Carlos Caripa — OGILVIE

Carlos CaripaOF DSL CLE Goryl

Age 20 L/L 5'10" / 155 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 106 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .269 / .284

PA106

HR1

K%27

BB%7

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	103	88	13	4	1	0	13	18	1	3	0	148	265	216	481	68	183	17	13	231	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	72	65	16	3	0	0	4	11	1	0	1	246	300	292	592	46	291	15	6	266	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	126	112	32	5	0	2	11	28	3	2	2	286	365	384	749	98	366	22	9	342	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	103	92	9	2	1	0	9	22	1	3	0	98	186	141	328	43	118	21	9	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	72	66	11	2	0	0	3	14	1	0	1	167	214	197	411	30	205	19	4	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	126	115	21	3	0	1	8	34	3	2	2	183	254	235	489	52	245	27	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	103	92	9	2	1	0	9	22	1	3	0	98	186	141	328	43	127	21	9	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	103	88	13	4	1	0	13	18	1	3	0	148	265	216	481	68	183	17	13	231	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	72	66	11	2	0	0	3	14	1	0	1	167	214	197	411	30	208	19	4	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	72	65	16	3	0	0	4	11	1	0	1	246	300	292	592	46	291	15	6	266	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	126	115	21	3	0	1	8	34	3	2	2	183	254	235	489	52	250	27	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	—	126	112	32	5	0	2	11	28	3	2	2	286	365	384	749	98	366	22	9	342	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	103	92	9	2	1	0	9	22	1	3	0	98	186	141	328	43	118	21	9	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	72	68	11	2	0	0	3	14	1	0	1	162	214	191	405	29	205	19	4	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	126	114	21	3	0	1	8	34	3	2	2	184	254	237	491	53	245	27	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	103	92	9	2	1	0	9	22	1	3	0	98	186	141	328	43	118	21	9	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	72	68	11	2	0	0	3	14	1	0	1	162	214	191	405	29	205	19	4	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	126	114	21	3	0	1	8	34	3	2	2	184	254	237	491	53	245	27	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	236	216	46	8	2	2	16	63	2	2	1	211	271	287	558	76	284	27	7	254	58	-12	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	191	174	37	6	1	2	13	50	2	2	1	215	277	303	581	88	286	26	7	264	65	-8	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.5
2028	21	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	66	61	13	2	0	1	4	17	1	1	0	215	277	302	579	87	287	26	6	263	65	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	66	61	13	2	0	1	4	17	1	1	0	213	273	295	568	82	279	26	6	263	38	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	128	20	0	10	39	167	10	10	0	213	272	296	568	83	278	26	6	263	38	-27	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	598	544	98	16	3	4	40	148	8	8	4	180	247	243	489	62	237	25	7	224	38	-13	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	106	17	3	4	43	161	9	9	4	179	245	239	484	59	237	25	7	224	38	-29	+0	+0	-4	+14	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Caripa (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	209/269/284	75	284	1	1	27%	7%	58	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2014 · A	20	38	38→40	47→50	40	185/239/260	76	260	6	5	30%	6%	41	-3.0	185/243/256	71	278	3	6	32%	6%	42	-2.9	144/211/202	57	222	0	6	32%	6%	17	-1.5
✕Luis Castillo 2024 · A	20	43→36	39→50	46→40	42	206/270/292	86	297	7	6	32%	7%	60	-1.6	180/256/301	121	260	14	4	34%	9%	59	-1.7	164/248/298	134	222	17	2	33%	10%	54	-1.2
✕Michael De La Cruz 2016 · A	20	40	36→40	45→50	46	190/261/259	69	270	4	9	29%	8%	50	-2.3	191/256/256	65	306	3	10	35%	7%	47	-2.6	156/231/187	31	268	0	14	38%	8%	19	-1.5
✕Yeicok Calderon 2012 · A	20	38	42→40	49→45	42	190/255/295	105	271	9	7	32%	7%	55	-1.9	188/238/305	117	303	12	5	40%	6%	51	-2.2	179/226/296	117	283	14	3	41%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Edison Lantigua 2017 · A	20	41	36→45	52→50	42	195/250/272	77	278	3	6	29%	7%	47	-2.5	201/260/293	92	331	6	8	38%	7%	57	-1.8	178/240/274	95	303	8	7	41%	7%	42	-0.8
✕Sandy Acevedo 2013 · A	20	37	38→40	49→50	44	181/259/263	83	253	5	11	29%	8%	51	-2.3	186/256/284	98	256	7	9	28%	7%	54	-2.0	123/201/242	119	154	9	9	26%	8%	23	-1.1
✕Enzo Paulino 2024 · A	20	38	38→45	48→45	41	187/241/262	75	252	5	6	27%	6%	42	-2.9	202/248/303	101	292	8	5	32%	5%	55	-2.0	188/226/304	116	266	11	3	33%	4%	43	-0.9
✕Jose Quero 2019 · A	20	37	39→40	44→30	45	183/248/260	77	238	7	3	25%	7%	45	-2.7	204/260/314	110	262	10	6	25%	7%	61	-1.5	193/245/339	146	221	15	4	21%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Henry Pena 2010 · A	19	37	37→40	45	49	177/263/255	78	261	4	5	31%	10%	51	-2.3	198/271/294	96	333	7	6	39%	9%	61	-1.5	204/277/339	135	307	13	8	35%	8%	70	-0.1
✕Josh Sale 2012 · A	21	37	40→45	46→40	43	185/236/280	95	238	7	6	25%	6%	45	-2.7	206/275/317	111	300	10	6	32%	8%	68	-1.0	193/270/308	115	299	12	4	36%	9%	64	-0.7
✕Herman Armas 2007 · A	20	37	38→40	47→50	44	181/254/261	80	248	5	11	28%	7%	48	-2.5	197/270/285	88	250	7	9	23%	7%	59	-1.6	179/264/261	82	212	9	9	19%	8%	51	-1.2
✕Aldrich De Jongh 2019 · A	20	41	38→45	48→45	40	199/242/279	81	271	5	7	28%	5%	46	-2.6	204/251/298	94	308	6	8	33%	6%	53	-2.1	183/242/301	118	275	11	7	36%	7%	50	-0.7
✕Fidel Castro 2018 · A	19	37	36→50	46→45	41	179/243/246	67	270	3	6	33%	7%	40	-3.1	188/257/298	110	336	8	8	43%	7%	57	-1.8	164/239/288	124	322	10	8	48%	7%	45	-0.8
✕Wilmer Oberto 2013 · A	20	37	39→45	43→45	50	180/265/262	82	221	6	7	21%	8%	53	-2.1	201/259/306	105	271	9	4	28%	6%	59	-1.6	195/244/312	117	267	11	0	30%	5%	54	-0.6
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2023 · A	19	38	36→40	49→50	48	179/264/246	67	265	3	9	31%	10%	49	-2.4	191/274/274	83	295	5	14	33%	9%	59	-1.7	189/281/265	77	291	4	18	33%	10%	58	-1.0
✕Jaden Rudd 2023 · A	20	39→36	39→30	49→50	49	187/279/277	90	259	6	12	28%	9%	61	-1.5	182/288/248	66	288	3	14	34%	10%	59	-1.6	160/281/212	51	264	2	16	35%	11%	47	-1.3
✕Mikey Romero 2024 · A	20	44→42	38→50	48→40	45	210/265/300	90	274	4	7	24%	7%	59	-1.6	210/252/353	143	281	15	4	30%	5%	68	-1.0	204/248/346	142	268	15	3	30%	5%	62	-1.0
✕Francisco Del Valle 2019 · A	20	37→29	39→45	50→40	39	181/243/264	83	278	7	6	36%	7%	44	-2.8	175/254/280	105	262	9	4	34%	8%	53	-2.1	159/237/265	107	227	10	3	33%	8%	41	-1.6
✕Miguel Aparicio 2019 · A	20	37→38	41→50	45→50	39	188/231/285	97	245	8	7	27%	4%	43	-2.8	203/247/337	134	263	13	7	28%	4%	62	-1.4	188/240/334	146	245	16	7	30%	5%	57	-0.9
✕Jose Augusto Figueroa 2012 · A	19	40	38→40	44→45	45	188/266/270	82	276	4	6	31%	8%	55	-2.0	207/268/294	87	267	4	10	23%	7%	59	-1.6	240/273/329	88	342	5	9	30%	4%	66	-0.4