✕Felix Familia 2018 · A	19	37	35→30	50→45	37	175/230/233	58	267	2	6	33%	5%	32	-3.7	177/256/228	51	241	2	6	25%	8%	41	-3.0	178/252/210	32	236	2	3	24%	7%	34	-1.1