Alexander Campos

P FCL Rays

Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 190 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	21	ROKTB	14	12	60	3.43	3.20	17.3%	3.6%	—	K 11.8% · BB 4.5% · FIP 4.02
2025	22	MIX2 levels	21	2	43	2.95	3.36	18.6%	4.9%	—	K 12.8% · BB 6.0% · FIP 4.68
2026	23	MIX2 levels	14	3	36	5.75	5.63	10.6%	4.4%	—	K 7.7% · BB 5.3% · FIP 5.83
2027PROJ	24	MLBTB	22	0	23	4.58	4.58	15.9%	6.0%	-0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBTB	16	0	17	4.48	4.43	17.8%	6.2%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsSun-Woo Kim (age 24) · Brad Deppermann (age 25) · Scott Burke (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.58

FIP4.58

K%15.9%

BB%6.0%

K-BB%9.9%

Proj IP23

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	14	0	22	84	21	4	2	0%	1.6	17.0%	6.0%	11.0%	3.0%	1.64	4.05	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	14	0	22	84	21	4	2	0%	1.6	25.0%	4.8%	20.2%	2.4%	1.64	2.92	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	14	12	60	248	43	9	5	86%	4.3	11.8%	4.5%	7.3%	2.4%	3.43	4.02	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	14	12	60	248	43	9	5	86%	4.3	11.8%	4.5%	7.3%	2.4%	3.43	4.02	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	14	12	60	248	43	9	5	86%	4.3	17.3%	3.6%	13.7%	2.0%	3.43	3.20	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	2	43	183	34	9	4	10%	2.0	12.8%	6.0%	6.8%	3.4%	2.95	4.68	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	2	43	183	34	9	4	10%	2.0	12.8%	6.0%	6.8%	3.4%	2.95	4.68	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	2	43	183	34	9	4	10%	2.0	18.6%	4.9%	13.7%	2.2%	2.95	3.36	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	3	36	160	17	7	8	21%	2.6	7.7%	5.3%	2.4%	4.9%	5.75	5.83	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	3	36	160	17	7	8	21%	2.6	7.7%	5.3%	2.4%	4.9%	5.75	5.83	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	3	36	160	17	7	8	21%	2.6	10.6%	4.4%	6.2%	5.0%	5.75	5.63	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	TB	22	0	23	97	15	6	3	0%	1.0	15.9%	6.0%	9.9%	3.1%	4.58	4.58	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	TB	37	0	39	164	29	10	5	0%	1.1	17.8%	6.2%	11.6%	3.0%	4.48	4.43	+0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	TB	16	0	17	72	13	4	2	0%	1.1	17.8%	6.2%	11.6%	3.0%	4.48	4.43	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		16	0	17	70	13	4	2	0%	1.0	17.8%	6.2%	11.6%	3.0%	4.48	4.05	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	156	48	24	0%	1.1	17.8%	6.2%	11.6%	3.0%	4.48	4.05	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		63	17	161	675	79	36	23	27%	2.6	11.7%	5.3%	6.4%	3.4%	3.58	4.63	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		78	21	200	839	98	44	28	27%	2.6	11.7%	5.3%	6.4%	3.4%	3.58	4.63	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Alexander Campos (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.58	15.9%	6.0%	3.1%	—	4.43	17.8%	11.6%	39	-0.15	—	—	—
Sun-Woo Kim R 2002 · 3.97 FIP	24	SW	3.97	13.9%	5.8%	2.4%	.290	4.48	14.2%	7.5%	232	+0.51	3.25	337	86
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	84
Scott Burke R 2018 · 4.55 FIP	24	SW	4.55	14.2%	7.7%	3.0%	.316	5.27	14.9%	6.7%	61	+0.72	4.55	119	83
Chad Jenkins R 2012 · 5.06 FIP	24	SW	5.06	11.8%	7.4%	3.7%	.257	3.56	12.8%	7.6%	159	-1.50	3.26	220	82
Juan Gutierrez R 2007 · 3.96 FIP	24	SW	3.96	17.2%	4.3%	3.2%	.314	3.83	20.4%	12.6%	128	-0.13	2.67	379	81
Ty Weber R 2022 · 4.08 FIP	24	SU	4.08	15.9%	5.6%	2.9%	.288	6.31	8.7%	-1.1%	28	+2.23	4.08	144	80
Wilmer Rios R 2017 · 4.95 FIP	23	SW	4.95	16.3%	5.8%	4.5%	.265	5.25	16.2%	12.3%	80	+0.30	2.81	156	79
Connor Schultz R 2024 · 3.88 FIP	25	SU	3.88	19.7%	5.3%	3.2%	.283	4.02	18.8%	10.4%	156	+0.14	3.53	203	79
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	79
Hector Noesí R 2011 · 3.73 FIP	24	SU	3.73	18.2%	7.3%	2.3%	.320	4.89	16.1%	8.4%	306	+1.16	3.73	613	78
Zach Day R 2002 · 3.87 FIP	24	SU	3.87	16.3%	8.5%	2.0%	.223	4.47	11.1%	1.8%	295	+0.60	3.87	373	78
Jared Kollar R 2022 · 5.13 FIP	24	SW	5.13	16.9%	6.2%	4.9%	.359	4.43	14.4%	6.7%	332	-0.70	3.85	345	78
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	78
Sergio Mitre R 2005 · 5.18 FIP	24	SW	5.18	13.8%	7.8%	4.1%	.256	3.84	13.0%	6.6%	190	-1.34	3.55	602	78
Eric Karch R 2016 · 3.78 FIP	24	SU	3.78	16.0%	6.2%	2.3%	.324	4.70	20.3%	16.1%	35	+0.92	3.78	104	78
Ross Ohlendorf R 2008 · 4.73 FIP	25	SW	4.73	16.3%	9.3%	3.3%	.357	4.63	15.4%	7.7%	324	-0.10	3.30	617	78
Jensen Elliott R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	24	SW	4.00	12.3%	4.6%	2.5%	.342	4.44	12.4%	6.8%	51	+0.44	3.25	122	78
Devin Burke R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	24	SU	4.27	11.7%	7.0%	2.3%	.275	4.20	13.7%	8.8%	87	-0.07	4.20	149	77
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.39	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.39	3.65	301	77
Trevor Foss R 2015 · 4.22 FIP	25	SU	4.22	14.5%	5.9%	2.9%	.308	3.77	17.3%	13.8%	42	-0.45	3.77	120	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	31	17.1%	6.1%	1.18	4.52
Larry Casian ('90-'98, 0 WAR*)	1.2	40	14.7%*	6.8%*	1.25*	4.37*
James Russell ('16)	1.7	56	17.0%	7.0%	1.16	4.09
Carlos Almánzar ('05)	1.2	60	16.3%	7.9%	1.32	4.82
Matt Wise ('08)	1.6	53	18.1%	7.9%	1.14	4.23
Steve Kealey ('68-'73, -1 WAR*)	1.1	54	18.5%*	7.2%*	1.32*	5.26*
Randy St. Claire ('84-'94, -0 WAR*)	1.3	50	19.0%*	8.4%*	1.39*	4.61*