Player 825750 DSL Padres Gold
Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION52 act + 106 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+80
AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .314 / .300
PA106
HR1
K%30
BB%13
BABIP293
ISO100
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: +0.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+1BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.30.00.00.10.2262830
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD ROKDSL Padres Gold 5239 11500 11141 10 282451410861 128423 2721 384 152 +3 +0 +0 -1 +1 0.4
YTD ROKDSL Padres Gold 5232 12600 18101 10 3756085621.170 188522 1935 508 247 +9 +0 +0 -1 +1 1.0
ROS ROK 0% 10690 18601 14321 10 200314300614 100305 3013 290 80 -2 +0 +0 -2 +3 -0.1
ROS MLB 0% 01 0000 000 00 305 290 80 +0 -0
FULL ROK 5240 11500 11141 10 275451400851 125407 2721 384 152 +3 +0 +0 -1 +1 0.4
TOT ROK 158129 291101 25462 20 225359333692 109333 2916 321 104 +1 +0 +0 -3 +4 0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLB 0% 160136 29911 21472 20 213327316643 103302 2913 292 82 -3 +0 +0 -3 +5 -0.1
202825 MLB 0% 306261 551613 39883 31 211320314634 103301 2913 295 84 -6 +0 +0 -5 +9 -0.2
202925 MLB 0% 404345 742125 511155 41 214324330655 116300 2813 297 86 -7 +0 +0 -7 +11 -0.2
203025 MLB 0% 469403 862426 581335 51 213320328647 114300 2812 298 86 -7 +1 +0 -8 +13 -0.2
202725 MLB 0% 01 0000 000 00 302 292 82 +0 -0
202825 MLB 0% 01 0000 000 00 301 295 84 +0 -0
202925 MLB 0% 01 0000 000 00 300 297 86 +0 -0
203025 MLB 0% 01 0000 000 00 300 298 86 +0 -0
▸ Career Totals
Career 14451235 26276616 18341516 153 212321322644 110303 2913 296 85 -25 +2 +0 -26 +41 -0.8
/ 162G 650556 1183437 821877 71 212321322643 110303 2913 296 85 -11 +1 +0 -12 +18 -0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23
career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA
102,7534277228318337+4+55.36.0
/1626641019+1.0+1.31.3pk7: 7
#2Gabe Grosslast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA
71,6824022239330385-14+115.15.1
/162664169-5.7+4.42.0pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA
72,1983552238326354-4-34.34.3
/1626641116-1.3-0.81.3pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA
62,3474631241304367-5+73.83.8
/162664139-1.3+1.91.1pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
#6Abraham O. Nunezlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,389 PA
82,3891724246315322+2+92.52.7
/16266457+0.5+2.50.7pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
51,4971717211317320-17+00.00.2
/16266477-7.6+0.00.0pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Player 825750 (OGILVIE) 25 225/359/333 109333 12 29% 16% 104 +0.3
Maxwell Costes
2023 · A
24 47 38→50 50→45 55 216/320/294 78299 58 26% 12% 79 +0.3 206/285/319 113263 127 25% 7% 70 -0.3 188/269/29811023114625%7%56-0.5
David MacKinnon
2021 · A
26 47→50 39→45 47→30 55 218/318/303 85302 65 27% 12% 79 +0.3 233/307/368 135300 124 25% 9% 91 +1.1 233/310/37614329413224%9%92+0.8
Devlin Granberg
2021 · A
25 45→44 40→45 46→45 42 215/280/307 92291 76 27% 6% 64 -0.8 239/298/388 149291 168 23% 5% 92 +1.2 243/303/40215929018822%5%94+0.8
Reid Fronk
2011 · A
25 45→48 40→45 47→50 48 211/299/306 95287 69 26% 9% 72 -0.2 204/284/292 88294 58 29% 9% 62 -0.9 178/264/262842645431%9%44-1.3
Joe Bennie
2016 · A
25 44→54 41→45 48→45 45 207/282/312 105319 89 35% 9% 66 -0.6 231/291/343 112340 106 32% 7% 77 +0.1 255/308/36911435811430%6%86+0.7
Gordon Gronkowski
2007 · A
24 47 37→45 49→45 45 215/282/290 75317 46 31% 8% 59 -1.1 215/268/315 100326 84 34% 6% 60 -1.0 206/259/3111053128235%6%52-0.7
Jantzen Witte
2014 · A
24 44→54 37→50 51→45 43 208/269/288 80296 47 29% 7% 53 -1.5 245/296/361 116310 85 22% 6% 84 +0.6 253/305/3701173147421%6%89+0.7
Nick Podkul
2021 · A
24 43 38→50 52→50 48 205/281/287 81278 514 26% 8% 59 -1.1 205/289/343 138278 168 30% 9% 78 +0.2 208/303/36715928421332%10%85+0.3
David Hensley
2021 · A
25 42→52 40→45 44→55 39 202/251/290 88295 78 33% 6% 46 -2.0 237/311/359 122350 1014 32% 10% 90 +1.0 233/319/359126346101532%11%90+0.8
Anthony Prato
2022 · A
24 47→48 36→45 49→55 49 213/306/279 66310 311 29% 10% 69 -0.4 214/304/326 112305 915 30% 10% 79 +0.3 206/303/32111529091629%10%75-0.0
Mitchell Tolman
2019 · A
25 44→50 39→45 46→50 47 209/288/295 86289 710 28% 9% 64 -0.8 213/282/321 108300 109 30% 8% 68 -0.5 221/294/35012929013827%7%77+0.1
Anthony Aliotti
2011 · A
24 46→53 39→45 49→40 49 211/299/298 87313 68 32% 10% 69 -0.4 233/307/339 106339 104 31% 9% 83 +0.6 240/313/35511534312131%9%88+0.8
Blake Miller
2014 · A
24 46→54 37→45 49→45 45 208/296/281 73322 46 33% 9% 64 -0.8 237/287/340 103324 86 28% 5% 75 -0.0 247/294/3571103328527%5%80+0.2
Dwanya Williams-Sutton
2021 · A
24 41 41→45 50 45 190/309/282 92303 810 35% 10% 72 -0.2 207/308/334 127335 1413 39% 9% 85 +0.7 165/295/298133275171841%11%70-0.1
Matthew Page
2017 · A
25 48→50 40→45 48→45 45 229/287/329 100311 65 27% 7% 71 -0.3 208/266/300 92323 77 35% 7% 56 -1.3 148/211/204562663442%7%4-1.5
Brendt Citta
2021 · A
25 45 39→45 45→30 44 211/284/301 90288 66 27% 7% 64 -0.8 213/267/315 102311 83 32% 6% 59 -1.1 201/258/3061052979134%5%51-0.8
Dan Nelson
2009 · A
25 45→51 37→45 48→50 51 213/291/287 74283 413 25% 10% 63 -0.9 231/294/340 109288 910 22% 8% 78 +0.2 241/300/35511429210820%7%81+0.3
Corey Julks
2021 · AA
25 43→51 40→55 48→55 44 206/273/302 95290 712 30% 8% 59 -1.1 226/284/379 153298 1817 29% 7% 84 +0.6 227/289/390162290202128%7%86+0.6
Justin Howard
2012 · A
24 47 38→45 44→45 48 220/289/304 84309 47 28% 9% 66 -0.6 235/297/340 105329 87 29% 7% 79 +0.3 238/298/35311533110529%7%79+0.1
Ryan McCarthy
2008 · A
25 43 39→45 48→45 43 206/269/289 83286 66 29% 7% 54 -1.4 220/275/329 109291 107 26% 6% 67 -0.5 214/263/33512126912425%6%58-0.4