Herlinton HerreraSS DSL Colorado
Age 19 L/R 5'11" / 150 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 135 proj PA
wRC+56
AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .280 / .275
PA135
HR1
K%26
BB%9
ISO76
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -6.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.91.80.10.30.70.91.11.21.31.31.11.00.7+$65M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.2$6M+$6M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.3$6M+$6M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.3$6M+$5M
2035Arb-1$2M+1.1$4M+$4M
2036Arb-2$3M+1.0$4M+$3M
2037Arb-3$4M+0.7$1M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $9M $27M +$23M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Colorado 167139 26220 21353 71 187307230537 43245 2113 247 47
202417 ROKDSL Colorado 167127 30320 33273 71 236405291696 55294 1620 329 110
202518 ROKDSL Colorado 162137 22511 17424 103 161272234506 73221 2610 227 32
202518 ROKDSL Colorado 162126 29721 28304 103 230386341727 111292 1917 333 113
▸ 2026 Season
202619 MLB 135120 24411 12352 31 200284275559 75272 269 259 56 -7 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720 MLB 34% 220195 41722 20553 41 210294297591 87275 259 271 66 -8 +0 +0 +2 +6 0.1
202821 MLB 48% 348308 661135 32865 72 214299318617 104278 259 280 72 -11 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.3
202922 MLB 54% 441392 851537 401086 92 217299324623 107280 249 286 77 -12 +1 +0 +5 +12 0.7
203023 MLB 57% 501443 991749 461217 113 223306341647 117281 249 289 79 -12 +1 +0 +5 +14 0.9
203124 MLB 57% 541479 10618410 501317 123 221304338642 117282 249 291 81 -12 +1 +0 +6 +15 1.1
203225 MLB 57% 565500 11119410 521368 123 222305336641 114282 249 292 82 -12 +1 +0 +6 +16 1.2
203326 MLB 56% 577511 11420411 531398 133 223306342648 119282 249 293 82 -12 +1 +0 +6 +16 1.3
203427 MLB 55% 580513 11420411 541408 133 222306341647 119281 249 293 82 -12 +1 +0 +6 +16 1.3
203528 MLB 59% 578511 11319411 541408 123 221305339644 117281 249 292 82 -12 +1 -1 +6 +16 1.1
203629 MLB 61% 569503 11019410 541397 123 219303332635 113280 249 290 80 -13 +1 -1 +6 +16 1.0
203730 MLB 62% 559494 10818410 531387 113 219303332635 113280 259 288 78 -14 +1 -2 +6 +16 0.7
202720 MLB 34% 7668 14211 7191 20 206289309598 103275 259 271 66 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
202821 MLB 48% 169150 32612 15422 41 213293307600 93278 259 280 72 -5 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.2
202922 MLB 54% 239212 47824 22583 51 222304335639 113280 249 286 77 -6 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.4
203023 MLB 57% 284252 561025 26694 61 222305337642 115281 249 289 79 -7 +1 +0 +3 +8 0.5
203124 MLB 57% 306271 591025 28744 72 218300325625 107282 249 291 81 -7 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.6
203225 MLB 57% 319283 631126 29774 72 223304339643 117282 249 292 82 -7 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.7
203326 MLB 56% 326289 641126 30794 72 221303336639 114282 249 293 82 -7 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.7
203427 MLB 55% 322285 631126 30784 72 221304337641 116281 249 293 82 -6 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.7
203528 MLB 59% 342302 671136 32835 72 222307338645 116281 249 292 82 -7 +1 -0 +4 +10 0.7
203629 MLB 61% 347306 681236 33855 72 222308340648 118280 2410 290 80 -8 +1 -1 +4 +10 0.6
203730 MLB 62% 348307 661126 33865 72 215301322624 107280 259 288 78 -8 +1 -1 +4 +10 0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career 30782725 5991032253 28575041 6617 220303332635 112282 249 290 80 -70 +6 -3 +33 +87 5.5
/ 162G 650575 12722511 601589 144 221304334638 113283 249 290 80 -15 +1 -1 +7 +18 1.1
Career 59435245 11391944498 558144583 13634 217302327629 110279 249 286 77 -156 +14 -4 +64 +168 8.7
/ 162G 650574 12521511 611589 154 218303329633 111279 249 286 77 -17 +1 -0 +7 +18 0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Colorado 167127 30320 33273 71 236405291696 55294 1620 329 110 +2 +1 +5 0.8
202518 ROKDSL Colorado 162126 29721 28304 103 230386341727 111292 1917 333 113 +2 +1 +5 0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA
103,1083684243310341+28+299.29.5
/162664818+5.9+6.22.0pk7: 10
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA
62,4383130244299357+9+265.45.4
/16266488+2.4+7.21.5pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons
73,2115568220300333+34+215.65.1
/1626641114+7.1+4.31.2pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Herlinton Herrera (OGILVIE) 19 35 25 55 60 200/280/275 75272 13 26% 9% 56 -0.3
Richard Rodriguez
2012 · A
19 39 36→30 48→50 45 186/255/247 61260 312 28% 8% 37 -2.6 210/266/251 41261 114 19% 7% 42 -2.3 233/291/2542027801615%7%50-0.6
Enmanuel Terrero
2022 · A
19 42 36→45 46→55 52 196/279/261 65256 39 23% 10% 52 -1.6 220/298/308 88314 714 29% 10% 71 -0.3 212/292/3059332591734%10%65-0.3
Juan Mosquera
2007 · A
19 38 35→30 49→55 44 180/246/238 57263 315 31% 8% 30 -3.1 201/290/246 45281 114 26% 10% 53 -1.5 210/308/2372728001722%11%56-0.4
Michael De La Cruz
2015 · A
19 43 35→40 46→50 50 199/283/256 57281 210 28% 10% 52 -1.6 188/254/253 65290 39 33% 8% 38 -2.6 169/235/2275826521034%7%21-1.3
Jose Astudillo
2023 · A
19 44 37→30 54→50 47 207/264/281 74251 314 19% 6% 50 -1.8 245/295/318 73283 314 14% 5% 72 -0.2 293/336/3909732081910%4%104+0.6
Nicoll Parra
2013 · A
19 41 34→30 48→55 56 189/304/245 56267 116 26% 12% 60 -1.0 206/303/261 55271 217 22% 10% 63 -0.9 194/328/2243025103419%14%62-0.2
Daniel Vellojin
2019 · A
19 39 39→45 47→45 48 189/268/273 83260 66 28% 9% 50 -1.7 214/303/312 98272 78 22% 10% 76 +0.0 196/299/31111625812627%12%71-0.1
Vicmal De La Cruz
2013 · A
19 42 39→40 49→50 43 201/264/291 89282 58 29% 7% 52 -1.6 183/238/255 72271 46 32% 6% 32 -3.0 149/204/202522203332%5%1-1.4
Victor Padron
2013 · A
19 46 37→30 53→55 51 217/289/294 76266 410 19% 8% 63 -0.8 230/291/277 47289 115 19% 8% 59 -1.1 242/307/2622030102018%9%58-0.4
Robedluis Fuentes
2008 · A
19 41 37→30 53→45 45 197/263/267 70262 412 25% 7% 46 -2.0 230/290/284 54281 37 18% 6% 61 -1.0 243/302/283402902516%6%64-0.3
Roynier Hernandez
2023 · A
18 44 34→30 46→50 53 203/279/257 54256 28 20% 10% 50 -1.7 230/299/285 55293 19 20% 9% 65 -0.7 244/304/306623153722%8%70-0.2
Luis Valenzuela
2013 · A
19 42 38→45 52→45 44 198/258/283 84268 46 26% 7% 47 -1.9 212/252/292 80276 58 24% 5% 46 -2.0 257/280/3581003165720%2%71-0.1
Jose Reyes
2018 · A
19 45 36→45 55 44 211/255/282 71259 213 19% 5% 45 -2.1 226/279/325 99265 715 17% 6% 66 -0.6 248/303/371123270102512%7%85+0.3
Ayendy Perez
2013 · A
19 46 35→30 49→60 48 211/290/270 59283 112 24% 8% 58 -1.2 228/291/287 59290 124 20% 8% 62 -0.9 236/296/2895429503319%7%61-0.4
Eliezer Álvarez
2014 · A
19 37→47 38→45 50→55 44 183/245/265 82243 512 26% 7% 37 -2.6 233/283/341 108299 513 22% 6% 72 -0.2 254/308/36210834251926%6%87+0.4
Rochest Cruz
2018 · A
19 46 36→40 43→65 52 214/289/283 69266 310 20% 9% 61 -1.0 213/286/278 65276 330 22% 8% 59 -1.1 205/284/2595326524721%8%50-0.6
Oliver Carmona
2017 · A
19 41 35→40 48→50 47 190/253/249 58238 210 20% 7% 37 -2.7 210/279/286 76266 511 21% 8% 57 -1.2 211/288/2837226051320%9%63-0.4
Jesus Castillo
2022 · A
19 41→44 34→30 51→55 42 194/257/244 49275 216 28% 6% 37 -2.6 213/312/258 45291 119 24% 11% 66 -0.6 202/327/2323028312424%14%65-0.3
Jorge Minyety
2010 · A
19 46 35→30 50 55 208/299/269 61275 114 22% 11% 63 -0.9 216/285/281 65304 29 27% 9% 59 -1.1 227/294/263363220427%9%53-0.3
Jeremy Arocho
2018 · A
19 43→46 38→30 53→60 41 203/260/286 83285 412 29% 6% 49 -1.8 223/283/291 68291 211 22% 7% 59 -1.1 217/330/2614529713424%14%71-0.2