Patrick Lee — OGILVIE

Patrick LeeOF West Michigan Whitecaps

Age 26 R/R 5'9" / 180 lbs A+ HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION143 act + 107 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.172 / .274 / .269

PA107

HR2

SB8

K%43

BB%10

BABIP304

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	24	A+	4 teams	—	275	245	50	11	1	5	23	98	6	41	4	204	288	318	607	114	315	36	8	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+	4 teams	—	275	233	59	12	1	5	35	72	6	41	4	253	365	378	743	124	344	26	13	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+	2 teams	—	352	309	43	8	1	4	35	192	8	39	8	139	244	210	455	71	345	55	10	217	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+	2 teams	—	352	291	64	11	1	5	53	132	8	39	8	220	355	316	671	96	383	38	15	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	A+	DET	—	143	119	25	5	1	5	17	57	4	14	0	210	329	395	724	185	333	40	12	327	109	+1	+3	+0	-1	+4	0.8
YTD	26	A+	DET	—	143	111	32	6	2	7	25	42	4	14	0	288	436	568	1.003	279	385	29	17	428	186	+14	+3	+0	-1	+4	2.0
ROS	26	A+	DET	0%	107	93	16	3	0	2	11	46	2	8	1	172	274	269	542	97	318	43	10	266	62	-5	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
ROS	26	MLB	DET	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						312	0	0	247	47	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	26	A+	DET	—	144	120	25	5	1	5	17	57	4	14	0	208	326	392	718	183	328	40	12	327	108	+1	+3	+0	-1	+4	0.7
TOT	26	A+	DET	—	250	212	41	8	1	7	28	103	6	22	1	193	305	340	645	146	321	41	11	301	89	-3	+4	+0	-2	+7	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	DET	26%	269	235	44	9	1	6	27	109	5	17	2	187	285	311	595	123	315	41	10	273	67	-10	+3	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
2028	28	MLB	DET	39%	319	278	52	10	1	7	32	126	6	19	2	187	285	306	591	119	312	39	10	276	69	-11	+3	-1	-2	+9	-0.2
2029	29	MLB	DET	44%	344	300	57	11	2	7	35	133	6	19	2	190	287	310	597	120	310	39	10	276	70	-12	+3	-1	-2	+10	-0.3
2027	27	MLB	DET	26%	70	62	10	2	0	1	7	28	1	4	1	161	257	242	499	81	310	40	10	255	53	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
2028	28	MLB	DET	39%	126	110	21	4	1	3	13	50	2	7	1	191	288	327	615	136	307	40	10	258	56	-6	+1	-0	-1	+4	-0.3
2029	29	MLB	DET	44%	153	134	25	5	1	3	15	59	3	8	1	187	283	306	589	119	305	39	10	259	56	-8	+1	-1	-1	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	350	307	56	11	2	7	35	137	6	19	3	182	279	300	578	117	297	39	10	258	55	-18	+3	-1	-2	+10	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	104	20	4	13	65	254	11	35	6	182	279	300	579	118	296	39	10	258	55	-33	+5	-2	-4	+18	-1.6
Career	—			—	1666	1460	262	52	6	31	163	704	33	143	19	179	277	287	564	108	316	42	10	262	59	-78	+21	-2	-10	+47	-2.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	101	20	2	12	64	275	13	56	7	177	276	282	558	105	311	42	10	262	59	-30	+8	-1	-4	+18	-0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	24	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	38	32	5	2	1	0	4	14	2	3	0	156	289	281	571	125	278	37	11	270	65	-2	+1	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	24	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	120	108	27	8	0	3	10	31	1	19	3	250	319	407	727	157	320	26	8	323	105	+1	+3	—	—	+3	0.7
2024	24	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	85	65	20	2	0	2	17	17	3	13	1	308	471	431	901	123	391	20	20	415	176	+7	+2	—	—	+2	1.2
2024	24	INTL	Senadores de San Juan	—	32	28	7	0	0	0	4	10	0	6	0	250	344	250	594		389	31	12	285	76	-1	+1	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	25	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	243	200	41	4	1	4	37	94	6	27	4	205	346	295	641	90	363	39	15	306	92	-2	+4	—	—	+7	0.9
2025	25	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	109	91	23	7	0	1	16	38	2	12	4	253	376	363	739	110	423	35	15	342	120	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	10	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
	/162	664	10	19	228	318	337	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.7
	/162	664	4	56	245	312	332	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	350	7	20	191	286	313	-2	+0	-0.2	-0.1
	/162	664	14	39	191	286	313	-4.0	+0.0	-0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Patrick Lee (OGILVIE)	26	20	30	60	60	193/305/340	146	321	7	22	41%	11%	89	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Heath 2020 · AAA	26	43→35	40	64→65	39	201/262/293	92	329	8	44	39%	8%	52	-1.6	198/266/307	109	330	10	35	40%	8%	58	-1.2	178/258/290	112	301	10	36	41%	8%	48	-0.8
✕Marland Williams 2007 · AAA	26	38→39	43→45	61→60	38	189/247/301	112	296	10	37	38%	7%	48	-1.9	188/246/306	118	349	13	23	46%	7%	49	-1.8	155/212/270	116	306	14	23	51%	6%	23	-2.2
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2021 · AA	26	40→47	39→45	55→60	40	184/270/268	84	306	7	24	39%	8%	50	-1.7	205/282/312	107	298	10	23	32%	7%	67	-0.5	198/285/310	113	286	12	28	32%	8%	64	-0.5
✕Tanner Kirwer 2023 · AA	27	44	43→40	59→60	45	214/295/319	105	309	12	32	32%	9%	74	-0.1	212/279/316	104	299	11	27	31%	7%	66	-0.6	180/249/269	88	246	11	46	30%	7%	38	-0.9
✕Simon Whiteman 2023 · AA	26	39→44	36→30	58→55	42	181/261/245	65	297	4	26	37%	9%	40	-2.4	198/267/279	81	291	6	19	31%	8%	50	-1.7	189/255/261	72	261	6	20	28%	8%	38	-1.0
✕Cam Eden 2023 · AA	25	41→48	46→40	61→65	39	201/273/325	124	314	14	38	38%	7%	66	-0.6	201/271/292	91	300	8	42	33%	7%	56	-1.3	191/263/268	77	283	6	49	32%	7%	44	-1.2
✕Justin Dean 2023 · AAA	26	43→49	42→45	58→65	38	201/273/306	105	322	9	26	38%	7%	61	-1.0	213/291/314	101	331	10	39	35%	9%	70	-0.3	232/303/321	89	344	6	48	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Champ Stuart 2018 · AA	25	39→37	38→30	59→60	35	179/241/252	73	317	6	31	43%	7%	33	-2.9	192/261/293	101	323	10	25	40%	8%	53	-1.5	104/200/202	98	167	15	37	46%	11%	3	-1.1
✕Daniel Hinojosa 2009 · AAA	25	43	38→40	58→55	39	206/263/277	72	302	6	26	32%	6%	48	-1.9	234/276/322	88	309	5	20	25%	5%	64	-0.8	248/287/332	84	320	4	20	23%	4%	68	-0.2
✕Aaron Whitefield 2023 · AA	26	46→47	42→40	58→60	41	219/275/326	107	318	9	32	33%	7%	66	-0.6	215/273/337	122	341	12	26	38%	7%	68	-0.5	165/228/282	117	311	13	46	48%	7%	32	-0.6
✕Stephen Wrenn 2021 · AA	26	41→43	42→45	58→60	38	201/260/313	112	299	9	25	34%	6%	56	-1.3	214/271/338	124	329	13	22	37%	6%	68	-0.5	199/257/318	119	311	13	29	38%	5%	54	-0.8
✕Wes Rogers 2019 · AA	25	43→48	38→40	58→65	41	207/257/286	79	287	5	32	29%	6%	47	-1.9	194/251/270	76	305	5	17	35%	7%	41	-2.3	158/224/216	58	272	3	12	40%	7%	14	-2.0
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB	26	39→48	43→50	57→60	39	193/255/310	117	277	9	24	33%	6%	54	-1.4	219/273/343	124	300	11	17	30%	5%	70	-0.3	224/280/353	129	300	12	21	28%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Tanner English 2018 · AAA	25	35→42	41→40	60→55	36	167/242/266	98	300	9	27	44%	7%	37	-2.6	171/224/270	99	298	8	19	43%	5%	30	-3.1	152/195/250	98	256	7	19	42%	4%	9	-1.9
✕Anthony Alford 2020 · MLB	26	45→47	42→45	54→55	40	213/279/318	104	316	9	25	33%	7%	66	-0.6	223/290/381	158	346	19	22	38%	7%	87	+0.8	227/302/405	178	380	23	20	43%	8%	95	+0.9
✕Mike Antico 2023 · AA	25	41→42	45	62→60	44	206/273/330	124	274	12	36	29%	8%	67	-0.5	214/277/336	122	294	13	34	30%	7%	70	-0.3	214/278/335	120	296	13	35	31%	7%	67	-0.4
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2021 · AA	26	44→40	38→50	54→55	37	204/254/278	74	317	5	26	36%	6%	44	-2.1	206/248/342	136	286	15	19	32%	5%	59	-1.1	196/238/335	139	267	15	22	32%	4%	50	-1.1
✕Darren Ford 2012 · MLB	26	45→53	42→45	59→65	40	220/272/324	104	302	9	34	29%	6%	64	-0.8	227/272/311	84	309	6	39	27%	6%	59	-1.1	229/273/299	70	312	5	48	27%	5%	54	-0.8
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	36	41→45	55→65	34	180/234/278	97	296	9	24	41%	6%	37	-2.7	218/296/338	120	331	14	25	35%	9%	79	+0.3	227/303/343	115	312	13	52	29%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Chad Hinshaw 2017 · AA	26	45→44	44→45	55	41	215/290/330	115	310	11	26	32%	7%	75	-0.0	202/264/303	101	305	9	14	34%	6%	56	-1.3	177/236/268	91	271	7	11	35%	6%	32	-1.4