Bryce Shaffer

P Charleston RiverDogs

Age 25 LHP 6'2" / 195 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	23	ATB	27	41	3.29	1.88	24.4%	6.8%	—	K 18.1% · BB 8.0% · FIP 2.59
2026	24	ATB	35	52	2.61	3.31	20.8%	11.7%	—	K 15.4% · BB 13.8% · FIP 4.17
2027PROJ	25	MLBTB	67	70	5.16	5.16	15.9%	12.3%	-0.5
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBTB	29	30	5.05	5.03	17.1%	12.0%	-0.2
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBTB	41	43	5.01	5.02	17.5%	11.8%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff40Control50Command45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsChris Reed (age 25) · Ryne Slack (age 25) · Will Lamb (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115123vR 131

ERA5.16

FIP5.16

K%15.9%

BB%12.3%

K-BB%3.5%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL5050

CMD4545

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	23	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	27	0	41	176	43	12	0	0%	1.5	18.1%	8.0%	10.0%	0.0%	3.29	2.59	—
2025	23	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	27	0	41	176	43	12	0	0%	1.5	18.1%	8.0%	10.0%	0.0%	3.29	2.59	—
2025	23	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	27	0	41	176	43	12	0	0%	1.5	24.4%	6.8%	17.6%	0.0%	3.29	1.88	—
2026	24	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	35	0	52	231	48	27	2	0%	1.5	15.4%	13.8%	1.6%	1.1%	2.61	4.17	—
2026	24	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	35	0	52	231	48	27	2	0%	1.5	15.4%	13.8%	1.6%	1.1%	2.61	4.17	—
2026	24	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	35	0	52	231	48	27	2	0%	1.5	20.8%	11.7%	9.1%	0.9%	2.61	3.31	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	TB	67	0	70	296	47	36	8	0%	1.0	15.9%	12.3%	3.5%	2.7%	5.16	5.16	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	TB	67	0	70	296	50	35	8	0%	1.0	17.1%	12.0%	5.1%	2.7%	5.05	5.03	-0.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	TB	66	0	69	291	51	34	8	0%	1.0	17.5%	11.8%	5.7%	2.8%	5.01	5.02	-0.4
2030	28	MLB MLE	TB	64	0	67	282	50	33	8	0%	1.0	17.7%	11.8%	5.8%	2.9%	5.03	5.07	-0.4
2031	29	MLB MLE	TB	61	0	64	270	47	32	8	0%	1.0	17.6%	12.0%	5.6%	3.0%	5.11	5.18	-0.5
2028	26	MLB CTX	TB	29	0	30	127	22	15	3	0%	1.0	17.1%	12.0%	5.1%	2.7%	5.05	5.03	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	TB	41	0	43	182	32	21	5	0%	1.0	17.5%	11.8%	5.7%	2.8%	5.01	5.02	-0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	TB	48	0	50	211	37	25	6	0%	1.0	17.7%	11.8%	5.8%	2.9%	5.03	5.07	-0.3
2031	29	MLB CTX	TB	50	0	52	220	39	26	7	0%	1.0	17.6%	12.0%	5.6%	3.0%	5.11	5.18	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		167	0	175	741	130	88	21	0%	1.1	17.5%	11.9%	5.6%	2.9%	5.05	4.70	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	148	100	24	0%	1.1	17.5%	11.9%	5.6%	2.9%	5.05	4.70	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		62	0	93	407	67	46	3	0%	1.5	16.5%	11.3%	5.2%	0.6%	2.91	3.49	-1.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		134	0	200	878	145	99	6	0%	1.5	16.5%	11.3%	5.2%	0.6%	2.91	3.49	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Bryce Shaffer (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.16	15.9%	12.3%	2.7%	—	5.04	17.4%	5.5%	206	-0.12	—	—	—
Chris Reed L 2015 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.4%	14.5%	2.3%	.284	4.67	16.4%	6.6%	81	-0.25	4.67	137	90
Ryne Slack L 2017 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	17.4%	13.2%	2.0%	.308	5.59	13.9%	1.8%	49	+1.17	4.07	212	86
Will Lamb L 2016 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	15.3%	11.7%	4.3%	.280	5.78	20.0%	6.0%	67	+0.12	3.64	178	86
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	85
Cody Stull L 2017 · 4.73 FIP	25	SU	4.73	11.9%	10.4%	2.4%	.310	3.16	16.7%	8.1%	81	-1.57	2.57	264	84
Justin Thomas L 2016 · 4.25 FIP	25	SU	4.25	13.1%	10.4%	1.7%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.09	105	84
Gerardo Concepción L 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	16.9%	10.4%	2.8%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	4.53	104	83
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	83
Tom Windle L 2017 · 4.01 FIP	25	SU	4.01	16.7%	10.3%	1.8%	.228	4.13	19.3%	7.0%	105	+0.12	3.68	330	83
Bryan Harper L 2015 · 4.90 FIP	25	SU	4.90	15.2%	9.4%	3.5%	.236	4.38	17.1%	5.3%	92	-0.52	4.13	133	83
Joe Kemlage L 2023 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.6%	11.7%	4.1%	.349	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	128	83
Russell Smith L 2024 · 4.00 FIP	25	SU	4.00	19.0%	13.9%	1.4%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	4.00	175	82
Fred Schlichtholz L 2021 · 4.63 FIP	25	SU	4.63	15.5%	13.4%	2.1%	.343	3.49	22.3%	16.4%	35	-1.14	3.49	175	82
Estevan Gonzalez L 2017 · 5.21 FIP	25	SU	5.21	12.1%	13.3%	2.6%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	195	82
Stephen Peterson L 2015 · 4.59 FIP	27	SU	4.59	13.0%	9.5%	2.5%	.284	3.04	17.3%	6.3%	55	-1.55	3.04	120	82
Chandler Jozwiak L 2024 · 5.33 FIP	25	SU	5.33	16.9%	15.3%	3.1%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	2.86	161	82
Frank Garces L 2015 · 5.65 FIP	25	SU	5.65	16.7%	13.3%	4.2%	.267	4.32	16.9%	8.9%	114	-1.33	4.32	306	82
Ty Madrigal L 2022 · 5.75 FIP	25	SU	5.75	17.6%	15.2%	4.0%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	107	82
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	82
Winston Lavendier L 2017 · 5.06 FIP	24	SU	5.06	17.8%	12.9%	3.4%	.344	4.94	14.2%	4.7%	21	-0.12	2.98	179	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	17.1%	12.0%	1.09	5.07
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Mike Matthews ('05)	1.2	61	16.3%	11.3%	1.07	4.54
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*