Jesus Morales

C ACL Royals

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 165 lbs ROK HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Royals Ve…	110	.198/.361/.244	0	2	15	—	.118/.241/.140
2026	18	ROKKC	70	.177/.261/.210	0	1	-24	—	.109/.174/.141
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBKC	180	.204/.272/.276	1	2	57	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBKC	54	.208/.277/.291	1	1	63	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBKC	145	.212/.283/.305	2	2	69	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed74

Chase%11

ISO7

Whiff%6

BB%5

wOBA2

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsCarlos Franco (age 19) · Rainer Nunez (age 20) · Mike McDade (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 67 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .270 / .274

PA67

HR0

K%28

BB%8

ISO73

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$18M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	16	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	86	74	10	1	1	0	12	16	0	2	1	135	256	176	431	41	172	19	14	215	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	110	86	17	4	0	0	20	16	2	2	1	198	361	244	605	47	236	15	18	294	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	ACL Royals	—	70	62	11	0	1	0	5	29	2	1	0	177	261	210	471	32	333	41	7	223	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	86	77	8	1	1	0	9	19	0	2	1	104	198	143	341	39	123	22	10	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	110	93	11	2	0	0	13	20	2	2	1	118	241	140	381	22	146	18	12	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	70	64	7	0	1	0	3	42	2	1	0	109	174	141	315	31	272	60	4	132	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	86	77	8	1	1	0	9	19	0	2	1	104	198	143	341	39	138	22	10	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	16	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	86	74	10	1	1	0	12	16	0	2	1	135	256	176	431	41	172	19	14	215	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	110	93	11	2	0	0	13	20	2	2	1	118	241	140	381	22	147	18	12	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	—	110	86	17	4	0	0	20	16	2	2	1	198	361	244	605	47	236	15	18	294	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	70	64	7	0	1	0	3	42	2	1	0	109	174	141	315	31	318	60	4	132	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	—	70	62	11	0	1	0	5	29	2	1	0	177	261	210	471	32	333	41	7	223	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	86	77	8	1	1	0	9	19	0	2	1	104	198	143	341	39	123	22	10	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	110	94	11	2	0	0	13	20	2	2	1	117	241	138	379	21	146	18	12	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	70	65	7	0	1	0	3	42	2	1	0	108	174	138	312	31	272	60	4	132	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	86	77	8	1	1	0	9	19	0	2	1	104	198	143	341	39	123	22	10	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	110	94	11	2	0	0	13	20	2	2	1	117	241	138	379	21	146	18	12	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	70	65	7	0	1	0	3	42	2	1	0	108	174	138	312	31	272	60	4	132	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	KC	0%	180	162	32	5	1	1	14	51	2	2	1	204	272	276	548	73	285	28	8	252	57	-9	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	KC	34%	158	143	30	5	1	2	12	44	2	2	1	209	279	294	573	85	287	28	8	262	63	-7	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	KC	48%	299	271	57	9	2	4	23	82	3	4	2	214	284	309	594	96	288	27	8	270	69	-11	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	KC	54%	404	364	79	13	3	6	32	109	5	5	2	218	289	322	611	105	289	27	8	277	74	-13	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.4
2031	23	MLB MLE	KC	57%	475	429	95	15	4	9	37	127	6	6	2	221	292	333	625	112	290	27	8	283	77	-13	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.7
2032	24	MLB MLE	KC	57%	520	468	105	17	4	10	41	137	6	7	3	224	295	342	637	118	292	26	8	287	81	-12	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2033	25	MLB MLE	KC	57%	520	468	106	17	4	11	41	137	6	7	3	225	296	346	642	121	292	26	8	289	82	-11	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2034	26	MLB MLE	KC	56%	520	468	106	17	4	11	41	137	6	6	3	225	296	348	645	123	291	26	8	290	82	-11	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2035	27	MLB MLE	KC	55%	520	468	106	17	4	11	41	138	6	6	3	224	295	346	641	122	291	27	8	289	81	-11	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2036	28	MLB MLE	KC	55%	520	468	105	17	4	11	41	139	6	4	2	222	293	341	634	119	290	27	8	286	80	-13	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.7
2037	29	MLB MLE	KC	53%	520	468	103	16	4	10	41	141	6	3	2	220	290	335	625	115	288	27	8	282	77	-14	-0	-1	+9	+11	0.5
2038	30	MLB MLE	KC	53%	520	469	102	16	3	10	41	142	5	1	2	217	287	327	613	110	286	27	8	277	74	-16	-1	-2	+9	+11	0.2
2039	31	MLB MLE	KC	52%	504	455	97	15	3	9	39	140	5	1	1	213	282	317	598	104	283	28	8	271	70	-18	-0	-3	+9	+11	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	KC	34%	54	49	11	2	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	208	277	291	568	83	285	28	7	260	63	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	KC	48%	145	131	27	4	1	2	11	40	2	2	1	212	283	305	588	93	287	28	8	268	69	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	KC	54%	219	197	43	7	2	3	17	59	3	3	1	216	287	317	604	101	288	27	8	274	74	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	KC	57%	269	243	53	9	2	4	21	72	3	4	1	219	290	327	617	108	289	27	8	279	77	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	KC	57%	294	266	59	10	2	5	23	78	3	4	2	222	293	336	629	114	290	27	8	284	81	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	KC	57%	294	266	60	10	2	6	23	78	3	4	2	222	294	339	633	117	290	27	8	285	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	KC	56%	294	266	59	10	2	6	23	78	3	4	1	223	294	342	635	119	290	27	8	286	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	KC	55%	288	260	57	9	2	6	23	76	3	3	1	222	293	339	632	117	289	26	8	285	81	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	KC	55%	285	257	56	9	2	5	23	76	3	2	1	220	291	334	625	114	288	27	8	282	80	-7	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	KC	53%	278	251	55	9	2	5	22	75	3	2	1	217	288	328	616	111	286	27	8	279	77	-8	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	KC	53%	274	248	53	8	2	5	21	75	3	1	1	214	284	321	605	106	284	27	8	274	74	-9	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2039	31	MLB CTX	KC	52%	263	238	50	8	2	4	20	73	3	1	1	210	280	311	591	101	281	28	8	268	70	-9	-0	-1	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2957	2672	583	95	21	52	231	795	33	31	13	218	288	328	616	110	289	27	8	279	73	-80	+1	-4	+53	+64	3.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	128	21	5	11	51	175	7	7	3	218	288	327	615	109	290	27	8	279	73	-18	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	5813	5234	1129	179	43	104	460	1573	67	58	28	216	287	326	613	110	286	27	8	276	73	-154	+0	-7	+99	+120	6.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	127	20	5	12	51	176	7	6	3	217	287	330	617	113	287	27	8	276	73	-18	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#4Randy Hundley'64-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,797 PA	5.7	3,797	82	12	236*	295*	383*	+68	+0	8.0	8.7
/162	664	14	2	+11.8	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#6Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.6	3,024	56	30	221	288	334	+54	+28	5.6	5.1
/162	664	12	7	+11.9	+6.1	1.2	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Morales (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	202/270/274	72	285	0	1	28%	8%	57	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Franco 2011 · A	19	32→42	38→45	46→45	40	163/229/236	73	243	6	5	34%	7%	32	-3.6	189/249/256	67	278	4	9	31%	7%	44	-2.8	214/266/324	110	318	13	2	35%	6%	64	-1.1
✕Rainer Nunez 2021 · A	20	36→46	38→45	39→30	42	177/227/252	75	224	6	4	24%	5%	35	-3.4	223/269/348	125	291	14	2	28%	5%	73	-0.6	237/278/350	113	315	14	1	28%	5%	74	-0.5
✕Mike McDade 2009 · A	20	37→47	37→50	47→30	35	183/222/256	73	273	5	3	34%	4%	33	-3.6	222/263/353	131	317	15	2	33%	4%	72	-0.7	252/298/377	125	322	14	1	25%	5%	89	+0.4
✕David Washington 2010 · A	19	40→38	35→55	49→45	33	181/232/236	55	319	3	6	42%	6%	32	-3.6	192/248/295	103	309	10	6	38%	6%	53	-2.1	198/259/360	162	317	21	5	42%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Erick Gonzalez 2011 · A	20	36	34→30	43→50	45	174/239/226	52	241	2	7	27%	7%	34	-3.5	196/288/262	66	246	2	10	19%	11%	61	-1.5	180/304/238	59	213	1	14	14%	15%	61	-0.6
✕Junior Amarante 2014 · A	19	35	34→30	48→55	41	167/234/216	48	253	2	11	32%	7%	30	-3.8	191/253/237	46	269	1	16	27%	6%	41	-3.0	181/246/207	26	251	0	22	26%	6%	29	-1.2
✕Carlos Quintana 2007 · A	20	38	34→40	42→40	36	180/230/231	51	286	2	6	36%	5%	30	-3.8	199/264/263	64	271	3	6	26%	7%	51	-2.2	193/263/249	56	258	2	8	24%	7%	45	-0.9
✕Brian Navarreto 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	47→30	36	180/216/252	72	250	5	3	30%	4%	30	-3.8	188/227/257	69	251	5	2	26%	4%	35	-3.4	197/246/311	114	243	14	1	25%	5%	53	-0.7
✕Joseph Miranda 2014 · A	19	36	37→40	47→40	42	174/230/247	73	240	3	5	28%	6%	34	-3.5	179/227/256	77	229	4	4	22%	6%	35	-3.4	161/205/234	74	196	4	2	20%	5%	22	-1.5
✕Jake Gatewood 2016 · A	20	36→40	40→50	43→45	31	174/218/262	87	302	8	7	43%	5%	33	-3.6	191/229/306	115	300	11	5	39%	4%	48	-2.5	180/226/307	128	284	15	5	41%	5%	46	-2.0
✕Manuel Nuno 2009 · A	20	31	37→40	46→40	44	154/241/219	65	242	5	4	36%	9%	34	-3.5	164/261/243	79	259	6	5	35%	10%	48	-2.5	114/246/190	77	177	6	4	36%	12%	33	-1.6
●Jesús Aguilar 2009 · A	19	36→46	37→60	44→40	48	167/227/234	67	189	5	5	15%	6%	31	-3.7	193/254/296	103	237	10	5	23%	6%	55	-1.9	255/335/472	217	304	29	0	26%	10%	128	+2.3
✕Juaner Aguasvivas 2009 · A	19	35	36→40	45→30	38	170/236/230	60	267	5	3	36%	7%	34	-3.5	172/221/264	92	255	10	3	35%	5%	36	-3.4	159/202/263	104	225	13	2	36%	4%	27	-1.6
✕Luis Pimentel 2009 · A	20	39	34→40	48→50	49	177/237/230	53	209	2	6	16%	7%	34	-3.5	199/254/275	76	232	6	7	16%	6%	50	-2.3	197/252/275	78	222	7	6	15%	5%	50	-0.8
✕Mario Gonzalez 2010 · A	18	39	34→30	46→40	43	186/229/238	52	234	2	7	21%	5%	31	-3.7	185/271/241	56	227	2	5	18%	9%	50	-2.3	162/274/207	45	193	2	3	15%	12%	46	-0.9
✕Yonathan Mejia 2012 · A	19	41	35→40	48→45	36	196/229/254	58	260	2	5	25%	3%	35	-3.4	207/239/272	65	267	4	6	23%	4%	42	-2.9	201/232/266	65	254	5	5	23%	4%	37	-1.2
✕Webster Rivas 2011 · A	20	40	36→40	46→40	47	178/230/246	68	193	2	5	9%	4%	34	-3.5	187/241/250	63	223	3	4	17%	6%	39	-3.1	208/282/293	85	269	8	1	24%	9%	64	-0.6
✕Danny Contreras 2016 · A	18	34	37→40	47→50	42	168/225/243	75	221	5	6	26%	6%	32	-3.7	172/247/238	66	235	4	7	26%	9%	40	-3.1	165/241/225	60	226	4	8	27%	9%	32	-1.2
✕Marcos Vargas 2006 · A	20	38	35→40	43→45	36	182/227/241	59	276	2	6	34%	5%	32	-3.7	185/238/267	82	255	6	6	29%	5%	42	-2.9	151/207/234	84	194	8	6	26%	5%	22	-1.7
✕Kristian Brito 2013 · A	18	39→32	37→50	49→40	30	183/222/252	70	322	4	7	43%	4%	32	-3.6	184/222/289	105	317	11	5	43%	4%	41	-3.0	160/198/256	96	274	11	2	45%	4%	23	-1.9

Jesus Morales

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps