Caden Ferraro

OF Peoria Chiefs

Age 22 L/L A+ HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

Scout OFP40ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	21	A+STL	85	.216/.310/.405	3	0	55	—	.169/.238/.299
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBSTL	195	.227/.293/.361	4	2	84	0.0
2028PROJ25% MLB	23	MLBSTL	38	.229/.295/.363	1	0	86	-0.0
2029PROJ36% MLB	24	MLBSTL	98	.231/.298/.367	2	1	88	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Chase%87

Whiff%87

Z-Con%70

ISO68

K%58

BB%41

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 94%

CompsAndrew Pullin (age 22) · Edinson Rincon (age 22) · Austin Gallagher (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 77 proj PA

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .290 / .358

PA77

HR2

K%27

BB%8

ISO134

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$11M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

SPEED30

scouting grade only

DEFENSE40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	85	74	16	3	1	3	9	19	1	0	1	216	310	405	715	189	245	22	11	316	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	85	77	13	2	1	2	6	24	1	0	1	169	238	299	537	130	213	28	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	85	77	13	2	1	2	6	24	1	0	1	169	238	299	537	130	212	28	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	—	85	74	16	3	1	3	9	19	1	0	1	216	310	405	715	189	245	22	11	316	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	85	78	13	2	1	2	6	24	1	0	1	167	238	295	533	128	213	28	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	85	78	13	2	1	2	6	24	1	0	1	167	238	295	533	128	213	28	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	STL	0%	195	176	40	7	2	4	15	53	2	2	1	227	293	361	654	134	293	27	8	292	84	-4	+0	-1	-1	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	STL	25%	151	138	32	6	1	4	11	40	1	1	1	229	295	366	662	137	294	26	7	296	86	-2	-0	-1	-1	+3	-0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	STL	36%	270	244	56	10	2	7	21	71	3	2	1	231	298	371	669	140	295	26	8	298	88	-4	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	STL	43%	346	313	73	13	3	9	27	90	3	3	1	232	299	374	673	142	295	26	8	300	89	-4	+0	-1	-2	+7	0.0
2031	26	MLB MLE	STL	47%	396	358	83	15	3	10	31	103	4	3	1	232	300	376	676	143	294	26	8	301	90	-5	+0	-1	-2	+9	0.0
2032	27	MLB MLE	STL	48%	420	380	88	16	3	11	33	109	4	3	1	232	300	375	675	143	294	26	8	301	90	-5	+0	-2	-3	+9	0.0
2033	28	MLB MLE	STL	48%	432	391	90	16	3	11	34	113	4	3	2	230	298	370	668	140	293	26	8	298	88	-6	-0	-2	-3	+9	-0.2
2034	29	MLB MLE	STL	48%	432	391	89	16	3	10	34	114	4	2	3	228	295	364	659	136	291	26	8	295	86	-7	-1	-3	-3	+9	-0.4
2035	30	MLB MLE	STL	47%	429	389	88	16	3	10	33	114	4	2	5	225	292	356	648	131	289	27	8	290	82	-9	-2	-4	-3	+9	-0.8
2028	23	MLB CTX	STL	25%	38	35	7	1	0	1	3	10	0	0	0	229	295	363	658	134	296	26	8	294	86	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	STL	36%	98	89	21	4	1	2	8	26	1	1	0	231	298	367	665	136	297	27	8	297	88	-1	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	STL	43%	148	135	31	6	1	3	11	39	1	1	0	232	299	370	669	138	297	26	7	299	89	-2	+0	-1	-1	+3	0.0
2031	26	MLB CTX	STL	47%	184	166	38	7	1	4	14	48	2	1	1	232	300	372	672	139	296	26	8	300	90	-2	-0	-1	-1	+4	-0.0
2032	27	MLB CTX	STL	48%	200	180	42	8	1	5	16	52	2	1	1	232	300	371	671	139	295	26	8	300	90	-2	-0	-1	-1	+4	-0.0
2033	28	MLB CTX	STL	48%	208	188	43	8	1	5	16	54	2	1	1	230	298	366	664	136	294	26	8	297	88	-3	-0	-1	-1	+5	-0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	STL	48%	205	185	42	8	1	5	16	54	2	1	1	228	295	360	655	132	293	26	8	293	86	-4	-0	-1	-1	+4	-0.2
2035	30	MLB CTX	STL	47%	202	182	41	8	1	4	16	54	2	1	3	225	292	352	644	128	291	27	8	289	82	-4	-1	-2	-1	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1283	1160	265	50	7	29	100	337	12	7	7	228	296	359	655	130	295	26	8	296	86	-19	-1	-7	-8	+28	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	135	25	4	15	51	171	6	4	4	230	298	362	660	133	296	26	8	296	86	-10	-1	-3	-4	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3038	2751	629	113	23	76	236	799	29	20	16	229	296	369	666	141	292	26	8	296	86	-44	-2	-15	-18	+64	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	134	24	5	16	50	171	6	4	3	228	294	367	661	139	291	26	8	296	86	-10	-0	-3	-4	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Frank Welch'19-'27 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,678 PA	4.0	2,678	41	18	242*	318*	409*	-17	-20	2.2	2.7
/162	664	10	4	-4.2	-5.1	0.5	pk7: 3
#2John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.9	1,285	31	8	231	295	370	-8	-12	0.7	0.8
/162	664	16	4	-4.0	-6.2	0.4	pk7: 1
#3Eric Anthony'89-'97 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,243 PA	3.4	2,243	78	24	225*	300*	410*	-22	-22	0.1	0.6
/162	664	23	7	-6.7	-6.6	0.0	pk7: 1
#4Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	2.6	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
/162	664	24	2	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
#5Seth Brownlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,799 PA	2.7	1,799	74	24	227	293	421	-23	-34	-0.8	-0.8
/162	664	27	9	-8.6	-12.4	-0.3	pk7: -1
#6Rip Russell'39-'47 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,522 PA	2.3	1,522	29	4	236*	279*	389*	-16	-12	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	13	2	-6.9	-5.1	-1.2	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Caden Ferraro (OGILVIE)	22	55	50	30	—	225/290/358	133	293	2	1	27%	8%	84	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrew Pullin 2016 · A	22	47→49	42→50	38→40	41	232/272/335	103	284	11	3	22%	4%	70	-0.8	239/278/375	136	293	13	4	23%	4%	82	+0.0	238/278/389	151	291	15	3	23%	4%	82	+0.0
✕Edinson Rincon 2013 · AA	22	51→56	44→45	34→30	42	253/289/374	120	305	12	2	21%	4%	86	+0.3	234/275/320	86	297	6	4	22%	5%	68	-1.0	208/261/257	49	281	2	0	25%	6%	46	-1.1
✕Austin Gallagher 2011 · A	22	48→49	41→45	38→30	42	233/277/331	98	298	8	2	24%	6%	71	-0.8	235/300/364	129	294	14	3	23%	8%	88	+0.5	234/309/375	141	286	16	1	23%	9%	91	+0.5
✕Billy McKinney 2017 · AA	22	51→57	41→60	40→45	48	241/304/346	105	307	7	4	23%	8%	85	+0.2	230/289/387	157	285	16	3	24%	7%	89	+0.5	222/283/407	185	267	20	2	25%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Chris Marrero 2010 · AA	22	47→55	49→55	38→30	41	238/290/385	147	307	17	2	28%	6%	89	+0.5	255/304/377	122	321	13	3	24%	6%	93	+0.8	261/311/376	114	324	12	1	22%	6%	92	+0.6
✕Josh Ockimey 2018 · AA	22	44→46	47→50	39→30	44	212/286/347	135	317	15	3	36%	9%	80	-0.2	206/292/365	159	310	19	3	37%	10%	86	+0.3	185/284/338	154	274	19	0	37%	12%	76	-0.3
✕Robbie Tenerowicz 2017 · A	22	43→51	43→50	37→45	38	214/263/326	111	293	10	4	30%	5%	65	-1.2	226/279/334	108	290	10	6	24%	6%	74	-0.6	229/315/373	145	282	17	2	24%	7%	95	+0.7
✕Cal Mitchell 2022 · AAA	23	47→54	45→50	40→50	39	234/276/357	123	299	14	6	26%	4%	78	-0.3	242/294/377	135	307	14	11	25%	6%	88	+0.5	236/294/376	140	302	15	12	26%	7%	87	+0.3
✕Rhyne Hughes 2008 · AA	24	49→57	43→55	36→45	41	238/287/354	116	319	10	3	28%	6%	80	-0.1	232/285/373	141	328	14	4	32%	6%	84	+0.2	211/274/368	157	303	17	4	34%	7%	77	-0.2
●Stephen Parker 2010 · A	22	44→53	41→45	40	41	213/262/311	98	287	8	4	28%	6%	61	-1.5	241/301/367	126	310	12	3	25%	7%	89	+0.5	242/305/366	124	312	12	3	25%	7%	89	+0.5
●Tommy Joseph 2013 · AA	22	45→48	47→60	36→30	40	228/273/360	133	290	15	2	27%	5%	77	-0.3	218/263/340	122	274	14	3	25%	5%	69	-0.9	242/293/442	200	276	27	1	23%	6%	104	+1.2
✕Chris Valaika 2008 · A	22	47→57	43→45	36→40	38	230/276/343	113	307	10	2	28%	4%	74	-0.5	245/280/357	112	310	11	4	24%	4%	78	-0.3	253/284/361	107	314	10	4	22%	4%	79	-0.2
✕Blake DeWitt 2008 · AA	22	49→53	46→50	40	43	243/281/377	134	281	14	4	20%	5%	84	+0.1	245/302/374	129	281	11	4	16%	7%	91	+0.6	245/312/369	123	280	10	3	16%	8%	93	+0.7
●John Bowker 2006 · A	23	45→55	45→55	37→45	40	226/270/346	120	298	13	4	28%	5%	72	-0.7	245/288/378	133	312	13	5	25%	5%	86	+0.3	266/325/436	170	315	19	6	21%	7%	114	+2.0
✕Beau Mills 2009 · A	22	47→49	50	41→30	41	237/292/394	157	301	17	3	27%	6%	93	+0.8	237/280/371	134	284	14	2	21%	5%	82	+0.0	239/280/370	131	277	14	1	19%	5%	81	-0.0
✕J.T. Hall 2007 · A	23	48→50	42→45	38→45	39	231/277/344	113	308	8	6	27%	5%	74	-0.5	228/279/350	122	317	11	6	30%	6%	77	-0.3	222/279/345	123	309	11	4	30%	6%	74	-0.4
✕John Whittleman 2009 · AA	22	44→45	44→50	39→45	50	213/294/332	119	292	10	3	29%	10%	79	-0.2	196/278/320	124	265	12	3	29%	10%	70	-0.8	172/259/320	148	230	18	1	32%	11%	63	-1.0
✕Xavier Paul 2006 · A	21	46→56	43→50	39→55	41	219/282/336	117	328	10	4	34%	7%	75	-0.5	253/302/371	118	354	11	14	30%	6%	90	+0.6	277/328/399	122	368	10	18	26%	6%	104	+1.0
✕John Drennen 2009 · A	22	45→55	40→45	40→45	44	216/272/306	90	273	7	5	23%	6%	64	-1.3	239/288/350	111	289	8	3	19%	6%	80	-0.2	250/301/374	124	298	8	1	18%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Jake Shaffer 2011 · A	23	53→59	43→45	40→45	39	256/290/375	118	323	9	6	23%	4%	86	+0.3	250/283/360	110	309	9	7	21%	4%	80	-0.2	253/284/359	107	306	9	6	20%	4%	77	-0.2

Caden Ferraro

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps