Cesar Aquino
P
Bradenton Marauders
Age 21
RHP
6'1" / 201 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION35 act + 28 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.35
FIP4.35
K%21.4%
BB%8.5%
K-BB%12.9%
ROS IP28
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 63 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Pirates Gold | 12 | 6 | 46 | 174 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 50% | 3.8 | 14.5% | 5.0% | 9.4% | 1.2% | 0.98 | 3.15 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Pirates Gold | 12 | 6 | 46 | 174 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 50% | 3.8 | 21.3% | 4.0% | 17.2% | 0.6% | 0.98 | 2.23 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 1 | 47 | 190 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 5% | 2.3 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 4.18 | 3.95 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 1 | 47 | 190 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 5% | 2.3 | 17.9% | 4.2% | 13.7% | 1.6% | 4.18 | 2.99 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | AA | Altoona Curve | 16 | 0 | 35 | 137 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 0% | 2.2 | 13.6% | 2.1% | 11.6% | 3.4% | 2.60 | 4.09 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | PIT | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.4% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.35 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 63 | 255 | 49 | 12 | 8 | — | — | 19.3% | 4.7% | 14.6% | 3.3% | 3.38 | 4.21 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | PIT | 28 | 0 | 29 | 124 | 28 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 8.1% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 4.25 | 4.18 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | PIT | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 8.1% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 4.25 | 4.18 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 14 | 0 | 14 | 61 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 8.1% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 4.25 | 3.81 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 194 | 69 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 8.1% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 4.25 | 3.81 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 49 | 7 | 128 | 501 | 67 | 21 | 11 | 14% | 2.6 | 13.4% | 4.3% | 9.2% | 2.2% | 2.60 | 3.71 | +2.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 77 | 11 | 200 | 783 | 105 | 33 | 17 | 14% | 2.6 | 13.4% | 4.3% | 9.2% | 2.2% | 2.60 | 3.71 | +3.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cesar Aquino (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.35 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 2.9% | — | 4.18 | 22.5% | 14.3% | 29 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zurak R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 94 |
| Addison Russ R 2027 · 3.90 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.90 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .324 | 3.02 | 25.6% | 17.5% | 121 | -0.88 | 2.96 | 194 | 89 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 88 |
| Jake Elliott R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.82 | 19.2% | 7.1% | 2.6% | .353 | 3.81 | 18.1% | 10.0% | 202 | -0.01 | 3.10 | 354 | 88 |
| J.T. Hintzen R 2027 · 3.20 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.20 | 20.1% | 7.0% | 1.7% | .303 | 4.45 | 24.1% | 15.1% | 123 | +1.25 | 3.20 | 205 | 88 |
| Kevin Coulter R 2027 · 3.27 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.27 | 21.0% | 7.4% | 1.8% | .287 | 4.31 | 16.1% | 7.6% | 92 | +1.04 | 3.27 | 128 | 87 |
| Chris Gau R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.23 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.53 | 2.88 | 211 | 87 |
| Gerlin Rosario R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.79 | 20.3% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .294 | 4.57 | 18.7% | 6.2% | 139 | +0.78 | 2.91 | 233 | 86 |
| Michael Gomez R 2027 · 3.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.38 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .283 | 3.78 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 286 | 86 |
| Reece Karalus R 2027 · 4.74 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.74 | 18.5% | 8.6% | 3.8% | .298 | 4.94 | 14.8% | 4.1% | 103 | +0.20 | 4.74 | 149 | 86 |
| Juan Jimenez R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.45 | 18.2% | 7.2% | 1.8% | .327 | 5.51 | 17.2% | 2.6% | 80 | +2.06 | 3.45 | 115 | 85 |
| David Garner R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.6% | .282 | 4.65 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 98 | +0.71 | 3.94 | 154 | 84 |
| Sandy Lugo R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.86 | 20.7% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .352 | 3.94 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 119 | +0.08 | 3.28 | 146 | 84 |
| Sam Delaplane R 2027 · 3.18 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.18 | 24.6% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .342 | 3.15 | 32.7% | 23.4% | 128 | -0.03 | 3.11 | 194 | 84 |
| Jeff Bain R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.94 | 19.7% | 6.7% | 3.0% | .339 | 4.13 | 19.1% | 10.7% | 274 | +0.19 | 3.37 | 475 | 84 |
| Austin Hutchison R 2027 · 4.05 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.05 | 19.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | .340 | 5.20 | 18.7% | 9.2% | 213 | +1.15 | 3.60 | 235 | 84 |
| Owen Holt R 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .258 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 107 | +0.63 | 3.89 | 145 | 83 |
| Edward Escoboza R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.89 | 21.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .321 | 5.42 | 14.9% | 9.4% | 36 | +1.53 | 3.44 | 213 | 83 |
| Heath Holder R 2028 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 83 |
| Parker Curry R 2028 · 3.68 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.68 | 22.5% | 8.2% | 2.6% | .341 | 4.68 | 18.6% | 11.6% | 193 | +1.00 | 3.68 | 256 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 29 | 21.9% | 8.3% | 1.12 | 4.30 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |