Trevor Brigden
P Durham Bulls| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | G | GS | IP | ERA | FIP | K% | BB% | WAR | MLE rates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 26 | MIX2 levels | 37 | 0 | 59 | 3.05 | 2.56 | 34.8% | 3.5% | — | K 27.6% · BB 4.2% · FIP 3.50 | |
| 2023 | 27 | AAATB | 44 | 2 | 78 | 3.46 | 3.66 | 28.9% | 11.9% | — | K 24.8% · BB 10.7% · FIP 3.81 | |
| 2024 | 28 | AAATB | 32 | 0 | 35 | 7.64 | 4.77 | 28.3% | 9.4% | — | K 24.3% · BB 8.5% · FIP 4.98 | |
| 2025 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||||
| 2027PROJ | 31 | MLBTB | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4.31 | 4.31 | 23.8% | 8.9% | 0.0 | ||
| 2028PROJ37% MLB | 32 | MLBTB | 7 | 0 | 7 | 4.45 | 4.54 | 23.3% | 9.4% | 0.0 | ||
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 25 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 31 | 2 | 49 | 200 | 69 | 10 | 8 | 6% | 1.6 | 22.9% | 4.1% | 18.9% | 5.4% | 4.59 | 4.67 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX RAW | 3 levels | 31 | 2 | 49 | 200 | 69 | 10 | 8 | 6% | 1.6 | 34.5% | 5.0% | 29.5% | 4.0% | 4.59 | 3.02 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 59 | 230 | 80 | 8 | 8 | 0% | 1.6 | 27.6% | 4.2% | 23.4% | 4.0% | 3.05 | 3.50 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 59 | 230 | 80 | 8 | 8 | 0% | 1.6 | 34.8% | 3.5% | 31.3% | 3.5% | 3.05 | 2.56 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | 44 | 2 | 78 | 329 | 95 | 39 | 9 | 5% | 1.8 | 24.8% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 2.6% | 3.46 | 3.81 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA RAW | Durham Bulls | 44 | 2 | 78 | 329 | 95 | 39 | 9 | 5% | 1.8 | 28.9% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 2.7% | 3.46 | 3.66 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | 32 | 0 | 35 | 159 | 45 | 15 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.3% | 8.5% | 15.8% | 5.2% | 7.64 | 4.98 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | 32 | 0 | 35 | 159 | 45 | 15 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.3% | 8.5% | 15.8% | 5.2% | 7.64 | 4.98 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA RAW | Durham Bulls | 32 | 0 | 35 | 159 | 45 | 15 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.3% | 9.4% | 18.9% | 5.0% | 7.64 | 4.77 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | TB | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 3.1% | 4.31 | 4.31 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 32 | MLB MLE | TB | 18 | 0 | 19 | 79 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 3.4% | 4.45 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB CTX | TB | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 3.4% | 4.45 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 7 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 3.4% | 4.45 | 4.16 | +0.0 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 202 | 87 | 29 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 3.4% | 4.45 | 4.16 | +0.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 144 | 4 | 221 | 918 | 230 | 66 | 37 | 3% | 1.5 | 25.0% | 7.2% | 17.8% | 4.0% | 4.27 | 4.12 | +0.0 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 130 | 4 | 200 | 830 | 208 | 60 | 34 | 3% | 1.5 | 25.0% | 7.2% | 17.8% | 4.0% | 4.27 | 4.12 | +0.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAADurham Bulls · 35 IPFIP 4.67 → 4.98 (+0.32)K% 28.3% → 24.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 28.30% | — | ×0.860 | 24.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 9.43% | — | ×0.900 | 8.49% |
| HR / BF /BF | 5.03% | ÷1.061 | ×1.100 | 5.22% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 112).
Result: FIP 4.67 → 4.98, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAADurham Bulls · 78 IPFIP 3.66 → 3.81 (+0.14)K% 28.9% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 28.88% | — | ×0.860 | 24.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 11.85% | — | ×0.900 | 10.67% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.74% | ÷1.137 | ×1.100 | 2.65% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 127).
Result: FIP 3.66 → 3.81, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 47 IPFIP 2.48 → 3.50 (+1.02)K% 34.1% → 27.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 34.05% | — | ×0.810 | 27.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 3.78% | — | ×1.100 | 4.16% |
| HR / BF /BF | 3.24% | ÷0.970 | ×1.200 | 4.01% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 94).
Result: FIP 2.48 → 3.50, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAADurham Bulls · 12 IPFIP 2.63 → 3.18 (+0.55)K% 37.8% → 33.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 37.78% | — | ×0.880 | 33.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 2.22% | — | ×1.050 | 2.33% |
| HR / BF /BF | 4.44% | ÷1.034 | ×1.100 | 4.73% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 107).
Result: FIP 2.63 → 3.18, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 36 IPFIP 3.37 → 4.67 (+1.30)K% 29.8% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 29.79% | — | ×0.770 | 22.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 3.55% | — | ×1.150 | 4.08% |
| HR / BF /BF | 4.26% | ÷0.978 | ×1.250 | 5.44% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 96).
Result: FIP 3.37 → 4.67, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ACharleston RiverDogs · 11 IPFIP -0.83 → 0.57 (+1.40)K% 56.8% → 42.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 56.82% | — | ×0.740 | 42.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 6.82% | — | ×1.180 | 8.05% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷1.026 | ×1.300 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 105).
Result: FIP -0.83 → 0.57, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).