Ivan Brethowr

RF Altoona Curve

Age 24 R/R 6'6" / 250 lbs AA HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	A+PIT	428	.223/.404/.324	6	30	63	—	.177/.315/.254
2026	23	AAPIT	220	.176/.311/.280	3	6	42	—	.152/.260/.230
2026	23	A+PIT	30	.261/.400/.565	1	0	102	—	.231/.333/.500
2027PROJ2% MLB	24	MLBPIT	5	.171/.281/.257	0	0	59	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	25	MLBPIT	96	.177/.285/.272	1	3	64	-0.3

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

BB%79

Chase%60

Speed54

ISO23

wOBA19

wRC+19

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsJustin Farmer (age 24) · Connor Kokx (age 24) · Dylan Neuse (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.171 / .281 / .257

PA5

HR0

K%40

BB%9

BABIP274

ISO82

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	95	83	14	1	0	2	8	26	4	3	0	169	274	253	527	84	218	27	8	252	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	428	327	73	11	2	6	71	113	28	30	4	223	404	324	728	101	319	26	17	348	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	Altoona Curve	—	220	182	32	8	1	3	30	70	6	6	1	176	311	280	591	104	264	32	14	280	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	30	23	6	2	1	1	4	8	2	0	0	261	400	565	965	304	357	27	13	411	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	19	17	3	1	1	0	1	10	1	2	0	176	263	353	616	176	429	53	5	276	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	95	85	12	1	0	2	6	36	4	3	0	141	232	224	455	82	192	38	6	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	428	355	63	8	2	5	43	149	28	30	4	177	315	254	568	76	275	35	10	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	220	191	29	7	1	2	22	85	6	6	1	152	260	230	491	79	257	39	10	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	30	26	6	2	1	1	2	10	2	0	0	231	333	500	833	269	293	33	7	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	19	17	2	0	1	0	1	14	1	2	0	118	211	235	446	118	376	74	5	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	95	85	12	1	0	2	6	36	4	3	0	141	232	224	455	82	213	38	6	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	95	83	14	1	0	2	8	26	4	3	0	169	274	253	527	84	218	27	8	252	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	428	355	63	8	2	5	43	149	28	30	4	177	315	254	568	76	286	35	10	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	428	327	73	11	2	6	71	113	28	30	4	223	404	324	728	101	319	26	17	348	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	269	234	36	9	2	3	25	109	9	8	1	154	261	248	509	94	268	41	9	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	269	222	41	11	3	4	35	88	9	8	1	185	317	315	632	131	282	33	13	294	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	95	85	12	1	0	2	6	36	4	3	0	141	232	224	455	82	192	38	6	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	428	354	63	8	2	5	43	149	28	30	4	178	315	254	569	76	275	35	10	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	269	233	36	9	2	3	25	109	9	8	1	155	261	249	510	94	269	41	9	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	95	85	12	1	0	2	6	36	4	3	0	141	232	224	455	82	192	38	6	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	428	354	63	8	2	5	43	149	28	30	4	178	315	254	569	76	275	35	10	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	269	233	36	9	2	3	25	109	9	8	1	155	261	249	510	94	269	41	9	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	PIT	2%	319	274	47	9	2	4	30	115	12	10	1	172	281	259	540	88	273	36	9	255	59	-16	+2	+0	-3	+7	-0.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	PIT	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	171	281	257	538	86	274	40	0	255	59	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	PIT	31%	309	266	48	9	2	5	29	109	11	9	1	177	285	275	560	97	275	35	9	262	64	-13	+1	+0	-3	+7	-0.9
2028	25	MLB CTX	PIT	31%	96	84	15	3	1	1	9	34	3	3	0	177	285	272	557	95	276	35	9	261	64	-4	+1	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	96	84	15	3	1	1	9	34	3	3	0	179	281	274	555	95	286	35	9	261	56	-4	+1	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	102	20	7	7	61	230	20	20	0	179	282	276	557	97	286	35	9	261	56	-28	+4	+0	-7	+14	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	1356	1160	196	34	7	18	127	495	61	58	7	169	285	257	542	88	273	37	9	250	56	-26	+3	+0	-6	+12	-1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	556	94	16	3	9	61	237	29	28	3	169	285	257	542	88	272	36	9	250	56	-30	+3	+0	-7	+14	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ivan Brethowr (OGILVIE)	24	35	30	60	60	170/279/257	87	273	3	8	36%	9%	59	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Justin Farmer 2023 · A	24	38→32	43→40	54→55	50	183/286/289	106	286	11	20	36%	12%	68	-1.0	187/262/275	88	306	8	18	38%	9%	54	-2.0	160/223/221	61	269	5	22	40%	7%	25	-2.3
✕Connor Kokx 2024 · AA	24	44	39→40	54→60	48	209/298/296	87	286	6	23	27%	9%	73	-0.6	216/293/300	84	304	6	22	29%	7%	72	-0.7	199/279/224	26	297	0	37	30%	5%	46	-0.5
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Ashton Creal 2023 · A	24	38	41→40	54→55	39	183/258/280	97	290	8	22	37%	7%	54	-2.0	192/267/282	90	334	8	15	41%	7%	58	-1.7	135/227/179	45	293	7	12	51%	7%	18	-1.0
✕Dwayne Bailey 2011 · AAA	24	41	35→30	53→50	40	193/248/248	54	285	2	14	32%	6%	41	-3.0	218/278/290	72	315	3	12	29%	7%	63	-1.4	226/291/287	61	329	2	11	29%	7%	63	-0.9
✕Alerick Soularie 2023 · A	24	40	44→45	53→60	44	195/276/310	114	290	11	16	34%	9%	68	-1.0	200/282/313	113	289	12	26	32%	9%	71	-0.8	182/274/287	105	255	13	39	32%	9%	61	-0.5
✕Rob Henry 2019 · A	24	42	37→40	54→55	49	196/289/273	77	284	4	18	30%	10%	64	-1.3	185/270/264	79	327	6	12	41%	8%	55	-1.9	149/243/213	64	290	6	12	46%	8%	31	-2.4
✕Maverick Handley 2022 · A	24	39	41→40	53→50	40	186/267/286	100	308	9	16	39%	8%	59	-1.6	201/292/301	100	281	10	12	30%	9%	72	-0.7	195/293/283	88	266	8	10	27%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Jawuan Harris 2021 · A	24	37→27	40	54→55	41	171/260/263	92	306	7	18	42%	9%	51	-2.2	178/258/261	83	372	6	20	48%	9%	50	-2.3	92/196/136	44	239	2	38	56%	10%	-2	-1.7
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2019 · AA	24	42→49	38→45	55→60	39	197/274/275	78	303	5	21	34%	6%	59	-1.7	190/270/274	84	292	5	22	34%	7%	57	-1.8	195/278/300	105	273	11	28	30%	7%	63	-0.9
✕Curtis Washington Jr. 2024 · A	24	41	34→40	53→60	40	188/262/238	50	309	3	21	37%	8%	46	-2.6	193/253/279	86	292	7	24	34%	6%	51	-2.2	179/240/281	102	263	9	30	34%	6%	45	-1.1
✕Donta' Williams 2023 · A	24	43→34	39→40	56→55	47	200/283/291	91	291	6	21	31%	9%	65	-1.2	186/272/268	82	283	5	20	33%	9%	57	-1.8	166/256/236	71	255	5	20	33%	9%	42	-1.2
✕Najee Gaskins 2022 · A	24	44	39→30	51→50	36	209/259/295	86	315	7	12	34%	5%	57	-1.8	213/283/290	77	359	4	9	39%	6%	65	-1.2	209/294/267	58	376	2	10	40%	7%	63	-0.6
✕Mike Martin 2016 · A	23	40	35→30	52→55	41	182/272/238	56	294	3	13	36%	8%	51	-2.3	219/275/280	61	286	3	17	23%	6%	59	-1.7	236/283/288	52	293	2	23	19%	5%	60	-0.6
✕Niko Decolati 2023 · AA	25	44→46	40→45	54→55	43	211/279/300	89	305	8	21	32%	8%	65	-1.2	209/301/293	84	310	6	16	31%	9%	74	-0.6	202/314/273	72	299	5	18	30%	11%	73	-0.3
✕Kyle Gaedele 2014 · A	24	43	43→45	55→50	41	207/269/325	118	300	9	17	33%	7%	68	-1.0	197/263/328	131	308	14	12	38%	7%	67	-1.1	174/253/317	143	303	17	7	45%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Kevin Heller 2014 · AA	24	42→45	39→40	52→50	40	203/266/289	86	296	7	10	32%	6%	58	-1.7	206/285/307	101	306	9	11	33%	7%	70	-0.8	199/284/298	99	299	9	12	33%	7%	66	-0.8
✕Roberto Caro 2018 · AA	24	43→40	36→40	53→60	42	197/266/271	73	305	2	16	34%	8%	54	-2.0	215/283/294	79	309	3	27	29%	8%	65	-1.2	215/285/288	74	303	3	35	28%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Stephen Wrenn 2019 · AA	24	42→43	40→45	56→60	39	204/256/295	91	288	7	24	31%	6%	55	-1.9	204/265/312	108	298	9	24	33%	6%	63	-1.4	193/259/307	113	288	9	27	34%	6%	58	-1.2
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	177/235/240	63	250	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	215/285/296	81	280	8	14	24%	8%	67	-1.1	210/285/284	74	270	8	16	24%	8%	62	-0.6