Charlie Beilenson

P Arkansas Travelers

Age 27 RHP 6'0" / 215 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

AAPROSPECT

Scout OFP42ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	24	AModesto Nuts	4	4	2.45	5.01	22.2%	27.8%	—	K 22.2% · BB 27.8% · FIP 4.74
2025	25	MIX2 levels	44	63	4.02	3.36	28.6%	4.6%	—	K 22.5% · BB 5.2% · FIP 4.63
2026	26	MIX2 levels	46	55	4.75	3.10	28.6%	9.8%	—	K 23.5% · BB 9.8% · FIP 3.71
2027PROJ	27	MLBSEA	67	70	4.24	4.24	23.0%	8.0%	0.3
2028PROJ38% MLB	28	MLBSEA	25	26	4.29	4.33	22.9%	8.3%	0.1
2029PROJ56% MLB	29	MLBSEA	34	36	4.39	4.46	22.8%	8.6%	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff55Control55FB velo50

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsAustin Ross (age 27) · Jose Veras (age 27) · Santiago Casilla (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114106vR 98

ERA4.24

FIP4.24

K%23.0%

BB%8.0%

K-BB%15.0%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF—55

CTRL—55

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	24	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	4	0	4	18	4	5	0	0%	0.9	22.2%	27.8%	-5.6%	0.0%	2.45	4.74	—
2024	24	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	4	0	4	18	4	5	0	0%	0.9	22.2%	27.8%	-5.6%	0.0%	2.45	4.74	—
2024	24	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	4	0	4	18	4	5	0	0%	0.9	22.2%	27.8%	-5.6%	0.0%	2.45	5.01	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	63	262	75	12	10	0%	1.4	22.5%	5.2%	17.3%	5.1%	4.02	4.63	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	63	262	75	12	10	0%	1.4	22.5%	5.2%	17.3%	5.1%	4.02	4.63	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	63	262	75	12	10	0%	1.4	28.6%	4.6%	24.0%	3.8%	4.02	3.36	—
2026	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	55	234	67	23	5	0%	1.2	23.5%	9.8%	13.7%	2.5%	4.75	3.71	—
2026	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	55	234	67	23	5	0%	1.2	23.5%	9.8%	13.7%	2.5%	4.75	3.71	—
2026	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	55	234	67	23	5	0%	1.2	28.6%	9.8%	18.8%	2.1%	4.75	3.10	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	SEA	67	0	70	296	68	24	9	0%	1.0	23.0%	8.0%	15.0%	3.1%	4.24	4.24	+0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	SEA	65	0	68	287	66	24	9	0%	1.0	22.9%	8.3%	14.7%	3.2%	4.29	4.33	+0.2
2029	29	MLB MLE	SEA	62	0	65	274	62	23	9	0%	1.0	22.8%	8.6%	14.2%	3.3%	4.39	4.46	+0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	SEA	25	0	26	110	25	9	3	0%	1.0	22.9%	8.3%	14.7%	3.2%	4.29	4.33	+0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	SEA	34	0	36	152	35	13	5	0%	1.1	22.8%	8.6%	14.2%	3.3%	4.39	4.46	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		59	0	62	260	59	22	8	0%	1.0	22.8%	8.4%	14.4%	3.2%	4.35	4.02	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	192	71	26	0%	1.1	22.8%	8.4%	14.4%	3.2%	4.35	4.02	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		94	0	121	514	118	42	19	0%	1.3	22.9%	8.1%	14.9%	3.7%	4.30	4.22	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		155	0	200	847	194	68	31	0%	1.3	22.9%	8.1%	14.9%	3.7%	4.30	4.22	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Charlie Beilenson (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.24	23.0%	8.0%	3.1%	—	4.39	22.9%	14.4%	133	+0.15	—	—	—
Austin Ross R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	27	SU	3.81	22.9%	8.0%	3.0%	.295	3.67	12.4%	5.2%	127	-0.14	3.16	269	94
Jose Veras R 2008 · 3.67 FIP	27	SU	3.67	24.9%	9.1%	2.8%	.281	4.10	23.8%	11.7%	169	+0.43	3.37	422	92
Santiago Casilla R 2007 · 3.58 FIP	27	SU	3.58	23.7%	7.8%	2.7%	.257	3.60	19.8%	10.7%	154	+0.02	2.76	647	91
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	91
Taylor Williams R 2018 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	24.2%	8.9%	2.4%	.309	4.35	22.5%	12.7%	108	+0.83	2.51	309	88
Jason Motte R 2009 · 4.62 FIP	27	SU	4.62	22.1%	9.0%	4.1%	.297	2.84	26.9%	21.0%	192	-1.78	2.22	387	88
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	87
Simon Castro R 2015 · 3.28 FIP	27	SU	3.28	26.4%	8.5%	2.4%	.320	3.58	26.0%	17.6%	128	+0.30	3.01	185	87
Ryan Kelly R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	20.3%	7.5%	2.1%	.241	3.21	20.8%	14.2%	43	-0.31	2.49	131	86
Matt Pushard R 2024 · 3.87 FIP	26	SU	3.87	24.1%	8.9%	3.0%	.242	3.29	22.2%	14.0%	115	-0.58	2.84	220	86
Steve Geltz R 2015 · 3.95 FIP	27	SU	3.95	22.7%	8.6%	3.1%	.209	4.90	22.2%	12.0%	89	+0.95	3.57	157	86
Seth Simmons R 2015 · 3.07 FIP	27	SU	3.07	23.8%	9.7%	1.4%	.277	4.87	16.6%	7.6%	175	+1.80	3.07	251	85
José A. Váldez R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	27	SU	4.39	21.6%	8.3%	3.8%	.325	4.15	18.8%	6.4%	153	-0.24	4.02	328	85
Jared Burton R 2008 · 3.56 FIP	27	SU	3.56	22.6%	8.6%	2.3%	.292	3.51	17.0%	10.6%	59	-0.05	3.09	367	85
Jason Frasor R 2005 · 3.90 FIP	27	SU	3.90	20.3%	8.5%	2.6%	.282	3.66	22.9%	13.0%	154	-0.24	2.71	647	85
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	85
Matt Ramsey R 2017 · 3.25 FIP	27	SU	3.25	24.2%	9.6%	1.8%	.330	3.21	23.6%	14.6%	81	-0.04	2.42	125	85
John Gorman R 2019 · 4.01 FIP	27	SU	4.01	23.4%	7.5%	3.5%	.366	—	—	—	—	—	2.08	141	85
Shay Schanaman R 2024 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	21.0%	7.6%	3.7%	.292	6.05	16.4%	2.8%	90	+1.71	4.34	148	84
Ryan Tepera R 2015 · 4.17 FIP	27	SU	4.17	21.1%	7.2%	3.5%	.174	3.40	24.7%	16.0%	206	-0.77	2.35	445	84

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	68	22.9%	8.3%	1.23	4.30
Chris Hatcher ('18)	1.3	53	22.9%	8.4%	1.32	4.65
Shawn Tolleson ('16)	1.1	54	23.1%	8.3%	1.28	3.92
Michael Tonkin ('25)	1.6	55	23.2%	8.1%	1.28	4.23
Barney Schultz ('55-'65, 2 WAR*)	1.7	58	24.6%*	8.3%*	1.28*	3.93*
Dave Baldwin ('66-'73, 2 WAR*)	1.1	56	22.2%*	9.2%*	0.96*	3.97*
Gary Wayne ('89-'94, 2 WAR*)	1.2	62	19.9%*	9.4%*	1.05*	3.88*