Tanner Gillis
P
Biloxi Shuckers
Age 25
RHP
6'3" / 220 lbs
AA
peak 1.0 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION57 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127118vR 109
ERA4.79
FIP4.79
K%12.1%
BB%7.8%
K-BB%4.3%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 127 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 14 | 92 | 369 | 69 | 22 | 2 | 67% | 4.4 | 14.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 0.5% | 2.65 | 3.03 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 14 | 92 | 369 | 69 | 22 | 2 | 67% | 4.4 | 18.7% | 6.0% | 12.7% | 0.5% | 2.65 | 2.60 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 15 | 8 | 57 | 226 | 43 | 13 | 10 | 53% | 3.8 | 15.4% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 3.32 | 5.51 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | MIL | 10 | 10 | 70 | 296 | 36 | 23 | 7 | 100% | 7.0 | 12.1% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 4.79 | 4.79 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | MIL | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 12.1% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 4.79 | 4.79 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 127 | 522 | 79 | 36 | 17 | — | — | 15.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 4.13 | 5.12 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 12.1% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 4.79 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIL | 10 | 10 | 70 | 296 | 42 | 23 | 7 | 100% | 7.0 | 14.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 4.69 | 4.65 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIL | 10 | 10 | 69 | 291 | 44 | 23 | 8 | 100% | 6.9 | 14.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 4.66 | 4.66 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIL | 5 | 5 | 31 | 131 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 6.2 | 14.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 4.69 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIL | 6 | 6 | 44 | 186 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 7.3 | 14.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 4.66 | 4.66 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 11 | 76 | 320 | 47 | 26 | 8 | 100% | 6.9 | 14.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 4.67 | 4.28 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 29 | 29 | 200 | 844 | 124 | 69 | 21 | 100% | 6.8 | 14.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 4.67 | 4.28 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 36 | 22 | 149 | 595 | 87 | 40 | 14 | 61% | 4.1 | 14.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 2.3% | 2.91 | 3.97 | +2.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 48 | 30 | 200 | 800 | 117 | 54 | 18 | 61% | 4.1 | 14.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 2.3% | 2.91 | 3.97 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tanner Gillis (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.79 | 12.1% | 7.8% | 2.4% | — | 4.65 | 14.6% | 6.6% | 139 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Bryce Morrow R 2028 · 4.48 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.48 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.7% | .316 | 5.59 | 10.1% | -0.2% | 50 | +1.11 | 4.48 | 125 | 90 |
| Carlos Frías R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.16 | 14.1% | 7.2% | 2.5% | .320 | 4.70 | 13.0% | 2.6% | 74 | +0.54 | 3.64 | 204 | 87 |
| Alex Sanabia R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.47 | 11.4% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .358 | 3.56 | 11.1% | 6.2% | 161 | -0.91 | 3.51 | 378 | 86 |
| Brandon White R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.90 | 14.4% | 7.7% | 1.9% | .285 | 4.08 | 24.9% | 18.7% | 71 | +0.18 | 3.90 | 264 | 83 |
| Mike Augliera R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.28 | 12.0% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .350 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 114 | 83 |
| Ryan Long R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.41 | 13.1% | 9.6% | 2.2% | .276 | 5.13 | 25.9% | 13.3% | 40 | +0.72 | 4.13 | 405 | 83 |
| Tony Bucciferro R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.96 | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.96 | 107 | 83 |
| Colin Bates R 2028 · 4.59 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.59 | 10.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 111 | 83 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2028 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.13 | 11.6% | 9.8% | 3.2% | .263 | 4.14 | 15.3% | 5.2% | 167 | -0.99 | 3.84 | 272 | 82 |
| Brooks Hall R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.03 | 14.3% | 6.9% | 2.3% | .291 | 3.94 | 14.0% | 7.0% | 153 | -0.09 | 3.46 | 274 | 82 |
| Scott McGregor R 2029 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.19 | 11.8% | 7.6% | 2.1% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 107 | 82 |
| Frank Batista R 2027 · 4.33 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.33 | 12.1% | 8.2% | 2.2% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 118 | 82 |
| Stolmy Pimentel R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.28 | 16.0% | 10.5% | 2.2% | .338 | 3.79 | 13.6% | 3.1% | 72 | -0.49 | 3.79 | 143 | 82 |
| Joel De La Cruz R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.28 | 10.3% | 6.7% | 2.2% | .276 | 4.47 | 14.4% | 5.8% | 120 | +0.19 | 4.28 | 205 | 81 |
| Marco Camarena R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.53 | 11.0% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .365 | 3.81 | 8.4% | 0.9% | 73 | -0.72 | 3.81 | 142 | 81 |
| Adam Panayotovich R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.45 | 9.6% | 9.0% | 3.7% | .375 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 121 | 80 |
| Ryan Etsell R 2024 · 3.79 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.79 | 14.7% | 6.4% | 2.0% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 110 | 80 |
| Mike McCarthy R 2028 · 4.79 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.79 | 9.4% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .280 | 4.77 | 6.2% | -3.5% | 37 | -0.02 | 4.77 | 153 | 80 |
| Ivan Zavala R 2029 · 4.50 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.50 | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | .312 | 4.84 | 12.2% | 4.3% | 50 | +0.34 | 4.31 | 209 | 80 |
| Steven Bruce R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.70 | 14.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% | .300 | 3.62 | 15.0% | 9.8% | 94 | -0.08 | 3.62 | 148 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 70 | 13.8% | 7.9% | 0.97 | 4.71 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Chris Rusin ('18) | 4 | 89 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 1.01 | 4.43 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |