Michael Ross

P Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 205 lbs A+ peak 0.6 · 2031

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	23	AMIN	20	16	82	3.18	3.58	22.0%	8.4%	—	K 16.3% · BB 9.9% · FIP 4.82
2026	24	A+MIN	30	10	97	6.66	4.38	18.3%	6.7%	—	K 14.1% · BB 7.6% · FIP 5.32
2027PROJ	25	MLBMIN	67	0	70	5.42	5.42	13.2%	9.5%	-0.7
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBMIN	36	0	38	5.25	5.22	15.0%	9.2%	-0.3
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBMIN	51	0	54	5.18	5.18	15.5%	9.2%	-0.4

Next 3 projected WAR -1.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff35Control45Command40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsHunter Adkins (age 25) · Dennis O'Grady (age 26) · Marco Camarena (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 120

ERA5.42

FIP5.42

K%13.2%

BB%9.5%

K-BB%3.8%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL4545

CMD4040

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	23	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	20	16	82	346	76	29	8	80%	4.1	16.3%	9.9%	6.4%	3.3%	3.18	4.82	—
2025	23	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	20	16	82	346	76	29	8	80%	4.1	16.3%	9.9%	6.4%	3.3%	3.18	4.82	—
2025	23	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	20	16	82	346	76	29	8	80%	4.1	22.0%	8.4%	13.6%	2.3%	3.18	3.58	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	30	10	97	421	77	28	15	33%	3.2	14.1%	7.6%	6.4%	4.5%	6.66	5.32	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	30	10	97	421	77	28	15	33%	3.2	14.1%	7.6%	6.4%	4.5%	6.66	5.32	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	30	10	97	421	77	28	15	33%	3.2	18.3%	6.7%	11.6%	3.6%	6.66	4.38	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	MIN	67	0	70	296	39	28	10	0%	1.0	13.2%	9.5%	3.8%	3.4%	5.42	5.42	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIN	83	0	88	370	56	34	12	0%	1.1	15.0%	9.2%	5.8%	3.3%	5.25	5.22	-0.6
2029	27	MLB MLE	MIN	82	0	86	364	57	34	12	0%	1.1	15.5%	9.2%	6.3%	3.4%	5.18	5.18	-0.6
2030	28	MLB MLE	MIN	80	0	84	353	56	33	12	0%	1.0	15.7%	9.3%	6.5%	3.5%	5.19	5.22	-0.6
2031	29	MLB MLE	MIN	76	0	80	337	60	29	12	0%	1.1	17.6%	8.7%	9.0%	3.6%	5.10	5.06	-0.5
2032	30	MLB MLE	MIN	72	0	75	317	55	28	12	0%	1.0	17.3%	9.0%	8.3%	3.8%	5.18	5.24	-0.6
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIN	36	0	38	160	24	15	5	0%	1.1	15.0%	9.2%	5.8%	3.3%	5.25	5.22	-0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	MIN	51	0	54	228	35	21	8	0%	1.1	15.5%	9.2%	6.3%	3.4%	5.18	5.18	-0.4
2030	28	MLB CTX	MIN	60	0	63	266	42	25	9	0%	1.1	15.7%	9.3%	6.5%	3.5%	5.19	5.22	-0.5
2031	29	MLB CTX	MIN	62	0	65	274	48	24	10	0%	1.0	17.6%	8.7%	9.0%	3.6%	5.10	5.06	-0.4
2032	30	MLB CTX	MIN	61	0	64	270	47	24	10	0%	1.0	17.3%	9.0%	8.3%	3.8%	5.18	5.24	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		271	0	284	1200	197	109	42	0%	1.0	16.4%	9.0%	7.3%	3.5%	5.17	4.80	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	139	77	30	0%	1.1	16.4%	9.0%	7.3%	3.5%	5.17	4.80	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		50	26	179	767	116	66	30	52%	3.6	15.1%	8.7%	6.4%	4.0%	5.07	5.10	-1.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		56	29	200	855	129	74	34	52%	3.6	15.1%	8.7%	6.4%	4.0%	5.07	5.10	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Michael Ross (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.42	13.2%	9.5%	3.4%	—	5.21	15.4%	6.2%	258	-0.21	—	—	—
Hunter Adkins R 2016 · 4.64 FIP	25	SW	4.64	16.2%	10.3%	2.9%	.290	4.82	11.8%	0.5%	58	+0.18	4.64	160	86
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	84
Marco Camarena R 2016 · 4.49 FIP	25	SW	4.49	11.0%	9.3%	2.1%	.365	3.75	8.4%	0.9%	73	-0.74	3.75	142	84
Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 4.31 FIP	24	SW	4.31	16.3%	8.9%	2.7%	.277	4.32	19.4%	10.4%	102	+0.01	3.50	186	83
Yaisel Sierra R 2016 · 4.32 FIP	25	SW	4.32	16.9%	8.6%	2.8%	.338	3.04	22.4%	12.3%	71	-1.28	3.04	176	83
Bryce Morrow R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	12.8%	7.9%	2.4%	.316	5.44	10.1%	-0.2%	50	+1.13	4.31	125	83
Jake Bray R 2018 · 5.37 FIP	25	SP-	5.37	15.4%	11.2%	3.9%	.294	5.65	20.5%	7.7%	61	+0.28	2.51	198	82
Paulshawn Pasqualotto R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	15.6%	9.5%	3.4%	.354	3.77	20.2%	10.8%	111	-1.07	3.73	186	81
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	81
Jorge Sosa R 2002 · 5.77 FIP	25	SW	5.77	11.1%	12.4%	3.7%	.228	4.55	15.7%	5.5%	362	-1.22	4.06	773	81
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	81
Tyler Santana R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	25	SW	4.43	15.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.306	5.01	15.0%	4.8%	193	+0.58	3.37	401	80
David Rodriguez R 2024 · 4.50 FIP	22	SP-	4.50	13.5%	11.7%	1.9%	.316	3.85	16.9%	9.9%	125	-0.65	3.80	184	80
Cooper Adams R 2024 · 5.42 FIP	24	SW	5.42	13.0%	12.2%	3.4%	.275	4.32	21.7%	10.4%	141	-1.10	3.05	221	79
Adam Panayotovich R 2017 · 5.45 FIP	25	SP-	5.45	9.6%	9.0%	3.7%	.375	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	121	79
Carlos Sano R 2018 · 4.82 FIP	25	SP-	4.82	17.6%	11.2%	3.3%	.282	9.22	19.7%	7.1%	18	+4.40	4.82	105	79
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	78
Denny Bautista R 2006 · 4.71 FIP	25	SP-	4.71	13.9%	10.8%	2.6%	.298	4.58	17.5%	3.3%	74	-0.13	3.38	238	78
Jose Reyes R 2016 · 5.11 FIP	25	SW	5.11	11.0%	8.2%	3.5%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	4.25	225	78
Matthew Shepherd R 2015 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	13.7%	9.5%	3.3%	.390	—	—	—	—	—	4.98	116	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.4	80	15.8%	9.1%	1.35	5.22
Rocky Biddle ('04)	1.9	76	15.3%	9.9%	1.40	5.47
Gary Glover ('08)	2.6	86	14.3%	8.1%	1.29	5.03
Bob Priddy ('62-'71, -1 WAR*)	2.7	77	16.3%*	9.0%*	1.43*	4.80*
J. C. Ramirez ('13-'19, -0 WAR*)	1.4	72	15.1%*	8.7%*	1.30*	4.83*
Scott Bailes ('86-'98, -3 WAR*)	3.4	76	15.4%*	8.2%*	1.35*	5.02*
Rich Folkers ('70-'77, -0 WAR*)	2.1	85	19.1%*	8.8%*	1.35*	4.91*