Treyson Peters — OGILVIE

Treyson Peters P Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 23 RHP 6'7" / 235 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2028

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 39 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.67

FIP4.67

K%20.0%

BB%9.5%

K-BB%10.5%

ROS IP40

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 39 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	27	1	60	267	45	22	10	4%	2.2	13.1%	9.8%	3.2%	4.4%	5.97	5.64	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	27	1	60	267	45	22	10	4%	2.2	13.1%	9.8%	3.2%	4.4%	5.97	5.64	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A RAW	PIT	3	0	7	33	5	3	0	0%	2.4	15.2%	9.1%	6.1%	0.0%	2.45	2.97	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	PIT	23	1	51	225	39	19	9	4%	2.2	17.3%	8.4%	8.9%	4.0%	6.53	4.90	—
2026	23	AA RAW	PIT	1	0	2	9	1	0	1	0%	2.0	11.1%	0.0%	11.1%	11.1%	4.50	8.26	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	PIT	58	0	61	256	54	23	8	0%	1.0	21.0%	9.1%	11.9%	3.0%	4.56	4.51	+0.0
2028	25	MLB MLE	PIT	58	0	61	259	56	23	8	0%	1.1	21.6%	8.8%	12.7%	3.0%	4.48	4.43	+0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	PIT	58	0	61	259	57	23	8	0%	1.1	21.9%	8.8%	13.0%	3.0%	4.43	4.40	+0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	PIT	58	0	60	255	56	23	8	0%	1.0	21.9%	8.9%	13.0%	3.1%	4.43	4.44	+0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	PIT	25	0	26	110	23	10	3	0%	1.0	21.0%	9.1%	11.9%	3.0%	4.56	4.51	+0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	PIT	39	0	41	173	37	15	5	0%	1.1	21.6%	8.8%	12.7%	3.0%	4.48	4.43	+0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	PIT	47	0	49	207	45	18	6	0%	1.0	21.9%	8.8%	13.0%	3.0%	4.43	4.40	+0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	PIT	50	0	52	220	48	20	7	0%	1.0	21.9%	8.9%	13.0%	3.1%	4.43	4.44	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		159	0	167	706	153	63	21	0%	1.1	21.7%	8.9%	12.8%	3.0%	4.46	4.06	+1.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	75	25	0%	1.1	21.7%	8.9%	12.8%	3.0%	4.46	4.06	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		27	1	60	267	35	26	12	4%	2.2	13.1%	9.8%	3.2%	4.4%	5.97	5.64	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		90	3	200	885	116	87	39	4%	2.2	13.1%	9.8%	3.2%	4.4%	5.97	5.64	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Treyson Peters (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.67	20.0%	9.5%	3.1%	—	4.45	21.5%	12.6%	183	-0.22	—	—	—
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	90
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	89
Owen Holt R 2022 · 3.72 FIP	23	SU	3.72	20.7%	10.2%	2.0%	.258	4.51	18.7%	6.4%	107	+0.79	3.72	145	88
Ryan Conroy R 2021 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	22.2%	9.8%	2.8%	.353	4.75	19.3%	6.7%	54	+0.74	4.01	106	88
Josh Advocate R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	24	SU	3.78	18.8%	7.3%	2.4%	.291	3.71	20.4%	10.1%	75	-0.07	3.71	118	87
Luis Eusebio R 2019 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.2%	10.6%	3.7%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.79	131	87
Matt Pidich R 2018 · 4.42 FIP	23	SU	4.42	17.1%	8.3%	3.1%	.303	4.08	20.8%	13.3%	115	-0.34	4.05	196	87
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	87
Alex Klonowski R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	23	SU	3.58	21.8%	9.4%	2.1%	.331	4.69	14.3%	7.1%	413	+1.11	3.58	539	87
Jayson McKinley R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	23	SU	4.39	17.5%	11.4%	2.4%	.308	3.60	20.4%	11.3%	134	-0.79	2.35	173	87
Zac Ryan R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	23	SU	3.83	20.5%	10.9%	2.0%	.233	3.93	21.6%	6.9%	124	+0.10	3.83	184	86
Miguel Guerrero R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	23	SU	4.56	18.1%	10.3%	3.1%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	171	86
Isaac Sanchez R 2016 · 3.62 FIP	23	SU	3.62	20.5%	9.7%	1.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	130	85
Tyler Bray R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	23	SU	4.07	22.3%	9.1%	3.1%	.356	3.21	17.9%	7.6%	114	-0.86	2.82	152	85
Andrew Bellatti R 2015 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	19.3%	8.8%	3.2%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	2.67	278	85
Fred Villarreal R 2021 · 3.93 FIP	23	SU	3.93	17.6%	6.8%	2.6%	.331	3.64	14.1%	3.5%	63	-0.29	3.64	114	85
Tyler Schoff R 2022 · 4.25 FIP	23	SU	4.25	19.6%	10.8%	2.6%	.350	3.72	23.8%	15.7%	93	-0.53	3.69	190	85
Johnny Barbato R 2015 · 3.57 FIP	23	SU	3.57	21.3%	9.4%	2.0%	.284	4.32	21.6%	11.4%	167	+0.75	2.59	304	84
Chris Powell R 2016 · 3.76 FIP	23	SU	3.76	16.9%	7.8%	2.0%	.266	3.53	18.8%	15.1%	28	-0.23	3.31	102	84
Tyler Joyner R 2019 · 3.69 FIP	23	SU	3.69	20.7%	9.9%	2.0%	.250	6.38	16.1%	5.2%	37	+2.69	3.69	114	84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.4	57	21.4%	9.0%	1.17	4.50
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86