Chris Kean — OGILVIE

Chris Kean P Somerset Patriots

Age 24 RHP 6'5" / 210 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION60 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.59

FIP4.59

K%18.6%

BB%8.3%

K-BB%10.3%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 65 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4045

CMD5060

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	1	33	123	44	5	1	4%	1.3	25.2%	5.0%	20.2%	1.1%	1.08	2.20	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	1	33	123	44	5	1	4%	1.3	25.2%	5.0%	20.2%	1.1%	1.08	2.20	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	1	33	123	44	5	1	4%	1.3	35.8%	4.1%	31.7%	0.8%	1.08	1.30	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	33	0	41	172	37	16	4	0%	1.3	16.6%	10.7%	5.9%	3.0%	3.48	4.70	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	33	0	41	172	37	16	4	0%	1.3	16.6%	10.7%	5.9%	3.0%	3.48	4.70	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Hudson Valley Renegades	33	0	41	172	37	16	4	0%	1.3	21.5%	9.3%	12.2%	2.3%	3.48	3.73	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	45	0	60	245	71	13	11	0%	1.3	23.7%	5.2%	18.5%	5.2%	4.05	4.60	—
YTD	24	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	45	0	60	245	71	13	11	0%	1.3	23.7%	5.2%	18.5%	5.2%	4.05	4.60	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	AA RAW	NYY	26	0	35	140	43	5	6	0%	1.3	30.7%	3.6%	27.1%	4.3%	3.34	3.31	—
2026	24	AAA RAW	NYY	19	0	25	105	28	8	5	0%	1.3	26.7%	7.6%	19.0%	4.8%	5.04	4.43	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	NYY	5	0	5	22	4	2	1	0%	1.0	18.6%	8.3%	10.3%	3.0%	4.59	4.59	-0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	NYY	—	—	65	267	75	15	12	—	—	28.1%	5.5%	22.6%	4.4%	4.09	4.60	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	NYY	57	0	60	251	49	20	7	0%	1.0	19.4%	8.0%	11.5%	3.0%	4.51	4.47	+0.1
2028	26	MLB MLE	NYY	57	0	60	251	50	20	7	0%	1.0	19.9%	8.0%	11.9%	3.0%	4.46	4.44	+0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	NYY	56	0	59	247	50	20	7	0%	1.0	20.1%	8.2%	11.9%	3.0%	4.46	4.47	+0.1
2027	25	MLB CTX	NYY	25	0	26	110	21	9	3	0%	1.0	19.4%	8.0%	11.5%	3.0%	4.51	4.47	+0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	NYY	38	0	40	169	34	14	5	0%	1.1	19.9%	8.0%	11.9%	3.0%	4.46	4.44	+0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	NYY	43	0	45	190	38	16	6	0%	1.0	20.1%	8.2%	11.9%	3.0%	4.46	4.47	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		106	0	111	471	94	38	14	0%	1.1	19.9%	8.1%	11.8%	3.0%	4.47	4.08	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	169	68	25	0%	1.0	19.9%	8.1%	11.8%	3.0%	4.47	4.08	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		103	1	135	540	118	37	19	1%	1.3	21.8%	6.9%	14.9%	3.6%	3.14	4.09	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		153	1	200	802	175	55	28	1%	1.3	21.8%	6.9%	14.9%	3.6%	3.14	4.09	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Chris Kean (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.59	18.6%	8.3%	3.0%	—	4.46	19.8%	11.8%	178	-0.13	—	—	—
Matt Pierpont R 2015 · 4.21 FIP	24	SU	4.21	17.8%	7.1%	3.1%	.295	3.25	21.7%	13.8%	190	-0.96	2.76	280	95
Roman Mendez R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	25	SU	4.31	19.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.275	4.52	20.2%	10.4%	118	+0.21	4.12	230	93
Mayckol Guaipe R 2015 · 3.97 FIP	24	SU	3.97	17.0%	7.1%	2.6%	.330	2.49	21.2%	16.0%	33	-1.48	1.88	136	91
Brett McKinney R 2015 · 4.79 FIP	24	SU	4.79	17.1%	8.9%	3.6%	.335	4.02	18.1%	8.5%	129	-0.77	3.43	183	91
Rob Griswold R 2022 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	16.8%	8.3%	3.2%	.244	4.34	12.5%	6.2%	144	-0.13	3.57	203	90
Landon Beck R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	24	SU	3.91	18.6%	8.6%	2.4%	.309	4.21	17.4%	8.7%	63	+0.30	3.53	186	90
Juan Ramon Noriega R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	24	SU	3.61	17.7%	7.4%	1.9%	.303	4.09	16.6%	9.3%	92	+0.48	3.44	198	90
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	90
Alex Palsha R 2016 · 3.84 FIP	24	SU	3.84	20.6%	10.4%	2.1%	.288	3.83	15.3%	4.4%	77	-0.01	3.40	134	89
Stephen Villines R 2019 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	16.8%	8.5%	2.2%	.280	3.15	20.6%	14.7%	40	-0.81	2.14	156	89
Josh Advocate R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	24	SU	3.78	18.8%	7.3%	2.4%	.291	3.71	20.4%	10.1%	75	-0.07	3.71	118	89
Kyle Whitten R 2023 · 4.35 FIP	24	SU	4.35	18.0%	9.5%	2.9%	.296	5.17	17.6%	7.7%	37	+0.82	4.32	152	89
Vince Vannelle R 2022 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	19.9%	8.6%	2.2%	.282	5.30	15.3%	4.5%	76	+1.59	3.71	105	89
Alex Hermeling R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	16.5%	8.1%	2.2%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	127	89
Bryan Pope R 2023 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	19.4%	9.5%	2.4%	.332	5.20	12.7%	-0.3%	22	+1.24	3.96	148	89
Brian Glowicki R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	16.4%	8.3%	3.0%	.275	3.92	26.0%	14.1%	62	-0.49	2.31	189	89
J.R. Graham R 2015 · 4.39 FIP	25	SU	4.39	18.7%	7.4%	3.5%	.317	3.63	20.4%	10.1%	61	-0.76	3.31	125	88
Matt Carasiti R 2015 · 3.85 FIP	24	SU	3.85	17.8%	9.8%	1.8%	.309	3.26	24.8%	15.5%	104	-0.59	2.80	312	88
Nelson Gonzalez R 2015 · 3.42 FIP	25	SU	3.42	19.6%	7.7%	1.8%	.293	4.98	17.7%	7.8%	115	+1.56	3.42	258	88
Mick VanVossen R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	24	SU	4.25	18.6%	8.9%	2.9%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.25	141	88

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.2	59	19.5%	8.1%	1.15	4.50
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43