Payton Eeles

2B Norfolk Tides
Age 27 L/R 5'5" / 180 lbs AAA HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2063MLB%10%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202424AAA/A+/AMIN469.306/.442/.4971241123—.274/.381/.434
202525AAA/AMIN415.258/.383/.32842384—.246/.344/.297
202626AAA/A+BAL286.266/.387/.3212976—.239/.328/.275
2027PROJ10% MLB27MLBBAL16.235/.330/.30601840.0
2028PROJ25% MLB28MLBBAL50.234/.328/.3070283-0.0
Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
BB%79
K%70
Chase%69
Whiff%68
Z-Con%47
Max EV36
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 0.1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%
CompsKyle Wren (age 27) · Brad Coon (age 27) · Jamie Johnson (age 27)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†84
AVG/OBP/SLG.235 / .330 / .306
PA16
HR0
K%25
BB%6
BABIP303
ISO67
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -0.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.20+0.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.20.02728
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202424 AAASt. Paul Saints — 260214 641148 333812 203 299421500921 201331 1513 408 124 — — — — — —
202424 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels — 5540 11111 1134 83 275473425898 150278 520 415 108 — — — — — —
202424 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 154118 39733 23277 134 331466517983 186383 1815 421 128 — — — — — —
202525 AAASt. Paul Saints — 378308 78714 476518 217 253383321705 68305 1712 330 85 — — — — — —
202525 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 3733 10110 450 21 303378394772 91357 1411 349 69 — — — — — —
202626 AAANorfolk Tides — 258214 59502 36506 77 276395327722 51348 1914 338 82 — — — — — —
202626 A+Frederick Keys — 2823 4200 421 20 174321261582 87190 714 282 23 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202424 AAA MLESt. Paul Saints — 260223 611046 244612 203 274375435809 161317 189 352 124 — — — — — —
202424 A+ MLECedar Rapids Kernels — 5544 11111 744 83 250400386786 136241 713 328 108 — — — — — —
202424 A MLEFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 154127 36633 14377 134 283385449834 165327 249 358 128 — — — — — —
202525 AAA MLESt. Paul Saints — 378323 79712 327918 217 245346291637 46305 218 294 85 — — — — — —
202525 A MLEFort Myers Mighty Mussels — 3734 9110 370 21 265324353677 88304 198 270 69 — — — — — —
202626 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 258226 56401 24606 77 248336279615 31328 239 290 82 — — — — — —
202626 A+ MLEFrederick Keys — 2825 4200 231 20 160250240490 80151 117 202 23 — — — — — —
202424 AAA MLE3 teams — 469393 1071789 468723 4110 272381425806 153322 1910 351 124 — — — — — —
202424 AAA RAW3 teams — 469372 11419812 676823 4110 306442497939 191341 1414 413 124 — — — — — —
202525 AAA MLE2 teams — 415357 87722 358618 238 244341291633 48311 218 292 84 — — — — — —
202525 AAA RAW2 teams — 415341 88824 517018 238 258383328711 70310 1712 332 84 — — — — — —
202626 AAA MLE2 teams — 286250 60601 27637 97 240331276607 36314 229 281 77 — — — — — —
202626 AAA RAW2 teams — 286237 63702 40527 97 266387321708 55330 1814 332 77 — — — — — —
202424 AAA MLE3 teams — 469397 1071789 468723 4110 270381421802 151311 1910 351 124 — — — — — —
202525 AAA MLE2 teams — 415359 87722 358618 238 242341290631 47305 218 292 84 — — — — — —
202626 AAA MLE2 teams — 286250 60601 27637 97 240331276607 36311 229 281 77 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202424 AAA MLE3 teams — 469397 1071789 468723 4110 270381421802 151311 1910 351 124 — — — — — —
202525 AAA MLE2 teams — 415359 87722 358618 238 242341290631 47305 218 292 84 — — — — — —
202626 AAA MLE2 teams — 286250 60601 27637 97 240331276607 36311 229 281 77 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202727 MLB MLEBAL 10% 336292 68913 307511 125 232327301628 68300 229 292 84 -6 +0 -1 +1 +7 0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202727 MLB CTXBAL 10% 1614 3000 141 10 235330306636 70303 256 295 84 -0 +0 -0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202828 MLB MLEBAL 25% 199173 40512 18456 63 231325301626 70298 239 291 83 -4 +0 -1 +1 +4 -0.0
202828 MLB CTXBAL 25% 5044 9100 4112 21 234328307634 72302 228 294 83 -1 +0 -0 +0 +1 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 5044 9100 4112 21 205300227527 23273 228 294 95 -1 +0 -0 +0 +1 -0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650572 1171300 5214326 2613 205300227527 23273 228 294 95 -13 +0 -4 +2 +14 -0.1
Career— MLE — 15241308 325391215 14031659 8530 248348331679 83312 219 308 95 -7 +0 -2 +1 +8 0.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650558 1381756 6013525 3613 247347328675 81312 219 308 95 -13 +1 -3 +2 +14 0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAANorfolk Tides · 258 PAwOBA .331 → .290 (−41)K% 19.4% → 23.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.38%÷1.000×1.200——23.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.57%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0039.39%
HBP% /PA2.33%—×0.940—×1.0032.19%
Singles /BIP31.71%÷1.000×0.930×1.026×1.00330.34%
Doubles /BIP3.05%÷1.000×0.830×1.026×1.0032.60%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970×1.026×1.0030.00%
Home runs /BIP1.22%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0030.86%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.

Result: wOBA .331 → .290; ISO .051 → .041; BABIP .348 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Frederick Keys · 28 PAwOBA .276 → .202 (−74)K% 7.1% → 9.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA7.14%÷1.000×1.310——9.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.29%÷1.000×0.600—×0.9588.21%
HBP% /PA3.57%—×0.770—×0.9582.63%
Singles /BIP9.52%÷1.000×0.870—×0.9587.94%
Doubles /BIP9.52%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9587.12%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850—×0.9580.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.880—×0.9580.00%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .276 → .202; ISO .087 → .069; BABIP .190 → .151. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAASt. Paul Saints · 378 PAwOBA .326 → .294 (−32)K% 17.2% → 20.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.20%÷0.989×1.200——20.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.43%÷1.022×0.690—×1.0188.55%
HBP% /PA4.76%—×0.940—×1.0184.56%
Singles /BIP27.16%÷0.944×0.930×1.015×1.01827.64%
Doubles /BIP2.88%÷0.938×0.830×1.015×1.0182.63%
Triples /BIP0.41%÷1.000×0.970×1.015×1.0180.41%
Home runs /BIP1.65%÷1.253×0.700—×1.0180.94%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 151, 1B 89, 2B 88, 3B 100, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .326 → .294; ISO .068 → .051; BABIP .305 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 37 PAwOBA .341 → .270 (−71)K% 13.5% → 18.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.51%÷0.994×1.360——18.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.81%÷1.054×0.690—×0.9606.79%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×0.9600.00%
Singles /BIP28.57%÷1.029×0.920—×0.96024.53%
Doubles /BIP3.57%÷1.032×0.830—×0.9602.76%
Triples /BIP3.57%÷1.000×0.910—×0.9603.12%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.898×0.800—×0.9600.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 106, 2B 106, 3B 100, K 99, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.0 → −4.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .341 → .270; ISO .091 → .075; BABIP .357 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAASt. Paul Saints · 260 PAwOBA .400 → .352 (−47)K% 14.6% → 17.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.62%÷0.995×1.200——17.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.69%÷0.985×0.690—×1.0339.19%
HBP% /PA4.62%—×0.940—×1.0334.48%
Singles /BIP23.30%÷1.010×0.930×1.040×1.03323.05%
Doubles /BIP6.25%÷0.996×0.830×1.040×1.0335.59%
Triples /BIP2.27%÷1.043×0.970×1.040×1.0332.27%
Home runs /BIP4.55%÷1.039×0.700—×1.0333.16%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 102, 2B 99, 3B 109, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.

Result: wOBA .400 → .352; ISO .201 → .164; BABIP .331 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 154 PAwOBA .424 → .358 (−65)K% 17.5% → 24.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.53%÷0.994×1.360——23.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.64%÷0.976×0.690—×0.9709.35%
HBP% /PA4.55%—×0.780—×0.9703.44%
Singles /BIP28.57%÷1.096×0.920×1.046×0.97024.33%
Doubles /BIP7.69%÷1.019×0.830×1.046×0.9706.35%
Triples /BIP3.30%÷0.962×0.910×1.046×0.9703.16%
Home runs /BIP3.30%÷0.962×0.800—×0.9702.66%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 119, 2B 104, 3B 92, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.

Result: wOBA .424 → .358; ISO .186 → .170; BABIP .383 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 55 PAwOBA .406 → .328 (−78)K% 5.5% → 7.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA5.45%÷0.972×1.270——7.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.00%÷1.043×0.710—×0.97813.31%
HBP% /PA7.27%—×0.790—×0.9785.62%
Singles /BIP21.62%÷0.984×0.920—×0.97819.77%
Doubles /BIP2.70%÷1.119×0.810—×0.9781.91%
Triples /BIP2.70%÷1.146×0.850—×0.9781.96%
Home runs /BIP2.70%÷1.191×0.800—×0.9781.78%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 97, 2B 124, 3B 129, K 94, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .406 → .328; ISO .150 → .113; BABIP .278 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).