Kevin Tamburini — OGILVIE

Kevin TamburiniSS DSL Padres Gold

Age 21 L/R 6'1" / 150 lbs ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 69 proj PA

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .260 / .275

PA69

HR0

K%27

BB%5

ISO68

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	18	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	75	68	22	1	1	0	7	15	0	2	0	324	387	368	754	44	415	20	9	345	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	135	120	27	6	1	0	7	30	4	2	2	225	290	292	582	67	287	22	5	261	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	75	70	15	1	1	0	5	19	0	2	0	214	267	257	524	43	280	25	7	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	135	122	16	3	1	0	5	38	4	2	2	131	191	172	363	41	171	28	4	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	75	70	15	1	1	0	5	19	0	2	0	214	267	257	524	43	294	25	7	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	—	75	68	22	1	1	0	7	15	0	2	0	324	387	368	754	44	415	20	9	345	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	135	122	16	3	1	0	5	38	4	2	2	131	191	172	363	41	182	28	4	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	—	135	120	27	6	1	0	7	30	4	2	2	225	290	292	582	67	287	22	5	261	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	75	70	15	1	1	0	5	19	0	2	0	214	267	257	524	43	280	25	7	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	135	125	16	3	1	0	5	38	4	2	2	128	191	168	359	40	171	28	4	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	75	70	15	1	1	0	5	19	0	2	0	214	267	257	524	43	280	25	7	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	135	125	16	3	1	0	5	38	4	2	2	128	191	168	359	40	171	28	4	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	SD	0%	245	227	47	7	2	1	13	67	3	4	1	210	262	278	540	68	287	27	5	246	52	-14	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	SD	34%	117	108	23	3	1	1	7	31	1	2	1	214	267	292	560	78	288	26	6	254	58	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	SD	34%	40	38	7	1	0	0	2	11	0	1	0	211	264	287	552	77	283	28	5	251	58	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	40	38	7	1	0	0	2	11	0	1	0	184	225	211	436	26	259	28	5	251	31	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	618	114	16	0	0	32	179	0	16	0	184	225	210	435	26	260	28	5	251	31	-33	+3	+0	+7	+14	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	396	364	67	9	4	1	21	107	6	7	3	184	240	239	479	55	253	27	5	214	31	-10	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	597	111	15	7	2	34	176	10	11	5	186	241	245	486	59	255	27	5	214	31	-34	+1	+0	+7	+14	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kevin Tamburini (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	208/260/275	67	287	0	1	27%	5%	52	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Shane Mardirosian 2017 · A	21	41→40	36→40	46→45	39	198/244/266	69	266	3	9	26%	4%	44	-2.8	203/257/283	80	293	6	8	31%	6%	53	-2.1	198/267/282	84	301	7	7	34%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Shane Opitz 2013 · A	21	41	38→40	48→50	40	199/241/281	81	267	4	5	26%	5%	46	-2.6	238/277/316	78	303	4	9	22%	5%	67	-1.1	254/288/325	71	310	3	9	18%	5%	69	-0.4
✕Deivis Nadal 2023 · A	21	38	36→40	48→55	37	178/244/244	65	288	3	14	37%	6%	40	-3.1	173/249/273	100	324	9	19	45%	8%	49	-2.4	138/226/243	104	269	10	25	48%	9%	32	-1.5
✕Luis Mendez 2024 · A	21	38	38→40	47→50	43	182/254/259	77	275	6	10	34%	8%	47	-2.5	193/255/274	81	270	5	12	28%	7%	50	-2.3	187/247/263	77	253	5	13	27%	7%	43	-1.2
✕Ryan Gold 2019 · A	21	44→36	39→45	48→40	38	212/258/297	85	290	7	5	29%	5%	57	-1.8	196/249/297	101	285	7	4	32%	5%	53	-2.1	175/242/298	123	254	11	1	34%	6%	50	-1.2
✕Henrry Rosario 2014 · A	21	36	37→45	47→45	46	174/247/252	78	242	4	8	28%	8%	42	-2.9	195/249/297	102	250	8	7	24%	6%	53	-2.1	198/245/326	128	246	14	9	25%	5%	57	-0.6
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→45	53→55	45	177/253/254	77	242	4	12	27%	8%	46	-2.6	204/272/316	112	294	8	11	31%	7%	67	-1.1	189/255/293	104	275	7	15	32%	6%	54	-1.0
✕Wes Darvill 2013 · A	21	42→40	37→40	49→45	43	200/244/269	69	256	4	9	23%	6%	44	-2.8	205/255/283	78	273	4	9	25%	6%	51	-2.2	198/251/271	73	263	4	9	25%	6%	46	-1.5
✕Julio Garcia 2018 · A	21	42→37	36→40	48→40	38	199/243/272	73	289	2	7	31%	5%	45	-2.7	180/213/244	64	299	4	3	39%	3%	26	-4.0	158/184/209	52	268	4	2	41%	2%	5	-3.0
✕Dan Arcila 2011 · A	21	33	37→40	53→50	42	166/231/239	73	242	5	12	32%	7%	34	-3.5	196/250/324	128	265	13	6	30%	6%	61	-1.5	174/233/338	164	215	19	3	29%	6%	53	-0.8
✕Charles Mack 2021 · A	21	44	37→45	49→40	42	207/268/285	77	297	4	7	30%	7%	57	-1.8	183/261/286	103	304	10	4	39%	9%	57	-1.8	154/240/258	104	248	11	1	40%	10%	40	-1.3
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A	21	38	38→30	48→45	42	185/249/264	79	253	5	7	28%	6%	47	-2.6	199/274/279	80	289	6	6	31%	7%	59	-1.6	182/251/245	63	250	5	11	28%	7%	41	-0.8
✕Hansel Moreno 2018 · A	21	43→33	38→40	51→50	41	206/255/288	82	285	5	12	28%	6%	53	-2.1	194/239/288	94	293	9	16	35%	5%	47	-2.5	177/222/269	92	266	10	19	36%	5%	34	-2.2
✕Connor Oliver 2015 · A	21	44→45	37→40	48→50	40	207/260/285	78	290	4	10	29%	6%	55	-2.0	189/244/266	77	280	4	11	32%	6%	44	-2.8	147/205/208	61	220	2	11	32%	7%	13	-2.4
✕Sandy Acevedo 2013 · A	20	37	38→40	49→50	44	181/259/263	83	253	5	11	29%	8%	51	-2.3	186/256/284	98	256	7	9	28%	7%	54	-2.0	123/201/242	119	154	9	9	26%	8%	23	-1.1
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	36→30	38→45	50	43	177/250/254	77	257	5	13	32%	7%	45	-2.7	207/272/309	102	322	8	15	36%	7%	65	-1.2	191/253/307	116	283	12	16	35%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Andry Arias 2021 · A	21	38	39→40	51→40	42	186/255/269	83	272	6	8	32%	8%	50	-2.3	190/255/289	99	292	8	6	35%	7%	55	-2.0	163/234/264	101	246	9	3	35%	7%	39	-1.0
✕Alexis Rivera 2015 · A	21	42	37→45	49→50	40	202/256/274	73	289	5	11	31%	6%	51	-2.3	219/266/330	111	298	11	9	29%	5%	67	-1.1	229/272/355	125	296	13	7	27%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Logan Moore 2012 · A	21	41	38→40	48→30	36	200/237/272	72	290	6	5	32%	4%	42	-2.9	181/239/255	74	266	5	3	32%	6%	40	-3.0	197/244/289	92	272	10	0	30%	6%	48	-1.0
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	39→33	37→45	54→55	39	187/245/260	73	279	3	11	32%	6%	43	-2.8	186/260/317	131	336	16	16	46%	8%	63	-1.3	173/250/304	131	303	16	19	45%	8%	53	-1.4