Justin Storm — OGILVIE

Justin Storm P Beloit Sky Carp

Age 24 LHP 6'7" / 232 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION64 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129137vR 145

ERA5.91

FIP5.91

K%16.8%

BB%19.1%

K-BB%-2.4%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL2525

CMD3030

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	4	0	4	23	4	6	0	0%	1.1	17.4%	26.1%	-8.7%	0.0%	6.23	4.94	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	4	0	4	23	4	6	0	0%	1.1	17.4%	26.1%	-8.7%	0.0%	6.23	4.94	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	4	0	4	23	4	6	0	0%	1.1	17.4%	26.1%	-8.7%	0.0%	6.23	5.41	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	32	0	50	209	72	28	1	0%	1.6	26.5%	14.9%	11.6%	0.7%	1.97	3.14	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	32	0	50	209	72	28	1	0%	1.6	26.5%	14.9%	11.6%	0.7%	1.97	3.14	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	32	0	50	209	72	28	1	0%	1.6	34.4%	13.4%	21.1%	0.5%	1.97	2.17	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	43	0	62	267	54	41	3	0%	1.4	15.6%	17.7%	-2.1%	1.4%	3.21	4.79	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	43	0	62	267	54	41	3	0%	1.4	15.6%	17.7%	-2.1%	1.4%	3.21	4.79	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Beloit Sky Carp	43	0	62	267	54	41	3	0%	1.4	20.2%	15.4%	4.9%	1.1%	3.21	3.98	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	41	0	64	271	66	37	7	0%	1.6	19.8%	13.5%	6.3%	1.1%	4.36	3.74	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	41	0	64	271	66	37	7	0%	1.6	19.8%	13.5%	6.3%	1.1%	4.36	3.74	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A+ RAW	MIA	36	0	56	230	59	27	2	0%	1.6	25.7%	11.7%	13.9%	0.9%	2.89	2.90	—
2026	24	AA RAW	MIA	5	0	8	41	7	10	5	0%	1.6	17.1%	24.4%	-7.3%	12.2%	14.62	11.44	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	MIA	5	0	6	24	4	5	1	0%	1.1	16.8%	19.1%	-2.4%	2.6%	5.91	5.91	-0.1
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	MIA	—	—	70	295	70	42	8	—	—	23.7%	14.1%	9.6%	2.6%	4.49	3.92	+0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	MIA	65	0	68	287	51	48	8	0%	1.0	17.9%	16.8%	1.1%	2.6%	5.62	5.53	-0.7
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIA	65	0	68	287	53	47	8	0%	1.0	18.5%	16.2%	2.3%	2.6%	5.47	5.42	-0.7
2029	27	MLB MLE	MIA	64	0	67	283	53	45	8	0%	1.0	18.8%	15.9%	2.8%	2.7%	5.41	5.40	-0.6
2030	28	MLB MLE	MIA	62	0	65	274	51	44	8	0%	1.0	18.8%	15.9%	2.8%	2.8%	5.43	5.46	-0.7
2027	25	MLB CTX	MIA	28	0	29	122	22	21	3	0%	1.0	17.9%	16.8%	1.1%	2.6%	5.62	5.53	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIA	43	0	45	190	35	31	5	0%	1.0	18.5%	16.2%	2.3%	2.6%	5.47	5.42	-0.4
2029	27	MLB CTX	MIA	50	0	52	220	41	35	6	0%	1.0	18.8%	15.9%	2.8%	2.7%	5.41	5.40	-0.5
2030	28	MLB CTX	MIA	52	0	55	232	44	37	7	0%	1.1	18.8%	15.9%	2.8%	2.8%	5.43	5.46	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		172	0	181	764	142	123	21	0%	1.1	18.6%	16.1%	2.4%	2.7%	5.47	5.07	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	157	136	23	0%	1.1	18.6%	16.1%	2.4%	2.7%	5.47	5.07	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		120	0	180	770	155	121	8	0%	1.5	20.1%	15.7%	4.4%	1.1%	3.34	3.98	-2.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		133	0	200	854	171	134	9	0%	1.5	20.1%	15.7%	4.4%	1.1%	3.34	3.98	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Justin Storm (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.91	16.8%	19.1%	2.6%	—	5.45	18.4%	2.1%	203	-0.46	—	—	—
Fabian Williamson L 2015 · 5.31 FIP	26	SU	5.31	17.4%	17.9%	2.6%	.289	4.16	20.0%	8.2%	77	-1.15	3.39	154	88
Chris Nunn L 2015 · 5.49 FIP	24	SU	5.49	13.9%	16.8%	2.6%	.350	3.92	19.3%	6.7%	37	-1.57	3.30	180	87
Chris Reed L 2015 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.4%	14.5%	2.3%	.284	4.67	16.4%	6.6%	81	-0.25	4.67	137	86
John Kilichowski L 2018 · 4.99 FIP	24	SU	4.99	17.6%	16.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	115	83
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	82
Bryan King L 2021 · 5.20 FIP	24	SU	5.20	17.4%	17.8%	2.4%	.317	2.86	24.0%	14.5%	77	-2.34	2.45	239	82
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	81
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	81
Max Herrmann L 2017 · 5.09 FIP	24	SU	5.09	15.0%	17.9%	1.8%	.333	4.37	12.2%	0.8%	152	-0.72	3.93	168	81
Juan Pichardo L 2021 · 4.83 FIP	23	SU	4.83	17.7%	17.1%	1.9%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.13	103	81
Nicolo Pinazzi L 2023 · 6.79 FIP	23	SU	6.79	19.3%	26.9%	3.5%	.307	2.58	30.1%	16.3%	62	-4.21	2.58	155	81
Trevor Seidenberger L 2016 · 6.29 FIP	24	SU	6.29	13.1%	14.9%	4.4%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	101	80
Caleb Frare L 2017 · 5.45 FIP	24	SU	5.45	22.6%	21.3%	2.9%	.307	3.14	28.0%	15.6%	80	-2.31	2.27	237	79
Aaron Brown L 2017 · 4.96 FIP	25	SU	4.96	15.0%	17.6%	1.6%	.348	4.38	19.8%	5.2%	127	-0.58	4.04	269	79
Kumar Nambiar L 2022 · 4.75 FIP	24	SU	4.75	18.5%	14.3%	2.6%	.277	4.94	14.0%	1.0%	60	+0.19	3.10	221	79
Matt Mikulski L 2023 · 6.17 FIP	24	SW	6.17	16.4%	18.6%	3.8%	.303	5.90	16.3%	-3.3%	78	-0.27	4.92	223	78
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	78
Max Schuh L 2016 · 6.12 FIP	24	SU	6.12	16.1%	17.9%	3.9%	.389	4.70	19.2%	5.6%	48	-1.42	3.10	118	77
Evan Shawver L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	15.9%	16.5%	3.5%	.327	4.11	18.1%	7.1%	162	-1.67	3.92	278	76
Yoan Aybar L 2021 · 5.91 FIP	24	SU	5.91	19.2%	16.2%	4.3%	.323	6.04	20.9%	1.2%	41	+0.13	3.41	166	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	67	18.1%	16.8%	1.04	5.57
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82