Anel Cabrera prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Anel Cabrera P ACL Angels

Age 23 RHP 6'4" / 200 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 25 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 98

ERA4.29

FIP4.29

K%23.1%

BB%8.8%

K-BB%14.3%

ROS IP26

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	19	0	43	169	50	11	1	0%	2.3	20.1%	8.1%	12.0%	1.0%	1.25	2.97	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	19	0	43	169	50	11	1	0%	2.3	20.1%	8.1%	12.0%	1.0%	1.25	2.97	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	19	0	43	169	50	11	1	0%	2.3	29.6%	6.5%	23.1%	0.6%	1.25	1.85	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	2	0	2	14	1	1	0	0%	1.0	7.1%	7.1%	0.0%	0.0%	13.50	3.40	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	2	0	2	14	1	1	0	0%	1.0	7.1%	7.1%	0.0%	0.0%	13.50	3.40	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	ACL Angels	2	0	2	14	1	1	0	0%	1.0	7.1%	7.1%	0.0%	0.0%	13.50	3.60	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	23	MLB	LAA	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.1%	8.8%	14.3%	3.0%	4.29	4.29	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	LAA	25	0	26	111	26	10	3	0%	1.1	23.6%	8.6%	15.1%	3.0%	4.23	4.19	+0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	LAA	10	0	11	46	11	4	1	0%	1.1	23.6%	8.6%	15.1%	3.0%	4.23	4.19	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	11	48	11	4	1	0%	1.0	23.6%	8.6%	15.1%	3.0%	4.23	3.81	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	195	71	18	0%	1.1	23.6%	8.6%	15.1%	3.0%	4.23	3.81	+1.8
Career	—	MLE		21	0	45	183	35	15	2	0%	2.2	19.1%	8.1%	11.1%	0.9%	1.79	3.00	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		93	0	200	807	154	65	7	0%	2.2	19.1%	8.1%	11.1%	0.9%	1.79	3.00	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Anel Cabrera (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.29	23.1%	8.8%	3.0%	—	4.19	23.6%	15.1%	26	-0.10	—	—	—
Michael Gomez R 2019 · 3.32 FIP	22	SU	3.32	22.6%	9.2%	1.8%	.283	3.81	17.9%	8.3%	110	+0.49	3.27	286	88
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	88
Tyler Bray R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	23	SU	4.07	22.3%	9.1%	3.1%	.356	3.21	17.9%	7.6%	114	-0.86	2.82	152	88
Kevin Coulter R 2019 · 3.27 FIP	22	SU	3.27	21.0%	7.4%	1.8%	.287	4.51	16.1%	7.6%	92	+1.24	3.27	128	88
Stolmy Pimentel R 2014 · 4.13 FIP	24	SU	4.13	25.7%	9.5%	3.6%	.319	4.17	14.8%	4.3%	143	+0.04	3.87	176	87
Owen Holt R 2022 · 3.72 FIP	23	SU	3.72	20.7%	10.2%	2.0%	.258	4.51	18.7%	6.4%	107	+0.79	3.72	145	85
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	85
Josh Advocate R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	24	SU	3.78	18.8%	7.3%	2.4%	.291	3.71	20.4%	10.1%	75	-0.07	3.71	118	85
Reilly Hovis R 2017 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	21.1%	7.7%	3.6%	.250	4.36	19.8%	6.4%	50	+0.08	4.28	130	85
Ryan Conroy R 2021 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	22.2%	9.8%	2.8%	.353	4.75	19.3%	6.7%	54	+0.74	4.01	106	85
Alex Klonowski R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	23	SU	3.58	21.8%	9.4%	2.1%	.331	4.69	14.3%	7.1%	413	+1.11	3.58	539	85
Fineas Del Bonta-Smith R 2021 · 3.52 FIP	24	SU	3.52	23.4%	8.2%	2.5%	.262	6.05	20.5%	11.4%	128	+2.53	3.52	207	84
Parker Curry R 2017 · 3.73 FIP	23	SU	3.73	22.5%	8.2%	2.7%	.341	4.62	18.6%	11.6%	193	+0.89	3.73	256	84
Carlos Navas R 2016 · 3.67 FIP	23	SU	3.67	22.0%	8.4%	2.5%	.283	3.52	22.0%	16.1%	229	-0.15	2.98	385	84
Kyle Schepel R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	23.1%	10.7%	3.9%	.233	3.64	22.1%	10.4%	120	-0.99	3.54	156	84
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	84
Nolan Clenney R 2021 · 3.73 FIP	25	SU	3.73	25.5%	8.4%	3.1%	.340	4.35	22.4%	13.7%	185	+0.62	3.73	223	84
Kyle Martin R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	24	SU	3.61	21.2%	9.6%	2.0%	.345	3.51	22.4%	12.5%	172	-0.10	3.01	214	84
Breckin Williams R 2018 · 3.65 FIP	24	SU	3.65	22.6%	7.3%	2.8%	.282	2.78	23.4%	15.8%	48	-0.87	2.76	107	84
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	84

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	23.4%	8.7%	1.15	4.26
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Charlie Furbush ('15)	1.3	52	24.5%	8.1%	1.04	3.97
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
David Carpenter ('19)	1.1	43	23.5%	8.4%	0.92	3.69
Shawn Tolleson ('16)	1.1	54	23.1%	8.3%	1.28	3.92
Chris Hatcher ('18)	1.3	53	22.9%	8.4%	1.32	4.65