Player 822240 — OGILVIE

Player 8222401B DSL Mariners

Age — —/— ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 62 proj PA

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.169 / .256 / .264

PA62

HR1

K%41

BB%9

ISO96

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	23	18	2	1	0	1	4	10	1	0	0	111	304	333	638	222	143	43	17	300	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	23	19	1	1	0	0	3	12	1	0	0	53	217	105	323	53	80	52	13	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	23	19	1	1	0	0	3	12	1	0	0	53	217	105	323	53	143	52	13	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	23	18	2	1	0	1	4	10	1	0	0	111	304	333	638	222	143	43	17	300	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	23	19	1	1	0	0	3	12	1	0	0	53	217	105	323	53	80	52	13	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	23	19	1	1	0	0	3	12	1	0	0	53	217	105	323	53	80	52	13	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	200	177	31	7	1	3	18	81	3	2	1	170	258	266	524	96	291	40	9	243	51	-12	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	107	95	17	4	1	1	9	42	2	1	0	174	261	273	534	99	290	39	8	247	53	-6	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.5
2028	25	MLB CTX	SEA	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	172	259	269	529	97	287	—	—	245	53	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	192	170	27	7	1	2	17	79	4	1	0	159	251	247	498	88	278	41	9	237	46	-10	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	92	24	3	7	58	267	14	3	0	160	253	248	502	89	279	41	9	237	46	-37	+1	+0	-12	+14	-3.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 822240 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	169/256/264	95	291	1	0	41%	9%	51	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕McCarthy Tatum 2021 · A	25	43→25	41→50	48→50	37	202/254/301	99	322	8	8	38%	6%	56	-1.9	183/241/291	108	277	11	8	36%	5%	50	-2.3	169/229/274	105	250	11	8	35%	5%	39	-1.4
✕Zach Cone 2015 · A	25	35→37	40→45	46→45	35	176/233/265	89	282	8	7	39%	6%	40	-3.0	196/240/323	127	291	15	7	37%	4%	57	-1.8	189/227/330	141	266	18	5	36%	4%	50	-1.1
✕Joe Cronin 2019 · AA	25	37	40→45	45→50	44	180/271/269	89	284	8	7	36%	9%	57	-1.8	194/276/296	102	294	9	11	34%	8%	64	-1.3	166/256/268	102	246	9	13	34%	9%	49	-1.2
✕Cooper Johnson 2023 · AA	25	36	38→45	45→40	43	171/258/251	80	290	5	5	39%	9%	48	-2.5	183/264/299	116	287	12	6	37%	9%	61	-1.5	172/257/295	123	249	14	4	35%	9%	55	-0.9
✕Scott Schreiber 2021 · A	25	38	43→45	47→45	34	187/237/295	108	309	11	9	42%	6%	49	-2.4	221/273/358	137	301	16	10	31%	5%	77	-0.3	225/273/365	140	298	18	10	30%	5%	77	-0.1
✕Marcus Chiu 2022 · A	25	39→28	45	43→45	36	184/266/304	120	317	13	4	43%	7%	63	-1.3	201/268/321	120	302	13	6	36%	6%	67	-1.1	181/250/297	116	268	15	3	36%	5%	52	-1.4
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	35	41→45	45	45	174/251/274	101	254	8	6	33%	9%	50	-2.3	187/255/288	101	273	9	8	33%	8%	54	-2.0	140/232/254	115	204	16	3	39%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Doran Turchin 2021 · A	24	39	42→45	48→50	39	188/259/291	104	294	9	7	37%	7%	57	-1.8	198/271/317	119	329	12	10	40%	7%	68	-1.0	160/245/279	119	272	12	11	43%	8%	48	-1.1
✕Jordan Betts 2017 · AA	25	35→28	40→45	46→40	35	174/219/264	90	270	7	4	37%	5%	34	-3.5	192/239/303	111	289	12	4	36%	5%	51	-2.2	184/231/297	113	272	14	3	37%	5%	46	-1.6
✕Mat Nelson 2023 · A	24	39→30	42→45	47→40	35	185/252/284	100	312	10	4	41%	6%	53	-2.1	183/266/296	113	259	14	5	33%	7%	62	-1.4	173/264/288	115	230	16	3	31%	8%	57	-1.1
✕Bryan Haar 2015 · A	25	39→37	43→45	44→40	34	195/236/303	108	302	10	4	38%	5%	49	-2.4	202/250/288	86	299	6	4	33%	5%	51	-2.2	192/241/248	56	275	1	1	29%	5%	36	-1.7
✕Wyatt Hendrie 2024 · A	25	38	40	51→50	39	184/253/275	91	288	8	9	37%	7%	51	-2.3	193/268/288	95	284	9	12	33%	8%	59	-1.6	167/254/245	78	237	10	16	32%	8%	44	-0.6
✕J.D. Roberts 2007 · A	25	36	42→45	49→40	35	177/231/277	100	298	10	4	42%	6%	42	-2.9	184/231/255	71	300	5	5	38%	5%	36	-3.3	158/199/199	42	253	3	3	38%	4%	9	-2.4
✕Joe Donovan 2023 · A	24	34	43→45	51→40	36	174/246/284	110	279	11	7	40%	6%	51	-2.3	198/254/306	108	309	9	5	37%	5%	58	-1.7	198/252/314	115	294	9	0	34%	4%	55	-0.7
✕Courtney Hawkins 2019 · AA	25	35	44→50	45→50	33	182/227/294	112	283	13	5	40%	5%	45	-2.7	202/248/366	164	278	22	6	35%	5%	70	-0.8	181/225/366	185	227	27	2	34%	5%	59	-1.2
✕Kale Emshoff 2023 · A	25	38→31	44→45	42→40	35	182/250/292	110	319	12	3	44%	7%	54	-2.0	190/247/309	119	294	13	4	38%	6%	56	-1.9	179/233/302	123	259	15	3	36%	6%	47	-1.2
✕Tanner Murphy 2023 · A	25	38	42→45	53→50	36	183/253/287	104	309	10	12	41%	7%	54	-2.0	197/260/292	95	358	8	14	44%	7%	57	-1.8	166/230/234	68	350	5	22	50%	7%	30	-1.2
✕Dexter Kjerstad 2017 · A	25	39→33	44→45	45	34	196/246/310	114	289	12	9	36%	4%	56	-1.9	191/245/288	97	289	10	6	36%	5%	51	-2.3	154/207/216	62	234	8	0	36%	5%	17	-2.0
✕Taylor Brennan 2016 · A	24	40→42	41→45	46→45	43	187/268/286	99	309	8	8	39%	9%	59	-1.7	194/272/285	91	327	7	9	39%	9%	60	-1.6	129/233/194	65	219	6	6	40%	12%	25	-0.9
✕Dennicher Carrasco 2021 · A	25	39→36	44→45	45→40	33	198/235/312	114	296	12	7	37%	4%	51	-2.2	202/253/312	110	342	11	7	41%	6%	59	-1.7	160/210/262	101	283	13	0	46%	6%	28	-1.1