Zach Evans — OGILVIE

Zach EvansSS Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 24 R/R 6'3" / 210 lbs A+ HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION262 act + 174 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†44

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .266 / .280

PA174

HR1

K%25

BB%6

BABIP283

ISO68

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	23	A	2 teams	—	535	487	108	15	1	3	37	145	5	15	3	222	284	275	559	53	305	27	7	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	2 teams	—	535	477	131	22	1	3	47	101	5	15	3	275	346	344	690	69	339	19	9	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	A+	SD	—	262	245	48	10	1	2	14	66	0	3	2	196	239	269	509	73	257	25	5	221	27	-22	-0	+0	+3	+7	-1.2
YTD	24	A+	SD	—	262	239	54	12	1	2	20	49	0	3	2	226	286	310	595	84	274	19	8	269	64	-11	-0	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
ROS	24	A+	SD	0%	174	160	34	6	1	1	11	44	1	3	1	212	266	280	546	68	276	25	6	243	44	-11	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.4
ROS	24	MLB	SD	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						273	0	0	238	40	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	A+	SD	—	263	246	48	10	1	2	14	66	0	3	2	195	238	268	507	73	256	25	5	221	27	-22	-0	+0	+3	+7	-1.2
TOT	24	A+	SD	—	436	405	82	16	2	3	25	110	1	6	3	202	250	274	524	71	267	25	6	230	34	-33	+0	+0	+5	+12	-1.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	SD	30%	370	341	73	13	1	4	24	92	2	5	2	214	270	293	563	79	277	25	6	256	54	-19	+0	+0	+4	+10	-0.5
2028	26	MLB	SD	44%	407	375	82	15	1	6	27	101	2	6	2	219	275	312	587	93	279	25	7	264	60	-18	+0	+0	+4	+12	-0.2
2029	27	MLB	SD	49%	420	386	83	15	1	6	29	104	2	7	2	215	273	306	579	91	279	25	7	267	63	-18	+1	+0	+4	+12	-0.1
2027	25	MLB	SD	30%	112	103	21	4	0	1	7	28	1	2	1	204	261	272	533	68	274	25	6	249	49	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2028	26	MLB	SD	44%	180	165	35	6	1	2	12	45	1	3	1	212	270	297	567	85	276	25	7	257	55	-9	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.2
2029	27	MLB	SD	49%	206	189	41	7	1	3	14	51	1	3	1	217	275	312	587	95	276	25	7	260	57	-10	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	499	458	97	17	2	6	33	124	3	8	3	212	269	297	566	85	275	25	7	256	54	-26	+0	+0	+5	+14	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	127	22	3	8	43	162	4	10	4	213	271	300	570	87	276	25	7	256	54	-33	+0	+0	+7	+18	-0.8
Career	—			—	1906	1749	380	64	5	20	128	486	12	36	10	217	275	294	569	77	287	25	7	257	55	-97	+3	+0	+20	+54	-2.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	130	22	2	7	44	166	4	12	3	218	276	297	573	79	288	26	7	257	55	-33	+1	+0	+7	+18	-0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	23	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	105	98	19	2	0	0	5	34	1	1	0	194	240	214	455	20	297	32	5	211	20	-10	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2025	23	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	430	379	112	20	1	3	42	67	4	14	3	296	372	377	749	82	347	16	10	338	117	+8	+2	—	—	+12	2.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	500	7	8	218	272	309	+5	+3	-0.3	-0.1
	/162	664	9	11	218	272	309	+7.1	+4.0	-0.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Zach Evans (OGILVIE)	24	55	25	50	40	202/250/274	71	267	3	6	25%	6%	34	-1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jordan Cowan 2019 · A	24	49→53	36→30	48→50	43	232/281/293	61	304	4	10	24%	6%	59	-1.1	238/295/308	70	307	5	15	22%	7%	69	-0.4	231/294/297	65	299	5	17	23%	7%	63	-0.5
✕A.J. Pettersen 2013 · A	24	48	37→30	51→50	46	229/282/297	68	283	4	10	20%	6%	60	-1.0	206/273/270	64	252	4	9	19%	6%	51	-1.7	173/258/210	37	196	2	10	12%	6%	30	-1.6
✕Alfredo Rodriguez 2018 · A	24	48→56	35→30	44→45	41	224/265/275	51	288	3	10	23%	4%	47	-1.9	216/257/274	58	276	3	11	22%	4%	43	-2.2	230/268/284	54	294	2	9	22%	4%	48	-1.2
✕Shawn Roof 2010 · AA	25	49	35→30	47→50	43	227/285/284	57	296	2	10	23%	6%	59	-1.1	228/280/284	56	301	2	15	23%	5%	56	-1.3	228/278/266	38	301	0	19	23%	5%	47	-0.7
✕Zach Vincej 2015 · A	24	46→52	35→40	45→50	46	217/273/282	65	280	2	9	22%	6%	53	-1.5	226/276/302	76	283	5	8	21%	6%	59	-1.1	228/274/304	75	278	5	7	19%	5%	56	-0.9
✕Jorma Rodriguez 2019 · AA	23	48→52	35→30	48→50	37	224/260/287	63	307	3	10	27%	4%	48	-1.9	216/254/283	67	320	4	8	32%	4%	44	-2.1	186/207/201	15	314	0	0	40%	3%	-1	-1.1
✕Mike Martin 2017 · A	24	44	36→30	51→55	43	207/272/268	61	283	4	14	27%	7%	50	-1.7	224/273/295	71	281	4	18	21%	5%	56	-1.3	231/275/288	57	282	1	27	18%	4%	52	-0.8
✕Michael Osinski 2019 · A	23	49	37→30	47→45	42	230/287/301	72	311	5	9	26%	6%	64	-0.8	217/281/300	83	318	6	7	31%	7%	62	-0.9	178/261/231	53	286	0	0	34%	9%	34	-0.7
✕Carlos Sepulveda 2021 · A	24	46	34→30	49→45	46	215/276/269	53	285	2	12	24%	7%	51	-1.7	211/276/283	72	278	5	7	24%	8%	56	-1.3	192/260/254	62	254	5	3	25%	8%	38	-1.3
✕C.J. Chatham 2019 · A	24	48→50	37→40	47→45	37	229/265/299	70	310	5	9	27%	4%	53	-1.5	234/270/317	83	304	6	7	24%	4%	60	-1.0	240/275/324	84	303	7	5	23%	3%	63	-0.4
✕David Nicholson 2007 · AA	24	49→55	36→30	49→50	42	228/280/296	68	315	2	14	27%	6%	59	-1.1	215/279/296	81	297	5	10	27%	7%	59	-1.1	181/256/249	67	246	4	4	26%	7%	35	-1.1
✕Mitch Roman 2018 · A	23	47→52	35→30	49→50	37	223/263/280	56	307	3	10	28%	4%	47	-1.9	210/256/267	57	328	4	11	35%	5%	42	-2.3	192/243/238	46	317	2	16	38%	6%	27	-2.1
✕Calten Daal 2018 · AA	24	52→56	36→30	52→50	42	247/289/309	61	319	4	16	23%	5%	66	-0.6	242/275/312	70	326	4	10	26%	4%	60	-1.0	266/284/303	38	356	0	8	25%	2%	56	-0.6
✕Branden Cogswell 2017 · A	24	47→49	35→30	48→45	46	218/282/277	59	297	3	7	26%	8%	56	-1.3	227/281/294	67	303	2	8	24%	7%	59	-1.1	236/287/286	50	312	0	5	23%	6%	56	-0.8
✕Moisés Castillo 2023 · AA	24	45→49	37→30	46→45	44	212/279/282	69	296	5	8	28%	7%	56	-1.3	202/267/281	79	274	6	7	27%	7%	52	-1.6	172/241/241	69	230	6	3	26%	7%	27	-2.3
✕Blake Trahan 2018 · AA	24	46→51	35→30	48→50	45	215/264/276	60	265	3	13	19%	6%	47	-1.9	200/250/263	63	269	4	8	26%	5%	38	-2.6	190/240/244	54	260	4	5	27%	5%	27	-2.5
✕Brandon Lopez 2018 · A	24	50→49	34→30	47→40	43	228/290/275	47	325	1	4	28%	7%	59	-1.1	215/281/275	60	318	3	5	30%	8%	55	-1.4	197/275/231	34	300	0	2	31%	9%	40	-1.0
✕Alfredo Lopez 2014 · AA	24	50	35→30	46→50	49	235/300/297	62	289	3	12	19%	8%	69	-0.4	226/283/290	64	284	2	15	20%	7%	59	-1.1	242/288/290	48	295	1	20	17%	5%	56	-0.4
✕Grant Little 2021 · A	24	43	36→30	51→55	46	204/264/272	68	264	3	8	23%	7%	47	-1.9	214/293/289	75	298	5	18	27%	8%	65	-0.7	202/296/247	46	288	2	28	27%	8%	54	-0.6
✕Yhoxian Medina 2015 · A	25	50→53	35→30	45→50	46	234/290/298	64	299	2	10	22%	7%	64	-0.8	232/280/302	70	284	4	11	19%	5%	61	-1.0	236/278/300	63	280	2	12	16%	4%	56	-0.6