Ben Sears P Omaha Storm Chasers
Age 26 RHP 6'5" / 208 lbs AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION48 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135126vR 117
ERA5.16
FIP5.16
K%15.1%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%5.5%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 118 IP
K: -5.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-5KBB: -0.5 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -4.3 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-4CONTACTSTAM: +16.0 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+16STAMTotal WAR: +0.65 (118 IP)+0.6WAR
-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1262829
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF3535
CTRL5050
CMD4040
K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202222MIX2 levels80165913210%2.016.0%4.6%11.3%2.0%2.873.43
202222MIX2 levels80165913210%2.022.0%3.4%18.6%1.7%2.872.65
202323MIX2 levels36071290681370%2.018.7%4.3%14.3%2.2%4.083.30
202323MIX2 levels36071290681370%2.023.4%4.5%19.0%2.4%4.083.02
202424A+Quad Cities River Bandits44058246501550%1.315.7%7.0%8.6%2.8%3.284.19
202424A+Quad Cities River Bandits44058246501550%1.320.3%6.1%14.2%2.0%3.283.27
202525MIX2 levels410622805524100%1.516.3%9.3%7.0%3.8%4.334.97
202525MIX2 levels410622805524100%1.519.6%8.6%11.1%3.6%4.334.58
▸ 2026 Season
202626AAAOmaha Storm Chasers278482124117830%1.817.2%9.0%8.3%3.3%5.034.60-0.0
ROS26MLBKC67070296452990%1.015.1%9.7%5.5%3.2%5.165.16-0.3
ROS26MLBKC707304310%1.015.1%9.7%5.5%3.2%5.165.16-0.0
2026 TOT26MLBKC11850886461716.9%9.0%7.9%3.4%5.114.93+0.6
2026 FULL26MLBKC73043115.1%9.7%5.5%3.2%5.164.78-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727MLBKC66069291462890%1.015.9%9.7%6.2%3.2%5.105.11-0.3
202828MLBKC64067282462890%1.016.4%9.8%6.6%3.3%5.105.14-0.3
202929MLBKC61064270442790%1.016.5%10.0%6.5%3.4%5.165.23-0.4
202727MLBKC28029122201240%1.015.9%9.7%6.2%3.2%5.105.11-0.2
202828MLBKC40042177291760%1.116.4%9.8%6.6%3.3%5.105.14-0.3
202929MLBKC45047198332070%1.016.5%10.0%6.5%3.4%5.165.23-0.4
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career11901255278652170%1.016.2%9.8%6.4%3.3%5.134.79+0.9
/ 200 IP190020084413883270%1.116.2%9.8%6.4%3.3%5.134.79+1.4
Career1568255108718478325%1.616.9%7.1%9.8%2.9%4.064.19+3.6
/ 200 IP123620085414561255%1.616.9%7.1%9.8%2.9%4.064.19+2.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Ben Sears (OGILVIE) 5.16 15.1%9.7%3.2% 5.16 16.3%6.4%200 -0.00
Raul Fernandez R 2026 · 4.42 FIP 26 SU 4.42 13.6%9.3%2.3%.270 5.61 20.4%6.2%38 +1.19 3.95 165 89
David Goforth R 2026 · 4.11 FIP 26 SU 4.11 17.4%9.8%2.3%.287 4.58 14.1%3.6%184 +0.47 3.92 256 87
Tyler Mizenko R 2026 · 5.20 FIP 26 SU 5.20 13.3%10.2%3.5%.303 3.81 104 86
Scott Burke R 2025 · 5.01 FIP 25 SU 5.01 14.9%8.2%3.9%.250 4.84 119 86
Ryan Cook R 2028 · 4.69 FIP 28 SU 4.69 16.5%9.9%3.1%.297 4.04 25.1%14.3%50 -0.65 4.04 102 85
Chase Plymell R 2026 · 4.67 FIP 26 SU 4.67 14.1%8.4%3.1%.248 4.51 14.4%5.2%85 -0.16 3.79 291 85
Nick Trogrlic-Iverson R 2025 · 4.49 FIP 25 SU 4.49 15.1%10.4%2.5%.301 3.22 218 85
Confesor Lara R 2025 · 4.32 FIP 25 SU 4.32 16.4%11.0%2.2%.329 3.69 111 85
Jonathan Hughes R 2026 · 4.28 FIP 26 SU 4.28 17.1%9.2%2.7%.283 3.58 17.1%4.9%50 -0.70 3.50 219 84
Ryan Doolittle R 2027 · 4.06 FIP 27 SU 4.06 15.1%6.7%2.5%.315 4.62 13.9%6.8%44 +0.56 4.06 101 84
Cesar Gomez R 2026 · 4.69 FIP 26 SU 4.69 15.8%10.0%3.0%.338 5.27 14.2%5.1%63 +0.58 3.97 345 84
Brett McKinney R 2026 · 5.06 FIP 26 SU 5.06 18.5%9.9%4.1%.287 3.42 183 84
Aaron Kurcz R 2026 · 5.20 FIP 26 SU 5.20 15.4%8.4%4.3%.301 3.92 26.2%21.8%50 -1.28 3.44 213 84
Kurt Spomer R 2026 · 5.35 FIP 26 SU 5.35 11.1%7.3%4.1%.268 3.38 14.2%6.2%135 -1.97 3.11 199 83
Jason Jester R 2026 · 4.81 FIP 26 SU 4.81 11.9%9.4%2.8%.311 3.05 17.6%12.5%60 -1.76 2.62 229 83
Jake Christianson R 2025 · 5.08 FIP 25 SU 5.08 13.5%10.9%3.2%.291 3.92 188 83
Casey Cobb R 2026 · 5.47 FIP 26 SU 5.47 15.8%9.5%4.5%.342 5.97 18.7%10.3%58 +0.50 3.73 191 83
Justin Courtney R 2026 · 5.26 FIP 26 SU 5.26 16.8%12.8%3.6%.331 9.13 18.4%7.1%21 +3.87 4.53 108 83
Josh Zeid R 2028 · 4.21 FIP 28 SU 4.21 16.6%12.5%1.7%.302 5.16 16.9%5.7%194 +0.95 4.21 265 83
Tyler Higgins R 2026 · 4.07 FIP 26 SU 4.07 15.5%7.2%2.5%.312 5.46 23.0%16.1%81 +1.39 3.58 290 83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION46716.0%9.8%1.265.13
Joe Biagini ('19)48119.1%7.8%1.284.86
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82
Adam Conley ('19)58319.7%9.5%1.174.82
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78
Jorge De La Rosa ('18)49819.5%10.3%1.224.52