Joe OlsavskySS Augusta GreenJackets
Age 24 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION139 act + 117 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†38
AVG/OBP/SLG.168 / .276 / .248
PA117
HR1
K%39
BB%9
BABIP291
ISO79
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -22.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-23BATRUN: +0.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +7.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: -1.20-1.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.6-0.5-0.4-0.3-0.3-0.426283031
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT50
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202422 A2 teams 288252 391012 2510911 65 155260226487 71262 389 220 27
202422 A2 teams 288236 451312 417811 65 191337280616 89276 2714 297 85
202523 A2 teams 306261 45512 278718 91 172294222516 50250 289 243 44
202523 A2 teams 306246 59722 426118 91 240389309698 69311 2014 334 114
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD24 AATL 139120 15311 13674 62 125234192425 67259 489 196 8 -14 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.9
YTD24 AATL 139112 19411 21474 62 170321250571 80273 3415 275 68 -5 +0 +0 +1 +4 0.1
ROS24 AATL 0% 117101 17311 11464 31 168276248523 79280 399 235 38 -8 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.4
ROS24 MLBATL 0% 01 0000 000 00 280 208 18 +0 +0
FULL24 AATL 139121 15311 13674 62 124234190424 66255 489 196 8 -14 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.9
TOT24 AATL 256221 32622 241138 93 145253217470 72275 449 214 22 -23 +1 +0 +3 +7 -1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLBATL 30% 292255 43813 261109 52 169269243512 75281 389 248 48 -17 +0 +0 +3 +8 -0.6
202826 MLBATL 44% 353307 551025 3212911 62 179280274554 94283 379 257 55 -18 +0 +0 +4 +10 -0.4
202927 MLBATL 49% 382333 611126 3513711 62 183282282565 99284 369 261 58 -18 +0 +0 +4 +11 -0.3
203028 MLBATL 51% 399347 641226 3714212 62 184285282568 98283 369 261 58 -19 +0 -1 +4 +11 -0.4
203129 MLBATL 56% 402350 641226 3714412 62 183283280563 97283 369 260 57 -20 +0 -1 +4 +11 -0.5
202725 MLBATL 30% 8877 12201 8333 20 156261221482 65281 389 224 30 -7 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.3
202826 MLBATL 44% 156136 24412 14575 31 176277265542 88283 379 234 38 -11 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.5
202927 MLBATL 49% 187162 29513 17676 31 179281278559 99284 369 239 41 -12 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.5
203028 MLBATL 51% 205178 33613 19736 31 185286281567 96283 369 240 42 -14 +0 -0 +2 +6 -0.6
203129 MLBATL 56% 224194 35613 21807 31 180284268552 88283 369 238 40 -15 +0 -1 +2 +6 -0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career 860748 13323412 7931027 144 178280267548 90281 369 237 39 -59 +1 -1 +9 +24 -2.6
/ 162G 650565 1001739 6023420 113 177279265545 88280 369 237 39 -45 +1 -1 +7 +18 -1.9
Career 25392206 388711231 23090488 4717 176280261541 85279 369 251 50 -143 +3 -2 +27 +72 -4.4
/ 162G 650565 991838 5923123 124 175280260540 85277 369 251 50 -37 +1 -1 +7 +18 -1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202422 A+Rome Emperors 5648 12500 8180 00 250357354711 104400 3214 327 109 +1 +0 +2 0.2
202422 AAugusta GreenJackets 232188 33812 336011 65 176332261593 85246 2614 289 79 -5 -1 +7 0.0
202523 A+Rome Emperors 11998 16211 15266 31 163311235546 71211 2213 269 64 -5 +0 +3 -0.1
202523 AAugusta GreenJackets 187148 43511 273512 60 291439358797 68375 1914 376 146 +10 +1 +5 1.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09
career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA
101,524292226288351+19+143.84.3
/162664131+8.5+6.21.6pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
31,1161418179278264+12+9-1.5-0.7
/162664811+7.1+5.4-0.9pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Joe Olsavsky (OGILVIE) 24 50 20 45 55 145/253/217 72275 29 44% 9% 22 -1.2
Damon Dues
2022 · A
24 45 36→30 44→60 44 206/285/270 64311 37 32% 8% 56 -1.3 224/315/288 64326 223 28% 11% 73 -0.1 231/333/2905932913726%13%78+0.1
Bryan Johns
2013 · A
24 44 35→30 43→45 48 205/281/267 62284 27 27% 9% 54 -1.4 202/269/283 81288 68 30% 7% 53 -1.5 150/216/208582167532%5%10-1.1
Connor McVey
2019 · A
24 45 40→30 45→50 45 213/287/302 89309 79 32% 8% 66 -0.6 204/304/278 74298 69 30% 10% 68 -0.5 185/304/240552716930%12%56-0.8
Moisés Castillo
2023 · AA
24 45→49 37→30 46→45 44 212/279/282 69296 58 28% 7% 56 -1.3 202/267/281 79274 67 27% 7% 52 -1.6 172/241/241692306326%7%27-2.3
Travis Harrison
2017 · AA
24 42→48 38→40 42→45 44 198/275/277 79287 59 30% 8% 54 -1.4 183/271/272 89287 69 35% 9% 53 -1.5 130/244/210802155537%10%25-1.9
Najee Gaskins
2022 · A
24 45 39→30 51→50 35 209/260/293 84323 612 36% 5% 51 -1.7 213/282/290 77366 49 40% 6% 60 -1.0 209/292/2696038421041%7%59-0.5
John Ziznewski
2015 · A
24 43 35→40 48→50 43 200/261/256 56297 27 32% 8% 41 -2.3 218/280/301 83347 510 35% 7% 61 -1.0 226/292/3199337051337%8%67-0.2
Brody Moore
2023 · A
23 47→45 37→30 51→55 42 216/274/285 69323 49 33% 7% 54 -1.4 201/256/265 64299 417 32% 6% 41 -2.3 225/274/2856029842124%6%52-1.0
Jordan Serena
2017 · A
24 43→45 35→30 48→50 38 199/258/260 61306 211 34% 6% 42 -2.3 197/249/272 75307 510 35% 5% 41 -2.3 165/212/2266126451137%4%11-2.0
Brhet Bewley
2021 · A
24 46 37→40 43→40 46 215/282/284 69297 46 27% 8% 58 -1.2 214/268/332 118292 134 30% 7% 65 -0.7 200/255/32112226416130%6%55-0.4
Mitch Roman
2019 · AA
24 48→52 36→30 48→50 36 225/265/283 58332 412 32% 5% 50 -1.8 196/247/253 57318 313 37% 6% 35 -2.8 168/224/2084028221638%6%11-2.5
Adam Walton
2018 · A
24 44 39→40 48→45 37 210/253/294 85301 69 31% 5% 48 -1.9 221/271/320 99313 99 30% 6% 63 -0.9 223/274/317943119830%6%59-0.5
Jon Murphy
2014 · A
24 44 37→30 47→50 37 209/256/279 70303 412 31% 5% 45 -2.1 194/252/261 67319 410 37% 7% 39 -2.5 140/209/173332581943%8%-3-2.2
Brandon Lopez
2018 · A
24 50→49 34→30 47→40 43 228/290/275 47325 14 28% 7% 59 -1.1 215/281/275 60318 35 30% 8% 55 -1.4 197/275/231343000231%9%40-1.0
Raul Siri
2019 · A
24 43 39→40 46→50 37 202/260/286 83319 69 36% 6% 50 -1.8 203/272/295 92361 610 42% 7% 57 -1.2 149/237/2388930741447%8%28-0.6
Tanner Vavra
2014 · A
25 45 35→30 44→45 43 205/275/260 55307 25 32% 8% 50 -1.8 210/275/264 54303 27 29% 6% 50 -1.7 208/274/253443001728%5%43-1.1
Roberto Baldoquin
2018 · A
24 42 36→30 43→45 38 202/249/266 64290 48 31% 5% 39 -2.5 210/257/285 75300 47 30% 5% 47 -1.9 205/259/264592862427%5%40-1.2
Danny Oriente
2022 · A
24 45 37→30 43→50 44 210/277/280 69295 57 29% 7% 55 -1.4 216/279/287 71281 511 24% 7% 58 -1.2 209/276/2463726231620%7%45-0.8
Kolbrin Vitek
2013 · AA
24 47→52 37→40 50 37 220/263/292 72322 37 32% 5% 51 -1.7 206/253/278 72317 49 34% 5% 43 -2.2 182/226/2264329501036%5%16-1.5
Harold Martinez
2014 · A
24 47→49 37→40 49→45 37 220/260/296 76323 36 32% 5% 50 -1.7 234/267/323 89322 75 28% 4% 61 -1.0 229/265/319903047126%4%56-0.5