Aric McAtee

P Winston-Salem Dash

Age 27 RHP 6'5" / 215 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	25	MIX2 levels	17	24	5.18	2.57	27.2%	9.7%	—	K 21.1% · BB 8.4% · FIP 3.58
2026	26	MIX2 levels	39	45	5.36	4.11	25.0%	13.5%	—	K 19.4% · BB 15.2% · FIP 5.09
2027PROJ	27	MLBCWS	21	22	5.13	5.13	19.9%	13.4%	-0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	28	MLBCWS	8	8	5.10	5.13	20.2%	13.1%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsSpencer Bivens (age 28) · Derek Eitel (age 27) · Scott Proctor (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 114

ERA5.13

FIP5.13

K%19.9%

BB%13.4%

K-BB%6.5%

Proj IP22

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	0	24	103	28	10	1	0%	1.4	21.1%	8.4%	12.7%	2.2%	5.18	3.58	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	0	24	103	28	10	1	0%	1.4	21.1%	8.4%	12.7%	2.2%	5.18	3.58	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	0	24	103	28	10	1	0%	1.4	27.2%	9.7%	17.5%	1.0%	5.18	2.57	—
2026	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	45	200	50	27	5	0%	1.2	19.4%	15.2%	4.2%	3.1%	5.36	5.09	—
2026	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	45	200	50	27	5	0%	1.2	19.4%	15.2%	4.2%	3.1%	5.36	5.09	—
2026	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	45	200	50	27	5	0%	1.2	25.0%	13.5%	11.5%	2.5%	5.36	4.11	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	CWS	21	0	22	93	19	12	3	0%	1.0	19.9%	13.4%	6.5%	3.0%	5.13	5.13	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	CWS	20	0	21	88	18	12	3	0%	1.0	20.2%	13.1%	7.0%	3.1%	5.10	5.13	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	CWS	8	0	8	34	7	4	1	0%	1.0	20.2%	13.1%	7.0%	3.1%	5.10	5.13	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	8	32	7	4	1	0%	1.1	20.2%	13.1%	7.0%	3.1%	5.10	4.75	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	104	26	0%	1.1	20.2%	13.1%	7.0%	3.1%	5.10	4.75	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		56	0	70	303	61	39	8	0%	1.2	20.0%	12.9%	7.1%	2.8%	5.30	4.58	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		161	0	200	870	174	112	24	0%	1.2	20.0%	12.9%	7.1%	2.8%	5.30	4.58	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Aric McAtee (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.13	19.9%	13.4%	3.0%	—	5.13	20.2%	7.0%	21	+0.00	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	88
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	88
Scott Proctor R 2004 · 5.43 FIP	27	SU	5.43	17.8%	11.9%	4.2%	.308	4.36	18.8%	11.0%	233	-1.07	3.68	337	88
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	87
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	87
Francisco Rodriguez R 2010 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	17.2%	11.0%	2.4%	.283	5.00	11.9%	3.4%	14	+0.67	3.16	334	86
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	85
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	85
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	85
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	85
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	84
Jeff Fulchino R 2008 · 4.62 FIP	28	SU	4.62	16.7%	11.1%	2.8%	.380	3.86	21.0%	12.4%	164	-0.76	3.36	178	83
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	83
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	82
Keagan Gillies R 2024 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	21.1%	13.3%	1.9%	.306	3.91	20.0%	14.4%	74	-0.11	2.93	177	82
Theo Denlinger R 2023 · 4.19 FIP	27	SU	4.19	20.1%	15.1%	1.6%	.266	4.23	15.3%	9.9%	41	+0.04	2.92	140	82
Cole Uvila R 2021 · 4.06 FIP	27	SU	4.06	20.4%	13.2%	1.8%	.360	3.16	20.2%	6.3%	44	-0.90	3.16	155	82
Chris Jefferson R 2024 · 5.65 FIP	27	SU	5.65	16.4%	13.6%	4.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	140	81
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	81
Justin Lehr R 2005 · 4.58 FIP	27	SU	4.58	14.9%	10.4%	2.6%	.252	4.23	16.0%	8.0%	16	-0.35	4.23	148	81