Nick Brink
P
Beloit Sky Carp
Age 24
RHP
6'2" / 210 lbs
A+
peak 1.2 · 2029
2026 ROS PROJECTION6 act + 73 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143134vR 124
ERA5.51
FIP5.51
K%10.6%
BB%11.9%
K-BB%-1.3%
ROS IP73
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 79 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 2.3 | 0.0% | 8.3% | -8.3% | 0.0% | 7.71 | 4.16 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 2.3 | 0.0% | 8.3% | -8.3% | 0.0% | 7.71 | 4.39 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 22 | 113 | 479 | 86 | 41 | 6 | 96% | 4.9 | 13.6% | 9.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 3.02 | 4.05 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 22 | 113 | 479 | 86 | 41 | 6 | 96% | 4.9 | 18.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 1.3% | 3.02 | 3.36 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | 2 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 50% | 2.8 | — | — | — | — | 7.94 | — | — |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | MIA | 13 | 13 | 73 | 310 | 33 | 37 | 8 | 100% | 5.6 | 10.6% | 11.9% | -1.3% | 2.6% | 5.51 | 5.51 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10.6% | 11.9% | -1.3% | 2.6% | 5.51 | 5.51 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 79 | 335 | 41 | 39 | 8 | — | — | 12.2% | 11.6% | 0.6% | 2.4% | 5.68 | 5.12 | -0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 10.6% | 11.9% | -1.3% | 2.6% | 5.51 | 5.13 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | MIA | 14 | 14 | 80 | 339 | 45 | 39 | 9 | 100% | 5.7 | 13.4% | 11.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 5.30 | 5.24 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 13 | 13 | 80 | 339 | 51 | 38 | 9 | 100% | 6.2 | 14.9% | 11.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 5.14 | 5.08 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 13 | 13 | 79 | 334 | 58 | 34 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.3% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 4.92 | 4.81 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 13 | 13 | 77 | 324 | 56 | 34 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.3% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 4.89 | 4.88 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | MIA | 6 | 6 | 35 | 148 | 20 | 17 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 13.4% | 11.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 5.30 | 5.24 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 9 | 9 | 53 | 224 | 33 | 25 | 6 | 100% | 5.9 | 14.9% | 11.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 5.14 | 5.08 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 10 | 10 | 61 | 258 | 44 | 26 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.3% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 4.92 | 4.81 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 47 | 28 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.3% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 4.89 | 4.88 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 36 | 36 | 214 | 903 | 145 | 97 | 24 | 100% | 5.9 | 16.1% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 5.03 | 4.59 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 136 | 91 | 22 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.1% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 5.03 | 4.59 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 26 | 24 | 121 | 516 | 73 | 50 | 7 | 92% | 4.7 | 14.2% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 3.34 | 3.92 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 40 | 200 | 851 | 121 | 83 | 12 | 92% | 4.7 | 14.2% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 3.34 | 3.92 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nick Brink (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.51 | 10.6% | 11.9% | 2.6% | — | 5.04 | 15.2% | 4.2% | 240 | -0.47 | — | — | — |
| Jordan Cooper R 2028 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.05 | 9.2% | 10.2% | 2.6% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.05 | 106 | 86 |
| Elliot Morris R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.46 | 12.8% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 102 | 85 |
| Baron Stuart R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.16 | 14.5% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .266 | 4.16 | 17.2% | 3.5% | 187 | -1.00 | 3.55 | 287 | 84 |
| Tanner Hall R 2025 · 5.39 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.39 | 10.1% | 14.7% | 2.3% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.56 | 137 | 84 |
| Jarred Cosart R 2027 · 5.09 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.09 | 15.2% | 10.8% | 3.5% | .274 | 5.06 | 13.1% | -0.5% | 132 | -0.03 | 4.10 | 218 | 82 |
| Kevin Biondic R 2025 · 5.39 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.39 | 8.6% | 11.0% | 2.9% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.39 | 100 | 82 |
| Ike Buxton R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.52 | 15.4% | 13.1% | 1.9% | .341 | 4.95 | 13.8% | -5.5% | 46 | +0.43 | 4.52 | 196 | 81 |
| Blaine Knight R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.46 | 14.1% | 9.8% | 2.4% | .263 | 4.58 | 16.2% | 6.6% | 159 | +0.12 | 4.16 | 269 | 81 |
| Keith Couch R 2027 · 4.63 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.63 | 9.8% | 9.4% | 2.1% | .326 | 3.92 | 11.0% | 3.6% | 127 | -0.71 | 3.92 | 252 | 80 |
| Sam Wolff R 2027 · 5.61 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.61 | 13.9% | 15.0% | 3.3% | .278 | 3.15 | 25.1% | 15.5% | 106 | -2.46 | 2.74 | 178 | 80 |
| Hayden Merda R 2025 · 5.06 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.06 | 16.1% | 15.3% | 2.5% | .325 | 4.42 | 25.8% | 12.5% | 87 | -0.64 | 3.50 | 182 | 80 |
| Linder Castro R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.52 | 15.3% | 11.5% | 2.3% | .327 | 4.38 | 16.4% | 6.5% | 111 | -0.14 | 4.27 | 279 | 80 |
| James Proctor R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.35 | 14.0% | 12.5% | 1.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.02 | 109 | 80 |
| Ben Anderson R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.49 | 13.0% | 12.0% | 1.8% | .270 | 4.34 | 14.4% | 5.8% | 217 | -0.15 | 3.71 | 361 | 80 |
| Connor Staine R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.94 | 14.0% | 13.0% | 2.5% | .280 | 5.59 | 19.0% | 5.2% | 79 | +0.65 | 3.71 | 370 | 79 |
| Nick Krauth R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.44 | 12.3% | 12.0% | 1.6% | .312 | 5.26 | 13.2% | 5.2% | 26 | +0.82 | 4.44 | 424 | 79 |
| Drew Gagnon R 2027 · 5.78 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.78 | 11.6% | 12.6% | 3.8% | .313 | 4.01 | 20.4% | 12.2% | 311 | -1.77 | 3.74 | 534 | 79 |
| Junior Mendez R 2024 · 5.53 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.53 | 9.1% | 10.6% | 3.4% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.53 | 131 | 79 |
| Chris Kachmar R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.39 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 2.2% | .309 | 4.74 | 18.4% | 9.4% | 172 | +0.35 | 4.39 | 353 | 79 |
| Jake Thompson R 2025 · 4.47 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.47 | 13.2% | 9.7% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.86 | 17.9% | 2.3% | 28 | +0.39 | 3.50 | 212 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 79 | 14.7% | 11.0% | 1.03 | 5.15 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |