Player 827414 — OGILVIE

Player 827414— DSL Phillies

Age — —/— ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION98 act + 65 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .337 / .355

PA65

HR1

K%32

BB%12

BABIP350

ISO124

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	PHI	—	98	78	18	2	1	2	15	32	2	1	1	231	368	359	727	128	340	33	15	313	98	-0	-0	+0	-2	+3	0.1
YTD	—	ROK	PHI	—	98	68	19	2	1	2	25	22	2	1	1	279	484	426	911	147	362	22	26	407	170	+8	-0	+0	-2	+3	0.9
ROS	—	ROK	PHI	0%	65	56	13	2	1	1	8	21	1	1	0	231	337	355	692	124	299	32	12	281	74	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
ROS	—	MLB	PHI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		301	—	—	273	67	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	PHI	—	98	79	18	2	1	2	15	32	2	1	1	228	368	354	723	127	333	33	15	313	98	-0	-0	+0	-2	+3	0.1
TOT	—	ROK	PHI	—	163	134	31	4	2	3	23	53	3	2	1	231	356	357	713	127	344	32	14	300	88	-2	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	PHI	0%	160	139	29	4	1	3	18	49	2	2	1	209	308	317	625	108	296	31	11	284	76	-4	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.3
2028	25	MLB	PHI	0%	306	265	55	8	2	5	34	91	4	5	2	208	307	309	616	102	296	30	11	288	79	-7	+0	+0	-5	+9	-0.4
2027	25	MLB	PHI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		298	—	—	277	70	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB	PHI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		298	—	—	281	73	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	531	460	97	14	4	9	60	161	7	8	3	211	311	317	628	106	300	30	11	286	77	-14	+0	+0	-9	+15	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	563	119	17	5	11	73	197	9	10	4	211	312	318	630	107	301	30	11	286	77	-17	+0	+0	-12	+18	-1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	624	10	10	208	303	310	-8	+0	-0.6	-0.3
	/162	664	11	10	208	303	310	-8.3	+0.0	-0.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 827414 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	231/356/357	127	344	3	2	32%	14%	88	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dwanya Williams-Sutton 2021 · A	24	41	41→45	50	45	190/309/282	92	303	8	10	35%	10%	72	-0.2	207/308/334	127	335	14	13	39%	9%	85	+0.7	165/295/298	133	275	17	18	41%	11%	70	-0.1
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Jimmy Herron 2021 · A	25	39→45	40→45	48→55	48	189/266/279	90	247	8	14	26%	8%	51	-1.7	208/286/327	119	270	12	18	26%	9%	72	-0.2	212/289/340	128	261	15	24	24%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Kevin Heller 2015 · AA	25	42→45	41→45	49→50	41	199/277/296	97	295	8	11	33%	7%	60	-1.0	215/292/327	112	323	10	11	34%	7%	75	-0.0	213/294/326	113	325	12	12	35%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2023 · A	25	41→43	39→45	47→50	45	200/275/283	83	276	7	13	29%	8%	56	-1.3	207/278/312	105	288	10	11	30%	8%	64	-0.8	165/242/293	128	222	16	8	33%	8%	42	-0.6
✕Jose Pineda 2007 · A	25	42→40	43→45	50→45	43	208/278/319	111	295	11	10	32%	8%	66	-0.6	219/274/365	146	305	17	7	33%	6%	76	+0.1	215/264/384	170	287	22	3	33%	5%	74	-0.0
✕Devlin Granberg 2021 · A	25	45→44	40→45	46→45	42	215/280/307	92	291	7	6	27%	6%	64	-0.8	239/298/388	149	291	16	8	23%	5%	92	+1.2	243/303/402	159	290	18	8	22%	5%	94	+0.8
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→50	48→30	43	190/254/280	90	264	9	6	30%	7%	46	-2.0	212/278/349	137	295	17	3	32%	8%	74	-0.1	203/274/342	139	279	18	1	32%	9%	67	-0.3
✕J.E. Cruz 2006 · A	25	38→48	42→45	52→45	43	192/260/290	98	265	10	12	30%	7%	51	-1.7	209/280/310	101	283	7	8	27%	8%	64	-0.8	206/280/308	102	277	6	6	26%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	40	41→45	48→55	46	193/273/296	103	282	8	8	32%	9%	58	-1.2	214/297/319	105	298	10	14	29%	9%	75	-0.0	219/304/318	98	295	10	19	27%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Kyle Datres 2021 · A	25	39→40	45→50	51→55	41	198/264/325	127	271	12	15	31%	6%	62	-0.9	206/284/345	139	284	16	22	32%	8%	76	+0.1	198/283/340	141	269	18	27	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Huascar Fuentes 2017 · A	25	42	41→50	49→45	39	203/271/309	106	277	8	7	28%	5%	61	-1.0	201/257/280	79	289	4	6	30%	5%	47	-1.9	174/223/233	60	252	0	2	29%	3%	17	-1.0
✕Jackson Brennan 2008 · A	25	44→42	42→45	47→50	47	211/303/316	105	285	9	10	27%	8%	77	+0.1	211/299/300	89	300	7	10	29%	9%	71	-0.3	171/289/188	17	273	0	6	32%	12%	37	-0.5
✕Tristin English 2022 · A	25	36→46	44→50	45→40	37	184/250/289	105	269	13	9	35%	6%	47	-1.9	209/270/331	122	278	15	5	29%	6%	66	-0.6	219/273/352	133	276	16	2	26%	5%	69	-0.3
✕Sean Jamieson 2014 · A	25	42→43	43→45	50	42	207/270/323	116	273	10	12	27%	6%	63	-0.8	226/283/329	103	310	8	9	28%	6%	70	-0.3	228/286/321	93	317	7	7	29%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Marty Gantt 2015 · A	25	46→45	40→45	51→50	42	218/282/319	100	311	7	11	30%	7%	67	-0.5	220/289/331	111	296	9	11	27%	8%	73	-0.1	208/283/321	112	268	11	12	25%	8%	66	-0.3
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/255/258	80	271	7	11	34%	9%	40	-2.4	199/285/312	113	313	12	8	37%	9%	68	-0.5	163/272/277	114	257	15	5	39%	11%	52	-0.5
✕Sean Bouchard 2021 · A	25	39→41	43→55	47→50	38	194/251/304	110	295	10	10	36%	6%	50	-1.7	216/293/388	172	295	19	12	31%	9%	91	+1.1	210/314/386	176	278	19	16	30%	12%	96	+0.7
✕Ryan McCarthy 2008 · A	25	43	39→45	48→45	43	206/269/289	83	286	6	6	29%	7%	54	-1.4	220/275/329	109	291	10	7	26%	6%	67	-0.5	214/263/335	121	269	12	4	25%	6%	58	-0.4