Ben Sears — OGILVIE

Ben Sears P Omaha Storm Chasers

Age 26 RHP 6'5" / 208 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION71 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.12

FIP5.12

K%14.8%

BB%9.0%

K-BB%5.9%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 77 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL5050

CMD4040

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	0	16	59	13	2	1	0%	2.0	16.0%	4.6%	11.3%	2.2%	2.87	3.57	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	0	16	59	13	2	1	0%	2.0	22.0%	3.4%	18.6%	1.7%	2.87	2.65	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	71	290	68	13	7	0%	2.0	18.7%	4.3%	14.3%	2.4%	4.08	3.40	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	71	290	68	13	7	0%	2.0	18.7%	4.3%	14.3%	2.4%	4.08	3.40	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	0	71	290	68	13	7	0%	2.0	23.4%	4.5%	19.0%	2.4%	4.08	3.02	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	44	0	58	246	50	15	5	0%	1.3	15.7%	7.0%	8.6%	2.7%	3.28	4.12	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	44	0	58	246	50	15	5	0%	1.3	15.7%	7.0%	8.6%	2.7%	3.28	4.12	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	44	0	58	246	50	15	5	0%	1.3	20.3%	6.1%	14.2%	2.0%	3.28	3.27	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	62	280	55	24	10	0%	1.5	16.0%	9.0%	7.0%	4.0%	4.33	5.07	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	62	280	55	24	10	0%	1.5	16.0%	9.0%	7.0%	4.0%	4.33	5.07	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	62	280	55	24	10	0%	1.5	19.6%	8.6%	11.1%	3.6%	4.33	4.58	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	42	10	71	304	58	27	11	24%	1.7	16.0%	8.4%	7.6%	3.4%	4.04	4.68	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	42	10	71	304	58	27	11	24%	1.7	16.0%	8.4%	7.6%	3.4%	4.04	4.68	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AA RAW	KC	2	0	3	13	2	0	2	0%	1.6	15.4%	0.0%	15.4%	15.4%	5.40	10.25	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	KC	40	10	68	291	56	27	9	25%	1.7	19.2%	9.3%	10.0%	3.1%	3.97	4.35	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	KC	6	0	6	25	4	2	1	0%	1.0	14.8%	9.0%	5.9%	3.2%	5.12	5.12	-0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	KC	—	—	77	329	62	29	12	—	—	18.8%	8.9%	9.9%	3.6%	4.12	4.71	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	KC	66	0	69	291	46	26	9	0%	1.0	15.7%	9.1%	6.6%	3.2%	5.07	5.08	-0.4
2028	28	MLB MLE	KC	64	0	67	282	46	26	9	0%	1.0	16.1%	9.2%	6.9%	3.3%	5.07	5.11	-0.4
2029	29	MLB MLE	KC	61	0	64	270	44	26	9	0%	1.0	16.3%	9.5%	6.8%	3.5%	5.13	5.20	-0.5
2027	27	MLB CTX	KC	28	0	29	122	19	11	4	0%	1.0	15.7%	9.1%	6.6%	3.2%	5.07	5.08	-0.2
2028	28	MLB CTX	KC	40	0	42	177	29	16	6	0%	1.1	16.1%	9.2%	6.9%	3.3%	5.07	5.11	-0.3
2029	29	MLB CTX	KC	45	0	47	198	32	19	7	0%	1.0	16.3%	9.5%	6.8%	3.5%	5.13	5.20	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		113	0	118	500	80	46	17	0%	1.0	16.1%	9.3%	6.8%	3.3%	5.09	4.76	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	135	78	29	0%	1.1	16.1%	9.3%	6.8%	3.3%	5.09	4.76	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		171	10	278	1179	195	83	36	6%	1.6	16.6%	7.0%	9.5%	3.1%	3.89	4.28	-1.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		123	7	200	849	141	60	26	6%	1.6	16.6%	7.0%	9.5%	3.1%	3.89	4.28	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ben Sears (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.12	14.8%	9.0%	3.2%	—	5.13	16.0%	6.8%	200	+0.01	—	—	—
Raul Fernandez R 2016 · 4.35 FIP	26	SU	4.35	13.6%	9.3%	2.2%	.270	5.54	20.4%	6.2%	38	+1.19	4.03	165	88
Aaron Kurcz R 2017 · 4.84 FIP	26	SU	4.84	15.4%	8.4%	3.6%	.301	3.97	26.2%	21.8%	50	-0.87	3.31	213	86
David Goforth R 2015 · 3.98 FIP	26	SU	3.98	17.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.287	4.58	14.1%	3.6%	184	+0.60	3.98	256	86
Tyler Mizenko R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	26	SU	5.15	13.3%	10.2%	3.5%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	104	86
Ryan Doolittle R 2015 · 4.03 FIP	27	SU	4.03	15.1%	6.7%	2.5%	.315	4.38	13.9%	6.8%	44	+0.35	4.03	101	86
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	85
Hunter McMahon R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	25	SU	4.25	16.4%	8.0%	2.8%	.301	5.84	5.7%	1.8%	14	+1.59	2.23	174	85
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	85
Scott Burke R 2019 · 5.27 FIP	25	SU	5.27	14.9%	8.2%	4.3%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	4.55	119	85
Kurt Spomer R 2015 · 5.35 FIP	26	SU	5.35	11.1%	7.3%	4.1%	.268	3.43	14.2%	6.2%	135	-1.92	3.17	199	85
Jonathan Hughes R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	17.1%	9.2%	2.7%	.283	3.54	17.1%	4.9%	50	-0.77	3.44	219	84
Tyler Higgins R 2017 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	15.5%	7.2%	2.9%	.312	5.24	23.0%	16.1%	81	+0.96	3.53	290	84
Nick Trogrlic-Iverson R 2023 · 4.59 FIP	25	SU	4.59	15.1%	10.4%	2.6%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	218	84
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	84
Jason Jester R 2017 · 4.94 FIP	26	SU	4.94	11.9%	9.4%	3.0%	.311	2.88	17.6%	12.5%	60	-2.06	2.48	229	83
Troy Neiman R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	26	SU	4.03	18.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	199	83
Confesor Lara R 2016 · 4.26 FIP	25	SU	4.26	16.4%	11.0%	2.1%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.74	111	83
Casey Cobb R 2022 · 5.46 FIP	26	SU	5.46	15.8%	9.5%	4.5%	.342	5.72	18.7%	10.3%	58	+0.26	3.48	191	83
Pedro Echemendia R 2017 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	11.0%	5.1%	2.7%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	141	82
Alejandro Barraza R 2017 · 5.24 FIP	26	SU	5.24	12.6%	8.7%	3.8%	.314	3.27	18.3%	11.5%	19	-1.97	3.27	174	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	67	15.7%	9.2%	1.28	5.10
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41