Raul Garayzar — OGILVIE

Raul Garayzar P Visalia Rawhide

Age 23 RHP 6'4" / 229 lbs A peak 0.4 · 2030

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 105

ERA4.66

FIP4.66

K%20.3%

BB%9.6%

K-BB%10.7%

ROS IP20

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	36	1	80	367	69	31	12	3%	2.2	13.9%	10.0%	3.9%	4.3%	5.20	5.52	—
YTD	23	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	36	1	80	367	69	31	12	3%	2.2	13.9%	10.0%	3.9%	4.3%	5.20	5.52	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A RAW	ARI	36	1	80	367	69	31	12	3%	2.2	18.8%	8.4%	10.4%	3.3%	5.20	4.38	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	ARI	76	0	80	337	72	31	10	0%	1.1	21.2%	9.2%	12.0%	3.0%	4.55	4.50	+0.0
2028	25	MLB MLE	ARI	77	0	81	342	74	30	10	0%	1.1	21.8%	8.9%	12.8%	3.0%	4.46	4.42	+0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	ARI	77	0	81	342	75	30	10	0%	1.1	22.0%	8.8%	13.2%	3.0%	4.41	4.38	+0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	ARI	76	0	80	337	81	27	10	0%	1.0	24.0%	8.1%	15.9%	3.0%	4.25	4.15	+0.4
2031	28	MLB MLE	ARI	74	0	77	326	78	27	10	0%	1.0	23.8%	8.2%	15.6%	3.1%	4.24	4.23	+0.3
2032	29	MLB MLE	ARI	70	0	74	312	74	26	10	0%	1.1	23.6%	8.4%	15.2%	3.3%	4.31	4.36	+0.2
2033	30	MLB MLE	ARI	66	0	69	293	68	26	10	0%	1.1	23.2%	8.7%	14.5%	3.5%	4.45	4.54	+0.0
2027	24	MLB CTX	ARI	32	0	34	144	30	13	4	0%	1.1	21.2%	9.2%	12.0%	3.0%	4.55	4.50	+0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	ARI	51	0	54	228	50	20	7	0%	1.1	21.8%	8.9%	12.8%	3.0%	4.46	4.42	+0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	ARI	61	0	64	270	59	24	8	0%	1.0	22.0%	8.8%	13.2%	3.0%	4.41	4.38	+0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	ARI	65	0	68	287	69	23	9	0%	1.0	24.0%	8.1%	15.9%	3.0%	4.25	4.15	+0.3
2031	28	MLB CTX	ARI	66	0	69	291	69	24	9	0%	1.0	23.8%	8.2%	15.6%	3.1%	4.24	4.23	+0.3
2032	29	MLB CTX	ARI	64	0	67	283	67	24	9	0%	1.0	23.6%	8.4%	15.2%	3.3%	4.31	4.36	+0.1
2033	30	MLB CTX	ARI	61	0	64	270	63	24	9	0%	1.0	23.2%	8.7%	14.5%	3.5%	4.45	4.54	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		400	0	420	1772	407	152	56	0%	1.0	23.0%	8.6%	14.4%	3.2%	4.36	3.98	+2.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	194	72	27	0%	1.1	23.0%	8.6%	14.4%	3.2%	4.36	3.98	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		36	1	80	367	51	37	16	3%	2.2	13.9%	10.0%	3.9%	4.3%	5.20	5.52	+1.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		90	3	200	921	128	92	39	3%	2.2	13.9%	10.0%	3.9%	4.3%	5.20	5.52	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Raul Garayzar (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.66	20.3%	9.6%	3.0%	—	4.43	21.7%	12.7%	242	-0.23	—	—	—
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	88
Owen Holt R 2022 · 3.72 FIP	23	SU	3.72	20.7%	10.2%	2.0%	.258	4.51	18.7%	6.4%	107	+0.79	3.72	145	87
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	87
Luis Eusebio R 2019 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.2%	10.6%	3.7%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.79	131	86
Matt Pidich R 2018 · 4.42 FIP	23	SU	4.42	17.1%	8.3%	3.1%	.303	4.08	20.8%	13.3%	115	-0.34	4.05	196	86
Zac Ryan R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	23	SU	3.83	20.5%	10.9%	2.0%	.233	3.93	21.6%	6.9%	124	+0.10	3.83	184	86
Jayson McKinley R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	23	SU	4.39	17.5%	11.4%	2.4%	.308	3.60	20.4%	11.3%	134	-0.79	2.35	173	86
Josh Advocate R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	24	SU	3.78	18.8%	7.3%	2.4%	.291	3.71	20.4%	10.1%	75	-0.07	3.71	118	85
Ryan Conroy R 2021 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	22.2%	9.8%	2.8%	.353	4.75	19.3%	6.7%	54	+0.74	4.01	106	85
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	84
Tyler Bray R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	23	SU	4.07	22.3%	9.1%	3.1%	.356	3.21	17.9%	7.6%	114	-0.86	2.82	152	84
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	84
Justin Lasko R 2019 · 3.66 FIP	22	SU	3.66	17.1%	8.6%	1.7%	.286	4.62	15.8%	8.1%	152	+0.96	3.66	173	84
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	83
Luis Romero R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	22.1%	11.9%	4.1%	.367	4.26	21.6%	12.5%	132	-0.74	4.00	293	83
Chris Powell R 2016 · 3.76 FIP	23	SU	3.76	16.9%	7.8%	2.0%	.266	3.53	18.8%	15.1%	28	-0.23	3.31	102	83
Josnier Parra R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	15.9%	9.8%	2.9%	.319	5.01	12.1%	2.9%	118	+0.45	3.76	150	83
Kyle Martin R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	24	SU	3.61	21.2%	9.6%	2.0%	.345	3.51	22.4%	12.5%	172	-0.10	3.01	214	83
Alex Klonowski R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	23	SU	3.58	21.8%	9.4%	2.1%	.331	4.69	14.3%	7.1%	413	+1.11	3.58	539	83
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.8	70	22.7%	8.7%	1.21	4.39
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Matt Wisler ('22)	2.5	63	20.1%	7.6%	1.40	4.59
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63
Daniel Norris ('22)	2.8	70	21.7%	8.5%	1.37	4.70
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59