Justin Storm
P
Beloit Sky Carp
Age 24
LHP
6'7" / 232 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION35 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131140vR 150
ERA5.83
FIP5.83
K%16.8%
BB%18.5%
K-BB%-1.7%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 102 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 4 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.4% | 26.1% | -8.7% | 0.0% | 6.23 | 4.94 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 4 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.4% | 26.1% | -8.7% | 0.0% | 6.23 | 5.41 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 32 | 0 | 50 | 209 | 72 | 28 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 26.5% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 0.8% | 1.97 | 3.20 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 32 | 0 | 50 | 209 | 72 | 28 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 34.4% | 13.4% | 21.1% | 0.5% | 1.97 | 2.17 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | 43 | 0 | 62 | 267 | 54 | 41 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 15.6% | 17.7% | -2.1% | 1.4% | 3.21 | 4.78 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | 43 | 0 | 62 | 267 | 54 | 41 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.2% | 15.4% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 3.21 | 3.98 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | 24 | 0 | 35 | 148 | 39 | 18 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 20.3% | 14.0% | 6.3% | 0.0% | 2.83 | 3.16 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | MIA | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 48 | 52 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.8% | 18.5% | -1.7% | 2.6% | 5.83 | 5.83 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16.8% | 18.5% | -1.7% | 2.6% | 5.83 | 5.83 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 102 | 432 | 87 | 70 | 7 | — | — | 20.1% | 16.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 4.80 | 4.91 | +0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 16.8% | 18.5% | -1.7% | 2.6% | 5.83 | 5.45 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | MIA | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 51 | 47 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.9% | 16.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 5.55 | 5.47 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.5% | 15.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.40 | 5.36 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 53 | 44 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.8% | 15.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.35 | 5.35 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | MIA | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 22 | 20 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.9% | 16.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 5.55 | 5.47 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.5% | 15.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.40 | 5.36 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 41 | 34 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.8% | 15.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.35 | 5.35 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 121 | 0 | 127 | 534 | 99 | 84 | 14 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.5% | 15.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.42 | 5.01 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 156 | 133 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.5% | 15.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.42 | 5.01 | +0.9 | ||
| Career | — | 103 | 0 | 151 | 647 | 131 | 105 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 20.3% | 16.2% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 2.80 | 3.90 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 136 | 0 | 200 | 855 | 173 | 139 | 7 | 0% | 1.5 | 20.3% | 16.2% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 2.80 | 3.90 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Justin Storm (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.83 | 16.8% | 18.5% | 2.6% | — | 5.39 | 18.4% | 2.5% | 203 | -0.44 | — | — | — |
| Fabian Williamson L 2028 · 5.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.34 | 17.4% | 17.9% | 2.6% | .289 | 4.25 | 20.0% | 8.2% | 77 | -1.09 | 3.46 | 154 | 89 |
| Chris Reed L 2027 · 4.92 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.92 | 15.4% | 14.5% | 2.3% | .284 | 4.84 | 16.4% | 6.6% | 81 | -0.08 | 4.84 | 137 | 86 |
| Chris Nunn L 2026 · 5.94 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.94 | 13.9% | 16.8% | 3.4% | .350 | 3.97 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 37 | -1.97 | 3.26 | 180 | 86 |
| Seth Clark L 2026 · 5.52 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.52 | 18.9% | 16.2% | 3.6% | .267 | 4.51 | 17.7% | -2.7% | 32 | -1.01 | 4.30 | 128 | 85 |
| Ty Madrigal L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.64 | 19.3% | 15.7% | 2.2% | .329 | 5.86 | 17.6% | 2.4% | 49 | +1.22 | 4.64 | 107 | 84 |
| Graham Osman L 2026 · 5.68 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.68 | 15.1% | 17.4% | 3.0% | .303 | 6.97 | 14.1% | -1.9% | 29 | +1.29 | 4.29 | 151 | 83 |
| John Kilichowski L 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.26 | 17.6% | 16.2% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 115 | 83 |
| Jackson Lancaster L 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.05 | 18.9% | 17.6% | 2.4% | .315 | 4.92 | 19.3% | 7.1% | 107 | -0.13 | 4.28 | 127 | 82 |
| Caden Monke L 2027 · 5.28 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.28 | 19.0% | 19.3% | 2.4% | .352 | 3.73 | 24.7% | 3.3% | 34 | -1.55 | 3.73 | 152 | 82 |
| Gil Luna L 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.36 | 22.5% | 24.5% | 1.9% | .303 | 5.05 | 19.7% | -6.0% | 73 | -0.31 | 4.57 | 113 | 82 |
| Bryan King L 2026 · 5.31 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.31 | 17.4% | 17.8% | 2.6% | .317 | 2.89 | 24.7% | 14.5% | 77 | -2.42 | 2.49 | 226 | 82 |
| Juan Pichardo L 2025 · 4.95 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.95 | 17.7% | 17.1% | 2.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.13 | 103 | 81 |
| Max Herrmann L 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.09 | 15.0% | 17.9% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.45 | 12.2% | 0.8% | 152 | -0.64 | 3.92 | 168 | 81 |
| Nicolo Pinazzi L 2025 · 6.69 FIP | 23 | SU | 6.69 | 19.3% | 26.9% | 3.3% | .307 | 2.70 | 28.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -3.99 | 2.70 | 122 | 81 |
| Caleb Frare L 2026 · 5.53 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.53 | 22.6% | 21.3% | 3.0% | .307 | 3.04 | 28.0% | 15.6% | 80 | -2.49 | 2.26 | 237 | 80 |
| Kumar Nambiar L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.84 | 18.5% | 14.3% | 2.7% | .277 | 4.73 | 14.0% | 1.0% | 60 | -0.11 | 3.10 | 221 | 79 |
| Dillon Larsen L 2026 · 6.31 FIP | 24 | SU | 6.31 | 21.7% | 21.6% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.57 | 18.0% | -4.1% | 91 | -1.74 | 4.04 | 120 | 79 |
| Aaron Brown L 2027 · 4.91 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.91 | 15.0% | 17.6% | 1.6% | .348 | 4.23 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.68 | 3.88 | 269 | 79 |
| Erik Rivera L 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.01 | 21.4% | 19.2% | 2.3% | .313 | 4.69 | 25.3% | 9.9% | 40 | -0.32 | 4.69 | 122 | 78 |
| Matt Mikulski L 2026 · 6.03 FIP | 24 | SW | 6.03 | 16.4% | 18.6% | 3.6% | .303 | 5.89 | 16.3% | -3.3% | 78 | -0.14 | 4.80 | 223 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 68 | 18.0% | 16.5% | 1.02 | 5.53 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |