Joe Glassey — OGILVIE

Joe Glassey P Frederick Keys

Age 25 RHP 6'3" / 220 lbs A+ peak 0.5 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 14 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10092vR 84

ERA3.51

FIP3.51

K%24.4%

BB%3.1%

K-BB%21.3%

ROS IP14

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	23	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	7	0	8	26	7	0	1	0%	1.1	26.9%	0.0%	26.9%	3.8%	1.17	2.94	—
2024	23	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	7	0	8	26	7	0	1	0%	1.1	26.9%	0.0%	26.9%	3.8%	1.17	2.94	—
2024	23	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	7	0	8	26	7	0	1	0%	1.1	26.9%	0.0%	26.9%	3.8%	1.17	2.97	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	0	27	104	37	2	3	0%	1.6	25.7%	0.0%	25.7%	4.7%	2.00	3.51	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	0	27	104	37	2	3	0%	1.6	25.7%	0.0%	25.7%	4.7%	2.00	3.51	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	17	0	27	104	37	2	3	0%	1.6	35.6%	1.9%	33.7%	2.9%	2.00	2.03	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	37	0	46	176	71	9	1	0%	1.2	32.6%	7.8%	24.8%	1.1%	1.76	1.91	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	37	0	46	176	71	9	1	0%	1.2	32.6%	7.8%	24.8%	1.1%	1.76	1.91	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	A+ RAW	WSH	22	0	28	118	50	8	1	0%	1.3	42.4%	6.8%	35.6%	0.8%	2.86	0.85	—
2026	25	AA RAW	WSH	12	0	13	44	15	1	0	0%	1.1	34.1%	2.3%	31.8%	0.0%	0.00	0.51	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	WSH	3	0	4	14	6	0	0	0%	1.4	42.9%	0.0%	42.9%	0.0%	0.00	-0.52	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	WSH	43	0	45	190	47	7	6	0%	1.0	24.5%	3.7%	20.8%	3.1%	3.58	3.57	+0.5
2028	27	MLB MLE	WSH	42	0	44	187	46	8	6	0%	1.1	24.4%	4.2%	20.2%	3.1%	3.65	3.66	+0.5
2027	26	MLB CTX	WSH	18	0	19	80	20	3	2	0%	1.1	24.5%	3.7%	20.8%	3.1%	3.58	3.57	+0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	WSH	27	0	28	118	29	5	4	0%	1.0	24.4%	4.2%	20.2%	3.1%	3.65	3.66	+0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		45	0	47	199	49	8	6	0%	1.0	24.4%	4.0%	20.4%	3.1%	3.62	3.25	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	208	34	25	0%	1.1	24.4%	4.0%	20.4%	3.1%	3.62	3.25	+3.1
Career	—	MLE		61	0	81	306	91	14	8	0%	1.3	29.8%	4.5%	25.3%	2.5%	1.79	2.54	+1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		151	0	200	759	226	34	19	0%	1.3	29.8%	4.5%	25.3%	2.5%	1.79	2.54	+2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Joe Glassey (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.51	24.4%	3.1%	3.1%	—	3.61	24.4%	20.5%	89	+0.10	—	—	—
Michael Dimock R 2015 · 3.08 FIP	25	SU	3.08	25.1%	2.3%	3.3%	.291	3.83	23.2%	13.8%	106	+0.75	3.08	166	85
Ryan Boyer R 2022 · 3.09 FIP	25	SU	3.09	31.0%	4.8%	3.6%	.289	3.52	23.2%	16.7%	114	+0.43	1.92	132	80
Shawn Tolleson R 2015 · 3.05 FIP	27	SU	3.05	25.5%	4.0%	2.9%	.284	4.76	17.3%	12.5%	36	+1.71	3.05	109	78
Deolis Guerra R 2015 · 3.48 FIP	26	SU	3.48	23.5%	4.9%	3.2%	.291	3.65	21.9%	15.7%	179	+0.17	2.53	364	78
Michael Tonkin R 2015 · 3.09 FIP	25	SU	3.09	23.8%	4.9%	2.5%	.240	3.77	27.2%	18.6%	134	+0.68	2.31	480	78
Joe Navilhon R 2018 · 3.36 FIP	25	SU	3.36	24.1%	5.5%	2.9%	.333	3.13	22.5%	15.1%	110	-0.23	2.25	273	78
Josh Lucas R 2016 · 3.07 FIP	25	SU	3.07	22.8%	4.6%	2.4%	.296	3.58	20.8%	12.3%	155	+0.51	2.40	264	77
Jason Jester R 2016 · 2.80 FIP	25	SU	2.80	22.8%	4.9%	1.8%	.350	3.96	14.6%	7.2%	127	+1.16	2.48	229	76
Cameron Cotter R 2023 · 3.79 FIP	24	SU	3.79	17.2%	2.7%	3.3%	.302	3.40	17.5%	11.2%	96	-0.39	2.86	128	76
Gerardo Sanchez R 2016 · 2.65 FIP	27	SU	2.65	21.4%	4.2%	1.5%	.215	3.54	20.9%	14.3%	94	+0.89	2.65	137	76
Trevor Brigden R 2021 · 4.67 FIP	25	SU	4.67	22.9%	4.1%	5.4%	.205	4.03	24.9%	16.6%	160	-0.64	3.50	196	75
Hobie Harris R 2018 · 3.31 FIP	25	SU	3.31	23.8%	5.4%	2.8%	.283	4.96	23.0%	9.2%	92	+1.65	3.31	474	75
Carlos Navas R 2018 · 2.98 FIP	25	SU	2.98	24.2%	3.7%	2.7%	.321	5.06	20.2%	12.4%	129	+2.08	2.98	385	75
Yimi García R 2015 · 2.93 FIP	24	SU	2.93	30.2%	4.0%	3.4%	.257	4.72	19.5%	17.6%	37	+1.79	1.48	416	75
Travis Hissong R 2016 · 3.01 FIP	25	SU	3.01	23.6%	4.9%	2.3%	.256	4.17	20.3%	6.8%	50	+1.16	3.01	122	75
Sauryn Lao R 2023 · 3.31 FIP	23	SU	3.31	23.8%	5.2%	2.9%	.367	3.28	20.0%	12.9%	128	-0.03	3.11	182	74
James Sherfy R 2017 · 3.24 FIP	25	SU	3.24	28.1%	5.5%	3.3%	.272	3.10	26.8%	16.2%	115	-0.14	2.64	271	74
Chris Powell R 2017 · 3.53 FIP	24	SU	3.53	18.8%	3.7%	2.8%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	102	74
Paul Sewald R 2015 · 2.71 FIP	25	SU	2.71	23.3%	5.1%	1.7%	.244	3.68	24.5%	17.1%	187	+0.97	2.71	607	73
Drew Storen R 2015 · 2.36 FIP	27	SU	2.36	29.4%	6.1%	1.8%	.287	3.78	20.3%	13.9%	106	+1.42	2.36	172	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.5	35	24.4%	3.8%	1.20	3.60
Richard Rodríguez ('21)	1.1	56	25.0%	6.3%	1.21	3.00
Craig Stammen ('22)	2.0	66	23.0%	5.4%	1.19	3.36
Sean Doolittle ('21)	1.2	49	28.7%	6.2%	1.18	3.31
Eli Morgan ('24)	1.3	66	23.8%	6.4%	1.46	3.97
Erik Swanson ('24)	1.3	51	26.2%	6.5%	1.57	3.70
Seunghwan Oh ('18)	1.0	69	27.7%	5.9%	1.00	2.78