Patrick Lee

OF Erie SeaWolves
Age 27 R/R 5'9" / 180 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202424AA/A+/A/INTL2 orgs275.253/.365/.37854168—.205/.293/.302
202525A+/ADET352.220/.355/.31653936—.155/.256/.226
202626AA/A+/ROKDET274.263/.391/.509132986—.203/.303/.374
2027PROJMLE27MLBDET3.188/.280/.3100072-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB28MLBDET41.189/.280/.3101271-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Speed75
ISO71
wRC+58
BB%58
Chase%55
wOBA52
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsRico Noel (age 28) · Isaac Galloway (age 27) · Kevin Mattison (age 28)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†72
AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .280 / .310
PA3
HR0
K%33
BB%10
BABIP307
ISO125
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +1.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +2.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.0-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT20
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202424 AAErie SeaWolves — 3832 5210 4142 30 156289281571 125278 3711 270 29 — — — — — —
202424 A+West Michigan Whitecaps — 120108 27803 10311 193 250319407727 157320 268 323 55 — — — — — —
202424 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 8565 20202 17173 131 308471431901 123391 2020 415 99 — — — — — —
202424 INTLSenadores de San Juan — 3228 7000 4100 60 250344250594 389 3112 285 79 — — — — — —
202525 A+West Michigan Whitecaps — 243200 41414 37946 274 205346295641 90363 3915 306 30 — — — — — —
202525 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 10991 23701 16382 124 253376363739 110423 3515 342 50 — — — — — —
202626 AAErie SeaWolves — 151131 30706 17543 182 229331420751 191338 3611 337 59 — — — — — —
202626 A+West Michigan Whitecaps — 9068 19314 17263 100 279443529973 250375 2919 420 109 — — — — — —
202626 ROKFCL Tigers — 3325 10213 7100 10 4005319201.451 520538 3021 574 147 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202424 AA MLEErie SeaWolves — 3833 5210 3172 30 152263273536 121256 458 211 29 — — — — — —
202424 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 120111 22702 7411 193 198252315567 117280 346 250 55 — — — — — —
202424 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 8571 17101 11233 131 239365296660 56338 2713 314 99 — — — — — —
202525 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 243214 31313 231246 274 145247210457 65315 519 212 30 — — — — — —
202525 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 10996 17501 11522 124 177275260536 83370 4810 242 50 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLEErie SeaWolves — 151136 25604 12663 182 184265316581 132309 448 255 59 — — — — — —
202626 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 9073 16213 12333 100 219352397750 178314 3713 329 109 — — — — — —
202626 ROK MLEFCL Tigers — 3328 7112 4140 10 250344571915 321370 4212 386 147 — — — — — —
202424 A+ MLE4 teams — 275245 501114 23916 414 204288306594 102305 338 266 66 — — — — — —
202424 A+ RAW4 teams — 275233 591215 35726 414 253365378743 124344 2613 339 66 — — — — — —
202525 A+ MLE2 teams — 352310 48814 341768 398 155256226481 71338 5010 221 36 — — — — — —
202525 A+ RAW2 teams — 352291 641115 531328 398 220355316671 96383 3815 317 36 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLE3 teams — 274238 47919 271136 292 197295357652 160319 4110 295 86 — — — — — —
202626 AA RAW3 teams — 274224 5912213 41906 292 263391509900 246371 3315 393 86 — — — — — —
202424 A+ MLE4 teams — 275244 501114 23916 414 205288307596 102297 338 266 66 — — — — — —
202525 A+ MLE2 teams — 352307 48814 341768 398 156256228484 72332 5010 221 36 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLE3 teams — 274239 47919 271136 292 197295356651 159318 4110 295 86 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202424 A+ MLE4 teams — 275244 501114 23916 414 205288307596 102297 338 266 66 — — — — — —
202525 A+ MLE2 teams — 352307 48814 341768 398 156256228484 72332 5010 221 36 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLE3 teams — 274239 47919 271136 292 197295356651 159318 4110 295 86 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202727 MLB MLEDET 2% 324284 541018 311296 203 192283318601 126312 4010 274 72 -11 +3 +0 -2 +7 0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202727 MLB CTXDET 2% 33 0000 010 00 188280310589 122307 330 270 72 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202828 MLB MLEDET 27% 151134 26513 14592 91 193283318600 125309 399 274 71 -5 +1 -1 -1 +3 -0.2
202828 MLB CTXDET 27% 4136 6101 4161 20 189280310589 121304 3910 270 71 -1 +0 -0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4136 6101 4161 20 167268278546 111263 3910 270 63 -1 +0 -0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650571 9516016 6325416 320 166268278546 112262 3910 270 63 -22 +6 -3 -4 +14 -0.9
Career— MLE — 11881047 19437523 11149324 12616 185278296574 111318 419 261 63 -10 +3 -1 -2 +6 -0.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650573 10720313 6127013 699 187280300580 113321 429 261 63 -22 +6 -2 -4 +14 -0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAErie SeaWolves · 151 PAwOBA .328 → .255 (−74)K% 35.8% → 43.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.76%÷1.000×1.220——43.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.26%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9787.71%
HBP% /PA1.99%—×0.850—×0.9781.65%
Singles /BIP22.08%÷1.000×0.970×1.016×0.97821.28%
Doubles /BIP9.09%÷1.000×0.860×1.016×0.9787.77%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.950×1.016×0.9780.00%
Home runs /BIP7.79%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9785.94%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .328 → .255; ISO .191 → .139; BABIP .338 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 90 PAwOBA .419 → .329 (−90)K% 28.9% → 36.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.89%÷1.000×1.270——36.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.89%÷1.000×0.710—×0.95812.85%
HBP% /PA3.33%—×0.790—×0.9582.52%
Singles /BIP26.19%÷1.000×0.920—×0.95823.08%
Doubles /BIP7.14%÷1.000×0.810—×0.9585.54%
Triples /BIP2.38%÷1.000×0.850—×0.9581.94%
Home runs /BIP9.52%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9587.30%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .419 → .329; ISO .250 → .199; BABIP .375 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKFCL Tigers · 33 PAwOBA .576 → .386 (−189)K% 30.3% → 43.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.30%÷1.000×1.440——43.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA21.21%÷1.000×0.620—×0.94012.36%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9400.00%
Singles /BIP26.67%÷1.000×0.820—×0.94020.55%
Doubles /BIP13.33%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9409.02%
Triples /BIP6.67%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9404.51%
Home runs /BIP20.00%÷1.000×0.780—×0.94014.66%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .576 → .386; ISO .520 → .360; BABIP .538 → .370. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 243 PAwOBA .299 → .212 (−87)K% 38.7% → 51.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA38.68%÷0.960×1.270——51.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.23%÷1.106×0.710—×0.9689.46%
HBP% /PA2.47%—×0.790—×0.9681.89%
Singles /BIP30.19%÷1.027×0.920×1.009×0.96826.41%
Doubles /BIP3.77%÷0.948×0.810×1.009×0.9683.15%
Triples /BIP0.94%÷0.900×0.850×1.009×0.9680.87%
Home runs /BIP3.77%÷0.850×0.800—×0.9683.44%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 105, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 92, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .299 → .212; ISO .090 → .069; BABIP .363 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 109 PAwOBA .334 → .242 (−92)K% 34.9% → 47.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA34.86%÷0.998×1.360——47.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.68%÷0.945×0.690—×0.96010.29%
HBP% /PA1.83%—×0.780—×0.9601.37%
Singles /BIP28.30%÷1.051×0.920×1.050×0.96024.97%
Doubles /BIP13.21%÷0.971×0.830×1.050×0.96011.38%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910×1.050×0.9600.00%
Home runs /BIP1.89%÷0.864×0.800—×0.9601.68%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 110, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 100, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.0 → −4.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .334 → .242; ISO .110 → .080; BABIP .423 → .370. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 120 PAwOBA .317 → .250 (−67)K% 25.8% → 34.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.83%÷0.957×1.270——34.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.33%÷1.026×0.710—×0.9785.64%
HBP% /PA0.83%—×0.790—×0.9780.64%
Singles /BIP20.78%÷1.021×0.920×0.994×0.97818.21%
Doubles /BIP10.39%÷0.892×0.810×0.994×0.9789.18%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.850×0.994×0.9780.00%
Home runs /BIP3.90%÷0.889×0.800—×0.9783.43%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 104, 2B 78, 3B 80, K 91, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .317 → .250; ISO .157 → .129; BABIP .320 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 85 PAwOBA .406 → .314 (−91)K% 20.0% → 26.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.00%÷1.028×1.360——26.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.00%÷1.061×0.690—×0.97012.61%
HBP% /PA3.53%—×0.780—×0.9702.67%
Singles /BIP33.33%÷0.980×0.920—×0.97030.36%
Doubles /BIP4.17%÷1.351×0.830—×0.9702.48%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.106×0.910—×0.9700.00%
Home runs /BIP4.17%÷1.099×0.800—×0.9702.94%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 96, 2B 170, 3B 121, K 106, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .406 → .314; ISO .123 → .086; BABIP .391 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAErie SeaWolves · 38 PAwOBA .264 → .211 (−53)K% 36.8% → 44.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA36.84%÷1.009×1.220——44.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.53%÷1.086×0.700—×0.9986.77%
HBP% /PA5.26%—×0.850—×0.9984.46%
Singles /BIP11.11%÷0.992×0.970—×0.99810.84%
Doubles /BIP11.11%÷1.036×0.860—×0.9989.20%
Triples /BIP5.56%÷0.945×0.950—×0.9985.58%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.941×0.780—×0.9980.00%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 98, 2B 107, 3B 89, K 102, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .264 → .211; ISO .125 → .107; BABIP .278 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).