Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Royals | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 0.0% | 10.80 | 2.68 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Royals | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 0.0% | 10.80 | 2.50 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 18 | 125 | 493 | 96 | 27 | 5 | 75% | 5.2 | 14.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 1.3% | 2.45 | 3.38 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 18 | 125 | 493 | 96 | 27 | 5 | 75% | 5.2 | 19.5% | 5.5% | 14.0% | 1.0% | 2.45 | 2.73 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 15 | 109 | 459 | 64 | 42 | 13 | 54% | 3.9 | 11.5% | 10.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.05 | 5.02 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 15 | 109 | 459 | 64 | 42 | 13 | 54% | 3.9 | 13.9% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 4.05 | 4.63 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 19 | 6 | 47 | 221 | 36 | 26 | 7 | 32% | 2.5 | 15.2% | 14.0% | 1.2% | 4.3% | 5.17 | 5.94 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | KC | 76 | 0 | 80 | 338 | 34 | 37 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 10.0% | 10.9% | -0.9% | 2.8% | 5.54 | 5.54 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | KC | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 10.0% | 10.9% | -0.9% | 2.8% | 5.54 | 5.54 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | KC | — | — | 127 | 559 | 70 | 63 | 16 | — | — | 12.5% | 11.2% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 5.40 | 5.69 | -0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | KC | — | — | 8 | 34 | 3 | 4 | 1 | — | — | 10.0% | 10.9% | -0.9% | 2.8% | 5.54 | 5.16 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | KC | 76 | 0 | 80 | 338 | 43 | 36 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.6% | 10.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 5.33 | 5.28 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | KC | 75 | 0 | 79 | 333 | 51 | 32 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.3% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 5.09 | 4.97 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | KC | 73 | 0 | 76 | 323 | 50 | 31 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.6% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 5.04 | 5.02 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | KC | 70 | 0 | 73 | 308 | 48 | 31 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.6% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 5.09 | 5.14 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | KC | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 21 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.6% | 10.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 5.33 | 5.28 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | KC | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 34 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.3% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 5.09 | 4.97 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | KC | 56 | 0 | 59 | 249 | 39 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.6% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 5.04 | 5.02 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | KC | 57 | 0 | 60 | 253 | 39 | 25 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.6% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 5.09 | 5.14 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 208 | 0 | 218 | 921 | 136 | 91 | 27 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.8% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 5.14 | 4.73 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 125 | 83 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.8% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 5.14 | 4.73 | +1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 73 | 39 | 282 | 1183 | 160 | 109 | 29 | 53% | 3.9 | 13.6% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 3.57 | 4.49 | +3.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 28 | 200 | 838 | 114 | 77 | 21 | 53% | 3.9 | 13.6% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 3.57 | 4.49 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ethan Bosacker (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.54 | 10.0% | 10.9% | 2.8% | — | 5.09 | 14.5% | 4.5% | 235 | -0.45 | — | — | — |
| Marco Camarena R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.53 | 11.0% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .365 | 3.81 | 8.4% | 0.9% | 73 | -0.72 | 3.81 | 142 | 85 |
| Alex Sanabia R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.47 | 11.4% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .358 | 3.56 | 11.1% | 6.2% | 161 | -0.91 | 3.51 | 378 | 83 |
| Boone Whiting R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.21 | 11.3% | 13.9% | 2.4% | .337 | 4.78 | 10.9% | 4.8% | 132 | -0.43 | 4.78 | 227 | 82 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2027 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 82 |
| Tyler Brashears R 2024 · 5.54 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.54 | 12.1% | 13.0% | 3.3% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 156 | 81 |
| LJ Brewster R 2024 · 4.90 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.90 | 9.4% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 143 | 81 |
| Mike McCarthy R 2028 · 4.79 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.79 | 9.4% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .280 | 4.77 | 6.2% | -3.5% | 37 | -0.02 | 4.77 | 153 | 81 |
| Ryan Long R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.41 | 13.1% | 9.6% | 2.2% | .276 | 5.13 | 25.9% | 13.3% | 40 | +0.72 | 4.13 | 405 | 80 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2028 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.13 | 11.6% | 9.8% | 3.2% | .263 | 4.14 | 15.3% | 5.2% | 167 | -0.99 | 3.84 | 272 | 80 |
| Adam Panayotovich R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.45 | 9.6% | 9.0% | 3.7% | .375 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 121 | 80 |
| Bryce Morrow R 2028 · 4.48 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.48 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.7% | .316 | 5.59 | 10.1% | -0.2% | 50 | +1.11 | 4.48 | 125 | 80 |
| Alec Baker R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 13.0% | 9.5% | 3.2% | .315 | 6.18 | 14.1% | 3.7% | 44 | +1.20 | 3.80 | 205 | 79 |
| Blake McKnight R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.40 | 7.0% | 10.8% | 1.0% | .277 | 4.56 | 9.5% | 0.1% | 39 | +0.16 | 3.25 | 225 | 79 |
| Hunter Adkins R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.37 | 16.2% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.81 | 11.8% | 0.5% | 58 | +0.44 | 4.37 | 160 | 79 |
| Tony Bucciferro R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.96 | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.96 | 107 | 78 |
| Colin Bates R 2028 · 4.59 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.59 | 10.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 111 | 77 |
| Jose Reyes R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.03 | 11.0% | 8.2% | 3.3% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.22 | 225 | 77 |
| Paul Clemens R 2028 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 77 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .346 | 4.97 | 14.0% | 5.3% | 138 | +0.16 | 4.54 | 224 | 77 |
| Dane Myers R 2024 · 5.39 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.39 | 12.2% | 11.5% | 3.4% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 125 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 78 | 13.8% | 10.1% | 1.12 | 5.22 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne ('18) | 4 | 63 | 13.5% | 8.1% | 0.96 | 5.54 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |