Ethan Bosacker — OGILVIE

Ethan Bosacker P Omaha Storm Chasers

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 210 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION60 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 121

ERA5.48

FIP5.48

K%10.0%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%-0.2%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 66 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL5050

CMD3030

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	2	0	2	10	2	1	0	0%	0.8	20.0%	10.0%	10.0%	0.0%	10.80	2.68	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	2	0	2	10	2	1	0	0%	0.8	20.0%	10.0%	10.0%	0.0%	10.80	2.68	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	2	0	2	10	2	1	0	0%	0.8	20.0%	10.0%	10.0%	0.0%	10.80	2.50	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	18	125	493	96	27	5	75%	5.2	14.6%	6.4%	8.2%	1.3%	2.45	3.39	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	18	125	493	96	27	5	75%	5.2	14.6%	6.4%	8.2%	1.3%	2.45	3.39	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	18	125	493	96	27	5	75%	5.2	19.5%	5.5%	14.0%	1.0%	2.45	2.73	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	15	109	459	64	42	13	54%	3.9	11.4%	9.6%	1.7%	3.1%	4.05	5.09	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	15	109	459	64	42	13	54%	3.9	11.4%	9.6%	1.7%	3.1%	4.05	5.09	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	15	109	459	64	42	13	54%	3.9	13.9%	9.2%	4.8%	2.8%	4.05	4.63	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	28	6	60	280	45	34	8	21%	2.1	13.9%	12.1%	1.8%	3.7%	5.43	5.47	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	28	6	60	280	45	34	8	21%	2.1	13.9%	12.1%	1.8%	3.7%	5.43	5.47	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AA RAW	KC	2	2	9	41	5	2	0	100%	4.5	12.2%	4.9%	7.3%	0.0%	2.00	2.69	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	KC	26	4	51	239	40	32	8	15%	2.0	16.7%	13.4%	3.3%	3.3%	6.04	5.22	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	KC	6	0	6	25	2	3	1	0%	1.0	10.0%	10.2%	-0.2%	2.8%	5.48	5.48	-0.1
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	KC	—	—	66	305	47	37	9	—	—	15.6%	12.0%	3.6%	2.9%	5.43	5.47	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	KC	107	0	112	474	60	47	13	0%	1.0	12.6%	9.9%	2.7%	2.8%	5.28	5.23	-0.8
2028	27	MLB MLE	KC	105	0	110	467	62	46	14	0%	1.1	13.3%	9.8%	3.5%	2.9%	5.20	5.20	-0.8
2029	28	MLB MLE	KC	102	0	107	453	62	45	14	0%	1.1	13.6%	9.9%	3.7%	3.0%	5.20	5.24	-0.8
2030	29	MLB MLE	KC	98	0	102	432	59	43	14	0%	1.0	13.6%	10.1%	3.5%	3.2%	5.27	5.34	-0.9
2031	30	MLB MLE	KC	92	0	96	407	54	42	14	0%	1.0	13.2%	10.3%	2.9%	3.4%	5.42	5.52	-1.0
2027	26	MLB CTX	KC	51	0	54	228	29	23	6	0%	1.1	12.6%	9.9%	2.7%	2.8%	5.28	5.23	-0.4
2028	27	MLB CTX	KC	70	0	73	308	41	30	9	0%	1.0	13.3%	9.8%	3.5%	2.9%	5.20	5.20	-0.5
2029	28	MLB CTX	KC	79	0	83	350	48	35	11	0%	1.1	13.6%	9.9%	3.7%	3.0%	5.20	5.24	-0.6
2030	29	MLB CTX	KC	81	0	85	359	49	36	11	0%	1.0	13.6%	10.1%	3.5%	3.2%	5.27	5.34	-0.7
2031	30	MLB CTX	KC	79	0	83	350	46	36	12	0%	1.1	13.2%	10.3%	2.9%	3.4%	5.42	5.52	-0.9
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		361	0	379	1599	213	160	49	0%	1.0	13.3%	10.0%	3.3%	3.1%	5.28	4.94	-1.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	112	84	26	0%	1.1	13.3%	10.0%	3.3%	3.1%	5.28	4.94	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		82	39	295	1242	165	110	31	48%	3.6	13.3%	8.9%	4.4%	2.5%	3.69	4.48	-4.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		56	26	200	842	112	75	21	48%	3.6	13.3%	8.9%	4.4%	2.5%	3.69	4.48	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ethan Bosacker (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.48	10.0%	10.2%	2.8%	—	5.22	13.2%	3.3%	330	-0.26	—	—	—
Marco Camarena R 2016 · 4.49 FIP	25	SW	4.49	11.0%	9.3%	2.1%	.365	3.75	8.4%	0.9%	73	-0.74	3.75	142	86
Chance Huff R 2023 · 5.57 FIP	23	SW	5.57	11.8%	11.4%	3.7%	.312	5.08	15.7%	0.2%	155	-0.49	4.31	238	86
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	86
LJ Brewster R 2017 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	9.4%	11.0%	2.5%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	4.41	143	82
Blake McKnight R 2016 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	7.0%	10.8%	0.9%	.277	4.82	9.5%	0.1%	39	+0.43	3.24	225	82
Alex Sanabia R 2015 · 4.44 FIP	26	SP-	4.44	11.4%	7.9%	2.4%	.358	3.66	11.1%	6.2%	161	-0.78	3.42	378	82
Tyler Brashears R 2017 · 5.47 FIP	23	SW	5.47	12.1%	13.0%	3.2%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	156	80
Hunter Adkins R 2016 · 4.64 FIP	25	SW	4.64	16.2%	10.3%	2.9%	.290	4.82	11.8%	0.5%	58	+0.18	4.64	160	80
Raymar Navarro R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	25	SW	4.30	13.1%	11.7%	1.5%	.332	4.29	11.8%	1.0%	41	-0.01	4.29	108	80
Tyler Santana R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	25	SW	4.43	15.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.306	4.90	15.1%	4.9%	191	+0.47	3.37	399	79
Hunter Hayes R 2023 · 4.53 FIP	22	SW	4.53	13.3%	9.7%	2.4%	.307	4.49	16.5%	4.0%	155	-0.04	3.34	216	79
Cullen Kafka R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	24	SW	4.95	14.2%	12.1%	2.8%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	148	79
Drasen Johnson R 2016 · 4.70 FIP	24	SW	4.70	9.6%	5.7%	3.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	4.70	110	78
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	78
Kyle Miller R 2017 · 4.68 FIP	23	SW	4.68	12.1%	12.0%	2.0%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.83	164	78
Jose Reyes R 2016 · 5.11 FIP	25	SW	5.11	11.0%	8.2%	3.5%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	4.25	225	77
Oscar Verdugo R 2015 · 6.33 FIP	25	SP-	6.33	10.5%	13.9%	4.3%	.241	5.78	10.8%	-1.8%	74	-0.55	5.01	144	77
Abel Amaya R 2016 · 4.38 FIP	24	SW	4.38	7.0%	4.9%	2.3%	.264	6.88	8.5%	5.1%	12	+2.50	4.38	109	77
Bryce Morrow R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	12.8%	7.9%	2.4%	.316	5.44	10.1%	-0.2%	50	+1.13	4.31	125	77
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	247	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.0	101	12.8%	10.0%	1.17	5.30
Chi Chi González ('22)	1.3	64	13.3%	9.0%	1.41	5.44
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25
Homer Bailey ('19)	1.9	96	18.5%	7.8%	1.34	5.56
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Daniel Mengden ('19)	1.5	73	17.3%	7.7%	1.24	4.68
Zach Davies ('23)	5.2	116	17.5%	8.1%	1.16	4.36