Anel Cabrera P ACL Angels
Age 23 RHP 6'4" / 200 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 25 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.31
FIP4.31
K%23.3%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%14.2%
ROS IP26
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP
K: +0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.4 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +1.1 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: +0.07 (25 IP)+0.1WAR
0.10.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202320ROKDSL Angels19043169501110%2.320.1%8.1%12.0%1.2%1.253.08
202320ROKDSL Angels19043169501110%2.329.6%6.5%23.1%0.6%1.251.85
202421ROKACL Angels202141100%1.07.1%7.1%0.0%0.0%13.503.40
202421ROKACL Angels202141100%1.07.1%7.1%0.0%0.0%13.503.60
▸ 2026 Season
202623MLBLAA25026109251030%1.023.3%9.2%14.2%3.0%4.314.31+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724MLBLAA25026111271030%1.123.9%8.8%15.1%3.0%4.254.20+0.1
202724MLBLAA100114611410%1.123.9%8.8%15.1%3.0%4.254.20+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career110114811410%1.023.9%8.8%15.1%3.0%4.253.82+0.1
/ 200 IP190020084419571180%1.123.9%8.8%15.1%3.0%4.253.82+3.7
Career21045183351520%2.219.1%8.1%11.1%1.1%1.793.10+0.8
/ 200 IP9302008071546590%2.219.1%8.1%11.1%1.1%1.793.10+5.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Anel Cabrera (OGILVIE) 4.31 23.3%9.2%3.0% 4.20 23.9%15.1%26 -0.11
Michael Gomez R 2025 · 3.38 FIP 22 SU 3.38 22.6%9.2%1.9%.283 3.78 17.9%8.3%110 +0.40 3.33 286 89
Heath Holder R 2026 · 4.16 FIP 23 SU 4.16 21.1%10.1%2.8%.287 3.13 22.3%13.1%247 -1.03 2.74 367 88
Tyler Bray R 2026 · 4.08 FIP 23 SU 4.08 22.3%9.1%3.1%.356 3.17 17.9%7.6%114 -0.91 2.81 152 88
Kevin Coulter R 2025 · 3.27 FIP 22 SU 3.27 21.0%7.4%1.8%.287 4.31 16.1%7.6%92 +1.04 3.27 128 87
Owen Holt R 2026 · 3.89 FIP 23 SU 3.89 20.7%10.2%2.3%.258 4.52 18.7%6.4%107 +0.63 3.89 145 87
Ricardo Velez R 2027 · 4.48 FIP 24 SU 4.48 22.4%10.9%3.5%.261 4.12 18.8%8.1%138 -0.36 3.77 166 86
Kyle Schepel R 2027 · 4.49 FIP 24 SU 4.49 23.1%10.7%3.6%.233 3.63 22.1%10.4%120 -0.86 3.51 156 85
Chris Jefferson R 2028 · 3.74 FIP 25 SU 3.74 22.4%10.2%2.3%.330 4.97 16.5%3.9%101 +1.23 3.74 140 85
Tyler Mitzel R 2026 · 4.21 FIP 23 SU 4.21 24.1%12.0%3.0%.245 4.19 22.4%14.3%96 -0.02 3.95 142 85
Luke Bell R 2026 · 3.89 FIP 23 SU 3.89 20.4%9.9%2.3%.295 5.85 13.1%1.3%66 +1.96 3.89 110 85
Reilly Hovis R 2026 · 4.03 FIP 23 SU 4.03 21.1%7.7%3.2%.250 4.41 19.8%6.4%50 +0.38 4.03 130 85
Ryan Conroy R 2027 · 3.86 FIP 24 SU 3.86 22.2%9.8%2.5%.353 4.73 19.3%6.7%54 +0.87 3.86 106 85
Jacob Dorris R 2026 · 3.86 FIP 23 SU 3.86 26.9%12.4%2.7%.295 4.59 19.2%8.8%88 +0.73 3.86 130 85
Colby Morris R 2027 · 4.23 FIP 24 SU 4.23 20.4%10.7%2.7%.291 5.76 16.2%4.4%54 +1.53 4.23 105 85
Kyle Martin R 2027 · 3.62 FIP 24 SU 3.62 21.2%9.6%2.0%.345 3.45 22.4%12.5%172 -0.17 3.02 214 84
Nolan Clenney R 2028 · 3.75 FIP 25 SU 3.75 25.5%8.4%3.2%.340 4.62 22.5%13.6%185 +0.87 3.75 223 84
Parker Curry R 2026 · 3.68 FIP 23 SU 3.68 22.5%8.2%2.6%.341 4.68 18.6%11.6%193 +1.00 3.68 256 84
Carlos Navas R 2026 · 3.59 FIP 23 SU 3.59 22.0%8.4%2.4%.283 3.63 22.0%16.1%229 +0.04 2.94 385 84
Jake Bray R 2026 · 3.37 FIP 23 SU 3.37 21.1%7.7%2.0%.245 4.44 21.4%10.8%158 +1.07 2.76 198 84
Fineas Del Bonta-Smith R 2027 · 3.31 FIP 24 SU 3.31 23.4%8.2%2.1%.262 6.15 20.6%11.1%128 +2.84 3.31 207 83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION22623.6%9.0%1.154.28
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
David Hernandez ('19)55425.0%7.9%1.144.10
Zach McAllister ('18)45724.8%7.9%1.143.63
Randall Delgado ('17)37022.2%9.2%0.903.78
Santiago Casilla ('18)45223.5%9.6%0.963.49
Sam Hentges ('24)45225.4%8.4%0.784.18