Bryce Shaffer
P
Charleston RiverDogs
Age 24
LHP
6'2" / 195 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION31 act + 57 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 105115vR 124
ERA4.62
FIP4.62
K%17.9%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%8.8%
ROS IP57
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 88 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 27 | 0 | 41 | 176 | 43 | 12 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 18.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 0.0% | 3.29 | 2.59 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 27 | 0 | 41 | 176 | 43 | 12 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 24.4% | 6.8% | 17.6% | 0.0% | 3.29 | 1.88 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 23 | 0 | 31 | 135 | 34 | 18 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 18.6% | 15.7% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 1.45 | 3.52 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TB | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 43 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 2.7% | 4.62 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TB | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 2.7% | 4.62 | 4.62 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | TB | — | — | 88 | 376 | 77 | 40 | 7 | — | — | 20.5% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 1.7% | 3.51 | 4.23 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TB | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 2.7% | 4.56 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | TB | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 47 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 2.8% | 4.52 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | TB | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 47 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 2.8% | 4.52 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TB | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 2.7% | 4.56 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | TB | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 2.8% | 4.52 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | TB | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 36 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 2.8% | 4.52 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 102 | 0 | 107 | 452 | 87 | 41 | 13 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 2.8% | 4.53 | 4.14 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 163 | 77 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 2.8% | 4.53 | 4.14 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 50 | 0 | 72 | 311 | 57 | 35 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 18.3% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 0.0% | 2.50 | 2.99 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 139 | 0 | 200 | 864 | 158 | 98 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 18.3% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 0.0% | 2.50 | 2.99 | +5.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Bryce Shaffer (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.62 | 17.9% | 9.1% | 2.7% | — | 4.52 | 19.3% | 10.2% | 172 | -0.10 | — | — | — |
| Haylen Green L 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.85 | 16.9% | 8.1% | 2.1% | .291 | 4.08 | 18.6% | 7.8% | 49 | +0.23 | 3.85 | 104 | 93 |
| Billy Strode L 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.75 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.9% | .306 | 2.85 | 16.0% | 7.3% | 47 | -0.90 | 2.43 | 155 | 92 |
| Diego Barrera L 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.66 | 17.9% | 9.2% | 1.7% | .310 | 4.40 | 18.7% | 8.6% | 70 | +0.74 | 3.62 | 137 | 91 |
| Shane McCain L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 18.3% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .261 | 4.93 | 14.2% | 10.7% | 51 | +0.70 | 4.19 | 201 | 90 |
| Michael Johnson L 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.09 | 20.6% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .260 | 4.51 | 17.6% | 7.7% | 185 | +0.42 | 3.88 | 256 | 90 |
| Daniel Stumpf L 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.54 | 20.8% | 11.5% | 3.2% | .268 | 3.58 | 22.5% | 15.3% | 123 | -0.96 | 1.84 | 238 | 87 |
| Jordan Harrison L 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.93 | 15.6% | 9.0% | 1.8% | .263 | 4.15 | 16.3% | 0.5% | 152 | +0.22 | 3.88 | 244 | 87 |
| Colton Johnson L 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 87 |
| Hayden Howard L 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.82 | 17.9% | 9.6% | 1.8% | .295 | 3.77 | 17.5% | 9.1% | 61 | -0.05 | 3.77 | 200 | 86 |
| Hunter Schryver L 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.70 | 19.2% | 11.2% | 1.5% | .335 | 4.27 | 19.5% | 6.0% | 80 | +0.57 | 3.54 | 206 | 86 |
| Gerardo Concepción L 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.75 | 16.9% | 10.4% | 3.2% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 104 | 86 |
| Cam Alldred L 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.60 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 3.0% | .323 | 4.25 | 18.5% | 7.9% | 132 | -0.35 | 3.68 | 332 | 86 |
| Chris Cotton L 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.66 | 20.7% | 7.0% | 2.6% | .288 | 4.13 | 9.7% | 3.3% | 61 | +0.47 | 3.66 | 128 | 85 |
| R.C. Orlan L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.01 | 21.0% | 10.9% | 2.4% | .326 | 4.55 | 17.2% | 5.0% | 119 | +0.54 | 1.71 | 206 | 85 |
| Bryan Harper L 2027 · 4.93 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.93 | 15.2% | 9.4% | 3.5% | .236 | 4.35 | 17.1% | 5.3% | 92 | -0.58 | 3.97 | 133 | 85 |
| Ryan Sherriff L 2027 · 4.10 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.10 | 17.1% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .317 | 3.30 | 18.8% | 11.9% | 135 | -0.80 | 2.94 | 245 | 85 |
| Michael Theofanopoulos L 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.66 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 201 | 85 |
| Jose Molina L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.73 | 18.6% | 11.8% | 1.3% | .313 | 4.23 | 14.4% | 5.5% | 83 | +0.50 | 3.73 | 144 | 85 |
| Sean Mellen L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 101 | 85 |
| Brennan Bernardino L 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.07 | 17.7% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .326 | 3.65 | 21.8% | 13.0% | 94 | -0.42 | 2.46 | 445 | 85 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 57 | 18.9% | 9.1% | 1.07 | 4.55 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |