Chris Kean
P
Somerset Patriots
Age 24
RHP
6'5" / 210 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION37 act + 57 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 106
ERA4.63
FIP4.63
K%18.6%
BB%8.6%
K-BB%10.0%
ROS IP57
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 94 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 1 | 33 | 123 | 44 | 5 | 1 | 4% | 1.3 | 25.2% | 5.0% | 20.2% | 1.1% | 1.08 | 2.21 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 1 | 33 | 123 | 44 | 5 | 1 | 4% | 1.3 | 35.8% | 4.1% | 31.7% | 0.8% | 1.08 | 1.30 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 33 | 0 | 41 | 172 | 37 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 16.6% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 3.48 | 4.76 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 33 | 0 | 41 | 172 | 37 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 2.3% | 3.48 | 3.73 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 28 | 0 | 37 | 147 | 45 | 7 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.9% | 3.9% | 21.0% | 5.1% | 3.19 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | NYY | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 45 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 4.63 | 4.63 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | NYY | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 4.63 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 94 | 388 | 90 | 28 | 13 | — | — | 23.1% | 7.1% | 16.0% | 3.4% | 4.07 | 4.51 | +0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 18.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 4.63 | 4.26 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 47 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 4.55 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 49 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 3.0% | 4.50 | 4.47 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 48 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 3.0% | 4.50 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 53 | 0 | 55 | 233 | 47 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 4.55 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 4.55 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 33 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 3.0% | 4.50 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 37 | 16 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 3.0% | 4.50 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 40 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 4.55 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 148 | 0 | 156 | 658 | 131 | 55 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 3.0% | 4.52 | 4.14 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 168 | 71 | 26 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 3.0% | 4.52 | 4.14 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 86 | 1 | 111 | 442 | 96 | 30 | 14 | 1% | 1.3 | 21.7% | 6.9% | 14.9% | 3.2% | 2.67 | 3.90 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 154 | 2 | 200 | 794 | 172 | 54 | 26 | 1% | 1.3 | 21.7% | 6.9% | 14.9% | 3.2% | 2.67 | 3.90 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chris Kean (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.63 | 18.6% | 8.6% | 3.0% | — | 4.49 | 19.8% | 11.6% | 172 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Roman Mendez R 2027 · 4.12 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.12 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .275 | 4.62 | 20.2% | 10.4% | 118 | +0.50 | 4.12 | 230 | 93 |
| Matt Carasiti R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.12 | 17.8% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .309 | 3.23 | 24.8% | 15.5% | 104 | -0.89 | 2.88 | 312 | 91 |
| Micah Dallas R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.96 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 2.8% | .273 | 3.95 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 80 | -0.01 | 3.57 | 178 | 91 |
| Matt Pierpont R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.67 | 17.8% | 7.1% | 4.0% | .295 | 3.14 | 21.7% | 13.8% | 190 | -1.53 | 2.66 | 280 | 91 |
| Landon Beck R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.97 | 18.6% | 8.6% | 2.5% | .309 | 4.11 | 17.4% | 8.7% | 63 | +0.14 | 3.54 | 186 | 91 |
| Rob Griswold R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.30 | 16.8% | 8.3% | 2.9% | .244 | 4.64 | 12.5% | 6.2% | 144 | +0.34 | 3.55 | 203 | 90 |
| Alex Palsha R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.84 | 20.6% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.90 | 15.3% | 4.4% | 77 | +0.06 | 3.40 | 134 | 90 |
| Mayckol Guaipe R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.94 | 17.0% | 7.1% | 2.5% | .330 | 2.55 | 21.2% | 16.0% | 33 | -1.39 | 1.88 | 136 | 90 |
| Stephen Villines R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.99 | 16.8% | 8.5% | 2.2% | .280 | 3.05 | 20.6% | 14.7% | 40 | -0.94 | 2.16 | 156 | 90 |
| Brett McKinney R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.96 | 17.1% | 8.9% | 4.0% | .335 | 4.21 | 18.1% | 8.5% | 129 | -0.75 | 3.42 | 183 | 90 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.63 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .282 | 3.31 | 22.5% | 16.6% | 72 | -0.32 | 2.25 | 121 | 90 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.5% | .281 | 4.91 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.40 | 4.51 | 121 | 90 |
| Kyle Whitten R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.26 | 18.0% | 9.5% | 2.7% | .296 | 5.21 | 18.2% | 7.4% | 37 | +0.95 | 4.26 | 152 | 90 |
| Vince Vannelle R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.77 | 19.9% | 8.6% | 2.3% | .282 | 5.34 | 15.3% | 4.5% | 76 | +1.57 | 3.77 | 105 | 89 |
| Juan Ramon Noriega R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.56 | 17.7% | 7.4% | 1.9% | .303 | 4.16 | 16.6% | 9.3% | 92 | +0.60 | 3.56 | 198 | 89 |
| Mark McLaughlin R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.28 | 20.6% | 8.3% | 3.4% | .280 | 4.38 | 15.5% | 5.5% | 20 | +0.10 | 4.28 | 195 | 89 |
| Brian Glowicki R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.49 | 16.4% | 8.3% | 3.1% | .275 | 3.89 | 26.0% | 14.1% | 62 | -0.60 | 2.36 | 189 | 89 |
| Bryan Pope R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.87 | 19.4% | 9.5% | 2.2% | .332 | 5.00 | 12.7% | -0.3% | 22 | +1.13 | 3.87 | 148 | 88 |
| Alex Hermeling R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.87 | 16.5% | 8.1% | 2.1% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 127 | 88 |
| Mick VanVossen R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.41 | 18.6% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 141 | 88 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 57 | 19.6% | 8.4% | 1.17 | 4.55 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |