Zach Evans — OGILVIE

Zach Evans3B Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 25 R/R 6'3" / 210 lbs A+ HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .261 / .273

PA1

HR0

K%24

BB%6

BABIP275

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	23	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	105	98	19	2	0	0	5	34	1	1	0	194	240	214	455	20	297	32	5	211	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	430	379	112	20	1	3	42	67	4	14	3	296	372	377	749	82	347	16	10	338	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	296	270	60	14	1	3	23	57	0	3	2	222	283	315	598	93	269	19	8	270	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	23	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	105	99	15	1	0	0	4	44	1	1	0	152	192	162	354	10	269	42	4	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	430	391	95	15	1	2	30	95	4	14	3	243	304	302	605	59	304	22	7	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	296	277	52	11	1	2	16	73	0	3	2	188	232	256	488	69	244	25	5	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	535	490	110	16	1	2	34	139	5	15	3	224	282	273	555	49	305	26	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	535	477	131	22	1	3	47	101	5	15	3	275	346	344	690	69	339	19	9	313	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	296	277	52	11	1	2	16	73	0	3	2	188	232	256	488	69	245	25	5	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	296	270	60	14	1	3	23	57	0	3	2	222	283	315	598	93	269	19	8	270	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	535	491	110	16	1	2	34	139	5	15	3	224	282	273	555	49	297	26	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	296	278	52	11	1	2	16	73	0	3	2	187	232	255	487	68	244	25	5	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	535	491	110	16	1	2	34	139	5	15	3	224	282	273	555	49	297	26	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	296	278	52	11	1	2	16	73	0	3	2	187	232	255	487	68	244	25	5	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SD	0%	346	320	69	13	1	2	21	85	2	5	2	213	264	279	543	66	281	25	6	247	54	-19	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	SD	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	210	261	273	534	64	275	0	0	244	54	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	SD	30%	280	260	56	10	1	3	17	69	1	4	1	217	269	294	563	78	281	25	6	255	59	-14	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.6
2029	27	MLB MLE	SD	42%	329	303	66	12	1	3	21	81	2	5	2	217	271	298	568	80	281	25	6	258	60	-15	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.7
2028	26	MLB CTX	SD	30%	85	80	17	3	0	1	5	21	0	1	0	213	266	289	555	76	276	25	6	252	59	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	SD	42%	137	126	26	5	0	1	9	34	1	2	1	214	267	292	559	78	276	25	7	254	60	-6	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	222	206	43	8	0	2	14	55	1	3	1	209	262	277	539	68	273	25	6	253	53	-11	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	603	126	23	0	6	41	161	3	9	3	209	263	277	540	68	273	25	6	253	53	-31	+1	+0	+2	+14	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	1685	1557	333	58	5	12	103	422	9	31	9	214	267	281	547	67	283	25	6	247	53	-43	+1	+0	+3	+19	-2.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	601	129	22	2	5	40	163	3	12	3	215	267	283	550	68	284	25	6	247	53	-32	+1	+0	+2	+14	-1.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	223	2	4	218	268	298	+2	+3	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	7	10	+7.1	+8.9	-0.4	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Zach Evans (OGILVIE)	25	55	25	50	40	211/262/277	65	281	2	4	25%	6%	54	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alfredo Rodriguez 2019 · AA	25	44→54	36→30	46→45	41	210/253/271	60	270	4	10	23%	5%	49	-2.4	226/265/285	59	284	3	10	20%	4%	55	-1.9	231/265/282	51	296	2	8	22%	3%	52	-1.4
✕Evan Mendoza 2021 · AAA	25	48→52	38→30	49→50	42	230/273/308	78	295	6	7	24%	5%	64	-1.3	214/268/273	59	284	4	17	24%	7%	55	-2.0	209/266/256	47	272	3	19	23%	7%	48	-1.3
✕Blake Trahan 2019 · AAA	25	46→51	35→30	46→50	45	218/273/277	59	279	3	10	22%	6%	57	-1.8	206/254/286	80	275	7	8	26%	5%	53	-2.1	182/220/253	72	242	7	4	27%	4%	30	-2.4
✕Cobie Fletcher-Vance 2023 · AA	25	45→46	37→40	46→45	45	215/274/288	73	268	5	6	21%	6%	61	-1.5	216/271/309	93	284	7	6	25%	6%	65	-1.2	206/261/303	96	281	6	0	27%	5%	56	-0.7
✕Shawn Roof 2010 · AA	25	49	35→30	47→50	44	231/288/287	57	299	2	10	22%	6%	65	-1.2	235/286/292	57	305	2	15	22%	5%	65	-1.2	238/286/278	40	308	0	19	21%	5%	58	-0.6
✕Maikis De La Cruz 2016 · A	25	44→49	37→40	48→50	39	208/251/282	74	290	4	11	29%	5%	50	-2.3	204/248/279	75	277	5	9	27%	6%	49	-2.4	194/233/256	62	251	5	8	24%	5%	34	-2.1
✕Erick Castillo 2018 · AA	25	43	36→30	46→30	41	207/254/268	61	269	4	3	24%	5%	49	-2.4	206/253/281	75	262	6	5	23%	5%	51	-2.3	188/246/227	39	232	3	0	20%	4%	34	-0.9
✕Yhoxian Medina 2015 · A	25	50→53	35→30	45→50	46	235/289/297	62	297	2	10	21%	6%	68	-1.0	234/282/305	71	285	4	11	18%	5%	67	-1.1	241/283/307	66	285	3	12	16%	4%	64	-0.6
✕Roberto Baldoquin 2019 · AA	25	47	38→30	46→45	39	224/270/304	79	309	5	8	28%	5%	62	-1.4	208/256/286	78	293	5	7	29%	5%	53	-2.1	187/249/230	43	255	2	3	26%	5%	36	-1.5
✕Devin Ortiz 2024 · A	25	46→47	36→30	46→50	44	208/284/268	61	318	3	7	33%	8%	61	-1.5	210/275/278	68	277	6	10	25%	7%	59	-1.6	201/266/262	61	259	7	12	24%	7%	49	-1.6
✕Joe Bonfe 2013 · AA	25	46	37→30	46→45	41	219/273/291	72	299	5	8	27%	6%	61	-1.5	226/280/310	84	319	7	9	30%	5%	68	-1.0	237/283/287	51	340	4	7	30%	3%	63	-0.3
✕Jeremy Dowdy 2015 · A	25	48	37→40	49→30	42	229/272/301	72	298	4	5	24%	5%	61	-1.5	217/277/304	87	263	6	4	19%	7%	65	-1.2	203/272/285	81	237	6	0	16%	8%	56	-0.7
✕Matt McLaughlin 2021 · A	25	45→43	36→30	44→45	44	209/273/276	67	289	3	10	27%	7%	57	-1.8	202/264/280	78	269	6	7	25%	6%	55	-1.9	180/243/240	60	234	4	3	24%	6%	36	-1.8
✕Antonio Nunez 2018 · AA	25	45→51	34→30	47→50	46	209/279/257	48	297	2	12	28%	8%	55	-1.9	196/254/265	69	311	5	14	36%	7%	48	-2.5	153/205/203	50	272	2	19	42%	5%	14	-2.0
✕Yohannis Perez 2008 · AA	25	46→47	35→30	45→40	40	218/261/274	56	292	3	8	26%	5%	52	-2.2	218/260/290	72	282	4	5	23%	4%	55	-1.9	216/256/286	69	275	4	1	22%	4%	50	-1.3
✕Josh Bissonette 2022 · AA	25	45	37→30	45→30	44	214/266/286	72	281	5	6	25%	6%	57	-1.8	204/267/273	69	272	4	5	24%	8%	55	-2.0	185/255/232	47	249	1	1	24%	8%	38	-1.0
✕Jorge Rivero 2014 · A	25	48	37→40	48→50	44	226/269/306	79	279	3	8	20%	5%	62	-1.4	214/265/300	86	284	7	8	26%	6%	59	-1.6	198/251/274	76	259	8	7	26%	7%	45	-1.4
✕Francisco Williams 2017 · AAA	25	47	37→30	47→45	45	222/292/291	69	301	5	9	26%	7%	68	-1.0	227/274/300	73	307	7	9	27%	5%	63	-1.4	231/264/276	46	310	5	6	26%	3%	50	-0.7
✕Ronaiker Palma 2024 · AA	24	48	37→30	46→50	44	225/264/294	69	262	4	8	16%	4%	57	-1.8	223/276/285	62	274	4	10	19%	6%	60	-1.6	227/283/262	35	279	2	10	19%	6%	54	-0.6
✕Eric King 2007 · A	25	46→47	36→30	54→50	45	217/263/288	71	261	3	11	18%	5%	56	-1.9	213/263/285	72	264	4	9	20%	6%	55	-1.9	199/252/249	49	247	2	6	19%	5%	41	-1.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps